can anyone help me out? ive never given this much thought until yesterday when i saw this thread and my mind started working overtime so i started looking for opportunities for middles and scalps.
i tried it three times last night and each occasion was a second half play, and all 3 were totals.
ill just mention the one winner and tell me if im on the right track with my reasoning or just got "lucky"
2nd half nets/lakers over 98 (55 to 50)
2nd half nets/lakers under 99.5 (55 to 50)
all three plays (six total bets) had a 1.5 pt difference and were made for 55bucks.
obviously i need to hit 1 out of 20 to break even. so how can i tell if i have at least a 5% chance of hitting my bet? and is the the proper way to look at these things? what if i could only get under 99, would that make it a pass?
also if anyone knows where i can find out more info on this stuff plz let me know.
thx alot
CAESAR