Thursday 4/10/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 10

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SAN ANTONIO (60 - 18) at DALLAS (48 - 31) - 4/10/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 90-70 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 211-167 ATS (+27.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 442-375 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 122-84 ATS (+29.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 79-59 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-73 ATS (-33.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (34 - 44) at GOLDEN STATE (48 - 29) - 4/10/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, April 10

Trend Report

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. GOLDEN STATE
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Thursday, April 10


Canadiens goalie Carey Price, questionable Thursday

Price will be given the day to rest and will not be in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Blackhawks. He is questionable for Thursday against the Islanders.


Ben Bishop, Tampa Bay - Out indefinitely

Bishop left the game on April 8th with an upper-body injury. An MRI revealed no structural damage but he will sit out for the remainder of the regular season. A return at the beginning of the playoffs has not been ruled out.


David Backes, St. Louis - Out Thurs

Backes is dealing with a foot injury after being hit with a puck Tuesday. He did not practice Wednesday and will miss Thursday's game against the Wild.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, April 10


Tony Parker, San Antonio - Doub Thurs

Parker has a sprained facet joint on the left side of his back and is not expected to play Thursday against the Mavericks.


Ty Lawson, Denver - Ques Thurs

Lawson is dealing with an ankle sprain and has missed the last two games. He is questionable for Thursday's game against the Warriors.


David Lee, Golden State - Out indefinitely

Lee is dealing with nerve inflammation in his back and is unable to practice. There is no timetable for his return.

 

[gmrcharity]

Jim Feist

NBA | Apr 10 San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks	Total 203½ un-105 at 5DIMES	> 7h.
04/10 8:00 PM NBA (501) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (502) DALLAS MAVERICKS Take: Your free pick for Thursday, April 10th, 2014, comes in the NBA as Western Conference and state rivals the Spurs and the Mavericks meet in Dallas. San Antonio can play any style, a great offensive team but also dynamite defensively ranked 4th in the NBA in points allowed. They also lose their point guard for this one. San Antonio's leading scorer Tony Parker is dealing with back spasms and will not travel on a two-game trip that ends here. That will surely effect their offense and the Spurs are on an 8-2 run under the total. This game means more for Dallas as if they end the season 3-1 they clinch a playoff spot, fighting for the No. 7 and 8 seed. They are locked in a three-way tie with Phoenix and Memphis, but have since notched road victories over both Los Angeles clubs as well as Sacramento to take a half-game edge over the Suns for seventh place in the Western Conference. They're also 1 1/2 games behind sixth-place Golden State. San Antonio is 5-1 under the total their last six road games plus the under is 6-2 in the Spurs last 8 vs. the Western Conference. Dallas is off a spread cover and the under is 5-2 in Mavericks last seven games following a ATS win. Look for more defense than oddsmakers expect, Play the Spurs/Mavericks under the total.

 

[gmrcharity]

Jimmy Boyd

NBA | Apr 10 Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors	Golden State Warriors -11-101 at 5DIMES	> 10h.
Free Pick on Warriors - Despite already surpassing last year's 47 wins, the Warriors are still fighting to secure a spot in the playoffs. Golden State is in a pretty good position to do so. They have a 2.5-game lead over 9th place Memphis with just 5 games left on the schedule. However, they are just 1-game ahead of 7th place Dallas and 1.5-games in front of 8th place Phoenix. The last thing the Warriors want to do is fall back in the standings and have to face either Oklahoma City or San Antonio in the first round. I believe that will serve as more than enough motivation tonight to not only win but cover this large spread against the Nuggets. Denver comes in off a 123-116 home win over the Rockets, but are just 4-16 over their last 20 road games and have lost six straight away from home overall. While the Nuggets have continued to play hard down the stretch, there's a little less incentive here having won at Golden State in the previous matchup. That's just another motivational edge favoring the Warriors, who don't take losing at home lightly. This is also a difficult spot for Denver, who will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and off that big win over the Rockets. The Nuggets are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on no rest. Home teams who have won between 60% to 75% of their games that have beaten the spread by 18 or more combined points over their last 3 games are 98-58 ATS versus teams who have won between 40% to 49% of their games since 1996. That's a 63% system in favor of Golden State. Jimmy Boyd is absolutely ON FIRE! He's delivered his clients 6 Winning Cards Last 7 Days! Amazing 17-9 (65%) Hot Streak adding to his Red-Hot 65-47 (58%) All Sports Run! Jimmy is the #3 Ranked Handicapper Overall for 2014 and the #1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper for 2013-14!

 

[gmrcharity]

Jack Jones

MLB | Apr 10 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies -117 at 5DIMES	> 6h.
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Philadelphia Phillies -117 Rarely ever will you get Cliff Lee as this small of a home favorite against anyone. I'll take advantage Thursday night and back one of the best starters in the game at a tremendous price, and I recommend you do the same. Lee went 17-8 with a 2.40 ERA in 2011, 6-9 with a 3.16 ERA in 2012, and 14-8 with a 2.87 ERA in 2013. He got rocked in his first start of the season this year at Texas, but that's why he's being undervalued. He bounced back by pitching seven shutout innings in a 2-0 win at Chicago last time out to get back to reality. Milwaukee (6-2) is simply overvalued right now due to its hot start to the season. It swept the defending champion Red Sox in Fenway, which has its hype through the roof. By season's end, I believe you'll see that this team isn't a serious contender to win the NL Central. I'll gladly fade the Brewers while they're overvalued. The Phillies are scoring 5.4 runs/game against right-handed starters this season, while the Brewers are putting up just 3.0 runs/game against southpaws. Lee is 18-6 (+15.3 units) against the money line after his team allowed 9 or more runs in two straight games in his career. Philadelphia is 47-22 (+30.2 units) after allowing 8 runs or more in two straight games since 1997. Bet the Phillies Thursday. No. 1 Ranked Overall Handicapper in 2014! Remember, Jack Jones was your No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper from 2012-13 as well! He is coming off a 4-1 Wednesday BEAT DOWN of the books! He releases his 20* Spurs/Mavericks TNT No-Brainer as his featured top play Thursday! Jack also continues his 9-1 (90%) MLB TEAR L9 Days by cashing in his 15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY! You can get both winners simply by signing up for his 1-Day Pass for $49.95!

 

[gmrcharity]

Art Aronson

NHL | Apr 10 Colorado Avalanche vs. Vancouver Canucks	Vancouver Canucks +109 at BETONLINE	> 9h.
This is a 1* Bonus Play on the Vancouver Canucks. The Canucks fans got their wish as they booed loudly and chanted for Mike Gillis to get fired in the most recent loss to the Anaheim Ducks. Gillis was fired the day after and it was announced a few hours later that fan favorite and former team Captain Trevor Linden would take his spot as President of Hockey Operations. This will be the first game after the new boss has been hired and I think the Canucks step up and take it to their former division rival in the Colorado Avalanche. The Canucks have been officially eliminated from the playoffs but come into this game knowing they can still play spoiler for an Avalanche team looking to win their division. Keep in mind that the Canucks are a perfect 6-0 the last three seasons versus Colorado when hosting the game. Colorado did win the last meeting but it was in Denver where the game went to OT and really could have gone either way. Suffice to say that the Canucks really play the Avalanche hard and this has been a tough place for Colorado to win in lately. Vancouver is 10-2 SU overall against Colorado over that same time span. The Avs have been outscored 32-10 during an 0-8-1 skid there. Colorado, limited to three goals in its last six visits, hasn't won there since a 4-3 shootout victory April 6, 2010. The Canucks haven’t played since Monday, so this is a nice spot for them as the team is well rested. Vancouver is 10-7 when having two days rest between games. Colorado has two games against really tough foes in San Jose and Anaheim later on this road trip and it’s not too far a stretch to see it “looking ahead” to those contests. Consider taking the Canucks as the underdog to win outright. AAA

 

[gmrcharity]

Steve Janus

MLB | Apr 10 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies -117 at 5DIMES	> 6h.
Thursday's MLB Free Pick ---Philadelphia Phillies -117--- With the Brewers riding a 5-game winning streak and the Phillies having lost 3 straight, I believe it's created some great value on Philadelphia at home. Not only will the Phillies be motivated to avoid getting swept in their home opening series, but they will have ace Cliff Lee on the mound. Lee was fortunate to get a win his first start at Texas, as he allowed 8 runs on 11 hits over just 5 innings of work. He showed solid improvement in his next start, throwing 7 shutout innings in a 2-0 win over the Cubs. I believe today's forecast will help Lee and the Phillies pull out a victory. There's expected to be a 10 mph wind blowout straight out to center. Lee is more than capable of keeping the ball in the park, as he's pretty even in terms of his ground ball/fly ball rate. It's also worth mentioning that he's got 32 strikeouts over his last 3 starts vs the Brewers. Milwaukee will counter with Marco Estrada, who I think is in for a rough day with the wind blowing out. Estrada is an extreme fly ball pitcher and has not fared well against the Phillies. In two career starts vs Philadelphia, Estrada has an awful 9.00 ERA and 2.44 WHIP. Philadelphia is 18-6 in their last 24 after allowing 9 or more runs in two straight games. They are also 6-1 in their last 7 as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-3 in Lee's last 10 starts as a home favorite. BET THE PHILLIES -117! 64% MLB RUN TO START 2014! Steve Janus delivered a 3-1 Premium Card on Wednesday and has found a *Hidden Gem* on the bases that you don't want to miss! Destroy your bookie with Thursday's 4* MLB Over/Under Total Annihilator! Inside information completely eliminates the guess work! It's time youBET WITH CONFIDENCE! This special offer is GUARANTEED TO PROFIT or Friday's entire MLB card is FREE!

 

[gmrcharity]

Ray Monohan

NBA | Apr 10 San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks	San Antonio Spurs +2-105 at SPBOOK	> 7h.
San Antonio Spurs +2 Last I checked the Spurs still need one more win to nail down the top spot in the West. Even though this is a team that paces itself I think they are going to go for it sooner than later and this one against rival Dallas should have some intensity. The Spurs have just been so good of late I don’t see how you can bet against them. Especially with a team like Dallas that doesn’t even play defense. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 5* FREE NBA Play 4-3 Wednesday! 5-0 Tuesday! Join forces with Razor Ray today! $59.95 Day pass. $89.95 3-Day pass. $169.95 7-Day pass. The most selective capper on the network! Pad that bankroll folks! All Sports Plays (+987) 26-15 63% Run!

 

[gmrcharity]

Bryan Leonard

MLB | Apr 10 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks +125 at BODOG	> 9h.
909 Arizona at San Francisco The Diamondbacks and Giants will finish up their three-game series with a Thursday evening game at AT&T Park. Randall Delgado could be pitching for his rotation spot in this one and he'll be opposed by Ryan Vogelsong. Delgado had some encouraging things to build on despite getting knocked around a bit by the Rockies. For starters, Delgado induced 11 swings and misses in just 4.2 innings of work. Over 60 percent of his pitches were strikes and he worked down in the zone quite a bit. But, the Rockies are a juggernaut of a lineup at home and the balls that Delgado did elevate got punished. It didn't help that the BABIP Monster got a hold of him as he induced ground balls on almost 62 percent of balls in play, but they simply weren't hit at anybody. Only 9.5 percent of balls in play were line drives, so Delgado wasn't living in the middle of the plate at the belt. He's capable of touching 95 with heavy sink and has a track record of striking guys out in the minor leagues. The big reason we like the Diamondbacks here is that, while we expect better from Delgado, Ryan Vogelsong is just overpriced. Vogelsong had a hard time maintaining his velocity in his first start and that's not a good sign for a guy that has a long track record of injuries throughout his professional career. Vogelsong worked up in the strike zone far too much in his last outing, as just 13.3 percent of balls in play were hit on the ground. He's lucky it wasn't worse with nine baserunners in four innings and two home runs allowed. Looking at the PITCHf/x data and studying his batted ball numbers, it appears that Vogelsong is simply not healthy. After sitting around 92 mph in the first inning, he touched 92 twice the rest of the way. For a guy who has hovered around league average for ground ball rate, pitching up in the zone at 89-90 with no deception is a recipe for disaster. Hitters chased only 16 percent of the time in his first start and if that trend continues, Vogelsong will be behind in a lot of counts and be forced to throw 90 at the belt to get back into the count. We'll take the encouraging signs from Delgado's first start and expect him to improve in this one, while Vogelsong and his team are overpriced from the Diamondbacks slow start. There's far too much talent on the Diamondbacks, both in the lineup and in the pitching staff, for this team to keep playing so poorly and we expect them to win this game more often than the line would have you believe. PLAY: ARIZONA Now 6-1 on the season with our Baseball Underdogs after the Cubs beat the Pirates last night. In addition to this FREE WINNER on the Diamondbacks we are releasing our TOP SELECTION, another GRAND SLAM UNDERDOG. Don't Miss it!