Tuesday...bow chikks wot wawn......

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shot caller
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Hey Mac,

Had a quick question for you. What do you make of all these crazy line movements the past week or so? I don't ever remember lines moving up and down so much as they had the past week. Quite honestly, I can't decide if it's the books trying to mess with my head or what! BUT, they are succeeding IF that's what they are trying to do! LOL, as I type, Davidson just moved back to a dog! WTH!!! And light you can shed???

Also, thanks for positing, it's greatly appreciated as always!

Some of it is legit imho...i have a theory about "sharper" money outweighing "pub money" these days... if you consider that true much of it makes sense... ill expand more on that later........ while some is just plain bullshite..
.. the confusion has probably saved them some significant losses..... if "they" think team A is obviously going to beat teamB... and they feel like setting the line at say 8 could draw too much $$ to the winning side... then just make the line 12 right?...13...15.... all of this may get some underdog money...
but set the line at 5'.... sharp $ gets nervous... either lowers their bet or switches or passes altogether... they are left with smaller wages on the winner and possibly some serious $$ on the wrong side.... jyst a theory
 

shot caller
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What did Fidel do to get banned under the Fidel name ? Didn't take him for a male anus licker either but now thinking back he did say tasted like chicken one time. Dipped in crap

think he's just having a bad night.... other than this I quite like him....i dunno
 

shot caller
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ok here we go... ill post amounts so you can tell my favs........

Davidson -1' 5 units
Dayton -12 (120) 5 units
Miss +1' 5 units
PSU +7' 4 Units
Illinois +1' 4 units

bol

didn't feel like looking for this
 

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Handicapper
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Some of it is legit imho...i have a theory about "sharper" money outweighing "pub money" these days... if you consider that true much of it makes sense... ill expand more on that later........ while some is just plain bullshite..
.. the confusion has probably saved them some significant losses..... if "they" think team A is obviously going to beat teamB... and they feel like setting the line at say 8 could draw too much $$ to the winning side... then just make the line 12 right?...13...15.... all of this may get some underdog money...
but set the line at 5'.... sharp $ gets nervous... either lowers their bet or switches or passes altogether... they are left with smaller wages on the winner and possibly some serious $$ on the wrong side.... jyst a theory

I'm picking up what you're putting down. That's exactly what my theory was. I thought they might be setting lines low or moving them to scare off sharp money. All in all, I have to go with my gut and not pay too much attention to these movements. Anyways, thanks for your input! BOL tonight
 

shot caller
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I'm picking up what you're putting down. That's exactly what my theory was. I thought they might be setting lines low or moving them to scare off sharp money. All in all, I have to go with my gut and not pay too much attention to these movements. Anyways, thanks for your input! BOL tonight

I will say this tho... when all is said and done... and they think they have everyone going the wrong direction and the betting trends are units support and the line is still moving... pay close attention to it.... when they are begging for money that is already there got the other way
 

shot caller
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IMHO...win or lose PSU and Davidson were great examples of this tonight
 

shot caller
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my point is.. it's never good to dismiss line movement.. ever... eventually you'll get good at sniffing the box of cookies from the box of shit
 

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I will say this tho... when all is said and done... and they think they have everyone going the wrong direction and the betting trends are units support and the line is still moving... pay close attention to it.... when they are begging for money that is already there got the other way

Yup. I'm glad we are thinking alike! I just needed a little reassurance that my thinking was correct! Thanks again, buddy!
 

shot caller
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This time of year I make a lot of money on line movement
 

shot caller
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Yup. I'm glad we are thinking alike! I just needed a little reassurance that my thinking was correct! Thanks again, buddy!

np.... bol my man
 

shot caller
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omg


no OT in the PSU game... ill take a loss on my ml par
 

shot caller
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just lose right now by less than 7' please
 

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Purdue may have covered if someone would have covered Carr. Geez. One man wrecking crew last few min
and fla forgets how to score last few minutes also. Smh
 

shot caller
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Purdue may have covered if someone would have covered Carr. Geez. One man wrecking crew last few min
and fla forgets how to score last few minutes also. Smh

yep... he has been dominant lately... think they'd have seen some film
 

shot caller
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uggh........OT
 

shot caller
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MOTHER TRUCKER......i don't like it
 

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