Update System Record: 36-1

[Sportsrmylife]

Hey mike.

love what you are betting here. my question is have you thought about not playing game 3 if you lose the first two? I just think that the third game has too much to risk. I ran the numbers playing 50/100/200 and you come out with up $730. Now that is from the chart only. But if you take out those 3 game 3 loses and the one game three win your balance is $1864. Quite a difference if you ask me.

Just a thought. Love the those. I think that you could really have a nice nest egg with this by the end of the year.

 

[mikechad]

Sportsmylife, thanks for the email.
I have thought and am still thinking of how to improve my system.
The thing is I'm not chasing my bets by doubling down. I am finding a 3 game spand where I feel confident in winning 1 out of the 3. I am really trying to find the best starting point so I can win the initial wager. BUT, I know it is impossible to maintain a high winning %. Therefore, I foreshadow the possible outcomes of the teams next 2. Now, if I lose the initial bet, it makes my following bets stronger. At least that is the situations I am trying to find.

I will give you an excellent example:
The only bet I lost tonight was on UTAH.
Look at their schedule since their downslide after their trumendous start.
They have lost to:
@ DALLAS
@SEATTLE
PHOENIX
@SAN ANT

So, I felt, and still feel that coming home to play 3 in a row, they would pull off a win. Well, so far I'm wrong.
The problem is, after they lost to Miami, I expected them to come out and destroy in my opinion an over-rated Orlando team. Wrong again!!!!
Still, I don't feel I'm chasing....
They now play Portland.
Portland is a totally different team on the Road.
Portland is playing Boston @10:30 Thurs. night.
Bottom line, UTAH needs a win.
I am actually thinking about putting 8 units on UTAH (if they don't cover vs PORTLAND) when they go to Portland for the second game of a home and home series.

See, most of you see it as a small return when I lose 1 unit, then 2 units, then win 4 units. You guys think it is such a big risk for such a small return.
I think of it as a larger play( 4 units) because it is a stronger play.

I will wager 4 units on Utah @home vs. Portland. I feel confident I will get the win. If not, then Utah will be at least a 6 point dog in Portland and I will be on Utah for 8 units.

Anyway, solid night tonight.

fade Atl won 2 units
fade NO won 2 units
fade Clev won 1 unit

pending:
UTAH (next game for 4 units vs Portland)
LAC (next game for 2 units)

no plays for Thursday

bye for now

mike

 

[supersharp]

I don't know why folks just don't play your 1st and 2nd picks straight up. Your around 68.5% which is awesome. Unfortunately I haven't been checking this thread regularly until early Wed AM, and I played the 3 2nd try picks which were fade NO, on Utah, and fade ATL. I'll take 2-1 every night of the week.

I appreciate you posting the night before for the following days picks, since on certain days I have to put my picks in very early in the AM, since I'm away all day until after most games have already started.

I'm 3-1 on the plays I've followed. Keep up the awesome work!!!

:toast:

 

[saigon74]

Thanks mike for the plays last night. i played same units. keep up the good work.

 

[mikechad]

I agree, supersharp.

But if I was to make a prediction for my game 3 bets;
I think I will end up around 10 - 6 for plus $408.00 (all my 3rd game bets are for $120.00).

Now, mind you, I will have a NO PLAY on some 3rd games if I feel it is a bad bet.
But for the most part, 3rd games will be wagered.

Only time will tell.

bye

 

[mikechad]

Friday Picks:

NJ -8 1 UNIT
MIAMI -5.5 1 UNIT
PHILI -2.5 1 UNIT

UTAH (NO LINE) 4 UNITS

 

[mikechad]

Utah -2.5 4 Units

Good Luck Everyone

 

[supersharp]

3-1 last night!!!!
So far it's the Nets and Clips today, right?
I grabbed the Nets at -2.5 at ATL.
roll baby roll

:toast:

 

[mikechad]

Great night last night. Scary game with Utah, but got the win. Plus 2 more system wins, and 1 pending on NJ.

Sat Picks:

NJ -3 2 units
LAC (no line yet, but should get around +2) 2 units



Houston pk 1 unit

good luck everyone

P.S. will update entire record and start new thread on Sunday.

 

[mikechad]

Lac +3.5 2 Units

 

[supersharp]

2-1 on Sat!!!
Don't go pay on us!!!

:toast:

 

[mikechad]

Don't go pay on us!!!

What does that mean?

Sunday picks:

FADE DENVER, NY -1 1 UNIT
NEW ORL +9.5 1 UNIT

 

[mikechad]

Adding:

Fade Orl, Lal -4 1 Unit

 

[supersharp]

Forgot that Denver/NY was on at 12PM, so by the time I saw your pick the game had already started. I took the Knicks at +1.5 for the second half which was a winner that offset the Norleans loss. A Lakers win will be yet another winning day!!! GO LAKERS!!!
:toast:

 

[supersharp]

>Don't go pay on us!!!
>What does that mean?

Sometimes successful cappers decide they are so good they quit posting free picks and start a pay service for their picks.

 

[wmublows]

You are the man Mike. Thanks for all the great picks. Keep up the good work.