NCAAB
Tuesday, February 14
Richmond is 4-1 (5-0 vs spread) since George Mason held them to 36% from floor in 82-77 road upset Jan 22; Patriots were up 15 at the half- they’ve won last four series games. Spiders are 0-3 in A-14 games in Fairfax, with losses by 9-4-10 points. Richmond is 4-2 SU on A-14 road (5-1 vs spread), with losses at Dayton/VCU. Mason won its last three games, is 4-3 at home in A-14, winning last three home games, by 2-20-6 points. A-14 road teams are 12-10 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Clemson rallied from 13 down with 7:01 left to win 73-68 at Wake Forest New Year’s Eve; Tigers have won eight games in row vs Wake, winning by 20-14 points in last two visits here. Clemson lost three in row, nine of last 11 games; they’re 1-4 at home in ACC games, with only win by 12 over Ga Tech (1-2 as home favorites). Wake Forest won three of last four games, is 1-4 as a road underdog, losing away games by 16-17-5-7 points, with wins at NC State/BC. ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 11-9 vs spread this season.
Quick turnaround for Virginia Tech, which beat Virginia in double OT Sunday night; Teams split four ACC meetings; Hokies lost by 5-19 points in two ACC visits here. Pitt won its last couple games after an 8-game skid; they’re 2-4 in ACC home games (0-1 as a home favorite). Hokies is 1-5 on ACC road, losing last three away games, by 19-31-6 points-= their only ACC road win was by point at Clemson. ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 11-9 vs spread this season. Tech lost Clarke (ACL) for the year, tough blow.
Buffalo’s 4-game win streak started with a 101-91 home win over Central Michigan Jan 31; game was 52-50 at the half. Bulls won three in row, nine of last 11 games with CMU, winning two of last three visits here. Buffalo won its last four games, covered its last five; they’re 4-3 on MAC road, 1-1 as a road road favorite. Chippewas won their last four home games, by 8-9-6-4 points; their only home loss was to first-place Akron by 4. MAC road favorites of 2 or less points are 4-3-1 vs spread.
Toledo won its last four games with Akron, winning 75-61/68-66 in last two games here. Rockets are 1-5 on MAC road this season, with only win by 3 at Ohio- they won last two games overall. Akron are 11-1 in MAC, just 2-4 as home favorites, with home wins by 5-7-15-7-1-2 points. Zips are shooting 56.9% inside arc in MAC play. Both teams play slowish pace; Toledo plays slowest games in MAC, Akron 3rd-slowest. Favorites are 0-5 vs spread (with a pick ‘em) in Toledo’s MAC road games. MAC home favorites of 7+ points are 7-11-1 vs spread.
Auburn blew 20-point halftime lead, lost by 6 at Ole Miss in last game; Tigers won three of last four home games; their home losses are by 12-3-10 points- they’re 2-3 as an SEC underdog this season. Florida won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’re 4-0 as an SEC road favorite, with only road loss by 4 at South Carolina. Gators won their last nine and 15 of last 16 games with Auburn, winning last six visits here, by 6-25-3-5-31-7 points. SEC double digit favorites are 10-15-1 vs spread, 2-3 on road this season.
Central Florida lost 77-66 at Tulsa Jan 28, after leading by 6 with 6:37 left; Knights lost last four and eight of last ten series games, losing last six played in Tulsa, by 2-18-9-20-5-15 points. UCF lost six of its last seven games; they’re 5-2 in AAC home games, 3-2 as a home favorite, with losses to SMU/UConn. Tulsa lost its last four games after a 12-8 start; they’re 2-2 on AAC road, 2-1 as a road underdog, with losses by 3 at Houston, 22 at Memphis. Single digit home favorites are 15-8 vs spread in AAC games this season.
Texas beat Oklahoma 84-83 at home Jan 23, after trailing by 4 with 0:19 left. Sooners are 5-2 in last seven series games, winning last four here, by 6-12-2-3 points, but senior G Woodard tore his ACL last game, is out for year, tough blow for young team. Longhorns are 0-6 on Big X road, 4-2 as road underdogs, with losses by 3-9-10-12-15-13 points. Oklahoma lost its last even games (1-6 vs spread); they’re 1-5 at home with only win over Texas Tech. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 3-6 vs spread.
Colorado State won/covered six of last seven games; they’re 4-2 on MW road, with losses by 1 at Boise, 21 at Fresno. Rams are winning despite having only seven scholarship players on hand. Wyoming is 4-2 at home in conference games; their last two home wins were by a total of three points- they’re 2-3 as home favorites. Wyoming won its last five games with Colorado State, winning last three played here, by 8-11-7 points. Mountain West home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-10 against the spread this season.
Georgia lost five of last seven games; they’re only 2-3 at home in SEC, 1-3 as a home favorite, with wins in Athens by 5-8 points over Mizzou/Vandy. Mississippi State lost its last four road games (0-4 vs spread), losing by 17-9-27-6 points; young Bulldogs miss injured senior PG Ready, who is injured and done for the year. Dawgs won their last five games with Miss State, winning by 23-6 points in last two played here- they beat State 79-69 in SEC tourney LY. SEC home favorites of 8+ points are 9-15-1 vs spread this season.
Nebraska lost three in row, eight of last nine games; they lost four of last five home games, with last home loss in OT to Wisconsin. Cornhuskers are 1-2 as a home favorite. Penn State is 4-2 as a road underdog, 2-4 SU on Big 14 road, with wins by 13 at Rutgers, 13 at Illinois. Lions covered four of their last five games. Home side won eight of nine Penn State-Nebraska games; Nittany Lions lost all four Big 14 visits to Lincoln, by 12-14-13-16 points. Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-13 vs spread this season.
Michigan State won three of its last four games; they’re 5-0 as home favorite, with home wins by 9-28-18-8-11 points, with only home loss to Purdue. Ohio State is 2-3 as a road underdog, with road losses by 5-10-23-13-9 points, with road wins at Nebraska/Michigan. Spartans lost 72-67 at Ohio State Jan 15, after leading 66-58 with 4:46 left; it was Buckeyes’ first win in last six series games. OSU lost its last four visits to East Lansing by 3-4-3-15 points. Big 14 home favorites of 8+ points are 13-13 vs spread this season.
Boise State won its last four games; they won/covered five of six conference road games, with only loss by 9 in Fresno. New Mexico hasn’t played in a week; they’re 1-5 as a home favorite (3-3 SU) with wins over Fresno, Wyoming, Utah State. New Mexico never trailed in 81-70 win at Boise State Jan 17; Lobos were up 20 in first half, have won three in row over Boise by 5-2-11 points. Broncos lost four of last five games in The Pit, with all four losses by 9+ points. Mountain West home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-10 vs spread this season.