Yeah yeah, I am a pretty conservative guy when it comes to betting. I do like action, but 1 unit ONLY every game, no matter what. TODAY though, I found something that I wanted to share with the gang that I REALLY REALLY LIKE. I did not bet the house on it, but played it for 5 units, which is pretty wild for me.
Now a lot of you may not be able to play QTR bets, but I suggest you get a book that offers them. I am playing this game pre-game, and at halftime, if I happen to get an even better line, I may add some units...but here it is:
PHOENIX +2 4th Qtr
My numbers/analysis
Simple...Phoenix is a dominating 4Q team on the road. In their 30 games this year on the road, they would have won the 4Q 24 times at a line of +2...that's 80%
Phoenix L10 road games in 4th with a +2 line - 10-0
San Antonio's L10 home games if they were laying 2 in the 4th - 0-10
Just seems like a good opportunity to play it...not to mention the fact I like Phx +8.5 for the game and also taking a chance with them on the ML at +330.
Good luck...hope we cash this