Tuesday 2/16/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Tuesday, February 15, 2016, CBB. 7:00 PM

(505) NORTHWESTERN VS (506) PURDUE

Northwestern heads out on the road preferring to focus on defense, but they are a good team as a big dog. Northwestern is coming off a 58-56 home win over Illinois on Saturday. Tre Demps and Scottie Lindsey led the Wildcats with 18 points apiece. Demps hit four consecutive 3-pointers over a span of 2:44 late in the second half to turn a four-point deficit into a five-point lead. Northwestern has hit at least nine 3-pointers in each of its last four games. Purdue is off a 61-56 loss at Michigan on Saturday while the Boilermakers on a 1-6 ATS run. The Wildcats won the most recent matchup between the teams played in West Lafayette, winning 74-65 and this will be another close one.

Play Northwestern.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Roz Wins

Roz's Tuesday, February 16, 2016, Free CBB Pick: 7:00 PM

(519) WESTERN MICHIGAN VS (520) KENT STATE

Western Michigan has a losing record overall and is 1-8 on the road. The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win, 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. Kent State (16-9) is 10-2 at home and will roll by double digits.

Play Kent State.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Tuesday

519 WESTERN MICHIGAN @ 520 KENT STATE 7:00 PM

Take: 519 WESTERN MICHIGAN +4.5

Heading toward the end of January, Kent State was sitting pretty in the MAC. The Golden Flashes were 15-5 overall, including an impressive 6-1 in MAC play. But injuries have taken a big toll on this team, and the Flashes have only a one-point win and four losses to show for their last five outings.

There’s just no question that losing Xavier Pollard was a huge blow for this team. Pollard, a senior transfer from Maine, was playing really good basketball for this team, and they haven’t been the same without him. Kent State also is now without freshman Jaylin Walker. As a result, Rob Senderoff has had to reconfigure the lineup, and to this point, things haven’t worked out particularly well.

Western Michigan is hardly having a banner season. The Broncos figured to be in the MAC mix as a contender this year, but they’re simply limping along at 10-15/4-8, and their only hope of seeing post-season action is with a surprise run come conference tournament time.

Nevertheless, I like this spot for WMU. First off, I played them on Saturday at Bowling Green and the Broncos went wire to wire in posting the outright underdog win. It’s not like there isn’t some talent on this roster, and while the team is clearly a disappointment to date, I believe there’s still a chance the Broncos could get warm down the stretch.

The first meeting between these teams was a thriller, with Kent State coming away with an overtime win that the Broncos would surely love to avenge. This is one off my preferred revenge angles, backing a road dog that lost a one-possession or overtime game at home. With the Broncos likely feeling good off the weekend road win and Kent State struggling, I like the points here with Western Michigan.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play: TUES Mississippi + 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Harvey

Sabres vs Senators (7:30 PM ET Tuesday, February 16)

Bonus Play #009 Buffalo +132 over Ottawa

The Ottawa Senators will be out to snap a three-game losing streak when they host the Buffalo Sabres. The teams have split their first two meetings with road team winning on both occasions. However the Sabres are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Ottawa.

The Sabres (23-28-2, 38-19-2 PL) will be without Evander Kane who will sit out after arriving late for practice on Monday. Kane has scored three goals in the last six games and six in the past eight but will be a spectator tonight. He’s been red-hot scoring three goals in the last two games and six in the past eight.

The Senators (25-26-2, 26-31 PL) sent their fans a clear message that its playoffs or bust with last week’s nine player trade that brought defenseman Dion Phaneuf to Ottawa. He failed to score in his debut on Wednesday but has recorded three assists in his last two games. Mika Zibanejad notched a pair of assists in a 4-2 loss to Columbus on Saturday, but has just one goal in his last 10 games overall and one in 13 career meetings with Buffalo.

The OVER is 3-0-1 in the Sabres last four overall while the Senators have seen their last four home games top the total. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings and 4-1-1 to the low side in the last six meetings in Ottawa.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Andre Ramirez

Troy State vs South Alabama

CBB 50 DIMES FREE GAME South Alabama

South Alabama is 9-1 head to head versus Troy! Troy is just 3-7 ATS when playing South Alabama. Troy has struggled on the road with their 3-8 ATS record. According to my analysis, I have South Alabama winning by 5 points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Stoffo

Rhode Island vs VCU

Bonus Play VCU

Rhode Island are averaging 70.2 points off 44.4% shooting from the floor. The Rams get to the line 21.4 times per game but are only converting 65.7% of the attempts. Rhode Island is 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 1-9-1 ATS in the Rams' last 11 road games.

Va. Commonwealth remains tied with Saint Joseph’s for second with a 10-2 conference mark, one game behind Dayton. The Rams are averaging 77.8 points per game off 45.1% shooting from the floor. The Rams are good on the defensive end as they are allowing 66.7 points per game. Va. Commonwealth is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win, 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Atlantic 10, 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win and 9-3 ATS in the Rams' last 12 home games.

Take Va. Commonwealth for your Bonus Play.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Lundin

Valparaiso vs Cleveland State

5* CBB Free Pick Valparaiso Crusaders

The Valparaiso Crusaders had a five-game winning streak come to an end when they lost 61-59 to Wright State last Saturday. They're 4-0 ATS in their last four Tuesday games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss though, and I like their chances of bouncing back with a win here against the Cleveland State Vikings who they blew out 77-52 at home back on Jan. 28. The Vikings ended a five-game skid with a 64-59 win at Youngstown State Saturday, but they're 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Valpo is sitting top of the Horizon league with an 11-2 conference record while Cleveland State is second to last with a 3-10 record, and I don't see the Vikings being able to keep this a close game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

Michigan vs Ohio State

Bonus Play Ohio State

I'm backing Ohio State on Tuesday night. We went against the Wolverines when they faced Michigan State recently, and cashed the ticket. Michigan is healthier now with Caris LeVert making his way back into the mix, but we also believe U-M is in a tough spot in this one. Michigan beat Purdue last time out, but that had as much to do with Purdue's lack of energy as it did anything else. The Boilermakers were fresh off a big win over the Spartans and looked lethargic at times during loss to Michigan. In fact, there were a few times when it looked as though Purdue was going to find some room, including leading 56-50 with more than three minutes to go in the game. However, they failed to score another point, despite open looks in the paint and a couple chances at the FT line. The Buckeyes have suffered more losses than we're used to seeing from a Thad Matta team, but the conference losses have come against the best teams in the league. Not to take too much away from Michigan, but their overall road numbers are nothing special. U-M has allowed their "hosts" to make 48% of their FGA, with a 1.69 assist-turnover ratio. The Wolverines take nearly half of their road shots from behind the arc and Ohio State has allowed less than seven made treys per game on 32% shooting at home this season. Michigan has made about 40% of their 3-point attempts, but under Matta, OSU has played 52 games against teams that make more than 37% of their treys, and outscored those opponents by an average of 74-60. Ohio State is on a 6-1-1 ATS run off an ATS loss and they're on a 9-3-1 ATS run at home. I'm backing Ohio State on Tuesday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Florida vs Georgia

1* Bonus Play on Georgia Bulldogs.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Momentum: The home side comes in having won three of its last four, including a 66-57 victory at Mississippi State as a 4 point underdog on Saturday. Keep your eyes on Bulldogs’ forward Yante Maten who had a career-high 25 points. Georgia was particularly effective on the defensive end of the floor, holding Mississippi State to just 30.9 percent shooting from the field, while also forcing nine turnovers.

Revenge factor: Georgia lost the first matchup of the year, 77-63 on January 2nd, also failing to cover the spread.

Look ahead spot: The Gators are playing a bit inconsistently right now, trading wins and losses over their last four games and it’s not too had to imagine the team in some small way “looking past” the Bulldogs today to their game at 21-4 South Carolina on the weekend.

ATS statistics: Note that Florida is just 2-4 ATS/SU its last six at Georgia, while the Bulldogs are 9-1 SU their last ten at home.

The bottom line: We feel there are enough situational and trend based factors to warrant a second look at GEORGIA in this matchup.

AAA Sports

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

UNLV vs Air Force

Play - Air Force

Edges - Falcons 7-2 ATS with revenge off BB losses in this series, including 7-0 ATS when AFA owns a win percentage of .375 or better. Rebels: 0-5 ATS versus avenging opponents this season. With UNLV off a revenge win over Colorado State and having a revenge game on deck with Nevada, we recommend a 1* play on Air Force. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[iwmore]

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