Tuesday 2/3/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Tuesday

(531) WEST VIRGINIA at (532) OKLAHOMA 8:00PM

Take: (532) OKLAHOMA -6

“They spanked us. They embarrassed us. They pushed us around. We’ve got to be up for the challenge. This game right here will make or break us.”

All those quotes are the property of Oklahoma star Buddy Hield (courtesy Ryan Aber, newsok.com) who clearly remembers the last meeting his Sooners had with West Virginia and the need to get some revenge tonight in Norman.

This isn’t hype. Oklahoma got its collective teeth kicked in at Morgantown. They could not handle a very physical Mountaineers team and got completely flustered in what turned out to be an 86-65 West Virginia romp.

Sooners coach Lon Kruger has taken measures to insure there won’t be a rerun of that bad outcome tonight. LK has been running drills with six scout-team players on the court to simulate the atmosphere his team will face in tonight’s rematch.

It’s still not likely going to be easy for Oklahoma, although I won’t have a problem if it is. Aside from one very bad game at Texas, West Virginia has been playing some stellar basketball. The Mountaineers are buying what Bob Huggins is selling and they’re very much in the hunt for a pretty high seed come March Madness.

But I like this matchup for the home team. The Sooners have to avoid the massive turnover issue they had in the first meeting. But with ample preparation and a fired up sellout crowd tonight, I don’t expect the same problem here. West Virginia becomes way more beatable if they don’t create chaos and Oklahoma has the shooters to do some significant damage if they can get past the pressure.

The Sooners are off a satisfying road rivalry win at Oklahoma State. But while that could under some conditions create a potential letdown scenario, I believe the major revenge motive more than offsets any flat spot possibilities. I think the key tonight is right out of the gate. If WVU gets into the host team’s head by turning this into a scrum and forcing blunders, the Sooners will be in trouble. However I am of the belief Oklahoma is going to be very well prepped for this event and I like them to play a strong game. No bargain at the tag, but I’m looking to back Oklahoma minus the points tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

NBA Comp Pick for Tuesday, February 3, 2015: 7:05 PM EST

(501) DENVER NUGGETS VS (502) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Tuesday, February 3, 2015 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Denver Nuggets and Philadelphia 76ers. Both of these clubs have been under teams this year with the Nuggets 19-26 O/U overall and 8-15 on the road. Philly is 16-32 O/U overall and 9-14 at home. A big issue for Philly is that they have a horrible offensive efficiency rating of 94.7 overall, well below the league average of 106.8. That numbers is a bit better at home (100.2), but not much. The Nuggets have gone under in four straight games and have scored fewer than 100 points in eight of their last 10. The Sixers are on a 2-14 O/U run their last 16 games and have scored more than 100 points just one time in their last 25 games. Philly also playing with no rest here and that isn't good for offense, let alone a team with no depth of talent on the bench. The Sixers are 7-19 O/U their last 26 times playing on no days rest. Don't expect much excitement in this one as neither team should put up many points. Your Bonus Play is on the UNDER.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars

1* Bonus Play UNDER Avs/Stars

For a number of different reasons I think this total will stay below the posted number once the final horn sounds. This is a great situational play in my opinion, both of these teams came into the season with big aspirations but each is on the outside of the playoffs looking in at this point. In what should be a “playoff” like atmosphere, I am fully expecting both sides to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes and believe this desperation will translate into a classic, hard-hitting, grind-it-out, low-scoring NHL battle. Dallas has been playing better of late, it’s won two straight and will be eager to snap a three-game slide in this series. Colorado also comes in with some momentum after Friday’s 3-0 home win over Nashville, goaltender Semyon Varlamov posted his fourth shutout of the year: “We're focusing on the next game," Avs coach Patrick Roy said last night. "That's all,” (note that Varlamov has a .936 save percentage during a five-game win streak vs. Dallas). The Stars have totaled 11 goals over their last two victories, but note that this is in fact a spot in which Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number several times already this year (in ten of 18 after scoring four goals or more), while Colorado has seen it dip below the posted number in ten of 16 following a divisional contest and in 11 of 17 overall vs. division opponents. In my opinion, the UNDER is indeed worthy of a second look in this matchup.

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Louisville vs. Miami (FL)

Bonus Play Louisville

I'm recommending a play on Louisville minus the points on Tuesday night. I had the Cardinals over the weekend and we cashed a fortunate ticket after they fell behind 43-25 three minutes into the second half. Louisville came back to force OT and eventually cover the spread with a 10-point win. While it would be rather easy to surmise the Cards will be in for a letdown, I believe Rick Pitino will instead, refocus his squad on short notice. I have nothing but positives to say about Miami coach Jim Larranaga, but this year's Hurricanes are hurting for big men. They have Tonye Jekiri, who grabs about 10 rpg, but that's it on the inside. Louisville can match Jekiri's rebounding with Montrezl Harrell who pulls down about 9 boards per night, but unlike Miami, Louisville has other "bigs" they can rely on. In fact, they have two others averaging 5+ rebounds each. The Louisville backcourt ought to be able to spread the floor on the offensive end, eventually opening things up on the interior. Defensively, Louisville is as good as it gets. They hold teams to less than 60 ppg on 37% shooting, including 29% from behind the arc. And Miami won't get many second chance opportunities against a squad that pulls down nearly 40 rpg. Louisville enters on a 13-3 ATS run off a conference home win, averaging nearly 73 ppg, while allowing just 56 ppg. Instead of a letdown, I expect a focused Louisville effort leading to a road win and cover. I'm recommending a play on Louisville minus the points on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Will Rogers

Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons

1* Bonus Play on the Detroit Pistons

The Detroit Pistons host the Miami Heat on Tuesday at the Palace of Auburn Hills. Both these teams snapped losing streaks in their previous outings. The Heat won outright as an underdog in Boston thanks to a 20 and nine performance from Hassan Whiteside. The Pistons meanwhile got an impressive win at home over the favoured Houston squad. While both teams are feeling good about themselves, it will be the Pistons that have the upper hand and should get the win.

Here are my keys to the game:

Pistons guards stepping up- The Pistons have had to deal with the loss Brandon Jennings and finally the other guards are starting to pick it up. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had 28 points while D.J. Augustin added 28 and 10 in the win over Houston.

Pistons advantage inside- Andre Drummond and Greg Monroe are big guys in the post and help the Pistons to average 45.7 rebounds per game on the season. The Heat is a lot smaller down low and average just 37 rebounds per game which is 30th in the NBA.

X-Factor- Greg Monroe had 19 points, 12 rebounds and a block on 7-of-12 shooting in Saturday's win over the Rockets and has now had four straight double-doubles.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks

Play - Boston Celtics

Edges - Celtics: 21-5-1 ATS as a dog on Tuesdays when win percentage is less than .370 on the season; and 21-10 SUATS last 31 games in this series. Knicks: 0-5 ATS last five games on Tuesdays; and 7-20 ATS home versus foe off SUATS loss the last two seasons. With New York 1-8 SU and 2-7 home off a home game this season, look for the Celtics to enter the win column here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Boston. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

West Virginia vs. Oklahoma

Free 10* Play On Oklahoma

These teams met a few weeks back on January 13th, with #12 ranked West Virginia (18-3) winning at home by 21 points, 86-65, easily covering as 4-point home Favorites. Despite West Virginia's high ranking and double digit victory in the first meeting, they're in the road Dog role Tuesday at Oklahoma. Expecting Oklahoma to turn the tables in this 2nd meeting, as they match-up very well on the court with West Virginia. Oklahoma was ranked 7th in the country in scoring last year and are led by Guards Buddy Hield (16.5 PPG, 4.4 RPG) and Isaiah Cousins (11.5 PPG, 4.2 RPG), along with F Ryan Spangler (9.6 PPG, 9.3 RPG), who is a leading rebounder in the Big 12. These Sooners are 9-1 SU at home this season and lead this series despite losing the 1st meeting, owning a 4-2 SU & ATS during the last six meetings in this series, including 2-0 SU & ATS on their own court. Lay the points with home Favored Oklahoma, knowing that they're 16-6 ATS at home games against Big 12 teams, winning by an average of 11 points per game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ

Tuesday... NC Greensboro +8 over VMI

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Feb. 3 is:

Boise St. -2 over Utah St.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CAJUN SPORTS

Wisconsin -15

The Wisconsin Badgers play host to the Hoosiers of Indiana on Tuesday evening with tipoff set for 7PM Eastern and the game will be carried by ESPN. Indiana is 3-5 both su and ats away from home this season averaging 72 points per game and allowing 79 points per game. The Hoosiers have struggled on the road consistently when it comes to covering the spread with a record of 37-55-2 ats and they are 26-41-1 ats as a road underdog. The Badgers are 141-109-6 ats when playing at home and 129-103-3 ats as a home favorite. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 19.79 points with a line range of -14.5 to -16. The BBMM projects a point differential of 5.12 points with the line range of -14.5 to -16 which gives the Badgers a point advantage of 19.62 even on the low range of the pointspread. With solid support for the home team we will lay the chalk with the Badgers on Tuesday night.

 

[Tiznow214]

Why does everyone like Indiana State tonight ???