It amuses me how week in and week out, people are still going against the Pats with great confidence, when all New England does is win and cover (Jax -7, NYJ -3, Buffalo -8) week in and week out.
Without a doubt, they are the best team in the NFL. 7-0 vs. teams versus winning records. They've won the close ones, which means they know how to close out games. I don't think a team that wins 12 in a row can be called "overrated." Granted the Pats don't really blow anyone away, they have been downright nasty at home. What're the stat? 1 TD given up @ home over the past 5 games? 3 Shutouts?
Tennessee is a damn good team, don't get me wrong. Yet I don't think they are in the same league as the Pats. They had a great game last week...but they're tired and beat up. The Pats, meanwhile, are coming off a Bye week, fully rested. You can be sure Belichick has been spending every waking hour figuring out the game plan. And also, I don't see Tenn winning 2 playoff games in a row on the road. Baltimore's defense matches up with NE's, but look at the offense. Anthony Wright is god aweful and had Balt had a half way decent QB, they would have won that game.
In addition, NE has already beaten Tennessee early this season, 38-30, but we can throw that out the window (Denver 31, Indi 24 anyone). This is a different Patriots team, at that point they were banged up and coming off a tough loss vs. the Redskins. This time around Ted Washington'll be up front, which leads me to believe that Eddie George will have a tough time doing much. That leaves only the pass to worry about and Belichick and Defensive Coordinator Romeo Crennel will whip up plenty of schemes to stop Tennessee's offense. Belichick is a master at coming up with game plans that cause the opposing QBs to lose rythm and be forced into making mistakes. As for the Pats offense, they can't run and don't make any qualms about it. They've won 12 weeks in a row w.o a running game, so I don't think that's going to be a factor.
In all honesty, if there is anything that I have reservations about is the fact that the soil in CMGI Field was just recently changed. In all reality, this shouldn't be a problem, unless the Pats pyche plays into this, they give up a quick TD and start to worry that the "new" field might have something to do with their play. I don't think they're that kind of team though, and I estimate the final score to be something like:
NE 24
TENN 10