vegas line vs my ratings - week 6

[w365]

I like Nevada

gl mann

 

[w365]

Im pretty sure he thinks most of his dog plays have a chance of winning straight up as long as the spread is under 10.

Great job w365!!

A few of our picks are definately lining up, I will be hitting them extra hard!!

gl to us !

 

[w365]

w365,
what about Iowa +7 1/2 now (was it ever 10?) Is that too low to still go with?
Also what about Navy +6 to +5 1/2 too low to still play?
Thanks for all you share.
doogie

i believe both will be decided by a fg at worst

 

[w365]

ge45, beer, thanks and best of luck guys:aktion033

 

[w365]

Except he has Illi not Michigan.
GL TW!

true, thanks

 

[ivan722]

W365, so you're on UAB at +5 tonight?
(My book has them at +3--would you still take them or maybe buy 2 pts.?)

%^_

 

[RunEmHard]

w365 what your advise on the UTAH GAME, points climbing on this one.

 

[krh7]

quick question.

you mentioned that you play all plays for 1 unit. in another post you said you also play all dogs on the ML. what unit size do you play the ML dogs?

 

[w365]

quick question.

you mentioned that you play all plays for 1 unit. in another post you said you also play all dogs on the ML. what unit size do you play the ML dogs?

1 unit =500$

i always put 100-150$ on the moneyline as well

 

[w365]

w365 what your advise on the UTAH GAME, points climbing on this one.

i don't like playing dd favorites and thats why it is only a lean for me, not a play...i believe the public will help this like get to 12-12.5 by gametime...

looks like its climbing as we speak.

 

[w365]

W365, so you're on UAB at +5 tonight?
(My book has them at +3--would you still take them or maybe buy 2 pts.?)

%^_

it wouldn't be wise to buy from +3,5 to +5....too expensive and you are not getting any value there.

 

[w365]

UAB is a winner. NCAAF plays now 7-3...all plays/leans favored by less than 3 or dogs of 8 and less now 17-5 for 77%

 

[DaMan--banned]

Tons of great info, thanks again for your hard work.

 

[w365]

Marshall is stil just a lean. Some interesting info for this game.



- Cincinnati starting their 4th string QB to run a complexe offense

- Cincinnati rushing offense on the road (-QB runs) 83 & 55 yards

- Last two weeks vs two rivals from the State of Ohio

- Short rest and back to back games on the road

- Next up: Big East schedule

- Marshall 114-14 @ J.C.Edwards Stadium including 5-0 in last 5

- Marshall 6-1 ATS as home dog in last 10 years

- Marshall rushing offense at home: 179 & 229 yards

- Revenge for Marshall (11-4 home revenge in last 15)

- Marshall DC was the Cincinnati HC for 9 years

- 3-1 teams @ 3-2 teams: 0-13 and 1-15 ats, 2-15 su

- 3-1 teams vs 3-2 teams, line<8 & >-5.5: 3-22 su and 1-24 ats

 

[w365]

wise decision to stay away from marshall and to rate it a 'lean' only.

 

[knowthegame]

w365- could you please give me the list of who you wagered on this weekend??? thanks.....

 

[knowthegame]

w365- could you please give me the list of who you wagered on this weekend??? thanks.....

nevermind, I found them. GL, looks solid.

 

[FreeMoney]

system of the week (last week: NEVADA +4, won outright by 22)

10-20.5 pts underdogs are 21-3-1 ATS in last 25 if they scored 40+ in their last game as well as in their last game vs the opponent.

rice scored 77 vs north texas last week and 43 against tulsa last year.

rice is 4-1 su and ats in last 5 at tulsa including a 41-38 overtime win two years ago as 14 pts underdogs. system of the week (for the informational purposes only): rice +14.5

I really like the system of the week play with rice +16.5 at my local. I dont see Tulsa scoring more than what texas put up and Rice keeping the game close.

Thanks for the great write ups and all the work. Very impressive stuff.

 

[w365]

just to recap and to avoid any confusion...my plays are:

UAB +5 (W)
IOWA +10
STAN +7.5
NAVY +7
UNLV +2
TOLE +8
KENT +4

Good luck everyone !

 

[paesano]

just to recap and to avoid any confusion...my plays are:

UAB +5 (W)
IOWA +10
STAN +7.5
NAVY +7
UNLV +2
TOLE +8
KENT +4

Good luck everyone !

i'm on ball state but good luck to you :aktion033