Thursday Service Play Thread 4/21/2022

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Joe D'Amato

Golden State.

NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 573.

7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est.



It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you.
 

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Joe D'Amato

Golden State.

NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR.

Game 573.

7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est.



It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you.
Did you mean Joe D’Amico?
 

Underdog
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Late from across the street....


Larry Ness

NBA 10* Game of the Week - Denver +2.5
Late Show-MLB - Seattle -125



Scott Spreitzer

7* Golden St -2



Jason Sharpe

7* Golden St -2



Vernon Croy

4* Toronto Under 7 -130
4* Memphis -1.5



Your Daily Capper

NBA
1* Timberwolves +3 Buy Half Point
1* Jazz -7.5
1* Nuggets +3

MLB
1* Mariners Moneyline



Al McMordie

18-1 NHL SLAPSHOT CLUB - St Louis -190
 
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Teddy write up

There are three key factors in play for me with this Big Ticket release for Thursday. First, I believe Minnesota is live to win this series – there’s no class difference between the Grizzlies and the T-Wolves. Second, I want Minnesota off a bad blowout loss, like the one they suffered in Game 2. Third, Chris Finch’s squad has a legitimate home/road dichotomy – not atypical of young teams; a squad I‘m looking to back in the friendly confines of the Target Center.

Memphis was a great regular season team this year, in large part, due to two factors. First, the Grizzlies are a very deep team, something that doesn’t translate well in postseason play when stars shine brighter. Second, it’s Minnesota with the star power here – KAT, ANT and DRuss are a tough trio to stop when any one of the three gets going offensively. Memphis has Ja Morant as the biggest star of them all (so far), but the Desmond Bane’s and Jaren Jackson’s of the world aren’t the guys I want my money on in the postseason.

Chris Finch was not amused with Minnesota’s dismal Game 2 showing following their Game 1 upset win. “Our offense just dried up. Our shot selection in that second quarter basically started the avalanche.” The best shooting three point team in the NBA ended up 11-38 (29%) from beyond the arc. Make no mistake about it – the T-wolves have been nothing but ‘Bet-On’ following a dismal showing. Off a loss by eight points or more, Minnesota is 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in their last eight tries. Since Christmas, returning home off a loss, Minnesota has gone 5-1 SU, including wins over the likes of the Bucks and Warriors. We saw the T-wolves home court edge matter – a lot – in their play-in game against the Clippers.

Memphis is a very good team, but the pointspread range for this series is off, compared to my personal numbers that have the Grizzlies about 2.5 points better than the T-wolves on a neutral floor. That’s a power rating which does not mesh with Memphis -1.5 at Minnesota in this spot; the current pointspread. There’s legitimate value on the team with the star power off a blowout loss in Game 3 on Thursday; worthy of a ‘step-up’ sized wager. Big Ticket: Take the Timberwolves.

Line Parameter: 5% at +1 or higher, 4% at pk, 3% if Minnesota goes off as the favorite.
 

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