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NBA Preview: Thunder (32-25) at Suns (30-28)

Date: February 26, 2015 10:30 PM EDT

Kevin Durant's health is again in a state of uncertainty for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

His absence hasn't mattered much lately, however, given Russell Westbrook's spectacular play.

Westbrook tries to lead Oklahoma City to a season-high eighth straight victory when it visits the Phoenix Suns on Thursday night.

The Thunder (32-25) have won nine of 10, surging up the Western Conference standings. They're two games behind seventh-place San Antonio and 5 1/2 back of Northwest Division-leading Portland. Their 9-1 run includes double-digit wins over the Clippers, Memphis, and Dallas, all teams they trail in the standings.

Oklahoma City is averaging 111.7 points over its last 10 games, and though Durant has missed half of them, each was a victory. It's unclear when he will return as he deals with foot soreness and won't be re-evaluated until next week.

Westbrook had 20 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists in a 105-92 win over Indiana on Tuesday. His 11 triple-doubles since entering the league in 2008-09 rank third while his three this season are tied with Michael Carter-Williams and Rajon Rondo for the NBA lead.

The All-Star Game MVP is averaging 29.5 points on 38.9 percent 3-point shooting with 10.1 assists and 8.2 rebounds over his last 10 games - up from 24.8 on 25.9, 7.4 and 5.9 previously.

Westbrook, whose 7.5 fast-break points per game lead the NBA, has averaged 9.4 in the last 10, helping Oklahoma City average 22.5 as a team, a 7.9 increase from its previous average.

"He just continues to stack games up on top of one another," coach Scott Brooks said. "He's played well. He's doing a great job of leading us, leading the new guys and leading the group. Making it all come together."

Deadline acquisition Enes Kanter has 35 points over his last two games while Serge Ibaka is averaging 20.0 points on 63.6 percent shooting in his last four.

The Suns (30-28) have been trending in the opposite direction with eight losses in 10 games. They're 2 1/2 games behind Oklahoma City for the West's final playoff spot with New Orleans (30-27) separating the two.

'Everybody knows it's a big game for us,' guard Eric Bledsoe said.

Phoenix snapped a five-game skid in Wednesday's 110-96 win at Denver, though it was against a Nuggets squad that had dropped 16 of 18. The Suns had allowed 111-plus points in four straight before limiting undermanned Denver to 38.3 percent shooting.

Brandon Knight's 19 points led six players in double figures.

"It's all new and all coming so quickly," said Knight, who has averaged 17.3 points in three games since being acquired from Milwaukee. "It will take time. But it's really just about making basketball plays."

The Suns surrendered 12 3-pointers on 34 attempts, while Oklahoma City is shooting 37.8 percent from deep during its seven-game run. Phoenix is letting opponents shoot 39.4 percent from beyond the arc while going 4-9 on the second night of back-to-backs.

The Suns have been one of the league's worst rebounding teams with a average minus-2.1 margin but are plus-33 over their last two games and recorded a league season-high 65 boards Wednesday. Alex Len has 10-plus rebounds in four straight after averaging 6.0 previously.

Oklahoma City has won 13 of 15 in the series, including two home meetings this season. Westbrook has averaged 32.3 points on 54.0 percent shooting in his last four trips to Phoenix, but was 5 of 13 for 20 points in a 137-134 overtime home win on Dec. 31 as Durant scored 44. Bledsoe led Phoenix with 29.
 
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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By BEN BURNS

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Letdown spot

NBA fans are treated to a potential Finals preview with the Golden State Warriors visiting the Cleveland Cavaliers Thursday night. These teams have identical 6-2 records in February, heading into Tuesday, and if the NBA futures are right, Cavs priced at +300 and Warriors priced at +400, they will be battling for the league title this spring.

But after the smoke has cleared and the dust settles Thursday, Golden State must travel overnight to the Great White North to face another of the NBA’s elite. The Toronto Raptors are waiting to sink their claws into the Warriors, who are ripe for a letdown in the Air Canada Centre. Toronto was smashed by 21 points in the Bay Area back in January and would love to return the favor Friday.

Lookahead spot

The BYU Cougars are long shots to make the NCAA tournament, sitting third in the West Coast Conference behind projected No. 1 seed Gonzaga and St. Mary’s. It’s not completely crazy to think three WCC schools could go to the Big Dance and in order for that to happen, the Cougars must boost their NCAA portfolio with a win over the Bulldogs this weekend.

With BYU setting its sights on the Zags Saturday, the Cougars could look past this week’s opponent Portland. They travel to the Earle A. Chiles Center Thursday night. The Pilots had strung together four straight wins before road losses at St. Mary’s and Pacific (in overtime). Portland showed it has the offensive firepower to keep pace with BYU and could spoil the Cougars’ tournament hopes before they get a shot at Gonzaga.

Schedule spot

The Ottawa Senators escape the horrid winter weather in Canada’s capital with a West Coast road trip this week, dropping the puck in Anaheim Wednesday night. The Sens went 3-2 during a five-game home stand but now play five in a row on the road, including three games in four nights to end the month. Ottawa is just 10-13-3-2 away from the Canadian Tire Centre this season.

Following Wednesday’s game with the Ducks, the Senators stay in Los Angeles to face the Kings Thursday, then have a day off to travel to San Jose to play the Sharks Saturday. Ottawa is outside of the playoff picture heading into this tough stretch of schedule and a couple quick losses could have the front office packing it in for the season, playing the prospects, and sizing up potential deals before the trade deadline. Keep an eye on the Sens motivation come Saturday in San Jose.
 
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Cavaliers on remarkable ATS run vs. West foes
Andrew Caley

The Cleveland Cavaliers are a red-hot bet when they face Western Conference opponents, covering the spread in nine consecutive games against foes from what is considered the superior conference.

The Cavaliers, also 9-0 straight up in that stretch, haven't failed to cover a spread against a Western Conference opponent since losing 107-100 in Phoenix, back on Jan. 13.

The Cavaliers look to extend the streak when they host the Golden State Warriors Thursday night. At home Cleveland is 9-4 ATS versus the West.
 
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Thunder burning up the court and the window
Justin Hartling

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won seven consecutive games and have impressively covered in each of those games. The Thunder have outscored opponents by an average of 14.9 points in those seven contests, but have faced an average spread of -6.

OKC will travel to Phoenix Thursday with the Suns playing their second game of a back-to-back.
 
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Golf Rory made heavy Honda 'chalk'

Tournament: The Honda Classic
Date: Feb. 26 - Mar. 1
Venue: PGA National Resort and Spa
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

The players head east this week to sunny Florida, which is actually supposed to be rainy and windy this weekend, to compete in the Honda Classic; an event which was founded in 1972. It has been held at PGA National since 2007 and has become much harder as a result with winners having single-digits scores in six of the eight years compared to a double-digit victor in the previous 11 seasons.

The reason for this is that the course is set up to host majors and has one of the toughest stretches of holes on the tour with the infamous “Bear Trap” at 15, 16 and 17. The par-70, 7,140-yard course will be hosting a strong field this year as 15 of the top-25 players from the OWGR are attending and the first sighting of world No. 1 on U.S. soil since September will be the biggest story as he is a past champion here and has been on a tear over on the European Tour.

Defending his title will be Russell Henley who won in an exciting four-player playoff against Russell Knox, Rory McIlroy and Ryan Palmer last season. The eight-under score that Henley posted was the highest for a victor at this event since Ernie Els came away with the trophy after a score of six-under in 2008. With the fields getting tougher, let’s take a look at a few players who are poised to have a big upcoming week.

Golfers to Bet:

Rory McIlroy (3/1): There is no debating who the top golfer in the world is right now as McIlroy has finished as the winner or runner-up in eight of his past eleven starts. He has not placed worse than second since the BMW Championship in September where he earned an eighth-place spot. This will be his debut this season in the states as he has been lighting it up over in Europe with a tour-best stroke average of 67 as he hits 86.1% of GIR, which would be by far the best mark on the PGA tour. He also continues to cream the ball (307.7 yards per) across the pond and has a great track record in this event with a victory in 2012 and a playoff loss last year. He should have no issues being at the top of the leaderboard all weekend.

Graeme McDowell (29/1): McDowell has had an up-and-down season over in Europe since his third-place finish at the HSBC Champions back in early September, sandwiching a top-10 at the Omega Dubai Desert Classic with two events where he ended up worse than 35th. His previous play at this course should help him get back on track, though, as he has three top-10 finishes here in the last four years. He tends to play well when the weather gets tough and is in line for a nice performance this week.

Keegan Bradley (25/1)
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espite making all four of his cuts this year, Bradley wasn’t playing at his usual skill level as his best showing was a 17th at the Waste Management Open. He began to look much more comfortable last week at the Northern Trust Open with a fourth-place standing after netting two 68’s on Friday and Sunday. He’s turning it on just at the right moment as he heads to a course in which he has placed 12th, 4th and 12th in the last three starts. Expect him to use his big-stick (301.5 yards per drive, 25th on tour) to make a run at his first PGA win since the summer of 2012.

Brian Harman (210/1): Harman has made 5-of-7 cuts this year and has two top-25 finishes to his credit thus far. He has been struggling in the past three events, though, with a scoring average of 72.0 in his 10 rounds as he is coming off a missed cut last week. Still, he is riding a strong 2014 campaign and is the record holder at this course with a round of 61 back in 2012 when he finished 12th. His putting (0.55 strokes gained putting, 28th on tour) and ability out of the sand (68.9% sand save, 11th on tour) should keep him in contention at a course where he is plenty comfortable.

William McGirt (240/1): McGirt has been doing well this season and is trending upwards since a missed cut at the Humana Challenge. He jumped from 30th at the Waste Management Open to 21st at the AT&T Pebble Beach and finally had a nice showing (14th) last week in the Northern Trust Open. Overall on the year, he ranks in the top-50 on tour in driving accuracy (67%, 29th on tour), GIR (71%, 38th on tour) and scoring average (70.34, 29th on tour) and should be able to continue his success in Florida.

Honda Classic Betting Odds

Rory McIlroy 3/1
Dustin Johnson 13/1
Justin Rose 20/1
Keegan Bradley 25/1
Brooks Koepka 27/1
Rickie Fowler 27/1
Sergio Garcia 27/1
Graeme McDowell 29/1
Martin Kaymer 29/1
Lee Westwood 30/1
Ryan Palmer 30/1
Harris English 35/1
Patrick Reed 35/1
Graham Delaet 45/1
Paul Casey 45/1
Phil Mickelson 45/1
Russell Henley 50/1
Sang-Moon Bae 55/1
Billy Horschel 60/1
Charl Schwartzel 60/1
Chris Kirk 60/1
Louis Oosthuizen 60/1
Nick Watney 65/1
Zach Johnson 70/1
Justin Thomas 80/1
Robert Streb 80/1
Victor Dubuisson 80/1
Jamie Donaldson 90/1
Luke Donald 95/1
Russell Knox 100/1
Charles Howell III 110/1
Daniel Berger 120/1
Boo Weekley 130/1
Seung-Yul Noh 130/1
Will MacKenzie 130/1
Alex Prugh 140/1
Camilo Villegas 140/1
Freddie Jacobson 140/1
Ian Poulter 140/1
Jason Dufner 140/1
Scott Stallings 140/1
Brendan Steele 160/1
Angel Cabrera 200/1
Francesco Molinari 200/1
Marc Leishman 200/1
Retief Goosen 200/1
Brian Harman 210/1
Chris Stroud 220/1
Rory Sabbatini 220/1
Tony Finau 220/1
Jason Kokrak 230/1
Jhonattan Vegas 230/1
Joost Luiten 230/1
Blayne Barber 240/1
Daniel Summerhays 240/1
Stephen Gallacher 240/1
William McGirt 240/1
Brendon de Jonge 250/1
Carlos Ortiz 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
Chesson Hadley 250/1
Ernie Els 250/1
George McNeill 250/1
Michael Thompson 250/1
Shawn Stefani 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
Brian Stuard 300/1
David Lingmerth 300/1
Jerry Kelly 300/1
John Peterson 300/1
Jonas Blixt 300/1
Lucas Glover 300/1
Patrick Rodgers 300/1
Ben Martin 350/1
Billy Hurley III 350/1
Jason Bohn 350/1
Luke Guthrie 350/1
Scott Piercy 350/1
Spencer Levin 350/1
Thomas Bjorn 350/1
Andrew Svoboda 400/1
Cameron Tringale 400/1
David Hearn 400/1
Derek Fathauer 400/1
Morgan Hoffmann 400/1
Scott Langley 400/1
Erik Compton 450/1
Matt Every 450/1
Nicholas Thompson 450/1
Padraig Harrington 450/1
Alex Cejka 500/1
Andres Romero 500/1
Bo Van Pelt 500/1
Jeff Overton 500/1
Kyle Reifers 500/1
Ricky Barnes 500/1
Robert Garrigus 500/1
Ryo Ishikawa 500/1
Zac Blair 500/1
Andres Gonzales 550/1
Ben Crane 550/1
Carl Pettersson 550/1
Chad Campbell 550/1
Colt Knost 550/1
D.A. Points 550/1
Danny Lee 550/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 550/1
John Huh 550/1
Y.E. Yang 550/1
Mark Wilson 600/1
Martin Flores 600/1
Adam Hadwin 650/1
Chad Collins 650/1
David Toms 650/1
Fabian Gomez 650/1
Hudson Swafford 650/1
Justin Hicks 650/1
Ken Duke 650/1
Kevin Kisner 650/1
Max Homa 650/1
Sean O'Hair 650/1
Stewart Cink 650/1
Andrew Putnam 750/1
Brian Davis 750/1
Brice Garnett 750/1
Derek Ernst 750/1
Dudley Hart 750/1
J J Henry 750/1
Jamie Lovemark 750/1
Jim Herman 750/1
Jim Renner 750/1
Jon Curran 750/1
Mike Weir 750/1
Oscar Fraustro 750/1
Paul Scaletta 750/1
Robert Allenby 750/1
Ryan Armour 750/1
Scott Brown 750/1
Steve Wheatcroft 7 50/1
Sung-Joon Park 750/1
Tim Wilkinson 750/1
Tom Hoge 750/1
Woody Austin 750/1
 
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NCAAB Thursday's Top Action

NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS(13-14) at OHIO ST BUCKEYES (19-8)

Value City Arena - Columbus, OH
Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Line: Ohio State -14.5

After being embarrassed at home on Sunday, Nebraska visits Ohio State trying to end a five game skid.

It was only a year ago that Nebraska was the surprise team in the conference, as they picked up their first NCAA berth since 1998. A season built on hope, with leaders returning, has turned into disaster for the Cornhuskers, as they hit a new low in a 28-point home loss to Iowa on Sunday. Following the game, Coach Tim Miles banned his players from all the amenities of Nebraska’s new facilities and from speaking to the media. Nebraska is 1-7 SU (2-6 ATS) in their last 8 games. Furthermore, they haven’t won a conference game on the road all season (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS).

Coach Thad Matta’s host Buckeyes are also not playing their best ball of the season, having lost their last two (at Michigan State, at Michigan). The most recent loss to Michigan on Sunday, 64-57, was highlighted by sloppy play (9:14 A:TO ratio), and a first half that saw Ohio State fall 16 points down, rendering them unable to come all the way back for the road win. The Buckeyes return home to the friendly confines of Value City Arena where they are undefeated since the calendar flipped to 2015 (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS), with their lone conference home loss coming in late December to Iowa.

Historically, since Nebraska joined the Big Ten (2011) Ohio State has dominated this matchup, going 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS), and 3-0 in Value City Arena. The most recent game between these two teams was in the 2014 Big Ten Tournament in Indianapolis, where Ohio State rallied from an 18-point second-half deficit to win. Nebraska’s lone win in this series was last season, in late January, when they defeated the then No. 17 Buckeyes in Lincoln, 68-62.

Nebraska’s outlook for this contest, and the rest of the season, is shockingly dim, as Coach Miles realized that his players needed a wake-up call with the facilities and media ban after the home loss to Iowa. The Cornhuskers will surely be underdogs in Columbus, and are 1-7 SU (1-5-1 ATS) as road underdogs this season. At the root of their issues all season is putting the ball in the basket (61.7 PPG, 13th in Big Ten, 306th in NCAA).

Nebraska is even worse on the road (55.2 PPG). Considering the Cornhuskers boast two of the conferences better offensive players in F Terran Petteway (18.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.9 APG) and G Shavon Shields (15.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 45% FG), Nebraska’s offensive issues become that much more mysterious. The fact of the matter is that they don’t have anything close to a third reliable offensive option.

Maybe F Walter Pitchford (7.5 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.3 threes/game) can fill that role. Pitchford likes to roam the perimeter, and has pitched in double-digit scoring in three straight games, after only going above 10 points once in his previous 12 conference games. After Pitchford, though, no Cornhusker has scored in double figures in any of Nebraska’s last five losses, and only one player (F Tarin Smith – 4.3 PPG) has scored more than five points in a game in that span. Besides the rare outburst from deep (10 threes at Maryland), the Cornhuskers have been awful from three (27% 3PT, 14th in Big Ten, 343rd in NCAA) in conference play.

Nebraska relies on its slow pace and defense (62 PPG allowed, 5th Big in Ten, 69th in NCAA) to keep games close, in hopes that Petteway or Shields can make big pressure shots down the stretch. That said, their field goal defense (50% versus Iowa, 47% at Maryland) in recent games hasn’t been fearsome at all.

As star freshman G D’Angelo Russell (19 PPG, 5.4 APG, 5.8 APG) has gone this season, so goes Ohio State. Russell struggled in the state of Michigan the past two weekends, only averaging 13 points on 36% FG. Russell also committed more turnovers than assists (2:5 A:TO) at Michigan for the first time since early January.

F Sam Thompson (10.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG) and F Jae’Sean Tate (8.4 PPG, 4.9 RPG) both shoot it well from the field (49% for Thompson, 58% for Tate) and both boast double-figure scoring potential nightly, they just need more opportunities to score.

The biggest mystery with the Buckeye offense is the disappearance of senior G Shannon Scott (7.6 PPG, 6.1 APG, 1.6 SPG). Scott is a pure point guard who’s been forced to play off the ball for long stretches as Matta funnels his offense through Russell. Not a knockdown shooter, this has forced Scott into some major struggles on offense in the past month (5.7 PPG, 3.8 APG, 32% FG, 22% 3PT in last six games).

F Marc Loving (10.9 PPG) had started for most of the season, but is working his way back slowly into the rotation after a recent suspension and has been a non-factor in the past two contests (4 points in 17 minutes versus Michigan). If exciting freshman F Keita Bates-Diop (4.5 PPG, 0.8 BPG) can continue impressing in limited minutes (12 points in 19 minutes at Michigan) he could provide Matta with another dimension on both ends of the floor with his length, versatility, and potential.

If Ohio State can glean anything from Iowa’s victory over Nebraska, it’s that the Cornhuskers aren’t playing great defense at the moment. As long as the Buckeyes can control the pace, their 49.7% FG (1st in Big Ten, 5th in NCAA) would seem to indicate that their offensive woes should come to an end now that they’re back in Columbus versus a very vulnerable opponent.


ARIZONA WILDCATS (24-3) at COLORADO BUFFALOES (12-14)

Coors Events Center – Boulder, CO
Tip-off: Thursday, 9:00 p.m. ET
Line: Arizona -10.5

Colorado tries to post a signature win during a miserable season when it hosts No. 7 Arizona on Thursday night.

The Wildcats have ripped off 10 wins in their past 11 games (8-3 ATS), which started with a 68-54 blowout of the Buffaloes on Jan. 15. That was one of Colorado's three losses to top-25 teams this season, as the club was also blown out twice by Utah by margins of 25 and 28 points.

The Buffs are 3-9 SU (4-7-1 ATS) in their past 12 games, which includes a 2-3 mark (SU and ATS) at home where they are 10-4 SU (8-5-1 ATS) this season. Arizona is 6-3 SU (5-4 ATS) in true road games this season and is also 12-2 SU (9-5 ATS) with a +17.3 PPG margin after having at least three days of rest. Colorado is 5-6 (SU and ATS) in this heavy rest scenario.

The Wildcats have dominated this series recently with five straight wins SU, all by double-digits and a +16.6 PPG margin, but the Buffaloes hold the 5-3 ATS advantage in the past eight meetings. This includes Colorado SU wins at home in 2012 and 2013, but Arizona rolled to an easy 88-61 road win in this series last February with 57 second-half points, marking its first victory in Boulder since 1973.

Arizona is excellent in nearly all facets with 75.6 PPG and only 58.7 PPG allowed for a whopping +16.9 PPG scoring margin. The team outshoots opponents by nearly 10 percent, with an offensive clip of 49.0% FG, while posting a 39.7% FG Pct. on defense. The Wildcats are able to do this with an admirable 1.2 Ast/TO ratio and +2.9 turnover margin. The only areas Arizona's offense isn't particularly strong in are three-point shooting (4.9 per game, 35.3% threes) and foul shooting (68.7% FT). The Wildcats have a very balanced offense with six players averaging at least 22.5 MPG and 8.8 PPG.

The team's scoring leader is freshman swingman Stanley Johnson (14.2 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.4 SPG), who shoots 47% FG and 36% threes. He lit up Colorado for a career-high 22 points (7-of-15 FG, 8-of-9 FT) and eight rebounds on Jan. 15, but is coming off his worst offensive showing of his career on Saturday when he made just 1-of-9 FG in the win over UCLA. Junior F Brandon Ashley (11.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG) pulled down a game-high 11 rebounds (4 offensive) to go along with seven points in last month's win versus the Buffaloes. He has also scored 11+ points in eight of his past 10 games, but was dreadful in Saturday's win with just five points on 2-of-10 shooting.

F Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (11.1 PPG, 6.6 RPG) shoots 53% FG, but was 1-for-6 FG in Saturday's win and 0-for-3 from the floor in the victory over Colorado earlier this season. But entering Saturday, the sophomore had posted 11+ points in six straight contests where he knocked down 62% of his shots. PG T.J. McConnell (9.9 PPG, 6.0 APG, 3.8 RPG) has a 50% FG clip and a stellar 3.1 Ast/TO ratio this season. He posted a well-rounded eight points, seven rebounds and six assists in the Jan. 15 victory over the Buffaloes, and is riding a five-game streak of double-figure scoring (14.0 PPG).

Seven-foot C Kaleb Tarczewski (8.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG) scored 14 points (5-of-7 FG) in just 25 minutes versus Colorado last month, and has 12.3 PPG on 70% FG (14-of-20) with 7.3 RPG in his past three games.

The Buffaloes only real chance in this game is to dominate the glass as it has done so often this season (+4.2 RPG margin). The team also blocks 4.0 shots per game, which helps limit opponents to 65.3 PPG on 41.0% FG. But this is not a good offensive club, averaging a mere 66.7 PPG on 42.4% FG and 35.1% threes. It also holds a minus-1.8 turnover margin with 13.4 turnovers committed per game.

The one consistent scorer for Colorado this season is G Askia Booker (17.0 PPG, 3.3 APG, 3.2 RPG, 1.4 SPG) who shoots 39% from the floor and 36% from three-point range. Booker scored 30 of his team's 54 points in the loss at Arizona last month, as he drained 11-of-17 shots (6-of-9 threes) with four rebounds and three assists to keep the final score somewhat respectable. Booker will need to improve greatly on Saturday's performance when he made just 2-of-14 FG in the 14-point loss at Oregon State.

C Josh Scott (12.7 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 1.8 BPG) is a presence down low with a soft touch to pull opposing big men away from the rim, and he finally looks healthy after a long absence due to a back injury. Scott didn't play in the loss in Tucson on Jan. 15, but has yanked down 30 rebounds in his past three contests to go along with 7.0 PPG.

The team's third option on offense is junior swingman Xavier Johnson (11.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG) who is coming off a strong 12-point, nine-rebound effort in Saturday's loss. Johnson did not play versus the Wildcats last month, but faced them three times last season with very different results. After scoring 21 points (7-of-12 FG) in Tucson, he made just 1-of-10 shots at home for five points, before posting a respectable 11 points and five rebounds in the Pac-12 Tournament loss to Arizona last March.
 
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NCAAB

Michigan State won/covered last four games, but three of those were on road; Spartans are 2-5 as home favorites- six of their seven home games were decided by 6 or less points or in OT. Minnesota lost its last three games by 19-6-10 points; four of its seven road losses are by 10+. They are 2-3-1 as road underdogs. Gophers are forcing turnovers 23% of time, best in conference. Big 14 home favorites of 8+ points are 7-19 vs spread.

Road team is 13-1 vs spread in Tennessee's SEC games; Vols are 2-5 in SEC home games, 0-5 as home favorites- they lost last three tilts overall, scoring 53.3 ppg. Tennessee (+4.5) won 76-73 in OT at Vanderbilt Feb 11, after they trailed by 4 with 0:10 left in regulation. Commodores won four of last five games, covering all five-- they're 3-3 as road underdogs. SEC home teams are 8-19-1 vs spread in games where the spread was 3 or less points.

Drexel (+4) won 66-62 at Delaware Jan 17, holding Blue Hens to 4-19 on arc in game they led by 12 at half. Game started Dragons on 7-1 run, but they've lost last three games since by 24-4-10 points, giving up 82 ppg. Blue Hens covered eight of last ten as an underdog, are 6-1 as road dogs, with road losses by 13-1-6-12 points. Drexel won four of last five home games, is 1-2 as a home favorite. CAA home teams are 10-13 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Louisiana Tech (+4) won 58-45 in El Paso Jan 8, holding Miners to 12 second half points in game that was tied at half. Tech won seven of its last nine games, is 3-3 as home favorite- they're 6-0 SU at home, with its last four wins all by 11+ points. UTEP won last seven games, with five of seven wins by 7 or less points; they're 5-2 on C-USA road, losing by 5 at WKU, 7 at Marshall. C-USA home teams are 28-16-1 in games where spread was 5 or less points.

Memphis (+8) lost 73-59 at SMU Jan 8; Mustangs shot 56.5% inside the arc, were +16 on boards. Tigers won/covered last three games, are 5-2 SU in AAC home games, losing to Tulane/Temple. SMU won its last four games; underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in its AAC road games- Mustangs are 2-4 as road favorites. Memphis is holding foes to 28.3% from arc SMU leads AAC, making 37.3% from arc. Home teams are 8-4-1 in AAC games where spread was 3 or less points.

UCSB (+2.5) lost 70-64 at Cal-Davis after leading by five with 9:50 left; Hawkins was 6-8 from arc, had 28 for Aggies, who've won seven games in row, are 3-1 as road underdogs, with only loss at Hawai'i by 8. UCSB won four of last five games, is 2-3 as home favorite, with wins by 8-19-1-15 points. UCSB star Williams returned for last two games, scored 13.5 ppg; he is a difference-maker for the Gauchos. Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4-2 vs spread.

Utah (-4.5) won 76-59 at Arizona State Jan 15, making 9-17 on arc and scoring 1.27 ppp; Utes are 5-1-1 as home favorites, with all seven home wins by 15+ points- they host Arizona Saturday, have to avoid looking past ASU squad that won its last three games, is 2-2 as road underdog, losing away games by 24-8-3-19-3 points, with wins at Washington and Cal. Utah leads pac-12, making 40.7% on arc; ASU is 9th in league at defending 3's. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 12-6-2 vs spread.

St Mary's played its heart out Saturday in home loss to Gonzaga, now hits road to face San Francisco squad they beat 69-56 (-6) Dec 29, with Gaels were +7 in turnovers (14-7), shot 62.5% inside arc. Gaels split last six games, are 4-0 as WCC road favorites, winning away games by 9-9-7-10-7 points, with losses at Gonzaga/BYU. USF won last three games, but lost three of last four at home- they covered four of last five as a dog. WCC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 6-4 vs spread.

Wofford (-7) nipped Mercer 49-46 at home Jan 31, in a low-possession (49) brickfest- both teams were 4-17 from arc. Terriers won three in row, 10 of last 11 games; they're 6-1 on SoCon road, with loss at Citadel their worst game of year. Mercer split its last four games; four of its last five home games were decided by 5 or less points. Home teams are 45-35 SU in SoCon, ranking 23rd of 32 leagues in home win %. SoCon home teams are 6-15 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less points.

North Dakota State scored last eight points of game, made 11-22 on arc in 72-66 (-4.5) win over Oral Roberts in Summit opener Jan 2 Titans lost in spite of going 10-15 from arc. Bison led 21-6 early on. ORU lost three of last five games, is 1-5 as a home favorite. ND State won seven of its last eight games, is 4-3 on Summit road, with two of four wins in OT. Bison's only loss in last eight games was at South Dakota State by 10. Summit League home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-11-1 vs spread.

Monmouth (+4.5) won 55-54 at Rider Jan 12, after trailing by nine with 14:31 left; Broncs were +18 in rebounds (44-26), -7 in turnovers (16-9). Hawks won four of last five games, with four of five decided by 5 or less points- they're 2-4-1 as home favorites. Rider won nine of last 12 games, is 4-1 as road underdog, with road losses by 13 at Iona, 7 at Siena. Rider is worst foul shooting team in league, but defends the 3's best in MAAC. MAAC home favorites of 3 or less points are 8-11 vs spread.

Eastern Illinois was 6-0 in OVC when Murray State (-5) beat them 77-62 Jan 22; Panthers were 5-24 from arc, Murray shot 56% inside arc in game they never trailed. Eastern lost six of last nine games, is 3-2-1 as road dog four of its last six games were decided by 8 or less points. Murray is 2-6 vs spread in its last eight games, 3-4 as hme favorite; this is Senior Night for highly successful team with three senior starters. OVC home favorites of 9+ points are 7-13 vs spread.

Montana is in three-way race with Eastern Washington/Sacramento for top seed in Big Sky; winner hosts Big Sky tournament. Griz won its last five games, three by 11+ points; they're 4-2 on Big Sky road, winning last road game in triple OT. Idaho (+7) lost 70-56 at Montana Feb 7, making 65% of 2-points shots, with +7 (17-10) turnover ratio. Griz forces TOs 21.8% of time, best in Big Sky. Big Sky home teams are 15-20 in games where spread was 3 or less points.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | SOUTHERN UTAH at N COLORADO
Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SOUTHERN UTAH) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

CBB | UT-CHATTANOOGA at VMI
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (VMI) an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after a combined score of 175 points or more
66-84 since 1997. ( 44.0% | 51.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 6.8 units )

CBB | NEBRASKA at OHIO ST
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OHIO ST) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG) after 15+ games, after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
 
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Thursday's six-pack

-- Duke 91, Virginia Tech 86 OT-- Refs pulled Dukies thru in this one, even though game was in Blacksburg.

-- Davidson 60, Rhode Island 59-- A-14 tourney is going to be tremendous.

-- Richmond 67, VCU 63, 2OT-- Rams led late in OT after being down 16 in second half, but gave up tying layup and lost in second OT.

-- Northwestern 72, Indiana 65-- Bad loss for Tom Crean.

-- Baylor 79, Iowa State 70-- Scott Drew doesn't enough credit for what he does.

-- Missouri State 80, Bradley 77, 3OT-- Two lousy teams played a great game.
 
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NCAA Basketball Betting 3-Point Play: Three Interesting Opening Lines Thursday
by Alan Matthews

Only four ranked teams in action on Thursday, and all four should have little trouble winning, although I suppose Memphis could knock off visiting No. 21 SMU. Thus, I’m taking a look at three unranked NCAA Tournament bubble teams on Thursday’s schedule. All three are at home against teams they should beat — and they will need to with the regular season coming to a close a week from Sunday. Neither Temple nor Purdue nor Stanford is winning its conference tournament, so only an at-large bid will get them in. Here’s a look.

Houston at Temple (-13.5)

This American Athletic Conference game tips at 7 p.m. on the CBS Sports Network. There’s really no way Temple should lose to the AAC’s worst team, and the Owls better not. They are currently listed among ESPN Bracketology’s “Last Four Byes.” The site has No. 11 Temple playing No. 6 Butler in a first-round game (I refuse to call that the second round). The Owls have two games left after this: at East Carolina and vs. UConn.

It’s amazing how bad the Houston (9-17, 1-13) program has become. The Cougars have lost five straight since an odd two-game winning streak that included a victory over defending national champion UConn. They lost by 10 at home to Cincinnati on Saturday. Houston was up 28-25 at the half but starting point guard L.J. Rose had to sit the second half with a foot injury. He’s one of the team’s key players, averaging 9.8 points, 5.3 assist and 2.5 rebounds in nearly 35 minutes a night but is done for the season. He missed some games earlier this year with the same problem and apparently broke it for the third time in seven months. Cavon Baker, who started six games at point guard to begin the season, returned to practice this week after a four-game suspension for violation of team policy. He might take Rose’s spot. Temple (19-9, 10-5) is going the wrong way, coming off losses to SMU and Tulsa, although those two are the best teams in the AAC. The Owls managed only 39 points on Sunday at Tulsa and were 1-for-14 from 3-point range. Temple can’t shoot at all, ranking near the bottom of Division I in field-goal percentage at 38 percent.

The Owls have held opponents to 60.1 ppg in conference play, which is 18.0 ppg better than last season to rank second nationally in terms of differential. Houston won both of last year’s meetings, the first two ever between the schools.

Key trends: Houston is 3-8 ATS in its past 11 vs. teams with a winning record. The Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their past eight on the road. The Owls are 5-0 ATS in their past five vs. teams with a losing record. Temple is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 after scoring less than 50 points in its previous game.

Why take the favorite: Houston has quit and Temple is duly motivated.

Rutgers at Purdue (-14)

This Big Ten game is at 9 p.m. ET on ESPNU, and Purdue can’t afford a slip up. The Boilermakers are, like Temple, currently in the “Last Four Byes,” but apparently literally the last overall bye. Purdue is a No. 11 facing No. 6 Georgetown in the first round. The Boilers finish with three tough games: at Ohio State, at Michigan State and home to Illinois.

Purdue (18-9, 10-4) has won three straight and seven of eight, with the only loss a close at Minnesota. During that stretch, Purdue has allowed just 59.3 points per game, which would be good for second in the Big Ten if over the whole season. The Boilers completed an impressive sweep of rival Indiana last Thursday, 67-63 in Bloomington. Purdue’s 7-foot center, A.J. Hammons, had 20 points, including two free throws with 4.3 seconds left to clinch the Boilers’ first win at Indiana in four years. Hammons was named Big Ten Player of the Week on Monday. Purdue held Indiana to 16.6 points below its pregame scoring average and has held all 14 Big Ten opponents under their pre-game scoring average during regulation. Rutgers (10-18, 2-13), not surprisingly, is the worst team in the Big Ten. It was clobbered 84-54 at home by Indiana on Sunday. IU shot 53.4 percent to Rutgers’ 37 percent. The Scarlet Knights’ 11-game losing streak is the school’s longest since 1988.

Rutgers hosted Purdue on Feb. 12 and lost 61-51. Hammons had 17 points, seven rebounds and four blocks. Kadeem Jack had 16 points and eight rebounds to lead Rutgers, which was down 29-16 at the half and shot 33.3 percent overall.

Key trends: Rutgers is 0-5 ATS in its past five after a loss. Purdue is 4-0 ATS in its past four at home. The Boilers are 17-5 ATS in their past 22 Big Ten games. They are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 vs. teams with a losing record.

Why take the favorite: Rutgers is ready for season to end and Boilers are playing great.

Oregon State at Stanford (-9.5)

This tips at 11 p.m. ET on the Pac-12 Network, and Stanford is another bubble team that 100 percent can’t lose at home. The Cardinal are listed as the first of the “First Four Out.” I’m not sure I see Stanford getting in because it finishes at home vs. Oregon, at Arizona State and at Arizona. One loss seems guaranteed and three possible.

The Cardinal (17-9, 8-6) finished off a season sweep of rival Cal with a 72-61 home win Saturday. Stanford leading scorer Chasson Randle scored 19 points and had a career-high eight assists. Anthony Brown added 16 points and 11 rebounds, while Michael Humphrey tallied 14 points and 11 rebounds. Stanford was playing its third straight game without junior forward Rosco Allen, who is out indefinitely with a back injury. He is averaging 8.8 points and 5.0 rebounds in 28 minutes per night. Oregon State (17-10, 8-7) was picked to finish last in the Pac-12 but should get an NIT bid. The Beavers ended a three-game losing streak with Saturday’s 72-58 win over Colorado. OSU held the Buffs to 12 points on 3-for-21 shooting in leading by 22 at intermission. Gary Payton II led Oregon State with 24 points, a school-record seven blocks, five rebounds and four steals. The Beavers are 15-1 at home, the best mark in school history. Obviously they aren’t good on the road.

This is only meeting between Stanford and Oregon State in the regular season. Stanford is 19-1 at home against the Beavers since 1993. An upset would equal OSU’s most conference wins since 1989-90.

Key trends: OSU is 2-7 ATS in its past nine games. It is 0-4 ATS in its past four on the road. Stanford is 1-5 ATS in its past six games.

Why take the favorite: Again, I like the team with something to play for.
 
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NBA Odds and Predictions: Thursday, February 26 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

Just the two NBA on TNT games on this Thursday’s schedule, but they are pretty big ones. There’s a potential NBA Finals preview between the Warriors and Cavaliers in Cleveland to open the doubleheader. That is the +300 favored exact Finals matchupon Sportsbook. Then the Thunder visit the Suns in the nightcap as those two are fighting for the last playoff spot in the Western Conference. I fully expect Oklahoma City to take that no matter how long Kevin Durant is out.

Warriors at Cavaliers (-3.5, 215.5)

Cleveland was favored to win the Eastern Conference regardless, but the Cavaliers clearly caught a break with the torn meniscus discovery in the right knee of Bulls star Derrick Rose. That likely rules him out for the season and just about ends any shot the Bulls had of beating Cleveland in a playoff series. Chicago has risen all the way to +1500 on Sportsbook.ag to win the East. Think of how amazing it is how few games LeBron James has missed in his career. Even Michael Jordan missed most of one season.

The Cavs won their third straight and 17th in the past 19 on Tuesday, 102-93 in Detroit. LeBron had 19 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds but also nine turnovers. He moved past Hall of Famer Scottie Pippen for first place on the NBA’s all-time list for assists by a forward. Kevin Love had 24 points, all on 3-pointers. Cleveland was down by 14 with less than 11 minutes left in the third quarter but then went on a 20-3 run. Golden State bounced back from an upset loss in Indiana on Sunday with a 114-107 victory in Washington on Tuesday. Steph Curry returned from a one-game absence and had 32 points and eight assists. Golden State was outshot and killed on the boards but forced 26 Washington turnovers.

Cleveland visited Golden State on Jan. 9 and lost 112-94, but that was when the Cavaliers were playing some of their worst basketball of the season. Also, some guy named LeBron didn’t play for the Cavs. Klay Thompson had 24 points, Curry 23 points and 10 assists, and Draymond Green was two assists shy of a triple-double in the victory. The Warriors were really rolling back then. It was their sixth straight win overall and 14th straight at home. J.R. Smith scored 27 points, Kyrie Irving had 23, and Love added 17 points and 14 rebounds for the Cavaliers. The Warriors outscored Cleveland 36-3 in fast-break points. Cleveland head coach David Blatt was all set to become an assistant to Steve Kerr on the Warriors bench before backing out when the Cavaliers wanted him for the head-coaching gig.

Key trends: The Warriors have covered eight of their past 10 vs. teams with a winning record. Golden State has covered only one of its past eight against the East. Cleveland has covered nine in a row against the West. It is 9-1 ATS in its past 10 at home. The “over/under” has gone under in five of the Warriors’ past six games. The under is 6-0 in Cleveland’s past six at home against teams with a winning road record.

Early lean: Cavaliers and under.

Thunder at Suns (+5, 217)

It’s the second of a back-to-back for Phoenix, which had to play in the thin air of Denver on Wednesday night. That’s never easy to recover from just 24 hours later. Oklahoma City, again without Kevin Durant, won its seventh straight Tuesday, 105-92 against the visiting Pacers. Russell Westbrook continued to put up crazy numbers with 20 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists despite sitting the entire fourth quarter with the game not close. Westbrook has six games this month with 20 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. The rest of the league has five. Westbrook needs to start getting MVP love. The Thunder are now 9-1 this month.

Oklahoma City is 2-0 vs. Phoenix this season. The Thunder won at home 112-88 on Dec. 14 behind 28 points, eight rebounds and eight assists from Westbrook. Durant had 23 points and eight rebounds. The Thunder made nine of their first 11 shots and never trailed. Gerald Green led Phoenix with only 15 points. The Suns didn’t have the since-traded Goran Dragic in the game. Oklahoma City had won 11 straight games against the Suns before dropping the last two meetings against Phoenix last season. On New Year’s Eve, also in Oklahoma City, the Thunder won 137-134 in overtime. Durant had 44 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. It was all needed as Westbrook was ejected after picking up two technical fouls late in the first half. Markieff Morris missed a 3-pointer at the end of regulation to win it for Phoenix. Eric Bledsoe led the Suns with 29 points and Morris had 25. Phoenix has lost eight straight in Oklahoma City.

Key trends: The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in their past seven games. The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their past 10 vs. teams with a winning record. The over is 4-1 in the past five meetings.

Early lean: Thunder and over.
 
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NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Allen *******

Take #512 Tennessee (-1.5) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 26)
I have been sizzling with my college basketball predictions lately, posting a sweet run of 9 of 11 winning nights and nailing my 7-Unit ACC Game of the Year with Syracuse winning outright over Notre Dame as an eight-point underdog. I will have another 5-Unit Play this weekend, and I am going to continue my excellent work. Both of these teams have been banged up lately. But that hurts Vanderbilt more since they don’t have the depth that the Vols do. Vanderbilt could be without two players because of concussions. The Vols already won at Vandy this year. Vanderbilt is nowhere near as good on the road, so I think Tennessee has enough to get the sweep. The Vols have lost three straight and are desperate for a win to get things turned around. Those wins were against LSU, Kentucky and at Ole Miss, so they weren’t bad losses. Tennessee has beaten Vanderbilt in seven of the last nine meetings and in five of the last six. They have dominated this series. They are at home and they need this win. Tennessee gets the job done.
 
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NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Jason Sharpe

Take #543 Rutgers (+15) over Purdue (9 p.m., Thursday, Feb. 26)
Jason Sharpe had a big weekend last week, and this Thursday he has a 6-Unit Game of the Month from another one of the small college basketball conferences that he watches very closely. Sharpe will have another huge Saturday card, highlighted by his 7-Unit College Hoops Game of the Year. This is a game that Purdue could take lightly, especially coming in off three straight wins with one of those over this Rutgers squad just two weeks earlier. This is also a game sandwiched in between three huge contests for the Boilermakers and their NCAA tournament hopes. Rutgers has had the misfortune of a team whose last four opponents came in off a big loss their game before Rutgers. These four teams took their frustrations out on the Scarlet Knights, who just happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Two bad losses in a row should wake them up for this contest. Every point can be huge in a low-scoring game like this one is expected to be. This looks to be way too many points here. Take Rutgers and the points in this one.
 
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Honda Classic: Golf betting preview and picks
By Matt Fargo

The PGA Tour ended its West Coast swing with James Hahn winning the Northern Trust Open in a playoff over Paul Casey and Dustin Johnson last week. They head east for the Florida swing as it is time to start gearing up for the Masters which is coming up quick, just seven weeks away.

This week it is the Honda Classic from the Champion Course at PGA National, a Jack Nicklaus re-design, makring the ninth year it has hosted the event.

In 2010 and 2011, PGA National was ranked as the hardest Par-70 course on tour of the non-major layouts as players averaged 2.54 shots over par. Three years ago, it was the second hardest of the Par-70 non-majors and in 2013, it again ranked as the hardest Par-70, averaging plus-1.32 shots over par. Last year, however, things were a lot different as scoring was an all-time low at just 0.48 over par. There was no real rhyme or reason behind it and we should see it revert back to difficult status.

This is true test of golf and a lot of the players who have won here have gone on to bigger and better things. Since 1990, five different winners of the tournament have gone on to win a major championship in their careers. And twice the winner has gone on to win a major in the same year. Seven years ago, it was Y.E. Yang who brought home the over $1 million prize and then went on to win the PGA Championship, holding off Tiger Woods in a classic duel on Sunday.

We have a very strong field in Palm Beach Gardens, which is typically the case for the Florida swing leadoff event. Sixteen of the Top 25 players are in the field this week including Rory McIlroy, Martin Kaymer, Victor Dubuisson and Graeme McDowell, who are all making their 2015 PGA Tour debuts. The 16 are an all-time high for the Honda Classic. Additionally, 28 of the Top 50 are here. The forecast calls for the chance of rain throughout with heavy wind during the first two days.

Justin Rose (+2,200) missed the cut in his first 2015 start at the Farmers but that can be solely attributed to a thumb injury that occurred right before the tournament when he fell. He is back to full health and certainly isn’t intimidated by Rory. He did not start here in 2014 and 2011 but his other three starts at the Honda since 2010 resulted in a T4, T5 and solo third.

While McIlroy has a win and a solo second the last three years, Keegan Bradley (+2,500) has been the most consistent player over the last three years. After missing the cut in 2011, he has gone T12, T4 and T12, so we should see him do well again. He has not missed a cut all season long and he has three Top 5s including a T4 last week at the Northern Trust Open.

Graeme McDowell (+3,000) is making his 2015 PGA Tour debut at a course he’s excelled at. He’s never missed a cut in six career Honda Classic starts which includes a run the last five years. A poor weekend pushed him to T46 last year but the three previous years resulted in a T9, T9 and T6. That includes a pair of 64s, so he has the ability to go low here.

Graham DeLaet (+5,000) is way overdue for a breakout victory and why not have it come here. He was in contention at Riviera last week but he couldn’t recover from a costly double bogey on No. 2 Sunday and settled for a T8. It was his second Top 10 in three starts and his 16th over the last three years. He has been up and down here but finished T9 in his last start in 2013.

Chris Stroud (+20,000) is a massive long shot this week but there’s a ton of value in this number. Over the last five years, only five players have made the cut every year at the Honda Classic and Stroud is one of them. That includes a T12, T13 and T9 the last three years. After missing the cut in his first three 2015 events, he has bounced back with a T45 and a T30 the last two weeks.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the Honda Classic – All for 1 Unit

Justin Rose (+2,200)
Keegan Bradley (+2,500)
Graeme McDowell (+3,000)
Graham DeLaet (+5,000)
Chris Stroud (+20,000)

2015 record to date after six events: +35.5 Units.

Hyundai Tournament of Champions -5 Units
Humana Challenge +24 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open +8.5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +18 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units.
 

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