Thursday 2/4/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Thursday's six-pack

Six of the best minor league prospects for the Baltimore Orioles........

1) Dylan Bundy, P-- 23-year old has been haunted by injuries.

2) Hunter Harvey, P-- Missed LY with an injury, but didn't have surgery.

4) Jomar Reyes, 3B-- Won't be 19 for a couple more weeks.

5) Michael Givens, P-- Had 30 strikeouts in 30 IP in majors LY.

8) Trey Mancini, 1B-- .315 hitter in 1,332 ABs in minor leagues.

25) Mike Yastrzemski, OF-- Grandson of Hall of Famer played at Vandy.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Thursday

737 TEXAS STATE @ 738 GEORGIA STATE 7:30 PM

Take: 737 TEXAS STATE +8

This one doesn’t figure to be pretty. Texas State and Georgia State are a pair of teams that don’t play very fast, and neither has been very good lately at putting the ball in the basket.

Georgia State figured to be down somewhat this season following a spectacular 2014-15 campaign that saw the Panthers upset Baylor in the NCAA tournament before giving Xavier a good scare prior to finally getting sent home. But the decline has been perhaps steeper than anticipated for Georgia State and this team is really struggling right now.

The Panthers have lost four of their last five, with the only win a fortunate overtime victory over Georgia Southern. Georgia State is no doubt thrilled to be back home following a bad road trip that saw them drop three straight, but I think it’s fair to say this is not a go-with team right now.

Texas State is certainly no great shakes. The Bobcats had a rough weekend in Louisiana, getting drilled by UL Lafayette and also dropping a decision at UL Monroe. But this matchup might be more to their liking. Texas State is frequently outsized but that won’t be the case tonight, as Georgia State is not a particularly big team, nor are the Panthers physical squad.

My expectation is that we’re going to get a low-scoring duel here. Neither team figures to be in a hurry, so I wouldn’t think this will be game with a load of possessions. Georgia State is the more capable entry to be sure, but the Panthers simply aren’t in good form at all of late, and that makes the prospects of them covering a good-sized spread more than a little dicey. I’ve got a revenge motive with the road team as well, plus I like the idea of grabbing all those points against a team that’s outside the top 150 and falling. Add it up and there’s enough here for me to take the plunge with Texas State and the generous number.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp NBA Pick, Thursday, Feb 4, 2016 10:05 PM EST

(705) TORONTO RAPTORS VS (706) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Thursday, February 4, 2016 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Toronto Raptors and Blazers in Portland. Toronto is a long way from home and plays the second of a back to back road spot here. Toronto is very strong defensively, No. 5 in the NBA in points allowed, No. 9 in field goal shooting defense. The Under is 5-1 in the Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Portland is home playing some tough defense, on a 7-1 run under the total. They held Milwaukee to 95 points the last game in a win at home, winding up a 7-game homestand tonight. The Blazers have won nine of 11 and is eighth in the Western Conference. "This game was kind of similar to the last few games we've been playing," coach Terry Stotts said. "We've been playing solid defense." Portland is 4-0 under the total at home and the Under is 6-0 in the Blazers last 6 games following a straight up win. Play Toronto/Portland under the total.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Heath Mac

St. Mary's vs BYU

Free Pick UNDER 151.5

Both these sides are contenders in the WCC, along with Gonzaga. St Marys have been electric at home, where they have not lost a game with an impressive 15-0 record. On the road though, they have been solid, but just 3-2 SU. The main difference between home performance and away performance has been their offensive output – averaging over 80 ppg at home, but just 69 ppg on the road. The Gael’s defense remains outstanding everywhere, as they hold the 2nd best defense in the nation overall (59.6 ppg) and 3rd best on the road (60.4 ppg). The Gaels have kept 4 of their past 5 opponents to less than 68 points. It’s worth noting though that they have put up 68 and 64 points in their last 2 road games.

The Cougars are looking like a Tourney team again this season, with a few good players and an offensive game that is very impressive. BYU’s defense is not great, but at home they are allowing 69.8 ppg (ranked 205th).

This game will be a tight one and we are looking forward to it. The Gaels are a big chance to win the WCC and book themselves a Tourney spot and we think they’ll bring their full intensity in this game. BYU will have to get stops, because St Marys will be getting plenty and this one goes UNDER.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 5 games on the road. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 6 games.

For our free pick, take the UNDER 151.5 points here.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Mike Lundin

Lakers vs Pelicans

8* NBA Free Pick New Orleans Pelicans

The New Orleans Pelicans are off a pair of losses and fell 110-97 at San Antonio last night. They're 4-0 ATS in their last four playing on no rest and I like their chances of bouncing back with a win tonight as they host the lowly Los Angeles Lakers. Kobe Bryant had 38 points as the Lakers ended a 10-game skid with a 119-115 win against the Timberwolves Tuesday, the first contest in their last 12 they managed to break the 100-points barrier. They're however 6-14 ATS in their last 20 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win.

The Pels have dropped five games behind Portland and Utah in the battle for the final Western Conference playoff berth and will play five of their next seven games on the road. They can't afford to throw this "easy" game away, and I expect them to come out and play very very hard.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Scott Spreitzer

South Florida vs Cincinnati

Bonus Play South Florida

I'm recommending a play on South Florida plus the big number over Cincinnati. The Bulls have been "money" as a double digit underdog this season, cashing seven of eight times. While they're not at full strength, that fact has been baked into the line as far as we're concerned, with the spread hovering just short of 20 at the time of this post. South Florida plays well on the defensive end where they rank 44th in FG percentage allowed (40%) and 25th defending the 3-point line (30.5%). When you play that well on the defensive end, you're a tough team to beat by such a big margin, which is why this team has fattened bankrolls when getting double digits. One of those double digit covers came in January in a 54-51 home loss against the Bearcats. The Bulls frustrated Cincy all night long, holding them to 30.9% FG shooting, including 27.8% from behind the arc. Cincy is not bad, but nothing special on the offensive end and they're off a one-point win at UConn, with a game at Memphis coming up in just two days. It's much easier getting the competitive juices flowing against UConn & Memphis than it is against the 5-18 Bulls. And besides the 7-1 ATS run mentioned above, South Florida is on a 5-0 ATS run against teams playing better than .600 basketball, while Cincinnati enters on a 1-6 ATS slide against teams playing lower than .400 basketball. I'm recommending a play on South Florida plus the points on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Marc Lawrence

Ohio State vs Wisconsin

Play - Ohio State

Edges - Buckeye: 13-5 ATS with revenge in this series, including 8-1 ATS when Wisconsin is off a SUATS win. Badgers: 4-7 SUATS versus opponents with revenge this season, including 1-4 ATS at home. With OSU off a loss, and Wisconsin off a win, we recommend a 1* play on Ohio State. Thank you and good luck as always.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Feb 4, 2016

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on Wichita State (-15) on Wednesday and likes Oakland on Thursday.

The deficit is 180 sirignanos.

onlybaseball · Feb 4, 2016

I am not sure if this is the correct forum to discuss this, so bear with my ignorance on this issue. I have paid for Tony Chau's Exterminator system since I noticed he was doing well in baseball last spring. I paid once and have received the plays ever since. I post them unless someone beats me to it. I understand that his system can be confusing to some and has many ways for him to excuse a loss on a "C" bet like was the case when a "C" bet was rained out or that one should never bet on games in the month of August. I have been playing his NBA Exterminator system and have won, but today he sent an email out claiming that his "B" on Toronto was a winner when the line was -9.5 (never changed that I could see). Toronto won by 7. So, unless he saw an imaginary 3 point shot that hit, he is being deceptive and needs to be called out on it. I have already emailed him with a stern warning. Anyone else have any thoughts or ideas. Please no bashing his system or the fact that he steered players to an offshore book to line his pockets. We all know that. I have followed his system religiously in baseball and made lots of money but I am now concerned that his NBA system is flawed.