Hey Mac,
Had a quick question for you. What do you make of all these crazy line movements the past week or so? I don't ever remember lines moving up and down so much as they had the past week. Quite honestly, I can't decide if it's the books trying to mess with my head or what! BUT, they are succeeding IF that's what they are trying to do! LOL, as I type, Davidson just moved back to a dog! WTH!!! And light you can shed???
Also, thanks for positing, it's greatly appreciated as always!
Some of it is legit imho...i have a theory about "sharper" money outweighing "pub money" these days... if you consider that true much of it makes sense... ill expand more on that later........ while some is just plain bullshite..
.. the confusion has probably saved them some significant losses..... if "they" think team A is obviously going to beat teamB... and they feel like setting the line at say 8 could draw too much $$ to the winning side... then just make the line 12 right?...13...15.... all of this may get some underdog money...
but set the line at 5'.... sharp $ gets nervous... either lowers their bet or switches or passes altogether... they are left with smaller wages on the winner and possibly some serious $$ on the wrong side.... jyst a theory
I'm picking up what you're putting down. That's exactly what my theory was. I thought they might be setting lines low or moving them to scare off sharp money. All in all, I have to go with my gut and not pay too much attention to these movements. Anyways, thanks for your input! BOL tonight
I will say this tho... when all is said and done... and they think they have everyone going the wrong direction and the betting trends are units support and the line is still moving... pay close attention to it.... when they are begging for money that is already there got the other way
MOTHER TRUCKER......i don't like it