Brandon Shively
Houston vs. New Orleans
Pick: Houston
After a long break, it’s time to get back to the money and that starts Thursday Night. I am going to advise taking a closer look at the Houston Astros as a small road favorite. The Rockets have been consistently good this year when coming off a loss where they shot 45% or lower from the floor. That is the case tonight as they lost to Miami before the break, shooting only 42% from the floor.
This season, the Rockets are 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS off a loss and if they shot 45% or below from the floor. This year, when they Rockets are off a home loss (regardless of their shooting %), they are a PERFECT 4-0 SU and ATS as a road favorite the next game. They have won ALL 4 games by double digits.
The Pelicans made the news over the All Star Break by acquiring DeMarcus Cousins. This is obviously a huge pickup for the team and indicates the Pelicans want to see the Playoffs this year. This trade should allow them to do so, but I expect it to take time for the power combo to fully click. I expect the offense to struggle at times tonight with efficiency. The Pelicans are also not as deep in the backcourt after getting rid of Buddy Held and Tyreke Evans. Now a rusty Tim Frazier and an inconsistent E'twaun Moore will look to get more minutes. (The Pelicans are 0-3 ATS this year when Moore plays 30+ minutes. They are 0-6 SU their L6 home games when Frazier plays 25 minutes or more. I don’t know how many minutes they will play, but I expect a heavy load as the bench is thin right now. and SU thier L7 when Frazier plays.
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS their L5 games as a home underdog of 5 points or less. Home Dogs in the NBA that are coming off two wins as a road dog are a lousy 8-21 straight up and 10-19 ATS, covering only 34% of the time since 1996. Look for the Pelicans to try and work on their offense and for the Rockets to mash the gas and have no mercy.
Houston vs. New Orleans
Pick: Houston
After a long break, it’s time to get back to the money and that starts Thursday Night. I am going to advise taking a closer look at the Houston Astros as a small road favorite. The Rockets have been consistently good this year when coming off a loss where they shot 45% or lower from the floor. That is the case tonight as they lost to Miami before the break, shooting only 42% from the floor.
This season, the Rockets are 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS off a loss and if they shot 45% or below from the floor. This year, when they Rockets are off a home loss (regardless of their shooting %), they are a PERFECT 4-0 SU and ATS as a road favorite the next game. They have won ALL 4 games by double digits.
The Pelicans made the news over the All Star Break by acquiring DeMarcus Cousins. This is obviously a huge pickup for the team and indicates the Pelicans want to see the Playoffs this year. This trade should allow them to do so, but I expect it to take time for the power combo to fully click. I expect the offense to struggle at times tonight with efficiency. The Pelicans are also not as deep in the backcourt after getting rid of Buddy Held and Tyreke Evans. Now a rusty Tim Frazier and an inconsistent E'twaun Moore will look to get more minutes. (The Pelicans are 0-3 ATS this year when Moore plays 30+ minutes. They are 0-6 SU their L6 home games when Frazier plays 25 minutes or more. I don’t know how many minutes they will play, but I expect a heavy load as the bench is thin right now. and SU thier L7 when Frazier plays.
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS their L5 games as a home underdog of 5 points or less. Home Dogs in the NBA that are coming off two wins as a road dog are a lousy 8-21 straight up and 10-19 ATS, covering only 34% of the time since 1996. Look for the Pelicans to try and work on their offense and for the Rockets to mash the gas and have no mercy.
