Tuesday 2/14/12 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of F.A.S.T. Sheets Race for Parx Racing

Parx Racing - Race 10 Exacta / Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta

Claiming $7,500 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 4:16P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 14 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 14, 2011 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner).
* KEY ANGLES * QUINTA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Joc key/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.

PASSIN PROMISES: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.

SAINT GOLD: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.

9 QUINTA 7/2 4/1
2 PASSIN PROMISES 5/2 5/1
11 SAINT GOLD 5/1 7/1


________________________________________
P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
6 SHE'S AMBITIOUS 6 15/1 Front-runner 64 49 49.2 41.6 26.6
10 PORKCHOP SANDRA 10 12/1 Alternator/Front-runner 71 43 50.8 49.0 34.5
8 JADALUCI 8 15/1 Stalker 69 59 57.0 25.2 9.7
7 OUR MAMA DEAR 7 20/1 Alternator/Stalker 63 56 62.2 49.6 38.6
9 QUINTA 9 7/2 Alternator/Stalker 76 71 33.4 53.6 49.6
5 SENSATIONAL PLAY 5 8/1 Trailer 67 54 47.5 46.8 32.8
2 PASSIN PROMISES 2 5/2 Trailer 72 64 47.0 61.8 53.8
3 MRS. DON 3 12/1 Trailer 54 51 8.2 45.6 25.6
11 SAINT GOLD 11 5/1 Alternator/Trailer 71 70 47.0 56.6 44.6
4 J J'S FALLEN STAR 4 15/1 Alternator/Trailer 70 60 43.6 53.6 45.6
1 MISS DADDY MATT 1 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 70 59 73.0 40.4 26.9
12 POTNIA'S SONG 12 15/1 Alternator/Non-contender 56 52 41.2 39.2 19.7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of Valuline at Charles Town

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:

Charles Town, Race 3 (Tuesday February 14, 2012)

DANCING VALIANT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

CT-3 1m-1/8 DIRT Nine Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 4YUP $11,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL
8 DANCING VALIANT 8/5 50% 1/1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of The Walker Group at Sunland Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
________________________________________

Race 1 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 92

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES

# 8 JESS OUGHT TO FLASH 10/1

# 6 ART THE FART 8/1

# 10 KNOW THE WAY 5/2

JESS OUGHT TO FLASH is the top wager in this contest especially at such a decent 10/1. The odds could be right on this one. Meeting a much less demanding field of horses than last time out. With a formidable 79 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.

ART THE FART - Ought to come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the front end recently. Has competitive speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race.

KNOW THE WAY - Is hard not to look at given the company run in lately. Has performed strongly as of late in short races, posting a nifty 84 avg Equibase Speed Fig.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of F.A.S.T. Sheets Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 6 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (6-7)

Optional Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 84 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 9:34P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 14 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY) (WINNERS PREFERRED).
Contenders Race Analysis
P# Horse Morn
Line Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Stalker. C V OUTLAW is the Dominant Stalker of the race.
* KEY ANGLES * C V OUTLAW: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.

FIGPENN: H orse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.

MY SUCCESS STORY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven da ys.

3 C V OUTLAW 5/2 5/2
5 FIGPENN 8/5 7/1
2 MY SUCCESS STORY 4/1 9/1

________________________________________
P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
Line Running Style Good
Class Good
Speed Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
Figure
2 MY SUCCESS STORY 2 4/1 Front-runner 75 80 85.2 61.4 53.4
4 POSH ACRES 4 6/1 Front-runner 65 72 66.4 68.3 63.8
3 C V OUTLAW 3 5/2 Alternator/Stalker 81 85 85.2 75.4 70.9
5 FIGPENN 5 8/5 Trailer 81 82 55.2 73.8 68.8
6 HACHI 6 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 76 69 72.8 53.8 42.8
7 CAL CORREDOR 7 8/1 Alternator/Non-contender 65 69 60.2 65.2 55.7
1 HELL BENT 1 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 58 67 60.2 49.6 36.1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #3 - Post: 1:34pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,500 Class Rating: 67

Rating: 4

#1 STORM WITH CLASS (ML=7/2)

STORM WITH CLASS - When this rider and handler team up you have to take a look. Collins and Axmaker have been fantastic together. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a nice race within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders:

#4 TOWNIE'S DREAM (ML=2/1),
#7 WOBBLY FELLOW (ML=4/1),
#5 JANZIG AFFAIR (ML=5/1),

TOWNIE'S DREAM - Not probable that the fig he recorded on January 31st will hold up in this clash.

WOBBLY FELLOW - Hard to play a pony that can't even win one time in his last ten races.

JANZIG AFFAIR - This less than sharp equine hasn't been close to the winner at the finish line recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Courtesy of The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
________________________________________

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 68

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES

# 6 MABLE SEIS 10/1

# 3 JA GOLS SPECIALCHARM 6/1

# 4 DASHIN KING CORONA 5/2

MABLE SEIS is the most competitive bet in this contest and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this horse a definite contender. Recently Cox has been sizzling which may give the edge to this filly. Cox's return on investment over the last 30 days automatically makes this horse a strong contender.

JA GOLS SPECIALCHARM - She has been running quite well and the speed figs are among the most respectable in this field. The speed figure of 56 from her last contest looks formidable in here.

DASHIN KING CORONA - Should be given a shot - I like the numbers from the last contest.

 

[tonyhouston]

Greg Shaker??????
Thanks

 

[calk411]

JROdonnell 728 Kent St. -4.5
Dont have B Leonard

thanks, do you have his nba and nhl plays also...thx

 

[CHEDDARSTACKIN]

Does anyone have Jason Sharpe NBA GOW ???

 

[gotgame74]

Any one have Profit Bets plays? Thanks as always.

 

[onewinaway]

any vegas runner?
Thx GLTA

 

[ontheoutside]

a few questions if anyone could help
jim boyd how has his record been in last 3 weeks?
also how has a t s lock club been last 3 weeks
someone 2 days ago asked about master release confidential i got him going 19-22 last 41
and finally there used to be a guy posting in the college hoop forum called sportscapper
i see in here there is a person called sportscapper king was wondering if they were the same thanks so much for taking time to answer any of these

 

[boogiedownbronx]

Delaney has 100 dimer on horizon dog of the yr lets get it>>>>

 

[JimmieJ]

PowerPlayWins...??? Anyone !!

 

[tonyhouston]

Greg Shaker CBB
758 George Mason

Do you have his cbb total??
Thanks

 

[dough]

anyone seen sammy p

thx

 

[heleanth]

Dr Bob, anyone? Thanks.

 

[JFE]

Georgia st--GOY----GREAT FADE--GOY IS A JOKE--AND THIS TEAM JUST LOST AS A 8 PT FAV TO DELAWARE--GOOD LUCK--LOVE TO HEAR YOUR REASON BEHIND THE PICK-AND GOY--GOOD LUCK--WILL SIT THIS OUT AND SEE IF YOU CASH -HOPE YOU DO-

we$$$fairway jay 20* one & only college g.o.y. geo. st.