Dave Cokin
Bonus Play Tuesday 8:05 PM NBA
(511) DALLAS MAVERICKS at (512) CHICAGO BULLS
Take: (511) DALLAS MAVERICKS +2
I don’t play much NBA, but that doesn’t mean it’s a league I ignore. If a spot I like shows up, I’m happy to get involved. One such instance on tonight’s slate, as the Mavericks head to Chicago for a duel with the Bulls.
This will be the first game at home in a bit for the Bulls, and they don’t have a very good record in their first game back in friendly confines following a trip of at least one full week. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are one of the best ATS road teams in the NBA and Dallas also has some very admirable numbers when playing off a spread loss.
But the key for me tonight is on the personnel front. Dallas gets a key player back in action tonight, while a guy who has given the Mavericks problems in the past won’t be on the court for the home team.
Jameer Nelson is not by any stretch a superstar. But the Mavericks are simply a better team with the point guard in the lineup. Nelson is expected to return tonight after sitting out the last few, and I deem that as a nice upgrade for Dallas.
Taj Gibson will be watching this one in civvies for the home team. Gibson is also not a big star. But he’s a valuable component for the Bulls and while it’s a relatively small sample, Gibson has enjoyed quite a bit of success against the Mavericks. At the very least, it’s a big body who can provide important minutes still absent from the Chicago rotation and I think Gibson could be missed more against this type of opponent than others.
The Mavericks/Bulls battle should be one of the best on tonight’s NBA ticket. I have no issue with the number being where it is, but I do believe the matchup favors the visitors, and I really like the fact that floor general Nelson is apparently ready to resume his point guard duties this evening. The trends sure don’t hurt, so I’ll be taking my chances with the Mavericks this time around.