JM SPORTS
- Play Rating: C units
Play: 1H New York Mets -175 J Degrom (RHP), I Anderson (RHP) Must Start
C unit 1H New York Mets (-175) over Atlanta Braves (deGrom/Anderson) –
How about deGrom and the New York Mets, deGrom again is in the running and the conversation for best pitcher in the league without a doubt and he has the stat line to prove it. DeGrom has kept his ERA down to 0.69 FOR THE YEAR, with a 0.526 WHIP, and allowing only 6 runs in 78 innings pitched, the Mets are 10-3 in his starts this year. DeGrom has been even more impressive on the road, he has yet to allow a run this year away from Citi field, he has pitched 25 innings in those road games and the Mets are 3-1 in his 4 road starts. New York is also 18-7 TY as a favorite, including 18-4 as a F vs. RHP when the line is less then (-125), including 4 in a row as an AF vs. RHP (+6.00 run differential in those 4 games), and when that line less then (-149) the Mets are 14-4 TY. Atlanta on the other hand had an impressive offensive showing yesterday but now they have to take the field vs. one of the best pitchers in the league and a former Cy Young winner. The Braves are 1-6 in their L7 as a dog coming off a 10+ run performance, they are 2-9 TY as a dog coming off a W, and deGrom has a 1.88 career ERA vs. ATL. Atlanta has also struggled with starting pitchers that have the most control, they are 2-19 TY vs. SP w/ WHIP < 1 (including 1-8 at home, and 0-9 in the L9 overall), and they are 1-8 TY vs. SP w/ a WHIP under 0.6! - Play Rating: D units
Play: San Francisco Giants -137 J Cueto (RHP), M Kelly (RHP) Must Start
4 unit San Fransisco Giants (-137) over Arizona Diamondbacks (Cueto/Kelly) –
It has been said before this year that the Arizona Diamondbacks are on of the teams that is definitely struggling this year. They are 7-47 in their L54 games (3.56 AF ; 5.83 AA), and they are coming into this game off 4 straight losses, and so far this season they are 3-29 in their L32 games off at least B2B L's (outscored by 2.35 runs). They have also struggled a lot in the first game of the series, they are 1-13 in their L14 series openers and they are 5-15 in the L20 openers vs. RHP (outscored by 2.5 runs). I also think to say that the Giants are definitely coming to the point of having the Diamondbacks number this season, they are 6-0 TY, and 11-4 inside Arizona's own stadium in the L3 season. Even outside of the divisional the Giants has have success recently, they are 85-46 in their L131 games as a favorite (including 31-12 run) and San Fran is 7-2 in the L9 as a favorite on the road. Even though SF has coming on a little bit of a losing streak, they are 5-2 TY off B2B losses (including 4-1 in the L5 on the road), and the Giants have also had a day to rest, and in the L9 games following a day off they are 9-0 (outscoring opponents 5.78 AF ; 1.67 AA). San Fran has definitely come out of the gate hot in their recent series, they are 17-4 in the first game of the L21 series, and 7-2 in the L9 series on the road. It also won't hurt that the Diamondbacks have Kelly on the mound who has posted an ERA over 4.5, when SF sees pitching like that, it's a whole different ball game. They are 12-4 in the L16 with an ERA that high (5-1 in the L6 on the road), 6-0 on the year when coming off a L, and 12-3 TY vs. RHP with that kind of ERA.
Joe Ds 72 PCT NBA VEGAS INSIDER MOVE
Joe DAmicos MLB BEST BET
- Game: (541) Atlanta Hawks at (542) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Jul 1 2021 8:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: Total Under 215.0 (-110)
Trae Young and Giannis Antetokounmpo are both hampered and listed as questionable and doubtful (check status on both). Whether one or both play or not, prompts us to look at an angle of a lower scoring contest. The last three meetings all went under the total. With the series tied, both teams will rely on their defenses. Expect a much slower pace here. The under is 5-1 L6 meetings, 7-1 in the Hawks L8 overall, and 8-2-1 in the Bucks L11 overall. Take the under. Thank you.
Joe DAmicos MLB BEST BET
- Game: (913) San Francisco Giants at (914) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Jul 1 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: D units
Play: San Francisco Giants -137 J Cueto (RHP), M Kelly (RHP) Must Start
San Francisco has dropped their last three and still sits atop the NL West. Arizona is in a four-game slide and dwells in the division cellar with the worst record in all of baseball. The Giants have dominated the Diamondbacks, winning all six meetings this season and nine straight going back to last season. Cueto (6-3, 3.63) and Kelly (4-7, 4.73) will take the hill here. Cueto is 11-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 19 career appearances vs. Arizona. Kelly is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two starts vs. San Fran in 2021. The Giants, both at the plate and on the mound, rank among the best in the Majors. The D-Backs are not just struggling, their numbers are downright atrocious, ranking 19th in scoring and 29th in pitching. San Francisco is 4-0 L4 at Arizona, 9-0 L9 following an off day, and 4-1 L5 as a road favorite. Take the Giants. Thank you.
