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Mr. Vegas

Free Tuesday Play from Mr. Vegas:

World Series game 1: Giants vs. Royals. The Giants are 17-5 in ace Madison Bumgarner's last 22 road starts. KC loves to run, but he's a lefty great at holding runners on. San Francisco has the better offense, 13th in slugging, 12th in runs scored, and plenty of experience, their third World Series in 5 years (and 2-0). And the Giants are 40-19 in their last 59 playoff games.

Play the Giants in Game 1.
 
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Tony Bucca

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

***** FREE PICK ***** OVER 6'

Bumgarner has been lights out and he faces Big Game James on KC and you would think pitching duel and low scoring. I have it ending up on 9 so we will go over the 6' run total.
 
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Tuesday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (5th) Trojan Warhorse, 3-1
(7th) Call Me Sis, 5-1

Indiana Downs (1st) Cupcake Justice, 3-1
(7th) Brenda's Gold, 3-1

Mountaineer (1st) Play N Truth, 5-1
(7th) Ty's Legacy, 8-1

Parx Racing (2nd) Golden Bucket, 5-1
(4th) Lady Mickelson, 4-1
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #6 - Post: 2:40pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 SUPERLING (ML=7/2)
#8 GOOD NIGHT SISTER (ML=12/1)


SUPERLING - Delgadillo was aboard this filly last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I think this filly is coming into top form. Horse has improved at least 2 speed rating points in last 2 races. I look for that positive increase to continue today. GOOD NIGHT SISTER - That last work tells me this filly is set for a top race. This filly is in superb form right now. Ended up third last race out and comes back soon. This racer wins a lot of dough per start. I believe she will boost that total today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 FORTUNES FLOWER (ML=5/2), #5 KACHINA DANCER (ML=4/1), #2 ENDLESS RIDE (ML=5/1),

FORTUNES FLOWER - Tough to take this runner at the odds after the finish (fourth) in the last event. Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint affairs in order to support her. This morning-line favorite ran on Sep 27th and hasn't had a drill since. KACHINA DANCER - Not easy to bet on any entrant in a sprint race at 4/1 when she hasn't shown any successful efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. ENDLESS RIDE - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a short distance contest to be worth the chance at low odds in a sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 SUPERLING to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #5 - Post: 8:28pm - Starter Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,800 Class Rating: 85

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 THAT'S THE ANSWER (ML=5/1)
#1A IRON GINNY (ML=8/5)
#4 LONNIE BELL (ML=8/1)
#6 MISSY KIM (ML=4/1)


THAT'S THE ANSWER - Thomason brings her right back. I recommend you stick with this hot mare. IRON GINNY - When Parker and Woodard are put together on horses the winning pct has been tremendous at 41. Faced tougher last race out at Mountaineer. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of top contenders. LONNIE BELL - Good return on investment for this rider and trainer tandem. This filly is rounding her way back into shape. Should compete well today. MISSY KIM - I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. Have to make this mare a solid contender; she comes off a strong outing on October 8th. May have to wager on this magnificent animal in this contest. She has been claimed in each of her last two starts.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED LIGHT RUNNER (ML=8/5), #3 SHE'S LYING AGAIN (ML=7/2), #2 CARPE PRETIUM (ML=8/1),

RED LIGHT RUNNER - The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this early speedster. Many other horses would have to scratch to improve her hopes. This favorite ran on Sep 28th and hasn't had a drill after that. This entrant ran her best speed figure in awhile. May bounce and run poorly off that battle. SHE'S LYING AGAIN - Pace makes the race. Tough for this speedball to be able to handle the suicidal fractions from the rest of this field. Ran a great speed fig last time out, but the effort will probably take too much out of her. CARPE PRETIUM - Pace makes the race. Hard for this speedball to be able to manage the pressured pace from the rest of this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 THAT'S THE ANSWER is going to be the play if we are getting 6/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 84

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 MIZZEN MOON 8/5

# 8 NOT AGAIN NANCYE 2/1

# 7 SNUGGLE STRUGGLE 12/1

MIZZEN MOON has a very good shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this animal look respectable in this contest. Since this equine changes blinkers - off - there is a formidable chance for a speed improvement in today's affair. Has been racing quite well in races of this distance, going 1 out of 5 under similar conditions. NOT AGAIN NANCYE - Boasts solid Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. Has to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last contest. SNUGGLE STRUGGLE - Could best this field based on the speed figure - 73 - of her last outing. She has earned strong figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL IN 2014 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 WATCH ME GO 5/2

# 2 CLONE 5/1

# 1 JEBIAS 3/1

I've got to go with WATCH ME GO. Is hard not to consider based on speed figures which have been strong - 103 avg - of late. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this horse a respectable shot. Has to be given consideration based on the very strong Equibase speed fig recorded in the last contest. CLONE - Has a sharp shot in this race if you like back class. Cross has this gelding running well and is a very good choice based on the solid speed figures posted in sprint races recently. JEBIAS - Competitive choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Arnett has him trained well to break speedily out of the starting gate.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Post: 7:42 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$9000 - NW $4,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS 4 YEAR OLDS & OLDER LAST START FOR A PURSE GREATER THAN $12,500 INELIGIBLE GEORGE ANTHONY`S PICKS: 2-6-9-5 DRIVER`S CHOICES MATT KAKALEY #8 OVER #6 NO.3 CHRISSY O - SCRATCHED JUDGES

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium


# 2 LIBRA VITA 3/1

# 4 TRIPLE COMMAND 7/2

# 3 SONNY MCDREAMEE 10/1

Look no further than LIBRA VITA as the wager in this one. Horoscope said take a chance today, this race horse is as good as any to take a shot with. Has competitive TrackMaster Speed Ratings and most definitely has to be considered for a wager today. With a very good 77 TrackMaster SR last time out, will clearly be a factor in this race. TRIPLE COMMAND - Considered a solid wager based solely on his high ultimate prize rate. Dunlap knows this standardbred well. Amazing in the money record when starting with one another. SONNY MCDREAMEE - The wagering panel has Napolitano on its list of drivers who are tearing it up recently. Last 30 days win pct is terrific. Extremely profitable driver/trainer pair, with a 32 return on investment when working with each other.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 12:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$4200 - N/W $300 P/S L/6 OR P/S IN 2014 $6000 P/C L/S AE: N/W 7 PM LT AE: $7500 CLM J MAROHN JR 6 OVER 3

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium


# 5 LOTTO TICKET 9/2

# 2 DREAMLUCK 6/1

# 3 REFLECTION OF BLUE 7/2

LOTTO TICKET sure does look ready to take the whole enchilada. Should compete well in this race as his style of running fits well in this bunch. This gelding has been racing versus some of the most competitive company in this race recently. Had one of the most solid speed ratings of the bunch in his last race. A good idea to use in your wagers. DREAMLUCK - Post 2 has been winning at a much better than average pct, suggesting respectable probability of success in this race. REFLECTION OF BLUE - This gathering could very well be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Had one of the strongest TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the field of starters in his last race. A good idea to use in your bets.
 
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Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Hoosier Park

P#


PP


HORSE NAME


M/L


DRIVER - WIN%


POINTS
RACE 12
8 8 BEAUTY'S LIFE 3/1 Widger, Sam - 11 491.65
5 5 ILIKETHESUN 20/1 Shetler, Andy - 10 485.47
7 7 BARBRA CAROL LYNN 12/1 Peterson, Mike - 11 479.35
4 4 SENSATIONAL SHOW 8/1 Macomber, Ricky Jr - 12 477.50
9 9 ROCK MY BABY 4/1 Miller, Lewayne - 12 461.77
1 1 SUSAN B PANTHONY 8/1 Wright, Darrell - 8 456.66
6 6 FIVE STARS QUEEN 20/1 Plano, Rick - 8 456.56
10 10 WELCOME TO WALMAC 6/1 Wrenn, Peter - 13 452.85
3 3 IAM TOTAL FOR REAL 12/1 Bates, Brandon - 6 452.44
2 2 RING AROUND ROSIE 7/2 Smith, Tyler - 15 450.63
 
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NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 21

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SAN JOSE (4-1-0-1, 9 pts.) at BOSTON (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 1-6 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 17-18 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 353-338 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 143-123 ATS (+275.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 35-47 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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NY RANGERS (3-3-0-0, 6 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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TORONTO (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 7-15 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 64-108 ATS (-46.6 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at MONTREAL (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 92-103 ATS (-68.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MONTREAL is 61-44 ATS (+105.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 28-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 29-22 ATS (+3.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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ARIZONA (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at NASHVILLE (3-0-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 162-151 ATS (+315.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (0-2-0-2, 2 pts.) at WINNIPEG (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) at CHICAGO (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 21-5 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-10 ATS (+29.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 69-60 ATS (+138.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 9-14 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 267-294 ATS (+597.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 140-150 ATS (-69.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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VANCOUVER (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at DALLAS (2-1-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-6 ATS (+18.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 145-92 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 17-4 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-1 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) at CALGARY (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 1-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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FLORIDA (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) at COLORADO (1-4-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/21/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)
 
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NHL

Tuesday, October 21

Trend Report

7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. NEW JERSEY
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. BOSTON
San Jose is 4-6-3 SU in its last 13 games ,when playing on the road against Boston
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Toronto is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Islanders are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Detroit

8:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. NASHVILLE
Arizona is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Arizona is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games

8:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. DALLAS
Vancouver is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing at home against Vancouver

9:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. COLORADO
Florida is 4-9-3 SU in its last 16 games ,when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games

9:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. CALGARY
Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
Calgary is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
 

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MLB Service Plays




Now this has not been a memorable playoff run for us this year but lets at least end it with fashion!!! Once again though this series will be tough to handicap since both teams are coming into this series on a high note and they both have similar qualities as a team. That being said we do think San Francisco stops this miracle run by Kansas City and take home the world series trophy!! This series will go 6 or 7 games though and should be a good one to watch!!
SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS
MLB


San Francisco -105 vs Kansas City






 

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