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4.5-STAR Philadelphia -1.5 over TORONTO
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia by 13
4-STAR Philadelphia and Toronto UNDER 210.5
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 199 points
4-STAR Dallas pk over UTAH
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Dallas 109, UTAH 98
4-STAR Phoenix -2 over NEW ORLEANS
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Phoenix 115, NEW ORLEANS 102
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia by 13
4-STAR Philadelphia and Toronto UNDER 210.5
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 199 points
4-STAR Dallas pk over UTAH
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Dallas 109, UTAH 98
4-STAR Phoenix -2 over NEW ORLEANS
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Phoenix 115, NEW ORLEANS 102
Hitman draft package … final
FYI, these lines are going to move very quick. Sometimes 5-10 minutes after I release them. Make sure you have alerts on for these releases. I will make sure they are available at atleast two major books (DK/FD/MGM/Caesars/Cris/BOL/etc)
Also, the one thing with the draft is information is changing everyday. On one day the info could make me clearly like one side of a bet, and a week later I could sour on that bet because of new information that has come out. Feel free to contact me about any plays where information has changed and ask if I still like the play.
3/28: Kyle Hamilton OVER 6.5 -110 (365)
+110 FoxBet, -120 DK, -120 PB, -140 Kambi. This is still good at 8.5. With the current info, it appears Hamilton could fall out of the top ten
4/6: Derek Stingley U12.5 -135 (DK Widely available)
Every twitter draft guy is giving this out after Stingley’s pro day, and this line will surely move after his pro day. Seattle, Jets, Skins, and Vikings are all options from 9-12. This is not a bet at any number aside from 12.5
UPDATE 4/24: I hit Stingley top tens. Few weeks ago I didn't think he'd go top ten but new info has me thinking he will be as of this moment.
4/8: OVER 1.5 Safeties picked in first round -160 (Consensus)
This is available at most books around a similar price. However, check with your book on rules when it comes to this bet. Fanduel, FOXBET, and DK have both told me they will grade this prop based off a players position on NFL.COM (This is important because Daxton Hill is listed as a safety on NFL.COM)
Bet365 has said they will grade based off of "traders discretion", so I would try to avoid betting there for this prop.
Update 4/25: This is still good up to -300
4/14: Over 5.5 receivers picked in first round -200 (Consensus)
I like this up to -300 as of now. The talk from reliable draft people seems to be will there be a record tying seven first round receivers. This line should probably be set at 6.
4/15: Travon Walker first overall pick +250
This is as low as +200 (which I’d play it to) and as high as +300, so I tried to find a middle ground on the price. Right now it appears that Walker might be at least 50/50 to go first, however, it’s important to remember on this pick that at a moments notice info can change. I personally have a good sized liability on Walker to go first but if some of the info changes I won’t hesitate to bet Hutchinson… but at this moment, I think Walker should be the favorite to go first overall.
4/19: Dallas Cowboys first selection offensive lineman +220 (FD/DK)
Fanduel has this +240 and DK has +200, so I split the difference between the two for my official price. Kambi has +125 which I believe is the correct price. I would play this down to +150
4/20: John Metchie U59.5 (FD/DK)
4/22: Garrett Wilson U10.5 -170 (average price, widely available)
4/24: Andrew Booth O28.5 -130 (Widely available)
This is between 26.5 and 28.5 at most shops. Think Booth overs will pick up even more steam by the time the draft comes along
4/25: Christian Watson O38.5 -115 (Widely available)
This is available at most books at either 38.5 or 39.5. Both numbers are good and playable.
4/26: Quay Walker U38.5 -120 (Widely available)
Wanted to wait a little on this but another group gave out YES 1R. This should be in the low 30’s
4/26 Lewis Cine U34.5 -110 (Fanduel.. widely available)
4/26: Kaiir Elam U35.5 -120 (Widely Available)
This is between 33.5 and 35.5 everywhere. I don't hate playing Elam to go R1 at plus money as an alternative as well.
4/28: Devonta Wyatt O29.5 -115 (Consensus)
4/28: Matt Corrall O33.5 -120 (Fanduel)
This is available all over the place at 33.5 to 38.5. I like all of those.
PERSONAL BETS I MADE (Non official due to availability)
3/30: U3.5 Quarterbacks in 1R good up to -275. Do not play U2.5. This was going to be my release today but some of the major books moved to 2.5, however still some 3.5 out there..
4/8: I took Jameson Williams top ten pick +1000 at DK. Wouldn't play this at much less odds, but there has been some steam that Williams has a chance at being WR1, which would likely slot him at pick number 8 or 10.
FYI, these lines are going to move very quick. Sometimes 5-10 minutes after I release them. Make sure you have alerts on for these releases. I will make sure they are available at atleast two major books (DK/FD/MGM/Caesars/Cris/BOL/etc)
Also, the one thing with the draft is information is changing everyday. On one day the info could make me clearly like one side of a bet, and a week later I could sour on that bet because of new information that has come out. Feel free to contact me about any plays where information has changed and ask if I still like the play.
3/28: Kyle Hamilton OVER 6.5 -110 (365)
+110 FoxBet, -120 DK, -120 PB, -140 Kambi. This is still good at 8.5. With the current info, it appears Hamilton could fall out of the top ten
4/6: Derek Stingley U12.5 -135 (DK Widely available)
Every twitter draft guy is giving this out after Stingley’s pro day, and this line will surely move after his pro day. Seattle, Jets, Skins, and Vikings are all options from 9-12. This is not a bet at any number aside from 12.5
UPDATE 4/24: I hit Stingley top tens. Few weeks ago I didn't think he'd go top ten but new info has me thinking he will be as of this moment.
4/8: OVER 1.5 Safeties picked in first round -160 (Consensus)
This is available at most books around a similar price. However, check with your book on rules when it comes to this bet. Fanduel, FOXBET, and DK have both told me they will grade this prop based off a players position on NFL.COM (This is important because Daxton Hill is listed as a safety on NFL.COM)
Bet365 has said they will grade based off of "traders discretion", so I would try to avoid betting there for this prop.
Update 4/25: This is still good up to -300
4/14: Over 5.5 receivers picked in first round -200 (Consensus)
I like this up to -300 as of now. The talk from reliable draft people seems to be will there be a record tying seven first round receivers. This line should probably be set at 6.
4/15: Travon Walker first overall pick +250
This is as low as +200 (which I’d play it to) and as high as +300, so I tried to find a middle ground on the price. Right now it appears that Walker might be at least 50/50 to go first, however, it’s important to remember on this pick that at a moments notice info can change. I personally have a good sized liability on Walker to go first but if some of the info changes I won’t hesitate to bet Hutchinson… but at this moment, I think Walker should be the favorite to go first overall.
4/19: Dallas Cowboys first selection offensive lineman +220 (FD/DK)
Fanduel has this +240 and DK has +200, so I split the difference between the two for my official price. Kambi has +125 which I believe is the correct price. I would play this down to +150
4/20: John Metchie U59.5 (FD/DK)
4/22: Garrett Wilson U10.5 -170 (average price, widely available)
4/24: Andrew Booth O28.5 -130 (Widely available)
This is between 26.5 and 28.5 at most shops. Think Booth overs will pick up even more steam by the time the draft comes along
4/25: Christian Watson O38.5 -115 (Widely available)
This is available at most books at either 38.5 or 39.5. Both numbers are good and playable.
4/26: Quay Walker U38.5 -120 (Widely available)
Wanted to wait a little on this but another group gave out YES 1R. This should be in the low 30’s
4/26 Lewis Cine U34.5 -110 (Fanduel.. widely available)
4/26: Kaiir Elam U35.5 -120 (Widely Available)
This is between 33.5 and 35.5 everywhere. I don't hate playing Elam to go R1 at plus money as an alternative as well.
4/28: Devonta Wyatt O29.5 -115 (Consensus)
4/28: Matt Corrall O33.5 -120 (Fanduel)
This is available all over the place at 33.5 to 38.5. I like all of those.
PERSONAL BETS I MADE (Non official due to availability)
3/30: U3.5 Quarterbacks in 1R good up to -275. Do not play U2.5. This was going to be my release today but some of the major books moved to 2.5, however still some 3.5 out there..
4/8: I took Jameson Williams top ten pick +1000 at DK. Wouldn't play this at much less odds, but there has been some steam that Williams has a chance at being WR1, which would likely slot him at pick number 8 or 10.
Dave Cokin
MLB
2% Red Sox/Blue Jays F5 under 3' (+100)
Brandon Lang
80 DIME - Dallas
NBA 20-Star Total Annihilator - Thursday
Handicapper: Jim Feist
Bet Type: Over / Under
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors Under 211 (-110) (William Hill)
Oskeim Sports
NBA GOY
76ers (-1.5)
Carmine Bianco
3% Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche
REGULATION Colorado Avalanche -155
3% Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks -125
Larry Ness
10* 'Signature' LEGEND Play - Cleveland +145
10* Situational Stunner - Utah
Mario Rojas
914 NY Yankees -1.5 -115
910 Atlanta -1.5 -110
2 team parlay: NY Yankees / Atlanta (+115)
MLB Under Tips
Clev Under 8.5
mlbtotal.us
Houston over 8
Tomas Sports
Dallas Mavericks ml
Fezzik NBA 2*
Tor +1.5
Adam Trigger
Reds -110 (4%)
No Prez and No McInnis yet
MLB
2% Red Sox/Blue Jays F5 under 3' (+100)
Brandon Lang
80 DIME - Dallas
NBA 20-Star Total Annihilator - Thursday
Handicapper: Jim Feist
Bet Type: Over / Under
Pick: Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors Under 211 (-110) (William Hill)
Oskeim Sports
NBA GOY
76ers (-1.5)
Carmine Bianco
3% Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche
REGULATION Colorado Avalanche -155
3% Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks -125
Larry Ness
10* 'Signature' LEGEND Play - Cleveland +145
10* Situational Stunner - Utah
Mario Rojas
914 NY Yankees -1.5 -115
910 Atlanta -1.5 -110
2 team parlay: NY Yankees / Atlanta (+115)
MLB Under Tips
Clev Under 8.5
mlbtotal.us
Houston over 8
Tomas Sports
Dallas Mavericks ml
Fezzik NBA 2*
Tor +1.5
Adam Trigger
Reds -110 (4%)
No Prez and No McInnis yet
