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That BUDIN dude is on Princeton, therefore i know alot of guys are gonna blindly follow. Jordan, I saw you get all excited about it. Lets discuss the game a little. Maybe they win, but things arent stacking up that way.
When you look at game matchup data ( off and def rebs, 3Pt shot %, FG%, etc.) Princeton has a 6-3 edge. Fine. To follow along open this for the data:
http://www.winnersedgeonline.com/nfl-stats.html
Going further, Princeton has lost their last 2 scoring less than 50 in each. GAmes were against Brown and Yale, both away. Guess what? Penn played both those same teams on opposite nites as Princeton, and won both on the road.
But Princeton is home tonight. Slight edge there.
Big problem with the line movement on the game at this point. It opens at 3.5 is now DOWN to 2.5 with Princeton getting 65% of the bets. ( Info source is Sportsbookspy dot com ). So the books are leading the afternoon and gametime play to get on Princeton at an even better price by A WHOLE POINT!!!! Danger Will Robinson!!!
Penn is 3-1 ats away in conference, Princeton 2-0 ats hom in conf. Push.
This is open for discussion. And I do recommend you get to know SportsbookSpy if not familiar. Cant see how one wagers without this info.
When you look at game matchup data ( off and def rebs, 3Pt shot %, FG%, etc.) Princeton has a 6-3 edge. Fine. To follow along open this for the data:
http://www.winnersedgeonline.com/nfl-stats.html
Going further, Princeton has lost their last 2 scoring less than 50 in each. GAmes were against Brown and Yale, both away. Guess what? Penn played both those same teams on opposite nites as Princeton, and won both on the road.
But Princeton is home tonight. Slight edge there.
Big problem with the line movement on the game at this point. It opens at 3.5 is now DOWN to 2.5 with Princeton getting 65% of the bets. ( Info source is Sportsbookspy dot com ). So the books are leading the afternoon and gametime play to get on Princeton at an even better price by A WHOLE POINT!!!! Danger Will Robinson!!!
Penn is 3-1 ats away in conference, Princeton 2-0 ats hom in conf. Push.
This is open for discussion. And I do recommend you get to know SportsbookSpy if not familiar. Cant see how one wagers without this info.
TUESDAY'S PICK
25 DIME
PRINCETON
Note From Steve Budin:
This price is anywhere from -2 1/2 to -3 as of Tuesday afternoon.
If you have Princeton -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get the win should Princeton win by three.
I highly doubt this price goes up, but if for some reason you get Princeton at -3 1/2 - even after shopping around - buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get the push should Princeton only prevail by three.
If your price is -2 1/2, you obviously buy down the 1/2 point to -2 so if Princeton prevails by just a field goal in a rivalry game of this magnitude, you get the push.
At nearly 1700 dimes of profit over the past two years, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself
i think i pay for my share on this forum and don't like it when someone says i am a begger.
BOUGHT ,PAID AND CONFIRMED------- GL GUYS
TO THE BUDIN FANS, I have posted about this game in the Tues Chatter thread on page 3. Go there and join in on looking at this more closely, as it is a very suspect play at best based onseveral factors. It may win, but looking at the matchup, the books dont think you will.
why?
:think2:
New Jersey wise guys, already took care of this game for us!
ope:
I know Jordan, what youre saying based on past performance. But dude, when the books wants more action on the majority bet side, thats where they clean up leading bettors to slaughter many more times than losing those. Major red flag, thats all Im saying. They know what i know, and who put larger dollars down on Penn obviously. Just be careful. To me that one happens to be a head scrather and pass on. Just an opinion.
