Tuesday 11/8/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free NBA Picks: Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2016, Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

The New Orleans Pelicans stink right now. I don't think they are as bad as their record, but they are ravaged by injuries/missing players. There's only so much Anthony Davis can do each night. Unfortunately for the Pelicans, they have lost another guy in swingman Lance Stephenson. He was hurt in Friday's loss to Phoenix, suffering a serious groin injury (in my mind, all groin injuries are serious!). Stephenson had averaged 9.7 points, 4.8 assists and 3.3 rebounds in 27.0 minutes per game. So pretty solid numbers. Because Stephenson was going to be out quite a while, the team simply released him as he was just on a partially guaranteed contract for the veterans' minimum. The Pelicans replaced him by signing former Suns first-round pick Archie Goodwin, who was surprisingly cut before the season began. It's possible the Pelicans could re-sign Stephenson when he's healthy when he returns in two months or so.

Hawks at Cavaliers (-8.5, 208.5)

First of an NBA TV doubleheader. Think the Hawks are tired of running into the Cavaliers in the playoffs? Atlanta was swept in the 2015 conference finals and then swept again in this past spring's East semis. Not many of the eight games were close. Atlanta comes off a 112-97 home win over Houston as Dwight Howard had 20 points and 14 rebounds in his first game against his former team. Cleveland is the only unbeaten left but nearly was stunned on Saturday in Philadelphia (I recommended taking the points), 102-101. Total definition of a trap game. LeBron James had 25 points to move into the Top 10 on the NBA's all-time scoring list, pushing Hall of Famer Hakeem Olajuwon from that list. Believe it or not, this is the first time any James-led team has started 6-0.

Key trends: The Hawks are 1-7 against the spread in the past eight meetings. The "over/under" is 7-2 in the past nine in Cleveland.

Early lean: Cavs and over.

Timberwolves at Nets (+4, 206.5)

Minnesota lost 112-92 in Oklahoma City on Saturday to drop to 1-4. The Thunder shot 52 percent from the field and held the Timberwolves to 39 percent shooting. Karl-Anthony Towns scored 33 points for the Timberwolves, but just one other player, reserve Shabazz Muhammad, had double-digit points. Brooklyn has been off since a 99-95 home loss to Charlotte on Friday. Brook Lopez had 18 points and Trevor Booker 12 points and 13 rebounds for the Nets. They are banged up at point guard and second-round rookie Isaiah Whitehead, so good for Seton Hall in last season's Big East Tournament, made his first start. He had eight points. Minnesota blew out Brooklyn twice last year.

Key trends: The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. The under is 4-1 in Brooklyn's past five at home.

Early lean: Wolves and under.

Nuggets at Grizzlies (TBA)

Denver pulled off a 123-107 surprise in Boston on Sunday in the fourth of a five-game road trip. Emmanuel Mudiay had a season-high 30 points. Wilson Chandler had 22 but left due to a hamstring injury. Will Barton missed a third game in a row because of an ankle problem. Memphis saw big free-agent offseason acquisition Chandler Parsons make his season debut off knee surgery on Sunday but the Grizzlies lost at home to Portland. He was 0-for-8 from the field in about 22 minutes. Good player if he can stay healthy, though. That's now two major knee surgeries for him. The Grizzlies won three of four vs. Denver last year.

Key trends: The under is 7-2 in the past nine meetings. The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their past five on one day of rest.

Early lean: Memphis.

Suns at Trail Blazers (TBA)

Phoenix had a two-game winning streak -- both in overtime -- snapped in a 119-108 loss at the Lakers on Sunday despite a career-high 39 points from Devin Booker. The Phoenix bench had just nine points. Portland completed a three-game road trip with a 100-94 win in Memphis on Sunday. C.J. McCollum had a career-high-tying 37, including 16 in the fourth quarter. Damian Lillard injured the knuckle on his left index finger and was seen wearing a splint. Portland has scored at least 100 in all seven of its games. Phoenix defeated visiting Portland, 118-115, on a game-winning 3-pointer by Eric Bledsoe as time expired in overtime last Wednesday.

Key trends: The Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 on Tuesday. The over is 6-0 in the Suns' past six on the road.

Early lean: Presuming the TBA is for Lillard, who didn't think the injury was anything major. Go Blazers and over whatever number if he plays.

Mavericks at Lakers (TBA)

Dallas got its first win of the season Sunday, beating visiting Milwaukee 86-75 in overtime. Harrison Barnes had a career-high 34 points. Dallas played without starters Dirk Nowitzki (right Achilles soreness) and Deron Williams (left calf strain). Sadly, Dirk, probably the best foreign-born player in league history, looks pretty much done at this point. The Lakers are above .500 after a 119-108 win over the Suns on Sunday. They're also unbeaten at home, winning three straight games at Staples Center for the first time since April 2013. Larry Nance, a solid contributor off the bench, suffered a concussion in the game and won't play here. The Suns won three of four meetings last year.

Key trends: The Mavs are 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings. The under is 5-1 in the previous six.

Early lean: TBA for those injured Mavericks. I doubt they play. Go Lakers.

Pelicans at Kings (-5.5, 206)

Second NBA TV game and a stellar matchup of former Kentucky big men here in the Pelicans' Davis and Kings' DeMarcus Cousins. It's the second of a back-to-back for New Orleans as it was surely losing at Golden State on Monday. Sacramento closed a five-game road trip with a 96-91 upset win in Toronto on Sunday. Cousins had 22 points and 14 rebounds, and Rudy Gay scored 23 against his former team. Cousins had his 247th double-double, most in Sacramento history. The Kings have lost six in a row to the Pelicans, including four straight in Sacramento

Key trends: The Kings are 6-2-1 ATS in their past nine at home. The over is 13-5 in the past 18 meetings.

Early lean: Kings and over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'NBA: After One-Point-Loss'

Sports handicapping is an ongoing battle in finding edges that improve chances at beating the point-spread. Here, we focus on teams off a one-point exact loss.

After coming up one point short in an NBA regular season contest one would assume teams should have a chip on their shoulder and come out looking to make a statement next time they hit the court.

In testing the theory, surprisingly teams do not always have the ability to bounce back after the aggravating event. In fact, since 2012 teams are just 80-106 straight-up, 81-101-4 against the betting line after being nipped by one point exact on the scoreboard.

Breaking those numbers down further, a consistent long term patterns tells us to 'Play-On' any favorite running the hardwood against a team off a one point exact loss. That's because it will result in a money-making 62.1% hit rate as chalks are 64-37-2 ATS split between 46-23-2 on home court, 18-14 ATS wearing road jersey's.

Although, a winning percentage of 62.1 is considered major success, we can improve the hit rate to a whopping 79.2% by 'Playing-On' any home chalk of -4.0 to -6.5 points facing a road team off a one point demoralizing effort (19-4-1 ATS).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Tuesday’s games

Cavaliers won their last 10 games with Atlanta (8-2 vs spread); Hawks lost last six visits to Ohio (0-5 vs spread in last five). Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Atlanta won four of its last six games; four of its last five games stayed under. Cleveland is 6-0 this season, but failed to cover its last four games; under is 4-2 in their games this season.

Minnesota won three of its last four games with Brooklyn; under is 4-3 in last seven series games. Timberwolves won four of last five visits to Brooklyn, in series where road team won six of last six meetings. Minnesota lost four of its first five games; their last three stayed under total. Nets lost three of their last four games; under is 3-1 in their home games.

Memphis won seven of its last nine games with Denver; under is 7-2 in those nine games. Nuggets lost four of last five visits to Memphis (3-2 vs spread). Nuggets split their first six games but are 4-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 4-2 in their games this season. Grizzlies lost three of last four games, with all four staying under the total.

Suns won three of last four games with Portland, beating Blazers in OT at home last week; six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Teams split their last four meetings in Portland. Phoenix is off to a 2-5 start; they’re 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog- Suns’ last four games went over total. Portland lost its last two home games but won last two overall; over is 5-2 in their games this season.

Pelicans won their last six games with Sacramento (5-1 vs spread); last three series games went over the total. New Orleans won its last four visits to Sacramento (3-1 vs spread). Three of their last five visits here stayed under. Kings lost four of their last five games; they split their two home games so far. Under is 5-3 in their games this season. Pelicans are off to an 0-6 start (1-5 vs spread); four of their six games went over total- they played in Oakland last night.

Dallas won its last ten games with the Lakers (7-3 vs spread, 3-3 in last six) but Walton’s Lakers are much-improved, already 6-1 vs spread, winning all three home games SU, including a win over Golden State. LA also won its last three games overall, while Mavericks are 1-5 SU, 2-4 vs spread, with their last five games staying under total. Dallas is 1-2 as a road underdog.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview and Prediction: Eastern Michigan Eagles (5-4) at Ball State Cardinals (4-5)
By Randy Chambers
Tuesday, November 8, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Scheumann Stadium)
The Line: Ball State Cardinals -1.5 -- Over/Under:
TV: CBSNN

The Eastern Michigan Eagles and Ball State Cardinals clash Tuesday night in MAC college football at Scheumann Stadium the on CBSNN.

The Eastern Michigan Eagles could use a nice road victory after losing three of their last four games. The Eastern Michigan Eagles can also become bowl eligible for the first time since the 1987 season. Brogan Roback is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,387 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Roback has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Sergio Bailey II and Antoine Porter have combined for 1,035 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Nigel Kilby has 26 receptions. The Eastern Michigan Eagles ground game is averaging 141.1 yards per contest, and Ian Eriksen leads the way with 461 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Eastern Michigan is allowing 30.1 points and 424.6 yards per game. Jason Beck leads the Eastern Michigan Eagles with 75 tackles, Pat O'Connor has 5.5 sacks and Jaylen Pickett has two interceptions.

The Ball State Cardinals could also use a feel good victory after losing four of their last five games. The Ball State Cardinals are just 1-3 SU on their home field this season. Riley Neal is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 1,700 yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions. Neal has one or less touchdown pass in his last four games. KeVonn Mabon and Damon Hazelton Jr. have combined for 962 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Corey Lacanaria has 23 receptions. The Ball State Cardinals ground game is averaging 234.5 yards per contest, and James Gilbert leads the way with 1,142 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Ball State is allowing 28.3 points and 452.8 yards per game. Sean Wiggins leads the Ball State Cardinals with 74 tackles, Anthony Winbush has six sacks and Marc Walton has two interceptions.

The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Ball State has won the last five games against Eastern Michigan and needs a victory here if it wants a real chance of making a bowl contest. Both of these clubs are in poor form and they both have flaws defensively. However, I give the edge to Ball State at home and the low line given the history between these two teams and the fact the Cardinals are due for a breakout performance at home.

RANDY'S PICK
Ball State Cardinals -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Western Michigan Broncos (9-0) at Kent State Golden Flashes (3-6)

Date: November 08, 2016 7:30 PM EDT

Corey Davis doesn't often get to operate in the limelight, but he will be on the national television stage Tuesday, a day in which most Americans head to the polls.

Best Receiver in the Nation isn't on the ballot, but the Western Michigan star's name would certainly be listed if that category was up for voting.

Davis is 210 yards away from becoming the FBS career leader in receiving yards, and the Broncos look to remain unbeaten when they visit Kent State in Mid-American Conference play (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2).

Davis has helped put Western Michigan (9-0, 5-0 MAC) in position to record 10 victories in a season for the first time in school history. The Broncos are one of five remaining unbeaten teams and are 14th in this week's Associated Press poll.

Davis is coming off a huge performance in which he caught 12 passes for a school-record 272 yards and three touchdowns in a 52-20 rout of Ball State last Tuesday in a nationally televised game. Broncos coach P.J. Fleck chided him for a couple of drops and said the performance could have better.

"He left a lot of meat on the bone as well," Fleck said. "He could have had 340 or 350 yards."

Still, Davis is a near-certainty to overtake Nevada's Trevor Insley (5,005 receiving yards from 1996-99) as the all-time leader with three regular-season games, the MAC title game and a bowl game left on Western Michigan's docket.

He leads the nation with 14 touchdown receptions, and his 47 career receiving scores are tied for the MAC record. He has caught 61 passes for 1,011 yards this season.

Kent State (3-6, 2-3) is allowing 204.8 passing yards per game and will be aiming to slow Davis and a Western Michigan offense that ranks fifth nationally in scoring at 45.2 points per game.

Each of the Golden Flashes' three MAC losses came by four points. A major issue for Kent State has been the inability to hold on to fourth-quarter leads.

"You think about where you could be," Kent State coach Paul Haynes said. "It's nothing to hang your head on. We are where we are. It's just making sure that we finish the right way."

Kent State will be without a key defensive player, as senior free safety Nate Holley was suspended indefinitely after getting arraigned on a felony kidnapping charge. Holley has 111 tackles and ranks second nationally in tackles per game (12.3).

The Golden Flashes' defense will have to rely more on senior outside linebacker Terence Waugh, a stellar pass rusher who has eight sacks.

"Kent State has one of the best defenses we face all year," Fleck said. "We have to be way better than we ever have. We've got a lot of things to clean up, on all three phases."

On offense, Kent State will be hard-matched to keep up with the Broncos if lots of points are being put on the board.

Junior Nick Holley, the twin brother of Nate, was moved to quarterback after a flurry of early-season injuries. The former running back has passed for 668 yards and three touchdowns against two interceptions while rushing for 775 yards and nine scores.

Only one player has more than 200 receiving yards for Kent State, true freshman running back Justin Rankin with 301.

Western Michigan's edge in firepower runs deeper than the electrifying Davis. Senior quarterback Zach Terrell and junior running back Jarvion Franklin are also enjoying big campaigns.

Terrell has 2,362 passing yards and 23 touchdowns and with just one interception. He ranks third in MAC history in passing yardage (10,933) and ninth with 86 touchdown passes.

Franklin ranks fifth in Western Michigan history with 3,306 rushing yards, and his 38 rushing scores are one behind school record-holder Jerome Persell (1976-78). He has rushed for 1,018 yards and nine touchdowns this season.

Junior weak-side linebacker Robert Spillane leads the Broncos with 79 tackles for a unit allowing 19.3 points per game. Senior defensive end Keion Adams has a team-leading 5.5 sacks.

Western Michigan, which leads the series 33-20-1, is entering uncharted territory as it seeks its first-ever double-digit campaign. Fleck and the players insist that they aren't feeling any pressure.

"We just worry about the next game," junior tight end Donnie Ernsberger said. "The target does become bigger. We embrace it. We face the facts and go in there and prepare for the next team."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF

Tuesday’s games

Eastern Michigan went 7-41 SU last four years, but they’re 5-4 now and can become bowl eligible here. Eagles lost three of last four games; they’re 3-2 on road with an upset win at Ohio, but a home loss to Miami. EMU covered six of its last seven games. Ball State lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-3 at home in MAC, allowing 39.3 pts/game in losses by 7-10-32 points. Cardinals allowed 1,025 PY in last three games. MAC home teams are 11-22 vs spread in conference play. Ball State is 11-1 in last 12 series games, covering four of last five.

Western Michigan is 8-0 this season, 5-2 vs spread in lined games, winning MAC road games by 39-41-32 points. Broncos lost last two games with Kent State by 17-18 points, but teams last met in 2013. Favorites covered last eight series games. Four of Kent State’s last five games were decided by 4 or less points; Golden Flashes lost both its MAC home games by 4 points each; they’re 5-7-1 as home underdogs under Haynes. Broncos are 5-2 as road favorites under Fleck, 3-0 this season. MAC home underdogs are 5-9 against the spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Post: 8:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$6000 - 5-YEAR-OLDS AND UNDER - NON-WINNERS OF 5
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 3 RAILEE WORKABLE 9/5
# 6 PRINCE OF FAME 2/1
# 5 MISS FLORA 9/1

Really keen on the likelihood of RAILEE WORKABLE taking down the winner's share in this event. Horoscope said take a chance today, this solid standardbred is as good as any to take a shot with. Getting a good thought about this horse. Could surprise this time. May be the strongest in the pack here, showing respectable figures of late. Avg speed is a solid 79. PRINCE OF FAME - This race horse looks very good. Take a good look at the 78 average TrackMaster Speed Rating. Have to make Hennessey the bet here if only for the last thirty days win figure. Big probability for the triumph. MISS FLORA - Med change (with first time Lasix) may be the key to a turnaround in today's race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$30000 - NON-WINNERS OF 8 P-M RACES OR $80,000 LIFETIME. 3& 4 YEAR OLDS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 4 BENTLEY SPUR 5/2
# 6 MADMAN HALL 2/1
# 7 STONEBRIDGE COMBAT 7/1

BENTLEY SPUR has a very good shot to take this race. Not many knocks against this contender, let's give him a shot. That 91 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the most recent race puts this entrant in the mix in this event. 100 percent of the time this trainer and horse combination end up in the money. Big players in this race. MADMAN HALL - Has really good TrackMaster Speed Ratings and more than likely has to be considered for a play today. A very nice class horse cannot be overlooked. With an average class statistic of 88 all signs point to yes. STONEBRIDGE COMBAT - This trainer, and the driver Dube, go together like a hand in a glove. Their results together are terrific. Ryder knows this solid standardbred well. Stellar in the money history when starting together.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 59

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 8 OVERDONE 3/1

# 1 BLUE SKY'S ABOVE 7/2

# 4 BANK ON JON 5/2

OVERDONE looks very good to best this field. Should be given consideration - I like the figures from the last race. BLUE SKY'S ABOVE - Will most likely be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the midpoint of the outing. Dinanathsingh is trying to score with this horse by bringing him back so soon. BANK ON JON - Extra focus caused by blinkers change (going off today) likely to result in a big race. May best this field here, showing decent figs of late.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 57

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8, 2015. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 6 KISSIN IN THE DARK 6/5

# 3 BURKINA 4/1

# 5 UNEXPECTED SPIN 10/1

I have to consider KISSIN IN THE DARK here. With Gonzalez getting the mount, watch out for this racer. With Gonzalez on top her, this mare will probably be able to break out early in this race. Must be considered - I like the figures from the last affair. BURKINA - She has been moving quite well recently while recording strong Speed Figures. Her chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this easier lot. UNEXPECTED SPIN - Will make a good showing versus this lot. Might go off at a big price and has some positive things going for her.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#2 LADY SHAZZAM (ML=8/1)
#5 WINTER HOME (ML=9/2)
#3 TEAPARTYSUCCESS (ML=7/2)
#7 MISSTA LADY BUG (ML=10/1)


LADY SHAZZAM - I definitely see favorable signs for this mount right here. WINTER HOME - Earnings per start is something that I feel can be a most important handicapping aspect. This horse is ranked numero uno in this field. Last time she ran at this trip she recorded a speed fig good enough to win today's event. Ashford gets a break on this horse carrying 6 lbs less than last out. Could be helpful in this race. TEAPARTYSUCCESS - This mare is in nice form, having run a strong race on October 18th, finishing third. Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Davis enters her at a similar class level today. I'd expect an improved performance. This mare gets a weight break of -5 lbs from last race. This should help in this race. MISSTA LADY BUG - Took a significant drop in class rating last out at Zia Park. Returning to a similar class level in this field. Should do well in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ALPHA DOLL (ML=5/2), #4 UNION BEAUTY (ML=4/1), #6 IMA PROUD LADY (ML=6/1),

ALPHA DOLL - I don't have a 'use' sensation about this less than sharp equine in this clash. UNION BEAUTY - Didn't end up on the board on Oct 10th at Zia Park. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort. IMA PROUD LADY - Finished first in her most recent performance with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 LADY SHAZZAM to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5] Box [2,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #7 - Post: 3:32pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#10 SILENT SECRET (ML=5/1)
#8 STATEHOOD (ML=15/1)


SILENT SECRET - Entered at the same class level and distance of his last win, which is a big plus for this gelding. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a racer coming back off a sharp race within the last month or so. STATEHOOD - Numerous positive 'vibes' connected with this pony and his brain trust.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 PERFECT WIND (ML=2/1), #9 WAKEBOARDER (ML=4/1), #7 ARAB SPRING (ML=9/2),

PERFECT WIND - Hasn't raced or had any morning blow outs since October 5th. Not much value on this favorite. Hasn't been winning over the last month when made the probable favorite. Take a look at his record. WAKEBOARDER - Last performed on Nov 1st at Mahoning Valley Race Cour, finishing seventh. Unlikely to advance off of that outing in today's event. The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this mount as a possibly overvalued contestant. ARAB SPRING - If you keep betting these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #10 SILENT SECRET to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [8,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Tuesday 11/8 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF

MEET STATS: 276 - 1159 / $1,795.60

BEST BETS: 31 - 108 / $148.40

Best Bet: KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N (5th)

Spot Play: COACH CAL (10th)


Race 1

(3) SUMMER SNOW was nailed for win honors last out and should be ready to take these to task for all the cash. (6) ARABELLA J was on the engine most of the way but was caught at the wire last time around. (2) GOTTA BE ME took the pocket route in her last try for all the glory.

Race 2

(2) RIDGEWAY SPRINGS is knocking at the door based on his last two outings. Trotter seems to be fit and ready to boss this group. (6) MAKER A YANKEE was very game last out but could not hold off the winner. (5) DUPREE might appreciate the half-mile oval.

Race 3

(1) EMERALD CHIP Gelding has put in two good tries and now he moves to the fence; all systems go. (3) BAHAMA MAMA AS gets serious post relief and that might help her cause. (2) DIAL A CHICK has got the job done 8 of 16 starts this year and seems to be in a better spot today.

Race 4

(7) CLASSIC AMERICAN N moves down in class and did show tactical speed last time out; can put his best foot forward. (4) BIG SURF Canadian invader has plenty of early zip and appears to be the one to catch. (6) IDEAL WILLIE rallied strongly to nail down the show spot recently.

Race 5

(5) KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N moves back to a winning level and this pacing mare figures to get a favorable trip at best. (6) CRUISINWITHMYBABY has wheeled off three straight victories all down the road; threat again. (1) NERIDA FRANCO N should do much better from the fence.

Race 6

(7) ZETTE STARLET had a troubled trip last time out but the good news is she returns to a flat mile where she has her most success. (3) GLOBAL REVOLUTION broke at the quarter, recovered and got the job done, but was placed 8th via the DQ; dangerous. (6) OMAHA SET HUT is not out of this based on his last three trips to the post.

Race 7

(4) BITTERSWEET CHAMP now moves to door number four and has won at this level; worth a shot. (2) IT'S A GOOD THING was sent down the road in his last start against a lesser group last out. (1) MIDNIGHT DYLAN N is on the dropdown and moves to the fence; watch out.

Race 8

(2) DULL ROAR drops to a winning level and gets an inside post to work with; playable. (5) HIGH JOLTAGE was second best two trips ago at the NW7500 ranks; big threat. (1) IN RUNAWAY BAY N game victory at Pocono last time around and the rail today can put him in the mix.

Race 9

(5) ARRAKIS Looks like a perfect spot for this trotting gelding to put it all together given a favorable trip. (6) MADMAN HALL Gelding came first up and just held on for win honors last time around. (4) BENTLEY SPUR was sent down the road in his recent try but was nailed for the victory; beware.

Race 10

(2) COACH CAL gets serious post relief, takes the plunge in class and Zeron keeps the faith; gets the call. (4) LETTUCERIPRITA A last two starts is an indication he could be ready to move forward; maybe. (3) SOMETHING FOR DOC might fare well from the 3-hole; we shall see.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (4th) Flataway, 7-2
(5th) Busted Handle, 7-2


Gulfstream Park West (1st) Midnight Joker, 9-2
(8th) Lago Lindo, 4-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Reanimate, 6-1
(8th) Red All Over, 3-1


Mountaineer (1st) Grandma's Magic, 5-1
(9th) Goldilocks Planet, 10-1


Parx Racing (3rd) Bossy B, 3-1
(9th) Ice Blue Vision, 6-1


Turf Paradise (3rd) Prairie Lake, 10-1
(7th) Ista One, 8-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday’s six-pack

Home favorites/Home underdogs in every college football conference:

AAC: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 14-15, F: 14-15

ACC: HF: 10-13, HU: 7-7, H: 17-20, F: 17-20

Big 14: HF: 9-8, HU: 7-4, H: 18-23, F:*18-23

Big X: HF: 8-9, HU: 6-6, H: 16-12, F: 13-16

C-USA: HF: 7-13, HU: 7-6, H: 14-19, F: 13-20

MAC: HF: 6-13, HU: 5-9, H: 11-22, F: 15-18

MW: HF: 8-11, HU: 7-4, H: 15-15, F:*12-18

Pac-12: HF: 13-9, HU: 9-5, H: 22-14, F:*18-17

SEC: HF: 12-6, HU: 11-6, H: 22-14, F:*18-17

SBC: HF: 6-9, HU: 5-5, H: 11-14, F: 11-14