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Tuesday 9/5/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Double-Play Picks
Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 134-124-13
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (+115, 10)
The Royals and Tigers will get together for Game 2 of their three-game series Tuesday evening. The Royals took the opener 7-6 and have now beaten the Tigers in six consecutive meetings.
The Tigers are now just 3-12 in their last 15 home games and will send one of our all-time starting pitcher fades to the mound tonight. Anibal Sanchez did have a decent stretch of winning games earlier in the summer, but he is back to his losing ways and could be headed back to the bullpen (or worse) very soon.
The Tigers have lost his last three starts and in those outings he owns an ERA of 13.50, a WHIP of 2.21, an opponent's on base percentage of .431, and he has allowed NINE HOME RUNS. Let's repeat that...NINE HOME RUNS in his last three starts (11.1 innings)!
The Royals will send lefty Jason Vargas to the mound. He is in the midst of a bit of a rough patch as well, but nowhere near as bad as Sanchez - and Vargas has a much better team behind him.
The Royals have lost Vargas' last three starts but he has been solid on the road this season with a team win/loss of 8-4, a 3.88 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.29.
The Royals are still in the American League wildcard hunt and a win today over a bad team will certainly help their cause.
Pick: Royals -125
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (+150, 8.5)
The Nationals seem to be in cruise control heading towards a National League East title and a matchup with the Cubs, or maybe the Brewers, in the first round of the playoffs. Washington holds a 16-game lead over the second-place Marlins and the two continue a three-game set Tuesday night in Miami.
The Nationals have won six straight meetings against the Marlins and it won’t get any easier for Miami on Tuesday as Washington sends the red-hot Stephen Strasburg to the mound.
Strasburg has been absolutely dealing in his last five starts, pitching a ludicrously low 0.90 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP, while racking up 36 strikeouts to just seven walks. The Nationals are 4-1 in those starts.
Let’s not forget to mention that Strasbug has owned the Marlins over the past couple of years. The Nationals have won his last six starts against Miami, pitching to a 2.20 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP while striking out 41.
When it comes to the Marlins the only thing left to cheer for is Giancarlo Stanton dingers. He is on pace for 61 right now but aside from Stanton, the Marlins offense has dried up. Miami has scored 2.6 runs per contest in the last eight games, in which they have lost seven.
Expect Strasburg to stay hot.
Pick: Nationals -1.5 (+102)
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Zach Davies, Milwaukee Brewers (16-7, 3.85 ERA, $1014)
The Brewers are still clinging on to slim playoff hopes, trailing the Cubs by 3.5 games in the National League Central and 1.5 back of the second wildcard spot, and they’re in a good position to inch closer when they send Zach Davies to the hill on Tuesday.
Davies has led the Brewers to 3-1 record in his last four starts with a 1.01 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. Going back further he has pitched eight quality starts in his last nine outings, where he has a 1.77 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.
Davies and the Brewers are -132 road favorites for tonight’s matchup against the Reds.
Slumping: Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers (3-3, 7.42 ERA, $-23)
It’s tough to watch the Tigers right now. They’re bags are already packed for the off-season and they seem to take the field in body only, none show this better than Anibal Sanchez.
The Tigers’ right-hander is 0-2 in his last three starts with a whopping 13.50 ERA and a 2.21 WHIP. Sanchez and the Tigers take the field (kind of) as +115 home underdogs against the visiting Royals tonight.
Tuesday's Top Trends
* The New York Mets are 10-0 in deGroms 10 career starts vs. Phillies. -200 today.
* The Cleveland Indians are 12-0 in their last 12 games overall, including 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. -260 today at White Sox (Holberg).
* Under is 10-0-1 in Ty Blach's last 11 starts vs. National League West. Giants/Rockies Total: 12.5.
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 1-10 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. -125 today vs. Diamondbacks.
Weather To Keep An Eye On
Weather is certainly the talk of the sports world at the moment with Hurricane Irma barrelling down on Florida. Stay tuned on that front.
For Tuesday's MLB forecast there will be thunderstorms in the Baltimore area for most of the day and those storms could threaten tonight's games between the Orioles and the visiting Yankees.
Much like yesterday, wind could play a huge role across the league today:
Blue Jays at Red Sox (Total: 9.5) - 14-15 mile per hour wind blowing out to left-center field.
Royals at Tigers (Total: 10) - 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to left field.
Phillies at Mets (Total: 8 ) - 13-16 mile per hour wind blowing out to left-center field.
Brewers at Reds (Total: 9.5) - 8-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to right-center field.
Indians at White Sox (Total: 9.5) - 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to right-center field.
Angels at Athletics (Total: 9.5) - 11-14 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field.
Cardinals at Padres (Total: 8.5) - 9-12 mile per hour wind blowing in from left field.
Ump Of The Day
Tom Woodring will be calling balls and strikes today in Oakland where the A's will take on the Angels. Woodring ranks No. 5 in our Over umpire standings at 13-6 (68.4 percent).
He's not a huge volume guy when it comes to home plate assignments, but when he does get behind the dish his games tend to lean toward the Over. In 60 career games, starting in 2014, the Over is 38-22 (63.33 percent) in games with Woodring in pads.
The total for today's game in Oakland is currently set at 9.5.
Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 134-124-13
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (+115, 10)
The Royals and Tigers will get together for Game 2 of their three-game series Tuesday evening. The Royals took the opener 7-6 and have now beaten the Tigers in six consecutive meetings.
The Tigers are now just 3-12 in their last 15 home games and will send one of our all-time starting pitcher fades to the mound tonight. Anibal Sanchez did have a decent stretch of winning games earlier in the summer, but he is back to his losing ways and could be headed back to the bullpen (or worse) very soon.
The Tigers have lost his last three starts and in those outings he owns an ERA of 13.50, a WHIP of 2.21, an opponent's on base percentage of .431, and he has allowed NINE HOME RUNS. Let's repeat that...NINE HOME RUNS in his last three starts (11.1 innings)!
The Royals will send lefty Jason Vargas to the mound. He is in the midst of a bit of a rough patch as well, but nowhere near as bad as Sanchez - and Vargas has a much better team behind him.
The Royals have lost Vargas' last three starts but he has been solid on the road this season with a team win/loss of 8-4, a 3.88 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.29.
The Royals are still in the American League wildcard hunt and a win today over a bad team will certainly help their cause.
Pick: Royals -125
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins (+150, 8.5)
The Nationals seem to be in cruise control heading towards a National League East title and a matchup with the Cubs, or maybe the Brewers, in the first round of the playoffs. Washington holds a 16-game lead over the second-place Marlins and the two continue a three-game set Tuesday night in Miami.
The Nationals have won six straight meetings against the Marlins and it won’t get any easier for Miami on Tuesday as Washington sends the red-hot Stephen Strasburg to the mound.
Strasburg has been absolutely dealing in his last five starts, pitching a ludicrously low 0.90 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP, while racking up 36 strikeouts to just seven walks. The Nationals are 4-1 in those starts.
Let’s not forget to mention that Strasbug has owned the Marlins over the past couple of years. The Nationals have won his last six starts against Miami, pitching to a 2.20 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP while striking out 41.
When it comes to the Marlins the only thing left to cheer for is Giancarlo Stanton dingers. He is on pace for 61 right now but aside from Stanton, the Marlins offense has dried up. Miami has scored 2.6 runs per contest in the last eight games, in which they have lost seven.
Expect Strasburg to stay hot.
Pick: Nationals -1.5 (+102)
Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers
Streaking: Zach Davies, Milwaukee Brewers (16-7, 3.85 ERA, $1014)
The Brewers are still clinging on to slim playoff hopes, trailing the Cubs by 3.5 games in the National League Central and 1.5 back of the second wildcard spot, and they’re in a good position to inch closer when they send Zach Davies to the hill on Tuesday.
Davies has led the Brewers to 3-1 record in his last four starts with a 1.01 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. Going back further he has pitched eight quality starts in his last nine outings, where he has a 1.77 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP.
Davies and the Brewers are -132 road favorites for tonight’s matchup against the Reds.
Slumping: Anibal Sanchez, Detroit Tigers (3-3, 7.42 ERA, $-23)
It’s tough to watch the Tigers right now. They’re bags are already packed for the off-season and they seem to take the field in body only, none show this better than Anibal Sanchez.
The Tigers’ right-hander is 0-2 in his last three starts with a whopping 13.50 ERA and a 2.21 WHIP. Sanchez and the Tigers take the field (kind of) as +115 home underdogs against the visiting Royals tonight.
Tuesday's Top Trends
* The New York Mets are 10-0 in deGroms 10 career starts vs. Phillies. -200 today.
* The Cleveland Indians are 12-0 in their last 12 games overall, including 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. -260 today at White Sox (Holberg).
* Under is 10-0-1 in Ty Blach's last 11 starts vs. National League West. Giants/Rockies Total: 12.5.
* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 1-10 in Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. -125 today vs. Diamondbacks.
Weather To Keep An Eye On
Weather is certainly the talk of the sports world at the moment with Hurricane Irma barrelling down on Florida. Stay tuned on that front.
For Tuesday's MLB forecast there will be thunderstorms in the Baltimore area for most of the day and those storms could threaten tonight's games between the Orioles and the visiting Yankees.
Much like yesterday, wind could play a huge role across the league today:
Blue Jays at Red Sox (Total: 9.5) - 14-15 mile per hour wind blowing out to left-center field.
Royals at Tigers (Total: 10) - 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to left field.
Phillies at Mets (Total: 8 ) - 13-16 mile per hour wind blowing out to left-center field.
Brewers at Reds (Total: 9.5) - 8-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to right-center field.
Indians at White Sox (Total: 9.5) - 10-12 mile per hour wind blowing out to right-center field.
Angels at Athletics (Total: 9.5) - 11-14 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field.
Cardinals at Padres (Total: 8.5) - 9-12 mile per hour wind blowing in from left field.
Ump Of The Day
Tom Woodring will be calling balls and strikes today in Oakland where the A's will take on the Angels. Woodring ranks No. 5 in our Over umpire standings at 13-6 (68.4 percent).
He's not a huge volume guy when it comes to home plate assignments, but when he does get behind the dish his games tend to lean toward the Over. In 60 career games, starting in 2014, the Over is 38-22 (63.33 percent) in games with Woodring in pads.
The total for today's game in Oakland is currently set at 9.5.
MLB Recent Trends. All records are SU or Over/Under, unless stated otherwise
Minnesota 20-10
Cleveland 21-4
Chicago White sox O/U 3-10
LA Angels v Oakland 40-21
LA Angels 16-8
Texas Interleague 13-5
Texas 15-9
Atlanta 14-28
Colorado O/U 3-12
Colorado home v Lefty 16-6
SF Road 22-48
Arizona 13-1
LA Dodgers 1-9
Baltimore 10-4
CC Sabathia @ Baltimore 2-10
Boston O/U Home 9-22-1
Chicago Cubs Off Loss 23-8
Chicago Cubs 15-7
Pittsburgh 8-14
Milwaukee 13-7
Milwaukee O/U 3-12
Miami 1-7
Strasburg Road 17-3
Despaigne 6-15
DeGrom v Philadelphia 10-0
Minnesota 20-10
Cleveland 21-4
Chicago White sox O/U 3-10
LA Angels v Oakland 40-21
LA Angels 16-8
Texas Interleague 13-5
Texas 15-9
Atlanta 14-28
Colorado O/U 3-12
Colorado home v Lefty 16-6
SF Road 22-48
Arizona 13-1
LA Dodgers 1-9
Baltimore 10-4
CC Sabathia @ Baltimore 2-10
Boston O/U Home 9-22-1
Chicago Cubs Off Loss 23-8
Chicago Cubs 15-7
Pittsburgh 8-14
Milwaukee 13-7
Milwaukee O/U 3-12
Miami 1-7
Strasburg Road 17-3
Despaigne 6-15
DeGrom v Philadelphia 10-0
