Tuesday 06/09/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Red Dog Sports

Cincinnati at Washington
Play Cincinnati

The Reds are 7-4 when Johnny Cuerto starts this year and he has a great ERA of 2.43 while Zimmerman's ERA is 5.71 and the team is 3-6 when he is on the mound. Look for the Reds to win as a small favorite on Tuesday.
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

LA Lakers at ORLANDO

We have been making a living by going UNDER the total in the NBA Finals thus far, and we will do so once again tonight in Game Three.

The first 2 games in this series have easily held UNDER the total, and that includes Sunday's overtime affair. That makes 3 straight series meetings that have held LOW, and 4 of the last 6 overall between the teams UNDER the total.

But wait, there is more...the Lakers have played LOW in 11 of their last 16 road games, and they are on a 35-17-1 overall UNDER run their last 53 games.

Orlando has played UNDER the posted price in 7 of their last 9 when listed as the favorite.

Yes, the total has come down nearly ten points, but until we see some evidence that they can actually play to an OVER, we will continue to place our coin on the UNDER.

Play the LOW.

4♦ UNDER
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Minnesota at OAKLAND -105

We offering up a FREE winner on the diamond today as we go with the A's at home against the Twins.

The A's have won seven in a row and they are getting some great pitching during this streak, allowing just 11 runs during the seven games. Monday they beat the Twins 4-3 and look for them to do it again today as Oakland continues to roll.

Lefty Brett Anderson (3-5, 5.13 ERA) is on the mound for the A's. He's 2-1 in his last three games with a 3.71 ERA and he looked great in Chicago on Thursday when he blanked the White Sox on six hits over seven innings of a 7-0 shutout win for the A's. His last home outing was May 25 when he held Seattle to one run in six innings and Oakland got a 6-1 win.

Scott Baker (3-6, 5.88 ERA) is on the hill for the Twins and this guy has been a disaster on the highway this season, going 0-3 with an 8.22 ERA. On May 29 he went to Tampa and gave up foru runs on seven hits in 5.2 innings of a 5-3 loss.

Oakland is 10-4 in its last 14 games against the Twins in northern California and Minnesota is just 2-12 in its last 14 games as a 'dog. They are also just 9-27 in their last 36 against lefties and 16-36 in their last 52 on the road. Oakland is 6-1 in their last seven at home and 4-1 in their last five against right-handed starters.

The A's are red-hot and we're not going against the streak tonight. Play Oakland.

4♦ OAKLAND
 
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Karl Garrett

NY Yankees at BOSTON

Tell the manual scoreboard operators in the green monster to get plenty of zeros ready, because the G-Man has a feeling that AJ Burnett and Josh Beckett are going to be mowing the big bats down this Tuesday evening.

Burnett comes in to this start with 2 wins in a row, allowing 3 runs over his last 13 innings of work.

Beckett has been even tougher, allowing just 3 earned runs over his last 29-plus innings of work.

New York stayed UNDER the total last night against Tampa Bay, as they have been UNDER in their last pair, and 3 of their last 5, while Boston has played UNDERS in their last 4, and 8 of their last 10.

Stick with the trends, and watch this game become a serious pitchers duel.

G-Man playing the UNDER.

4♦ UNDER
 
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Jeff Benton

L.A. Angels +125 at TAMPA BAY

A tough free-play loser on Monday with the Pirates, who fell in 15 innings to the Braves. We’ll get back on track Tuesday by taking the Angels at Tampa Bay.

I don’t know if you’ve noticed – certainly the oddsmakers haven’t – but Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver is in some kind of groove. He’s 5-2 with a 2.26 ERA this season, giving up exactly one run in each of his last three starts (all Angels victories) and five of the last six. During this particular six-game stretch, Weaver has pitched at least seven innings five times and posted a 1.64 ERA. Also, in three career starts against the Rays (two of them last year), Weaver is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA (L.A. won all three games) with 18 strikeouts against just three walks in 20 innings.

Then again, the entire Halos organization has had its way with the Rays in recent years, winning an astonishing 49 of the last 71 contests

Granted, Tampa Bay is going with ace James Shields in this contest, and like Weaver vs. the Rays, Shields has strong career numbers vs. the Angels. But Tampa is just 5-7 with Shields on the hill this season (by comparison, the Halos are 7-4 behind Weaver). Bottom line: This is essentially a matchup of even teams, and I’ll ride the hotter pitcher at a nice underdog price.

3♦ L.A. ANGELS
 
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Chris Jordan

San Francisco -125 at ARIZONA

The Giants were my big play last night, so it’s only fitting to take them tonight in a free-pick role to get us the money. It makes sense, right? Can’t win the big play, but they get it done one night too late.

We’re going to list Matt Cain, who is 3-0 on the highway with a 1.36 ERA and who rolls in with an impressive run against the Snakes. The right-hander might be 1-1 in his last five starts against Arizona, but he’s allowed just eight earned runs over 34 innings of work - an ERA of 2.11.

Cain has allowed two earned runs or less in nine of his 11 starts this season, and in seven of those it was one or less – like over his last four outings. No wonder he has a 1.80 ERA on the year. In his lone start at Arizona this season, he tossed seven frames and gave up just one earned run while striking out five.

We’re just going to list Cain, as he’s the sole reason I like the Giants tonight.

1♦ SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
 
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Michael Cannon

San Francisco -125 at ARIZONA

I had the Giants last night and they failed me, but I’m coming right back with them tonight.

Matt Cain will start for San Francisco and now that he’s getting some run support it’s reflecting in his win-loss totals. The right-hander is 7-1 on the year with a 2.27 ERA. He’s 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.33 ERA.

Billy Buckner will start for Arizona and I just don’t see him matching Cain pitch-for-pitch. The young righty is 2-1 on the year but has a 5.24 ERA.

Take the Giants as they grab the road win.

3♦ SAN FRANCISCO
 
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Jr Tips

COLORADO vs. MILWAUKEE

Milwaukee (33-24) missed a chance to sweep a three-game series dropping the finale 8-7 on Sunday, and Colorado (25-32) swept a four-game series from the Cardinals.The Rockies now have a chance to win six straight for the first time since September 2007. Colorado outscored St. Louis 33-9, improving to 7-4 under their new manager Jim Tracy. Jason Hammel (2-3, 4.50 ERA) takes the mound for Colorado. He's 2-1 with a 1.86 ERA in four starts and two relief appearances on the road this season and has allowed three runs or fewer in four of his last five starts overall.The right-hander surrendered two runs and four hits in seven innings to earn a win in Colorado's 10-3 victory at Houston last Thursday night. This will be Hammel's first appearance versus the Brewers who will be facing a Milwaukee lineup that had a strong finish to its series with Atlanta, getting a pair of two-run homers from Ryan Braun. The left-fielder has 12 homers on the season and nine career multihomer games, including two this year. Cleanup hitter Prince Fielder is coming off a road trip in which he hit .462 (12 for 26) with three homers and six RBIs in seven games. Braden Looper will start for Milwaukee today. Looper struggled giving up five runs and seven hits in 4 2/3 innings.The veteran right-hander is 3-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last six starts and 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA in 19 appearances, two starts, against Colorado. Both these teams are playing some of the best baseball in the NL and both offensives have produced at a high level. Looper will have trouble once again stopping this Rockies offenese and the Brewers will continue to score at a rapid pace at home.

TAKE OVER 9 1/2 RUNS
 
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VEGAS EXPERTS

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox swept the Yankees at Fenway Park in April and also took two games at the new Yankee Stadium, thus winning all five meetings this season. Boston has not won six in a row against the Yankees in 35 years. The Yankees hold the one-game lead in the AL East and are a far different team from the last meeting in early May. Yankees starter AJ Burnett has a 5-0 record against the Red Sox with a 3.52 ERA in nine starts. Boston ace Josh Beckett is carrying over a 5.00 ERA against arch-nemesis New York. Beckett has a 3-9 TSR after allowing just one or less earned runs in his previous start. Go with the Yankees

Play on: New York
 
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Bryan Leonard

Detroit at Chicago

Mark Buerhle has dominated the Tigers as of late, especially the last two seasons. Earlier this year he allowed just one hit while shutting out the Tigers. Last year in two starts he limited Detroit to just 3 runs and a .298 slugging percentage.

Dontrelle Willis hasn't been the same pitcher in the past few seasons. His wild delivery fooled a lot of batters early on but they made the needed adjustments. While Willis has tried to counter he is just a shell of his former self. Willis continues to struggle with his control and it's really hurt his team. Opponents can just wait for a hittable pitch because nothing he throws is borderline. He either misses badly or throws the ball down the heart of the plate.

Look for Chicago to play long ball tonight as the White Sox roll.
 
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Tom Freese

Detroit at Chicago

Detroit is 19-42 their last 61 games as road dogs. Starting pitcher Dontrelle Willis has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts and he has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts vs. Chicago. The Tigers are 0-5 in the last 5 starts made by Willis as a road dog. Chicago starter Mark Buehrle has a better than 4-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts and he is 8-3 in 11 starts this year. The lefty starter has allowed 3 or less runs in 9 of his 11 starts this year. The Pale Hose are 8-2 at home vs. the Tigers with Buehrle on the mound. PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Buehrle vs. Willis)
 
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Dennis Macklin

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Under

Both teams hitting just .250 over the past week and both teams send razor-sharp starters to the hill. Matt Cain rocks a 7-1 2.27 ERA for the year and 3-0 and 1.33 over L3. The Snakes' Buckner is 2-1 and 2.95 in his three starts for Arizona. Runs should be tough to come by setting up the sixth straight under in the season series. Go Low.
 
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MTi Sports

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Kansas City Royals

The Indians are 0-8 after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers and 2-16 after scoring more than six runs. The Royals are 13-7 as a 170+ dog after a loss in which they were shut out in the last 6 innings. KC seems worth a small investment.
 
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Nick Parsons

Minnesota Twins @ Oakland Athletics +100

As the Minnesota Twins continue to struggle on the road, the Oakland Athletics have won no matter where they’ve played of late. The surging A’s look to extend their longest winning streak in three seasons while trying to hand the visiting Twins a fourth consecutive loss Tuesday night. Minnesota (28-31), meanwhile, is 1-3 on a 10-game road trip. The Twins, who are 7-19 on the road, have lost 14 of their last 17 away from the Metrodome and I look for that strong trend to continue this evening! Brett Anderson (3-5, 4.97 ERA), one of four rookies in Oakland’s rotation, looks to build off the best outing of his young career. The 21-year-old left-hander allowed six hits and struck out four in seven innings of a 7-0 win over the White Sox on Thursday. Anderson is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his last four starts after posting a 6.03 ERA while losing four of his first six. Look for OAKLAND to improve to 11-6 (+5.2 units) at home when the total is 8 to 8 1/2!
 
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Matt Rivers

For Tuesday play the under down South in Florida.

I am not at all a totals guy as I believe more times than not they turn out to be 50-50 crapshoots but with that said I just do not see many runs today down in South Beach. For one, Chris Carpenter really does not allow runs and for two the Cardinals have been scuffling of late and really having been scoring runs.

Josh Johnson is a really solid hurler, who if not for some bad arm injuries, would be a well known name. The righty without a doubt can match Carpenter goosegg for goosegg and especially so on his familiar home mound.

Florida has been fairly awful ever since that phenomenal 11-1 start to the season and are far from an offensive juggernaut themselves at this point in the season. I really do like Hanley Ramirez and a few others like Jorge Cantu and Dan Uggla are quality players as well but Carpenter is an absolute beast and will have his way today like usual. To think that the St. Louis righthander will implode a bit in this spot just doesn't seem too plausible.

I truly do not see this thing going over that total today as asking either team to score more than four runs is a bit much and that is what needs to happen for a high.

If there's ever a game that's scoreless into the seventh and finishes up 2-1 this is it!

1♦ Under
 
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Scott Spreitzer - 06/09/2009


Winners of their last seven, the situation is perfect for the A's Tuesday night at home in Oakland against a poor road team like the Minnesota Twins.
I'm playing the Oakland A's on Tuesday night as they go for their eighth straight win when they host the Minnesota Twins.

Oakland did what they do best last night: They beat a righthander in a home game. Minnesota did what they do so often last night: They lost again on the road against a lefthander. The Twins are now 0-10 in road games against southpaws, scoring less than 2.5 rpg. The Athletics have now cashed 67% of their home tickets against righthanders, and average almost 6 rpg when those contests take place under the lights.

We have the same situation going tonight. Scott Baker will take the bump for the Twins. He's been about as bad as it gets in his road starts in 2009. The righthander is 0-3 in three tries away from home, allowing 14 earned runs and 27 base runners in just 15.1 IP. That's a hefty 8.22 ERA and 1.76 WHIP, to go along with a .324 BAA. Ouch!

Oakland not only hits righties well at home, but they have won three of Brett Anderson's last four starts. He's allowed just three earned runs and 18 base runners in the three wins, spanning 19 innings of work. That's a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. His only rough start in his last four came on the road against Texas and the Rangers absolutely crush southpaws at home, so no surprise there.

As mentioned above, Minnesota does not exactly crush lefties away from the Metrodome. Look for Oakland to continue the Twins' serious road woes with a big win on Tuesday.

Free Pick: Athletics (-115)
 
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R&R Totals

MLB | Jun 09

San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks:

Total 9 un-115

Free MLB Over-Under
 
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Craig Trapp

MLB | Jun 09

St Louis Cardinals vs. Florida Marlins:

St Louis Cardinals -112


Records


St Louis Cardinals 31-27, 12-12 away (Carpenter 4-0, 0.71 ERA)


Florida Marlins 28-31, 14-17 home (Johnson 5-1, 2.63 ERA)



Betting Trends


-Cardinals are 78-30 in Carpenters last 108 starts.


-Cardinals are 4-0 in Carpenters last 4 starts vs. Marlins.


-Cardinals are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Florida.


-Marlins are 5-12 in their last 17 vs. National League Central.




The Cardinals are in there longest losing streak of the season (4). But today they go to the Ace of the pitching staff, Chris Carpenter. He's 3-0 with a 1.03 ERA in his last four starts against FLA and has been just as good lately with an ERA under 1.00 currently. STL has owned FLA lately winning 15 of last 20 games against FLA. Josh Johnson is on the mound for FLA and he has been really good also but doesn't have the experience that Carpenter has. Great value today on STL because of the losing streak but they snap out of it today and wake up the bats. SCORE: STL 5 - FLA 1
 

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