At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
A field of nine was entered for Saturday’s $600,000 Woodward (G1) at Saratoga including Frosted, who was the second choice in early betting for the Breeders’ Cup Classic until last Saturday when Arrogate rolled to victory in the Travers (G1), relegating him down to third choice.
Sportsbooks have Frosted listed at +350 for the Classic while Arrogate went from nowhere to the second choice at +250 after his impressive Travers score. Arrogate earned a 122 Beyer Speed Figure while Frosted earned one of the highest of the last decade with his 123 in the Met Mile (G1) in June.
California Chrome solidified his position as the early favorite for the Breeders’ Cup Classic with his win in the Pacific Classic (G1) at Del Mar over Beholder. His current odds are +140.
Frosted came out of his big win in the Met Mile to win the Whitney (G1) over the main track at Saratoga. His Beyer for that win was 107.
He faces eight overmatched foes on Saturday in the Woodward in his final prep for the Classic. Samraat and Mubtahij, the runner up and third place finishers in the Suburban Handicap (G2) along with Monmouth Cup (G2) winner Bradester are his main foes.
The final Saturday of the Saratoga summer meeting also includes the $300,000 Spinaway (G1) for two-year-old fillies. The race is a Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).
I will have selections for the Spinaway in Saturday’s column. The 12-race card on Saturday also includes a couple of good turf stakes, the $200,000 Glen Falls Handicap (G3) and the $300,000 Saranac.
Here is the second race (the opener is a steeplechase) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 2 Clm $25,000 (1:33 ET)
#1 Sun and Moon 5-2
#2 Sweetrayofsunshine 9-5
#6 Miss Amalita 5-1
#4 Mastic 9-2
Analysis: Sun and Moon chased the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out for a $20,000 tag. The mare was claimed out of the race by the Servis barn that is 40% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. She has lost seven in a row since beating $32,000 claimers on the inner track at Aqueduct back in January but fits in this spot.
Sweetrayofsunshine tracked the early pace while saving ground, came with a four wide bid and finished gamely to just miss by a head last out against $32,000 foes in the slop here. She bounced back after getting beaten double digit lengths in her two previous starts. The Jacobson trainee has landed in the exacta in 20 of her 30 career outings with 13 wins. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and will be right in the mix early here.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,4,6 / 1,2,3,4,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 9 The P.G. Johnson (5:40 ET)
#6 Lady Joan 6-1
#4 Coasted 7-5
#3 Noble Ready 8-1
#7 Majestic Bonnie 7-2
Analysis: Lady Joan tracked the early pace and drew off sharply to break her maiden last out going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf in her third career start. She now stretches out to a route for the first time. She looks headed in the right direction and is out of Powerscourt mare, her first foal to race. Powerscourt crossed the wire in front of the Arlington Million (G1) twice, getting DQ'd once. The Serpe barn is 15% winners moving runners from sprint to route. Decent value if she goes off near her 6-1 morning line.
Coasted is proven going long on turf here, breaking her maiden in impressive style last out in her second career start by six lengths. The runner up Dream Dancing came back to graduate in her next outing on Aug. 28. The $210,000 Keeneland purchase is by Tizway out of the stakes winner Malibu Pier ($466,220). She is one of two in here with a win at the distance and owns the top last out speed fig. She is the logical one to beat but is going to be a light price.
Noble Ready went gate to wire to break her maiden at 7 1/2 furlongs at Delaware Park in her second career start. The Clement barn is 18% winners moving runners from sprint to route. This gal is bred to go long, a half to three other turf winners and a couple of stakes winners, top earner Zindaya ($401,240).
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7
TRI: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7 / 1,3,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R3: #6 Presumptuous 10-1
R6: #1 Love Blues 8-1
R8: #7 Callista 8-1
R9: 33 Noble Ready 8-1
R10: #9 Dance Graze 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
A field of nine was entered for Saturday’s $600,000 Woodward (G1) at Saratoga including Frosted, who was the second choice in early betting for the Breeders’ Cup Classic until last Saturday when Arrogate rolled to victory in the Travers (G1), relegating him down to third choice.
Sportsbooks have Frosted listed at +350 for the Classic while Arrogate went from nowhere to the second choice at +250 after his impressive Travers score. Arrogate earned a 122 Beyer Speed Figure while Frosted earned one of the highest of the last decade with his 123 in the Met Mile (G1) in June.
California Chrome solidified his position as the early favorite for the Breeders’ Cup Classic with his win in the Pacific Classic (G1) at Del Mar over Beholder. His current odds are +140.
Frosted came out of his big win in the Met Mile to win the Whitney (G1) over the main track at Saratoga. His Beyer for that win was 107.
He faces eight overmatched foes on Saturday in the Woodward in his final prep for the Classic. Samraat and Mubtahij, the runner up and third place finishers in the Suburban Handicap (G2) along with Monmouth Cup (G2) winner Bradester are his main foes.
The final Saturday of the Saratoga summer meeting also includes the $300,000 Spinaway (G1) for two-year-old fillies. The race is a Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” race for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).
I will have selections for the Spinaway in Saturday’s column. The 12-race card on Saturday also includes a couple of good turf stakes, the $200,000 Glen Falls Handicap (G3) and the $300,000 Saranac.
Here is the second race (the opener is a steeplechase) from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:
SAR Race 2 Clm $25,000 (1:33 ET)
#1 Sun and Moon 5-2
#2 Sweetrayofsunshine 9-5
#6 Miss Amalita 5-1
#4 Mastic 9-2
Analysis: Sun and Moon chased the early pace and weakened to finish fifth last out for a $20,000 tag. The mare was claimed out of the race by the Servis barn that is 40% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. She has lost seven in a row since beating $32,000 claimers on the inner track at Aqueduct back in January but fits in this spot.
Sweetrayofsunshine tracked the early pace while saving ground, came with a four wide bid and finished gamely to just miss by a head last out against $32,000 foes in the slop here. She bounced back after getting beaten double digit lengths in her two previous starts. The Jacobson trainee has landed in the exacta in 20 of her 30 career outings with 13 wins. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and will be right in the mix early here.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,4,6 / 1,2,3,4,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:
SAR Race 9 The P.G. Johnson (5:40 ET)
#6 Lady Joan 6-1
#4 Coasted 7-5
#3 Noble Ready 8-1
#7 Majestic Bonnie 7-2
Analysis: Lady Joan tracked the early pace and drew off sharply to break her maiden last out going 5 1/2 furlongs on turf in her third career start. She now stretches out to a route for the first time. She looks headed in the right direction and is out of Powerscourt mare, her first foal to race. Powerscourt crossed the wire in front of the Arlington Million (G1) twice, getting DQ'd once. The Serpe barn is 15% winners moving runners from sprint to route. Decent value if she goes off near her 6-1 morning line.
Coasted is proven going long on turf here, breaking her maiden in impressive style last out in her second career start by six lengths. The runner up Dream Dancing came back to graduate in her next outing on Aug. 28. The $210,000 Keeneland purchase is by Tizway out of the stakes winner Malibu Pier ($466,220). She is one of two in here with a win at the distance and owns the top last out speed fig. She is the logical one to beat but is going to be a light price.
Noble Ready went gate to wire to break her maiden at 7 1/2 furlongs at Delaware Park in her second career start. The Clement barn is 18% winners moving runners from sprint to route. This gal is bred to go long, a half to three other turf winners and a couple of stakes winners, top earner Zindaya ($401,240).
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7
TRI: 4,6 / 3,4,6,7 / 1,3,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Saratoga
R3: #6 Presumptuous 10-1
R6: #1 Love Blues 8-1
R8: #7 Callista 8-1
R9: 33 Noble Ready 8-1
R10: #9 Dance Graze 8-1
Good luck today!