Hitman
NFL Draft
3/28: Kyle Hamilton OVER 6.5 -110 (365)
+110 FoxBet, -120 DK, -120 PB, -140 Kambi. This is still good at 8.5. With the current info, it appears Hamilton could fall out of the top ten
4/6: Derek Stingley U12.5 -135 (DK Widely available)
Every twitter draft guy is giving this out after Stingley’s pro day, and this line will surely move after his pro day. Seattle, Jets, Skins, and Vikings are all options from 9-12. This is not a bet at any number aside from 12.5
4/8: OVER 1.5 Safeties picked in first round -160 (Consensus)
This is available at most books around a similar price. However, check with your book on rules when it comes to this bet. Fanduel, FOXBET, and DK have both told me they will grade this prop based off a players position on NFL.COM (This is important because Daxton Hill is listed as a safety on NFL.COM)
Bet365 has said they will grade based off of "traders discretion", so I would try to avoid betting there for this prop.
4/14: Over 5.5 receivers picked in first round -200 (Consensus)
I like this up to -300 as of now. The talk from reliable draft people seems to be will there be a record tying seven first round receivers. This line should probably be set at 6.
4/15: Travon Walker first overall pick +250
This is as low as +200 (which I’d play it to) and as high as +300, so I tried to find a middle ground on the price. Right now it appears that Walker might be at least 50/50 to go first, however, it’s important to remember on this pick that at a moments notice info can change. I personally have a good sized liability on Walker to go first but if some of the info changes I won’t hesitate to bet Hutchinson… but at this moment, I think Walker should be the favorite to go first overall.
4/19: Dallas Cowboys first selection offensive lineman +220 (FD/DK)
Fanduel has this +240 and DK has +200, so I split the difference between the two for my official price. Kambi has +125 which I believe is the correct price. I would play this down to +150
PERSONAL BETS I MADE (Non official due to availability)
3/30: U3.5 Quarterbacks in 1R good up to -275. Do not play U2.5. This was going to be my release today but some of the major books moved to 2.5, however still some 3.5 out there..
4/8: I took Jameson Williams top ten pick +1000 at DK. Wouldn't play this at much less odds, but there has been some steam that Williams has a chance at being WR1, which would likely slot him at pick number 8 or 10.