TUESDAY THOUGHT'S ** 1 5 1 **

[one51rum]

Ticket Number:767778253
Accepted Date:3/12/24
Amount:$50.00
Status Pending
To win:$154.55
Type Parlay
Description:Basketball - NCAA - Canisius vs Mt. St. Mary's - Parlay | 618 Mt. St. Mary's -175 for GAME | 03/12/2024 05:15:00 PM (EST) | Pending
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference - First Round - Boardwalk Hall - Atlantic City, NJ.
Basketball - NCAA - Idaho State vs Montana - Parlay | 630 Montana -275 for GAME | 03/12/2024 11:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending
Big Sky Conference - Semifinals - Idaho Central Arena -Boise, ID
Basketball - NCAA - Bryant vs UMass Lowell - Parlay | 306529 Bryant +6½ -110 for GAME | 03/12/2024 06:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending
America East Conference - Semifinals.

 

[one51rum]

lots of injuries in the St Louis RI game

 

[maddog1987]

exactly, well said I have always said at diff times , that I post my reasoning and all info I can, and not just stuff that supports my picks, and that some could even find reasons to go against me, and that is fine, that is what this is all about, each having their own opinion, I have always said, that after reading my capping some could go the other way, and I usually post that even though I break a game down does not mean it will win, there are so many things that happen in a game that determine who covers, little runs by a team, a team going 6-8 mins without scoring, and they all almost come down to ft's at the end...lol no matter how anyone breaks down a game , it still has a good chance to not cover we only hope that the game goes as we see it, they do not happen as much as we would like but when it does its a great feeling, Lamar game yesterday I thought I did well there, and the game went about as I saw it, about James Madison, to be honest to go against them is a tough call, they are a very good team, and when 1st looking they were the obvious choice, I was just hoping Ark st could maybe keep it going, but was wrong,,, and I always invite peoples opinions what you should do is before the game starts, write back and point out reasons why you should go the other way, I invite all that, but before the game starts I am always trying to learn even after 45 years...ps on the James Madison game I did not give a write up on that game??? I gave a write up on one game yesterday Lamar and it went almost exact

Now that I posted my pick on UCF, I got some time to talk more about our earlier discussion. No, you didn't give a write up on the JMU game. My reasoning betting on JMU was two fold, first my shallow analysis of the game was, as you said, JMU is a very good team much better than the stats of ARST and frankly I just didn't see or understand the love for ARST. This is not a detailed analysis like you put out on many of your games but more of a comparison of team stats, using tools like KenPom and their standings in their conference. Getting to your LAM analysis, it met my findings exactly but it was right on the edge of me giving more points than I like to give. Your analysis did make me feel better on LAM covering so I did bet them.... the first part of the game did bother me when UNO jump out to an early lead but LAM quickly turned it around. Yes your write ups do not ensure wins... no one can do that but you do provide great info that helps us determine how we want to bet a game or not bet the game. I was ready to bet DAV this morning, but your write up was enough to make it a no bet for me (that game is currently close my earlier leaning to DAV could work out, but your analysis may also be right on for FOR. So keep up the work. It is valuable and we can use it to support our bets save us money by making no bets or helping us change our minds and bet on a team based on you research.

BTW, you have helped me wins bets by betting 3 game teasers and parlays which I never did before reading your posts, so thanks again.

 

[maddog1987]

Ga Tech vs N.Dame this game is in Washington DC
During the year ND won both games , they won at home 58-55 and won in OT at GT 75-68 in both games ND had a big edge in rebounds....
at GT ND won in OT 75-68 in a game where GT took 11 more shots, as they were 27/72 11/35 from 3 and just 3/7 at the ft line...ND had 48 reb's 13 offensive and 11 assist and 16 to's not a very good assist to turnover ratio at all...ND shot 24/61 8/24 from 3 and were 19/21 at the line so again game goes to OT so Tech had a good chance at winning but when you take just 7 ft's and make 3 and the other team takes 21 and makes 19 you better shoot over 50%, Tech had 33 reb's 20 assist and just 10 to's , that's a good assist to turnover ratio, they got out scored in OT 9-2

In the 2nd game at ND they lost by just 3 points 55-58 in a game where ND took 9 more shots then they did GT was 22/48 5/15 from 3 and were again just 6/11 at the ft line and ND shot just 18/57 and 5/26 from 3 and again 17/22 from the line ..again they took twice as many ft's and made 11 more and they won by 3 .... I am going to take G Tech here in this game and I am going to hope that the ft's are more even between these 2, I think if they can keep the ft's close to even they can win this game, they went to OT and lost by just 3 in games where ND took many more foul shots and made many more ...GT is 2-1 ats at a neutral court this year, 14-11 ats as a dog, and ND is 2-6 ats as a favorite this year...Both teams are doing well ats their last 5-6 games ND is 5-1 ats last 6 and GT is 5-2 ats last 7 ..but ND is 6-20 ats last 26 as a favorite


Ga Tech +1 1 unit

Ticket Number:767736675
Accepted Date:3/12/24
Amount:$110.00
Status Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:Basketball - NCAA - Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame - Spread | 611 Georgia Tech +1 -110 for GAME | 03/12/2024 02:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending
Atlantic Coast Conference - First Round - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC

OK bedtime gl everyone

I can't find an edge on this game at all so it will be a no bet for me but I will be pulling for GT and you.

 

[Mspeaks61]

mr 151--excellaqnt call on Fordham--went to OT and outscored Davidson 10-2--GD it! when YOU and pirate are on same teams--its high 80's to mid 90's in W's! should have stayed with original call and instincts--62 yr old DG! for almost 50 yrs now! OL was 135--davidson misses 2 free throws with 10 seconds left! WTF? just wanted split lose DA----N--WIN OL! BS? good luck sir --on most of rest --match up with 4 others i follow! PS ----pirate is now at Bookmakers Review--post every day again--hope there's no issue saying this! GL to ALL!

 

[maddog1987]

Nice 3-0 start for you (1H FOR, FOR and UCF). Also thanks for your FOR write up... made me change my mind on betting DAV

 

[MikeB]

Nice 3-0 start for you (1H FOR, FOR and UCF). Also thanks for your FOR write up... made me change my mind on betting DAV

1st half FOR was a loss

 

[maddog1987]

1st half FOR was a loss

Yep, since I was not on the game I just gave to results a quick look... I obliviously mis-read the 1H result. Sorry

 

[maddog1987]

I wish books would let you build a teaser like you can with parlays... I do like CIN in a teaser but didn't have the time to check out 2 other games.

 

[one51rum]

well God damn 1st of all Davidson catches a break to maybe cover when it goes to OT, but they didn't because they did not deserve too, giving 4 and it goes to OT means that a last second 3 would not have beat ya and the OVER still does not hit even with OT 1st half was a guess I hate guessing, but the Main play won with the write up UCF won easily should have been a much bigger play, and now I need Tech to get it going, I did not see N Dame shooting over 60% see if people do write ups and say I expect a 60% shooting day and all that ya have to give them props

 

[one51rum]

BRYANT +7 buying the half -120 1 unit really want to go bigger here, but just a unit I do like this

 

[one51rum]

N.Dame is shooting 61% and 55% from 3 there is no capping you can do on that, any team that shoots like that will win, even if it was Lamar tonight +14 vs McNeese st if Lamar shoots 61% and 55% from 3 they will win the game that's my bold prediction...lol

 

[one51rum]

was kind of liking FIU +5 vs Jax st but FIU does have 2 guys out who are important J Aybar 22 mins 7.5 pts about 4 reb's and D Gittens 28 mins 9.5 pts and again 4 reb's...but looking into the games these 2 played when FIU lost 70-63 those 2 combined for 6 points , both were starters back about midway through the year....in the latest game that Jax st won 77-75 those 2 did not play, just some reason makes me want to take FIU maybe its the line I think may be low, both teams have lost the last few games, but FIU did beat Liberty and WKY in the last 5 games, they have stayed within 7 in their losses , I mean to have both guys out and this line is 4.5 makes me think

Ga Tech making a game of it were just down 2 now its 5 but they are back in it can ND shoot that well all game?

 

[one51rum]

Damn I love OVERS and this N Dame game had OVER all over it

 

[one51rum]

Man what sloppy play by Ga Tech down 1 and ya turn it over no shot, then get the ball back down 2 they run the same stupid play and got the same outcome a turnover ...lol can almost say Tech LOST the game ND didn't win it they missed shots and got odd rebounds , , but Tech really blew it, the guy with the white head band really stunk it up last minute, they actually ran that same play 3 times in the last 2 mins and all 3 were turnovers its like why keep doing the same thing and expect a diff outcome , they all need to go to AA...lol

 

[one51rum]

Ticket Number:767808291
Accepted Date:3/12/24
Amount:$55.00
Status pending
To win:$50.00
Type:Total
Description:Basketball - NCAA - Louisville vs NC State - Total | 613 Louisville/NC State over 149 -110 for GAME | 03/12/2024 04:45:00 PM (EST) | Pending
Atlantic Coast Conference - First Round - Capital One Arena - Washington, DC

 

[one51rum]

Confirmation: 3968756​

Date Placed: 03/12/24 16:35:42
Header:
INTERNET: 3 Team Parlay risk 50.00 win 230.10
Bet Details:

1. 605 Saint Louis (-150) (NCAA Men)
2. 623 Wisc Milwaukee/Oakland over 151 Buy ½ (-120) (NCAA Men)
3. 631 Florida Intl +5 Buy ½ (-120) (NCAA Men)

 

[beach529]

151 I’m back haven’t played basketball this year but looking forward to the next few weeks.Glad to see you are still posting with write ups .I love following you hope you have been following my Gamecocks both men and women this year. Your buddy from South Carolina Beach .

 

[one51rum]

just woke up........ FIU+5 just a feeling gl everyone going back to bed

 

[one51rum]

151 I’m back haven’t played basketball this year but looking forward to the next few weeks.Glad to see you are still posting with write ups .I love following you hope you have been following my Gamecocks both men and women this year. Your buddy from South Carolina Beach .

hey my friend nice to hear from ya