NCAAB
Tuesday’s games
Towson State led by 13 at Maryland Sunday with 14:27 left, lost by 5; Tigers are 2-1 with all three games on road- they start three juniors, one senior. Towson is #64 in experience; they’re shooting just 29.1% on arc but force turnovers 20% of time. Boston College is 2-1 but hasn’t played anyone ranked above #215; they lost at home to #314 Nicholls State. Eagles start a freshman and two sophs. A CAA team favored on road over an ACC team? CAA teams are 12-14 vs spread.
Arkansas scored 84.3 pts/game in beating three decent teams to open season; they were down 17 in last game vs Tex-Arlington, won by 4. Razorbacks are #19 experience team; they outscored UTA 24-9 on line; Hogs made 44.4% on arc so far- this is their first road game. Minnesota scored 85.5 pts/game in winning four home games; young Gophers are playing #72 pace- they’ve got two top 100 wins, beating Tex-Arlington by 17, St John’s by 6.
Middle Tennessee State beat Toledo by 8 LY in finals of Alaskan Shootout; Blue Raiders split pair of D-I home games to start this season, lost to Tennessee State by 11 after beating Murray State by 6. MTSU is shooting just 57% on foul line so far. Toledo is 2-1 vs decent teams, with three games decided by total of 10 points- their loss was by point to St Joe’s. Toledo starts four seniors; they won at Wright State. C-USA teams are 17-13 vs spread. MAC teams are 16-15.
Oregon State misses graduated star Gary Payton Jr; they scored 59 pts/game in losing last couple games, to Lamar/Nevada. Beavers are turning ball over 27.4% of time, 7th-worst in country- they’ve got only one senior who plays and he’s a 7-footer. Tulsa lost 7 of top 8 scorers from LY’s team; Hurricane lost by 27 at Wichita, also lost at home to Jacksonville State- they’re turning ball over 22.6% of time. Tulsa starts a freshman and three juniors- they’re shooting 55.2% on line.
Wyoming is 3-0 with a 73-72 win at Montana (were down 9 with 9:27 left); Cowboys scored 75 pts/game in first two games vs D-I teams- they start two sophs, three juniors. Pacific lost couple road games (UCLA, Irvine) but upset Green Bay in its only home game; Tigers start four seniors, unusual for new coach- they have zero blocked shots in three games. Mountain West teams are 12-6 SU in last 18 games with WCC teams, 2-4 vs spread when an underdog.
Maui Classic
Tennessee is one of 20 least experienced teams in country; they’re playing pace #34. Vols played six guys 23:00+ yesterday, rallying back from down 17 to take lead before losing to Wisconsin by 12- they’re forcing turnovers 22% of time, but still give up 83.3 pts/game. Oregon was also down big yesterday, rallied but fell short vs Georgetown. Ducks got star Brooks back- he played 13:00. Six other Oregon kids played 26+ minutes. Pac-12 teams won seven of last eight games with SEC teams. Pac-12 teams are 16-17 against the spread.
Wisconsin has its whole team back from LY; they blew a 17-point lead yesterday, still won by 12 over a more athletic team- they used four kids 29:00+. Badgers start 4 seniors; play 4th-slowest pace in country and have only made 32% of 3’s so far. Georgetown was up 17 at half vs Oregon, hung on for win; Hoyas lost at home to Maryland/Ark State; their last three games were decided by total of 11 points. Pryor had 26 yesterday; he is Hoyas’ only senior who plays- they forced turnovers 26% of time so far- interesting matchup here against Wisconsin squad that turns ball over 22.5% of time..
Oklahoma State is 4-0, scoring 104.8 pts/game; they beat UConn 98-90 yesterday in foul fest where both teams took 42 FTs. Two Cowboys played more than 27:00 (31-32)- they’re forcing turnovers 23.6% of time, are shooting 41% on arc. North Carolina had glorified practice over a D-II team last night; Tar Heels are 5-0 with no close games, no top 100 wins; they’re grabbing 49% of own missed shots- can Cowboys hold their own on boards? ACC teams/Big X teams split their last 22 meetings; ACC teams are 7-7 vs spread when favored. Big X teams are 3-0 vs spread this season as an underdog.
Barclay’s Center, Brooklyn
Texas is 3-1, with all three wins vs teams ranked #233 or worse; Longhorns start a freshman, two sophs- they lost by 19 to Northwestern last nite, going 13-27 on foul line- they were -9 on boards. Colorado got down big early last nite vs Notre Dame, rallied back but lost by 6; Buffs played 8 kids 10:00+, one more than 30:00- they start 4 seniors. Texas played one kid more than 27:00 last nite; they also played 8 guys 10:00+. These teams were Big X rivals up until 2010; Texas won last six series games. Big X teams are 12-6 vs spread this season.
Notre Dame plays Northwestern sometimes in football, but not in hoops; Irish used three kids 32+ minutes last nite, running out to big lead, holding on to win 89-83. ND starts two juniors, three seniors- they used two subs more than 9:00. Wildcats are playing to build tournament resume; they’ve never made NCAAs, but Texas win last nite is big. Northwestern is 3-1 with a 2-point loss at Butler; they’re shooting 42.2% on arc while starting 2 sophs, 2 juniors, playing one of 20 slowest tempos in country. This is a bigger game for Northwestern than Notre Dame.
Cancun Challenge
Auburn beat three stiffs to open season, winning by 17-18-21 points; they’re #3 in country at getting to foul line, where they’ve shot only 63.4%. Young Tigers (start 3 freshmen, 2 sophs) are forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#15 in US); they’re playing #17 pace, with subs playing #22 minutes in country. Texas Tech has new coach, is #10 experience team in country- they’re 3-0 vs similar stiffs, #28 at protecting ball so far. Red Raiders are making 47.9% on arc while playing #271 pace. SEC teams are 18-19 vs spread; Big X teams are 12-6 vs spread.
Purdue is 2-1, losing by 3 at home to Villanova, then scoring last 20 points of game to beat a decent Georgia State team by 8. Boilers start four juniors and a soph; they’re still shaky vs quickness/pressure. Utah State is 4-0 with only top 200 win at Cal-Irvine; they’ve made 39.1% of 3-pointers. Mountain West teams are 4-3 vs spread as an underdog; Big 14 teams are 8-13 vs spread as favorites. Big 14 teams won three of last four games vs MW teams, but are just 1-3 vs spread in those games.
Indiana was +23 (51-28) on boards in 90-65 home win over Fort Wayne LY; this game is in Fort Wayne, has to be a big deal to have Hoosiers coming there. Indiana beat Kansas in OT out in Hawai’i; they beat two other stiffs at home after that. Hoosiers are shooting 44.3% on arc, but also turning ball over 25% of time. Matadors lost by 9 at Arkansas, 18 at Illinois State; they’re not a strong defensive team, bad news vs Hoosiers. Fort Wayne has a senior PG who is very good but they also start two sophs. Summit League underdogs are 10-10 vs spread this month.