I thought Biden should be somewhere around -250. I'm not saying Trump can't win, but he should be getting 2-1. Some of you guys thinking he's going to win 49 states though? The mail in voting gives the dems a huge edge. I'm not saying it's cheating, but historically mail in voting has been good to dems, even with the military vote usually going to the GOP. That's why they want it, and why the GOP doesn't want it. If the roles were reversed, they'd be playing their hands the same. Pinny has Trump as a dog in Arizona, I think that's a good bet for Trump.
Thats not gambling 101
Bets don’t automatically not have value just because of high chalk just like bets don’t automatically have value just because they are huge dogs .
are you saying that in the context of this bet or in general ?
+1 If I was getting -300 and only had to hit heads once in ten flips, there would be value there.
In the state of Florida, mail-in voting has for almost 20 years been employed at almost 2x1 by GOP voters vs Dem voters
That is the prevalent reason why Pres Tiny backtracked after the conventions and modified his overall detraction of mail-in voting to exclude Florida. Party officials here warned him he was harming his own campaign with the delusional talk of imaginary massive voter fraud
both steals.
not sure how you find value when the +130ish on trump is a complete rip-off. should be way cheaper
as great as 2016 was trump barely won in a situation that was a lot closer than this. this is nothing like 2016. trump will struggle to hit 200 electoral votes this time aorund unfortunately.
if i lose this bet then i'm happy too. but no reason not to slam biden if youre looking for action on the election
