***SECOND SET OF PLAYS FOR GAMES GOING OFF AT 6:00PM-MIDNIGHT.
6 Unit Plays on:
South Carolina -4 (buy .5pt)
(WINNER-by 7pts)
Utah St. -1
(**** ME! )
Miss -1
(WINNER-by 4pts)
-The Gamecocks are a solid 12-2 SU at home this year when they have been dominating on Def. They average at home 73 ppg while holding its opponents to a LOW of 58.6 ppg and just 37.7% shooting from the field. Vandy is simply struggling on the road this year going 2-4 SU and 1-4 ATS. They have lost these last 4 road games by an average of 9-10pts. Offensively, Vandy in their last 5 games have seen their seasons scoring average drop by more than 12pts per game. On the season, they are averaging 75.7 ppg but in their last 5 games, they are averaging just 63 ppg. SC pulled the upset at Vandy by 2pts on 1-28 and it was due to this Offensive slump of the Commadores. Their is no way I can see the Commadores breaking out of this scoring slump here against this #1 ranked Gamecock Def., who is also #2 in Steals, #1 in Blocked Shots, and #1 in Turnover Margin. Vandy is not in a good spot as they are running into a very angry SC team that is coming off of two losses which they could've won. SC needs a win today badly to keep their tourney hopes alive, and today they should get it verses this struggling Vandy squad who is still searching for their Offense. Vandy has not won a Conf road game all year, and I think their only chance to get one will be in their next game vs Alabama. Today there is No Way SC lets this one get by. Vandy struggling Offensively, SC stingy defense holding its opponents to ONLY 58 ppg, gives me a feeling that a Blowout may possibly occur in this game. Gamecocks Roll Today!
-Utah St is 20-1 overall and 12-5 ATS in all games this year. They are also a solid 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS on the Road. This Utah St team is a very good shooting team as they are averaging 51% shooting from the field. In Road games, this average only slightly dips to still an impressive 50.3% from the field. Utah St is the Top Dog in the Conf at 12-0, while Pacific is #2 at 11-1. The only Conf lost for Pacific was at the hands of this Utah St squad that spanked them by 14pts on their court back on 1-15. Historically, Utah St has dominated the series between the two going 11-3 SU vs Pacific since 1997. Both teams are on a roll right now, but Utah St is on Top of the Conf and should win this game today, because they are simply the best team in the Big West in Scoring Off, Scoring Def, Rebounding Margin, Assist, and Assist to TO ratio. That win against Pacific, back on 1-15 by 14pts wasn't due to any other reason, but the fact that Utah St is simply a team that is head over heals above the rest of the Conf, including this 11-1 Pacific team. In the end, Utah St should pull out with a solid win bacause of their solid defensive and offensive play. No Revenge will occur today for the Tigers. Utah St just to good on both ends of the court for them to compete.
-In this one, you have two teams that are struggling in Conf play as both stand at 3-6 on the year. Auburn though, is struggling on the road as well where they are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. They are also ONLY averaging a LOW 54.4 ppg and a POOR 37.9% from the field, while their opponents are averaging 70.4 ppg and shooting 47% from the field. Miss on the year isnt scoring alot of points either, but they are averaging 65.7 ppg and 45% from the field at home, while holding their opponents to an average of 57.8 ppg and just 39.7% from the field. Miss is also a solid 10-3 SU at home this year. Stats working against Auburn today is they are just 1-7 ATS after a Conf game. They are also currently 0-4 ATS, 2-4 ATS last 3 seasons, and 7-11 ATS since 1997, after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. They are also currently 1-4 ATS after scoring 60 pts or less. Auburn is also just 1-2 ATS as an Underdog this year. They are also currently 0-2 ATS in Feb games and 1-5 ATS in Saturday games. Auburn is as well currently 0-2 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64pts per game. Lastly, they are currently 0-5 ATS when playing against a teams with a winning record after 15 or more games. Miss is currently 6-2 ATS vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64 pts per game. Also, they are currently 3-1 ATS vs a good defensive team allowing less than 64pts per game after 15+ games. Miss will be playing with Revenge in this game, as they were simply humiliated by Auburn at Auburn by 27pts back on 1-10. In fact, Miss will be seeking to get a win over this Auburn squad that has beaten them 4 straight times. this will be Miss 1st home game in front of the fans since Jan 31st, so look for them to be excited about being at home again. Miss last 3 games at home, they have gotten solid upsets of SC, Alabama, and LSU. Today, Auburn becomes its next target to go down as HCA should be strong and Revenge should be a motivating factor also contributing to an all out effort from the Rebels. Auburn may not win a single game at all this year on the Road. WoW!
4 Unit Plays on:
Depaul -4.5
(WINNER)
UAB -12.5
(LOSE)
Austin Peay -1
(WINNER)
-Depaul has won 4 of its last 5, while Houston has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Depaul sits at 7-2 in the Conf and they need to pick up every win they can in order to get a shot in the Big Dance. So far, Depaul has been getting it done on the road winning its last 3 of 4. They have been making sure that they secure wins over the bottom dwellers in the Conf, which is a good thing as they face another one of them in Houston. Depaul currently is 2-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. This is a very good sign in this game. Houston has lost its last 5 of 6 at home, even dropping an unlined game against Centenary back on 1-19. Who the FVCK is Centenary. Anyways, Depaul should be able to get this one today as their is simply no other way to go but with the better team with motivation to win and alot at stake.
-This one could get ugly really fast, as the Blazers at home are very tuff. This year they are 10-1 SU and 7-2 ATS at home. Here, they are averaging 80 ppg and 47.5% from the field, while also holding their opponents to just 63 ppg and 39.5% shooting form the field. E Carolina at 1-9 in the Conf, is just 2-6 SU on the road. But here is where the advantage with UAB lies. E Carolina is only averaging just 58.6 ppg and 39% shooting from the field. If UAB and E Carolina simply follow their seasons averages at home and on the road, this shows me a UAB romp. I simply cant see anything else happening here. Adding to this play on UAB is the fact that E Carolina is currently 2-6 ATS as an Underdog, 1-6 ATS on Saturday games, and 0-4 ATS this year in revenging a home loss vs opponents. Lastly, they are just 1-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. UAB back home again for the first time since Jan 31st and find themselves 1/5 game behind National Division leader Memphis. Home fans should be in full force tonight as they support their team running towards the division Championships. UAB to much Offense at home for the Pirates to keep up with. This one could easily end up in a rout, as E Carolina has to be probably packing it in for the year.
-This one matches the Ohio Valley's #1 AP with #2 Murray St. This also matches the Conf's #1 Scoring Off of Murray St vs the #1 Scoring Def of AP. AP's success this year has to do with them having the benefit of returning all 5 starters and a deep bench. Murray St is currently 1-2 ATS, 8-12 ATS last 3 seasons, and 9-16 ATS since 1997 as an Underdog. They are also currently 0-3 ATS, 3-5 ATS last seasons, and 3-10 ATS since 1997 vs good defensive teams allowing less than 64pts per game. AP, meanwhile is currently 2-0 ATS vs good Offensive teams scoring 77+ pts a game. Hmmm, based on these two trends, AP has the decided edge. In addition to this, AP has been also ownign this series between the two going 4-1 SU and ATS vs Murray St over the last 3 seasons. AP is undefeated in the Conf and undefeated at home, and its because of their top ranked Def. We all know Def wins Championships, and AP will once again show everyone the truth to this fact. HCA should be huge in this one as well. To many advantages favoring AP to go any other way.
3 Unit Plays on:
Brown -4
(WINNER -by 20 pts)
Yale -9
(LOSE SU)
Hawaii -8
Hawaii -4 (for the 1st half)
-I take Brown to give another Ass spanking to Dartmouth tonight.
-Harvard Sucks Enough said. Yale wins in a Blowout today.
-Hawaii catch SMU on long road trip and with tired legs.
.
*** Ok Gang , them is the rest of the Second Set of Plays for today. I still may add a few as the day goes by. Lets do some damage to the Man, and then take care of our Women tonight. GL and Aloha CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on February 14, 2004 at 11:50 PM.]
