I don't post picks every day on social media or forums,... But you can find my picks every day on my site - 100% free and open for public:
UNDERDOGCHANCE.COM
Last Basketball Picks: 2-0, +128.38
Record: 219-131-7, +3,582 Yield:+17.97%
Today's Basketball Projected Lines - http://underdogchance.com/projectedlines/#tab-id-2
Today's picks:
Note: Last round in Turkish league, I don't know how serious will they take those games... I use statistics only, but adjust the numbers for yourself if you need. My intention is not to tell you where and how to invest your money. I just show you what I do and you can use my advice
-- SIGN UP FOR MY 5 DAY Bonus BetTING COURSE HERE!:
http://underdogchance.com/freehttp://underdogchance.com/free
(this is much better than any picks - invest in yourself, not in other people's picks)
12/5/2017
Game FRA - Lyon Villeurbanne - Antibes
Bet #358 Antibes +11 @1.97
Risk €70
--
Game FRA - Paris Levallois - Chalon Saone
Bet #359 Under 164.5 @1.961
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - Usak Sportif - Trabzonspor
Bet #360 Under 174.5 @1.934
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - TED Ankara Kolejliler - Fenerbahce
Bet #361 Under 166 @1.925
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - Galatasaray - Demir
Bet #362 Under 166.5 @1.952
Risk €70
--
Game FRA B - Rouen - Lille
Bet #363 Lille +5 @1.925
Risk €70
Good Luck if you follow those picks.
UNDERDOGCHANCE.COM
Last Basketball Picks: 2-0, +128.38
Record: 219-131-7, +3,582 Yield:+17.97%
Today's Basketball Projected Lines - http://underdogchance.com/projectedlines/#tab-id-2
Today's picks:
Note: Last round in Turkish league, I don't know how serious will they take those games... I use statistics only, but adjust the numbers for yourself if you need. My intention is not to tell you where and how to invest your money. I just show you what I do and you can use my advice
-- SIGN UP FOR MY 5 DAY Bonus BetTING COURSE HERE!:
http://underdogchance.com/freehttp://underdogchance.com/free
(this is much better than any picks - invest in yourself, not in other people's picks)
12/5/2017
Game FRA - Lyon Villeurbanne - Antibes
Bet #358 Antibes +11 @1.97
Risk €70
--
Game FRA - Paris Levallois - Chalon Saone
Bet #359 Under 164.5 @1.961
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - Usak Sportif - Trabzonspor
Bet #360 Under 174.5 @1.934
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - TED Ankara Kolejliler - Fenerbahce
Bet #361 Under 166 @1.925
Risk €70
--
Game TUR - Galatasaray - Demir
Bet #362 Under 166.5 @1.952
Risk €70
--
Game FRA B - Rouen - Lille
Bet #363 Lille +5 @1.925
Risk €70
Good Luck if you follow those picks.
Last Picks: 4-2, +124.04
Record: 223-133-7, +3,706
Yield:+18.20%
100 Free Picks - Underdogchance.com
Today's pick:
14/5/2017
Game SPA - CAI Zaragoza - Asefa Estudiantes
Bet #363 Asefa Estudiantes +6 @1.98
Risk €70
Good Luck!
Record: 223-133-7, +3,706
Yield:+18.20%
100 Free Picks - Underdogchance.com
Today's pick:
14/5/2017
Game SPA - CAI Zaragoza - Asefa Estudiantes
Bet #363 Asefa Estudiantes +6 @1.98
Risk €70
Good Luck!
TUESDAY - May 16
Last Picks: 1-0, +68.60
Basketball Record 2017: 224-133-7, +3,774 Yield:+18.48%
Today's Basketball Projected Lines - click here
SIGN UP FOR MY 5-DAY Bonus BetTING COURSE
Today's picks:
16/5/2017
Game FRA - Antibes - Gravelines Dunkerque
Bet #363 Gravelines Dunkerque +3 @1.9
Risk €70
Baseball picks - visit my site (Underdogchance.com).
100% free picks
Last Picks: 1-0, +68.60
Basketball Record 2017: 224-133-7, +3,774 Yield:+18.48%
Today's Basketball Projected Lines - click here
SIGN UP FOR MY 5-DAY Bonus BetTING COURSE
Today's picks:
16/5/2017
Game FRA - Antibes - Gravelines Dunkerque
Bet #363 Gravelines Dunkerque +3 @1.9
Risk €70
Baseball picks - visit my site (Underdogchance.com).
100% free picks
100% FREE PICKS - Underdogchance.com
TOTAL NUMBER OF PICKS: 633
WON: 352
LOST: 262
PUSH: 19
YIELD: +9.52
PROFIT: +6,117.81
TOTAL NUMBER OF PICKS: 633
WON: 352
LOST: 262
PUSH: 19
YIELD: +9.52
PROFIT: +6,117.81
Projected Lines and Picks - May 22
CUBS (Lackey) vs SAN FRANCISCO (Blach)
My Projected Lines and the odds
The public will be Cubs today and the odds already dropped little bit. Right now, we can get Cubs at around 1.52, which is still more than I have projected. I have projected, that Cubs will have around 77.4% of chance to win this game. My projected odds on them are 1.29. Because of that, we have some value with the Cubs.
Match Up
Cubs won 4 out of last 5 games and we expect some more games like these from last years champions of course. Their bats are hot right now as they score 8.2 runs per game in last 5 games. They score 5.2 runs per game to the season at home and they score 6.6 runs per game versus lefties (they will face left handed pitcher today).
San Francisco Giants are 7-3 in last 10 games, but I still don’t trust them, especially on the road and in the games, where they will have pitching disadvantage. They score only 3.4 runs per game to the season and 3.6 runs per game versus right handed pitchers 8they will face right handed pitcher today).
Cubs will start with Lackey, who is 4-3 to the season and in last 3 games he is pitching better too. 49 strike outs in 47 innings pitched this season is much better than Blach on the other side, who has only 9 strike outs in 29 innings and 7 walks.
Blach, who will pitch for San Francisco has ERA of 4.03 and will face today one of the best teams in the league. In his only road game this season, he pitched only 3 innings and allowed 8 runs.
Reason for pick
Chicago Cubs are red hot and they bats are hitting some runs lately. This is exactly what I need in this one. They will face left handed pitcher, who didn’t play well in his only road game this season, when he allowed 8 runs in just 3 innings. San Francisco is also one of the worst hitting teams in the league and they lost 9 out of 10 games in Chicago in last 3 seasons.
Play Cubs (Lackey) -1.5
CUBS (Lackey) vs SAN FRANCISCO (Blach)
My Projected Lines and the odds
The public will be Cubs today and the odds already dropped little bit. Right now, we can get Cubs at around 1.52, which is still more than I have projected. I have projected, that Cubs will have around 77.4% of chance to win this game. My projected odds on them are 1.29. Because of that, we have some value with the Cubs.
Match Up
Cubs won 4 out of last 5 games and we expect some more games like these from last years champions of course. Their bats are hot right now as they score 8.2 runs per game in last 5 games. They score 5.2 runs per game to the season at home and they score 6.6 runs per game versus lefties (they will face left handed pitcher today).
San Francisco Giants are 7-3 in last 10 games, but I still don’t trust them, especially on the road and in the games, where they will have pitching disadvantage. They score only 3.4 runs per game to the season and 3.6 runs per game versus right handed pitchers 8they will face right handed pitcher today).
Cubs will start with Lackey, who is 4-3 to the season and in last 3 games he is pitching better too. 49 strike outs in 47 innings pitched this season is much better than Blach on the other side, who has only 9 strike outs in 29 innings and 7 walks.
Blach, who will pitch for San Francisco has ERA of 4.03 and will face today one of the best teams in the league. In his only road game this season, he pitched only 3 innings and allowed 8 runs.
Reason for pick
Chicago Cubs are red hot and they bats are hitting some runs lately. This is exactly what I need in this one. They will face left handed pitcher, who didn’t play well in his only road game this season, when he allowed 8 runs in just 3 innings. San Francisco is also one of the worst hitting teams in the league and they lost 9 out of 10 games in Chicago in last 3 seasons.
Play Cubs (Lackey) -1.5
5 Sneaky Ways Sports Betting Services Fool You Into Buying Their Picks
Sports betting is a huge business. Illegal or legal, gamblers will always find the way to risk their money or look for someone who can make them rich in a very short time, if possible.
On one side, we have bettors, gamblers, sports investors, and all kinds of people, who try to win money in sports betting.
On the other side, we have bookmakers that take bets, and they are definitely the big winners at the end.
Somewhere in the middle, paid sports picks services were born. I am not talking about sports analysts, bloggers, or all kind of sports fans, or entrepreneurs, that work in betting industry, but I am talking about those who sell so-called betting picks.
The motivation for writing this article is Money Talks – Sports Handicapping Reality TV. How they sell this advice, and what they promise is a huge fraud, and they even made a show from this.
A guy comes to Las Vegas for three days with $50,000 and they promise him that he will win big. He is advised to bet from $10,000 to $12,000 on one game.
Smart sports investors do not bet more than 1-2% of their bankroll, and he was advised to bet more than 20% on a game.
Ladies and gentlemen, such an advice is not advice, but selling some unrealistic gambling dreams. If you decide to gamble, do it for yourself. If you gamble and you want to make a lot of money in three days, you don’t need an advisor. You just need a lot of luck. There is nobody in the world that can have such an edge over the bookmakers to make you huge money in just 3 days.
And the best part, if he wins, they split the profit. If he loses, it is like nothing happened. So, basically one guy comes to gamble and if he wins, he will just share his profit with some so-called advisor.
This is probably one of the biggest scams that I’ve seen.
So, what are paid sports betting sites, and how can they fool you?
They are sites or people that sell betting advice and usually they guarantee big wins, big money, and gamblers are willing to pay for their advice.
But are they really so good? Can they really make money for you? Do they really have the edge over the bookmakers or is it just good (or bad) marketing?
Do you think gamblers, who already struggle with some addiction, can think rationally after someone tells them that they can solve all the problems with good “winning” advice?
No.
Not only gamblers, but also all other people are easily fooled into spending money for such services. Here is how they do this:
Manipulating with results
Sports events are displayed with odds. So, what are the odds? Odds are probabilities that something will happen (example: Boston will win this game), turned into numbers. Odds are the prices that gamblers will pay, and if they want to win against the bookmakers, they will need to find the method that will give them the edge over the bookmakers. In other words, their probabilities must be better than bookmakers’ probabilities.
To understand this, we will take the coin flip experiment as an example. I hope you agree with me that we don’t have an edge, and if we repeat this experiment a lot of times, Heads and Tails will “happen” 50% and 50% times.
But does this mean, that if we flip a coin 30 times, that Heads and Tails will always be 15 – 15?
No. You can do experiment for yourself. I just did it and it was 17-13 for Heads.
So, we agree, that I don’t have any edge, right? But I can also manipulate with the “Heads” record. I can say that am on a 17-13 run for “Heads”. This is how sports betting services manipulate with results. “We are on a 9-1 run. We are on 43-32 run. We are making huge money three straight days….” They don’t have any edge and most of those results, that you see on the internet are by a luck, not by a skill. This is how they can easily manipulate the results.
They claim they are experts
Who is an expert? This is a person who is very knowledgeable in a particular area. Most of those betting services will claim that they are experts. But in reality, most of them are not experts, but just sports fans and they found the way how to sell betting advice. The world has changed. Sports betting is a serious business. And bookmakers are getting stronger and stronger every year. They use all kind of statistical methods to predict those games. They hire the smartest people to calculate the best lines. They hire people that are experienced and can adapt to new situations quickly.
Many betting services don’t use any statistical method, they don’t use analytics, and if you ask them basic things, like what is a yield, ROI, linear regression, or something like this, they don’t know the answer.
They will also claim that they have the right information, but with the internet you don’t need to pay for information anymore. Information is easy to find and unless they use advanced statistics to give you some value with in-depth analysis, you can do at least that good for sure.
Manipulating with the truth about bookmakers, their limits, and the odds
The ugly truth about sports betting is that around 97-98% of all people lose. That means that they will give more money to bookmakers than they take from them.
So, only around 2-3% of all bettors consistently beat bookmakers, but bookmakers do everything to limit their winnings with bet limitations, closing their accounts, and dropping the odds. So, even those successful bettors face all kinds of troubles with bookmakers.
An average bettor will not understand this and he can easily create an illusion that he will get the same odds as a betting service, which promised him huge money. Almost every bettor dreams about how he will live a dream and bet more and more money.
But in reality, most bookmakers will limit you or even close your account if you start winning.
The second thing are the odds. Bookmakers are fast and they will move the line quickly. Most bettors will never get the same lines as sports handicappers that send them picks. And the odds are the key. If you get -101 instead of +101 it can be the difference between winning and losing on a 50% hit rate.
Money back guarantees
They try to attract people with money back guarantee. But, if you pay $300 and lose $10,000, do you think that you will care about that $300? NO.
A money back guarantee is just marketing trick. It does not work in sports betting field; nothing is guaranteed. This is sports betting, it is a very risky business and anything can happen in every single game. Lock, Monster, Guaranteed, Lock of The Year and words like this, should not be used. Many people fall into this trap.
Marketing and reversal Pareto principle 20/80
There are smart gamblers who can make a profit and most of them bet for themselves without selling picks. If they want to beat bookmakers, they need to spend most of the time analysing the games.
With most betting services the story is totally different. They will spend 80% of time on marketing, spamming on social media, and how to sell their picks.
I am not saying that there are not smart investors and handicappers that can’t beat bookmakers. In fact, I think that there are people who are smart and disciplined enough to make a profit in sports betting. I am one of them and you can find my daily investment picks totally for free on my site. But to find them is very hard and even if you can find them it is almost not possible to follow their advice and get the same profit.
Underdogchance.com
Sports betting is a huge business. Illegal or legal, gamblers will always find the way to risk their money or look for someone who can make them rich in a very short time, if possible.
On one side, we have bettors, gamblers, sports investors, and all kinds of people, who try to win money in sports betting.
On the other side, we have bookmakers that take bets, and they are definitely the big winners at the end.
Somewhere in the middle, paid sports picks services were born. I am not talking about sports analysts, bloggers, or all kind of sports fans, or entrepreneurs, that work in betting industry, but I am talking about those who sell so-called betting picks.
The motivation for writing this article is Money Talks – Sports Handicapping Reality TV. How they sell this advice, and what they promise is a huge fraud, and they even made a show from this.
A guy comes to Las Vegas for three days with $50,000 and they promise him that he will win big. He is advised to bet from $10,000 to $12,000 on one game.
Smart sports investors do not bet more than 1-2% of their bankroll, and he was advised to bet more than 20% on a game.
Ladies and gentlemen, such an advice is not advice, but selling some unrealistic gambling dreams. If you decide to gamble, do it for yourself. If you gamble and you want to make a lot of money in three days, you don’t need an advisor. You just need a lot of luck. There is nobody in the world that can have such an edge over the bookmakers to make you huge money in just 3 days.
And the best part, if he wins, they split the profit. If he loses, it is like nothing happened. So, basically one guy comes to gamble and if he wins, he will just share his profit with some so-called advisor.
This is probably one of the biggest scams that I’ve seen.
So, what are paid sports betting sites, and how can they fool you?
They are sites or people that sell betting advice and usually they guarantee big wins, big money, and gamblers are willing to pay for their advice.
But are they really so good? Can they really make money for you? Do they really have the edge over the bookmakers or is it just good (or bad) marketing?
Do you think gamblers, who already struggle with some addiction, can think rationally after someone tells them that they can solve all the problems with good “winning” advice?
No.
Not only gamblers, but also all other people are easily fooled into spending money for such services. Here is how they do this:
Manipulating with results
Sports events are displayed with odds. So, what are the odds? Odds are probabilities that something will happen (example: Boston will win this game), turned into numbers. Odds are the prices that gamblers will pay, and if they want to win against the bookmakers, they will need to find the method that will give them the edge over the bookmakers. In other words, their probabilities must be better than bookmakers’ probabilities.
To understand this, we will take the coin flip experiment as an example. I hope you agree with me that we don’t have an edge, and if we repeat this experiment a lot of times, Heads and Tails will “happen” 50% and 50% times.
But does this mean, that if we flip a coin 30 times, that Heads and Tails will always be 15 – 15?
No. You can do experiment for yourself. I just did it and it was 17-13 for Heads.
So, we agree, that I don’t have any edge, right? But I can also manipulate with the “Heads” record. I can say that am on a 17-13 run for “Heads”. This is how sports betting services manipulate with results. “We are on a 9-1 run. We are on 43-32 run. We are making huge money three straight days….” They don’t have any edge and most of those results, that you see on the internet are by a luck, not by a skill. This is how they can easily manipulate the results.
They claim they are experts
Who is an expert? This is a person who is very knowledgeable in a particular area. Most of those betting services will claim that they are experts. But in reality, most of them are not experts, but just sports fans and they found the way how to sell betting advice. The world has changed. Sports betting is a serious business. And bookmakers are getting stronger and stronger every year. They use all kind of statistical methods to predict those games. They hire the smartest people to calculate the best lines. They hire people that are experienced and can adapt to new situations quickly.
Many betting services don’t use any statistical method, they don’t use analytics, and if you ask them basic things, like what is a yield, ROI, linear regression, or something like this, they don’t know the answer.
They will also claim that they have the right information, but with the internet you don’t need to pay for information anymore. Information is easy to find and unless they use advanced statistics to give you some value with in-depth analysis, you can do at least that good for sure.
Manipulating with the truth about bookmakers, their limits, and the odds
The ugly truth about sports betting is that around 97-98% of all people lose. That means that they will give more money to bookmakers than they take from them.
So, only around 2-3% of all bettors consistently beat bookmakers, but bookmakers do everything to limit their winnings with bet limitations, closing their accounts, and dropping the odds. So, even those successful bettors face all kinds of troubles with bookmakers.
An average bettor will not understand this and he can easily create an illusion that he will get the same odds as a betting service, which promised him huge money. Almost every bettor dreams about how he will live a dream and bet more and more money.
But in reality, most bookmakers will limit you or even close your account if you start winning.
The second thing are the odds. Bookmakers are fast and they will move the line quickly. Most bettors will never get the same lines as sports handicappers that send them picks. And the odds are the key. If you get -101 instead of +101 it can be the difference between winning and losing on a 50% hit rate.
Money back guarantees
They try to attract people with money back guarantee. But, if you pay $300 and lose $10,000, do you think that you will care about that $300? NO.
A money back guarantee is just marketing trick. It does not work in sports betting field; nothing is guaranteed. This is sports betting, it is a very risky business and anything can happen in every single game. Lock, Monster, Guaranteed, Lock of The Year and words like this, should not be used. Many people fall into this trap.
Marketing and reversal Pareto principle 20/80
There are smart gamblers who can make a profit and most of them bet for themselves without selling picks. If they want to beat bookmakers, they need to spend most of the time analysing the games.
With most betting services the story is totally different. They will spend 80% of time on marketing, spamming on social media, and how to sell their picks.
I am not saying that there are not smart investors and handicappers that can’t beat bookmakers. In fact, I think that there are people who are smart and disciplined enough to make a profit in sports betting. I am one of them and you can find my daily investment picks totally for free on my site. But to find them is very hard and even if you can find them it is almost not possible to follow their advice and get the same profit.
Underdogchance.com
BITCOIN SPORTS BETTING CHALLENGE:
Make $30.000 in 3.5 years with investment of only $50 per month
About this challenge
With this challenge I want to make $30.000 by December 1st 2020. I will start with starting investment of $50 and then I will add extra $50 each month (after 42 months, I will invest total of $2100)
It would be perfect if you can invest $2100 from the start, but most people are struggling with Money and with this challenge I will put myself into a position of a guy, who has small salary of $500 per month. This is a great challenge for me and I was thinking a lot about this. Not only, that I will need to be successful in sports betting, but also I will need little bit help from cryptocurrency market. Don’t stop reading, because I will explain everything…
Make $30.000 in 3.5 years with investment of only $50 per month
About this challenge
With this challenge I want to make $30.000 by December 1st 2020. I will start with starting investment of $50 and then I will add extra $50 each month (after 42 months, I will invest total of $2100)
It would be perfect if you can invest $2100 from the start, but most people are struggling with Money and with this challenge I will put myself into a position of a guy, who has small salary of $500 per month. This is a great challenge for me and I was thinking a lot about this. Not only, that I will need to be successful in sports betting, but also I will need little bit help from cryptocurrency market. Don’t stop reading, because I will explain everything…
Here is my plan how to do this....
