Wunderdog
Los Angeles at New York
Pick: Under 9
Despite an offensive show yesterday in the Bronx, don't forget these are two poor offensive teams. They both rank in the bottom 10 in slugging, while the Angels are #17 in runs scored, the Yankees #23. New York is also #25 in on base percentage. The Angels go with Jhoulys Chacin, who has a 3.73 ERA in five starts since being traded to the Angels last month. He has never faced the Yankees but has plenty of experience against third baseman Chase Headley (2-for-15) and second baseman Starlin Castro (3-for-14). New York is 18-7-1 UNDER the total against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Yankees go with Ivan Nova (4-3, 4.41 ERA), who has a 33-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and throws best at home with a 2.22 ERA in 24+ home innings. The UNDER is 7-2-1 when the Yankees face an opponent that has scored five runs or more in their previous game and this total is too high.
Los Angeles at New York
Pick: Under 9
Despite an offensive show yesterday in the Bronx, don't forget these are two poor offensive teams. They both rank in the bottom 10 in slugging, while the Angels are #17 in runs scored, the Yankees #23. New York is also #25 in on base percentage. The Angels go with Jhoulys Chacin, who has a 3.73 ERA in five starts since being traded to the Angels last month. He has never faced the Yankees but has plenty of experience against third baseman Chase Headley (2-for-15) and second baseman Starlin Castro (3-for-14). New York is 18-7-1 UNDER the total against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Yankees go with Ivan Nova (4-3, 4.41 ERA), who has a 33-8 strikeout-to-walk ratio and throws best at home with a 2.22 ERA in 24+ home innings. The UNDER is 7-2-1 when the Yankees face an opponent that has scored five runs or more in their previous game and this total is too high.