Thursday Service Play Thread 07/29/2021

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Doug Upstone- Parlay: Yankees & White Sox (2U)
Doug Upstone- Tigers -150 (5U)
 

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Matt Severance

FEATURED PICK

N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 07/29 | 1:10 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -130
ANALYSIS: No one likes Tropicana Field, it's a dang mausoleum, but Yankees pitcher Gerrit Cole apparently enjoys it there with a career 1.82 ERA in four starts -- including eight brilliant shutout innings May 12. No team strikes out more than the Rays, so he could have 14Ks this afternoon. Aaron Judge has been medically cleared and should be in the lineup -- he didn't start Wednesday waiting for test results but pinch-hit. Newly-acquired Joey Gallo surely will not debut quite yet with travel, etc. It's Luis Patino (1-2, 5.26) on the mound for Tampa, which has dropped its past three. I can't not take Cole at a price of just -130.

ATLANTA @ N.Y. METS | 07/29 | 12:10 PM EDT
N.Y. METS -125
ANALYSIS: Mets starter Taijuan Walker was a revelation in the first half and an All-Star but has imploded in two second-half starts. However, the Mets say they have found the issue with his fastball regarding mechanics, etc. Walker has been very good at home this year (4-1, 2.68 ERA) and vs. the Braves (eight scoreless innings, three hits). Really the only Atlanta batter with much career success off him is Joc Pederson. The Braves runline would be tempting if it wasn't such a big price (-180).
 

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Green Falcon Picks (of Green Pitch Sports)

Universidad de Chile - CD Nublense
Chile, Primera Division, 01:00 CET (Jul 30) / 7:00 PM ET
2.6 Units: CD Nublense 0 +100
 

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World Worst Picker

Rays
Giants

We take:
Yankees
Dodgers
 

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John Bollman

BALTIMORE @ DETROIT | 07/29 | 7:10 PM EDT
DETROIT -153
ANALYSIS: The Tigers have been one of the most profitable teams in the league this season and you can see why after winning two straight in Minnesota at +170 and +120. They head home now where they are much better and face an Orioles team that is much worse on the road. Casey Mize won't go dep into the game but hell give four solid innings and he should be able to get the lead for a Tigers team who scored 17 runs yesterday without a home run. Take the Tigers at home.

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 07/29 | 12:05 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -153
ANALYSIS: The Nats have COVID going around their clubhouse and now they have to play a doubleheader thin. They face Zack Wheeler who has been the Phillies best pitcher all season. However, the Phillies are much better at home and Scherzer has been worrying about where to veto his no trade clause too instead of focusing on his next outing. Never thought Id ever pick against Scherzer as this big of an underdog but if you look at the Nats lineup youll see why.
 

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Elite Sports Picks

Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -175 over Kansas City (Hernandez)
 

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Insider Sports Report
D* N.Y. Yankees (Cole) -145 over Tampa Bay (Patino)
Range: -125 to -165
C* Washington (Scherzer) -140 over Philadelphia (Velasquez)
Range: -125 to -165
C* Boston (Rodriguez) -115 over Toronto (Ryu)
Range: +100 to -140

National Sports Service
D* L.A. Dodgers (Price) -130 over San Francisco (Cueto)
C* Atlanta (Smyly) +115 over N.Y. Mets (Walker)

Primetime Sports Picks
D Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -175 over Kansas City (Hernandez)
C Unit --> N.Y. Yankees (Cole) -145 over Tampa Bay (Patino)
C Unit --> Cincinnati (Castillo) -115 over Chicago Cubs (Mills)

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks
E★ Washington (Scherzer) -140 over Philadelphia (Velasquez)
C★ Detroit (Mize) -155 over Baltimore (Wells)
 

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More Matt Severance

CHI. WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY | 07/29 | 2:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +1.5
ANALYSIS: Simply taking a shot on Royals RL here at even money because the White Sox are sitting Tim Anderson, Jose Abreu and Eloy Jimenez due to rest/injury/the fact it's like 100 degrees in Kansas City. Royals pitcher Carlos Hernandez isn't very good but is facing a very weak lineup. Perhaps that it's so hot limits how long Sox Cy Young contender Carlos Rodon (8-4, 2.24) is out there. Also: top setup man Michael Kopech and closer Liam Hendriks are both unavailable.

CINCINNATI @ CHI. CUBS | 07/29 | 2:20 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -121
ANALYSIS: The Cubs are resting both Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo -- maybe it's just because of a day game after a night game, but it also could mean both are about to be traded. Frankly, it would be a shock if Bryant isn't dealt by tomorrow's deadline. With those two out, we'll back the Reds behind resurgent pitcher Luis Castillo. He was awful the first two months but had a 1.71 ERA in June and has the exact same 1.71 ERA this month. Chicago's Alec Mills has a 4.71 ERA in day games. The Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
 

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Micah Roberts

N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 07/29 | 1:10 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -125
ANALYSIS: The Yankees have shown some life, winning seven of their last 10 games to pull within 2.5 games of the last wild card slot. The Rays have lost three straight and look to avoid the sweep. That'll be a daunting task with Gerrit Cole starting, even though the Yankees are only 10-10 with him on the mound. (Also, a Cole bettor is down 10.4 units.) They’ve also lost three of Cole’s last four starts against the Rays. This bet is mostly against Tampa Bay starter Luis Patino, who has allowed 15 runs over his last three starts. Yankees to win.

L.A. DODGERS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 07/29 | 3:45 PM EDT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: It’s going to be a beautiful day in San Francisco, with the wind expected to be blowing out slightly at nine miles per hour. These two starters should help get this game get Over the total. Los Angeles LHP David Price will get four or five innings of work before the bullpen takes over, but the Dodgers have lost his last four starts. The Giants also have lost RHP Johnny Cueto’s last four outings. Despite the fact both lineups are hitting poorly, the Over is the top play.
 

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H&H Sports

MLB
B* Yankees -125
A* Dodgers/Giants Over 8.5
 

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Andrew McInnis

D% - Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers -150 A Wells (LHP), C Mize (RHP) Must Start
 

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VegasGuru(LOCK OF THE MONTH)

Dodgers 1.5

8-2 run on his (locks of the month)
 
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Wise Guy for Thursday 7/29

2 plays already STARTED but still a couple yet to start!

A0 Dime | $A,000.00 | 2 Team Parlay | Milwaukee Brewers Money-Line, Chicago Whitesox Money-Line

E0 Dime | $AB,E00.00 | Basic VIP | Toronto Bluejays/Boston Redsox Over 10

A00 Dime | $BE,000.00 | Standard VIP | Baltimore Orioles/Detroit Tigers Under 10

B00 Dime | $E0,000.00 | Exclusive VIP | Chicago Whitesox/Kansas City Royals Under 9.5
 

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Godfatherlocks

*** massive 5000 unit pick ***
toronto blue jays +105 (mlb)
 

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Larry Ness

Larry's MLB 10* PERFECT STORM
Competition: Toronto Blue Jays(Ryu) vs Boston Red Sox(Rodriguez)
Time: Thursday, July 29, 07:10 pm ET
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +103
Analysis:
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:10 ET. Toronto snapped a two-game slide with a big 4-1 win here yesterday and with its ace on the mound, I think the visiting side will find a way to deliver again here on Thursday. Hyun-Jin Ryu (9-5, 3.44 ERA) gave up three runs and struck out four over four innings in a no-decision to the Mets on the weekend. It was just the third start this year that he's failed to pitch at least five innings. No need to hit the panic button obviously. Note that Ryu is 5-3 with a 3.44 ERA on the road as well this season. The home side counters with Eduardo Rodriguez (7-5, 5.23), who has pitched much better over the last month, but he was just pulled from his last start after one inning due to migraine issues. He's been given the green light here, but I say, advantage Ryu! Note as well that Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine after holding its opponent to one or less runs in a road victory in its last outing. Look for Ryu to go deep and for Toronto to post a second straight victory. The play is the Jays.
 

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