Thursday 7/6/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lee
Jul 06 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | BOS vs TAM
Play on: UNDER 7½ -125

10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 7.5, -125)

I'm still recommending a play on the UNDER at 7, but would strongly consider laying a ittle extra juice to get that 1/2 run for some extra insurance, as it gets us over the key number of 7. Good chance these two teams don't even come close to the total. Boston will send out ace Chris Sale, who has been straight dealing of late, posting a 1.66 ERA over his last 3 starts. Sale hasn't allowed more than 4 hits in each of his last 4 starts and has a 1.94 ERA in 7 starts against division opponents. Tampa Bay sends out talented rookie Jacob Faria, who has had about as good as debut to his big league career as you could ask for, posting a 2.23 ERA in 5 starts. Should help Faria the Red Sox are coming in off a bad day at the plate, as they managed just 3 hits in yesterday's 2-8 loss to the Rangers. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence
Jul 06 '17, 1:10 PM
MLB | Giants vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -111 at BMaker

Play - Detroit Tigers w/Sanchez vs Cueto (Game 970).

Edges - Tigers: Sanchez 3.12 ERA and 0.87 WHIP this season… Giants: Cueto 0-2 career team starts in this park, and 3-5 team starts in day games this season. With the Giants playing a 10 AM body clock start game and just 1-7 on Thursdays this season, we recommend a 1* play on Detroit in this get-away game for San Francisco. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd
Jul 06 '17, 1:45 PM
MLB | MIAMI vs ST. LOUIS
Play on: ST. LOUIS -139 at betonline

Free Pick on Cardinals -

Miami has won the last two in the series and it's created some good value here on St Louis in the series finale Thursday. The Cardinals will have a massive edge on the mound here with Michael Wacha facing off against Tom Koehler. You have to look past Wacha's 4.16 ERA and 1.425 WHIP overall. He's 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.204 WHIP in 10 home starts. He also has a sizzling 1.69 ERA in his last 3 outings and owns a 1.82 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in 4 day starts.

Koehler doesn't even come close to those numbers. He's 1-3 with a 7.42 ERA and 1.775 WHIP in 9 starts. His last 3 outings have been especially poor, as he's posted a atrocious 13.50 ERA and 2.600 WHIP. The deepest Kohler has pitched in his last 5 starts is 5 1/3 innings. That's bad news for a struggling Marlins bullpen that had to put in a lot of work yesterday, as Volquez lasted just 4 innings.

Miami is just 21-46 in their last 67 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 and 9-29 in their last 38 road games after scoring 8 or more runs. Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 8-2 in Wacha's last 10 home starts against a team with a losing record. Take St Louis!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Larry Wallace
Jul 06 '17, 1:45 PM
MLB | MIAMI vs ST. LOUIS
Play on: ST. LOUIS -145 at BMaker

I like the Cardinals in this match-up against the Marlins. Wacha this year is 5-3 with a 4.16 ERA. Wacha is 1-0 in 2 career starts against the Marlins. Koehler is 1-3 with a 8.33 ERA. Miami is 3-14 in their last 17 games when Koehler takes the mound. St Louis is 4-1 in their last 5 games with Wacha pitching.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Teddy Davis
Jul 06 '17, 8:10 PM
MLB | Orioles vs Twins
Play on: Orioles +137 at betonline

We saw what happened last night when the Twins become big favorites, they lost with their ace on the mound. We are simply seeing a huge over reaction because the Orioles just got swept by the Brewers. Berrios is certainly an exciting young pitcher to watch but is he really that much better than Bundy is better at all? I'm not buying it. I totally expect Bundy to return back to form here as the Twins are't the greatest offensive team

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mike Williams
Jul 06 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Astros vs Blue Jays
Play on: Astros -1½ +109 at 5Dimes

1* on Astros -1½ +109

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dustin Hawkins
Jul 06 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Braves vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals -158 at betonline

Bonus Play on Nationals -158

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns
Jul 06 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | SDG vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9½ +105

1* Bonus Play over Padres/Indians. Dinelson Lamet (3-2, 5.35 ERA) looks poised for a letdown here in my opinion after coming off his best start of his career, going seven scoreless against the Braves on Thursday. I’m not reading too much into one decent outing though as it was in fact the first time that Lamet exceeded six innings of work this year. Previous to this game Dinelson had been rocked for 14 earned runs spanning two starts. Dinelson’s strikeout numbers are decent so far, but he’s just 1-1 with a 7.07 ERA on the road. Josh Tomlin (4-8, 6.07) gave up four earned runs over 4.2 innings in a loss to Detroit on Saturday (two of those hits were home runs.) Tomlin has been plagued by the long-ball this year, having already served up 17 of them to this point (note that he’s a poor 3-6 with a 6.55 ERA at home as well.) Everything points to a slug-fest in this one, consider the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's Sports
Jul 06 '17, 8:10 PM
MLB | Orioles vs Twins
Play on: Twins -137 at GTBets

Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take Minnesota over Baltimore (8 p.m., Thursday, July 6) I also think that Minnesota will get the win here in the opener of this series. The Orioles have not been very good lately. They are just 15-27 in their last 42 games overall and this team has fallen off in a big way. They are now below .500 and 7.5 games back in the East. The Twins are above .500 and they are just two games back in the Central. The Orioles are just 7-21 in their last 28 road games and they have struggled in a big way. The Twins haven’t been very good at home lately. But they are 6-1 in their last seven games against a right-handed starter and they are 4-1 at home against a team that is below .500 on the road. The Twins have been undervalued all season long and I think they will get the job done here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's six-pack

Odds on various NFL teams to make the playoffs this fall:

— Cincinnati Bengals Yes +$140, No -$160

— Cleveland Browns Yes +$2,000, No -$10,000

— Jacksonville Jaguars Yes +$400, No -$500

— Kansas City Chiefs Yes -$150, No +$130

— Los Angeles Chargers Yes +$270, No -$350

— Oakland Raiders Yes -$160, No +$140

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Diamond Trends - Thursday

TOP SU TREND
-- The Mariners are 13-0 since Apr 10, 2017 as a home favorite after they had at least two multiple-run innings last game.

TOP OU TREND
-- The Indians are 0-12 OU (-2.92 ppg) since Sep 25, 2016 at home past the first game of a series when their opponents’ starter has an ERA of higher than 4 on the season.

TOP STARTER TREND
-- The Rockies are 9-0 since Aug 23, 2012 when Tyler Chatwood starts after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start which the team lost.

TOP CHOICE TREND
-- The Diamondbacks are 0-20 since Aug 22, 2013 as a road dog of 140+ past the first game of a series after they lost where they never led.