Thursday 12/8/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

There was good news coming out of the Del Mar after the Pick 6 fiasco on Sunday, which was closing day. Del Mar will now pay off those ticket holders that had 5 of 6, each ticket worth $81.60.

Social Media was in an uproar on Sunday after there was no consolation payoff on closing day, despite the fact there were consolation payouts during the meeting.

I posted Del Mar’s statements in yesterday’s column, and to avoid even more bad publicity, they have elected to take the hit and pay off horseplayers.

Here is the latest press release:

Because of the confusion caused by application of the ARCI rule, Del Mar has decided to provide a special payment of $81.60 to those with five of six winners. The track’s pari-mutuel records show that there were 1,095 tickets with five winners and they would have divided 15% of the net pool, which would have amounted to the sum of $89,352.00, or $81.60 per ticket.

The track has set up a series of options for those who correctly bet five of six winners to access their return according to how they made their bets. They include Advance Deposit Wagering (ADW) accounts and actual tickets purchased at Del Mar or through brick and mortar satellites or locations.

“We realize the confusion that existed on closing day and we want to make this right for our valued customers,” said Bill Navarro, Del Mar’s director of mutuels. “We not only value our customers, but we also value a sense of fairness. In this case we’re going to say to everyone involved that we hear you and understand how you feel that the letter of the law unfairly affected you. There is no better way to do that than to pay those who believed they had a consolation prize coming their way.”

Del Mar’s Single Ticket Jackpot Pick Six was different from other “Jackpot” arrangements (like those in Northern California and Florida) in that the seaside track paid consolation prizes all along even as the pool grew over the course of its meeting. The Sunday “mandatory payout” was the first of its kind under the new arrangement where the “no consolations” provision took effect.

Those who had selected five of six winners in the December 4 Pick Six wager and bet it through their ADWs can contact their providers and have the consolation prize credited to their accounts. Those who retained their tickets can bring or mail them to Del Mar to receive payment. Those who made the bet but did not retain their tickets can fill out an affidavit with ticket details. Del Mar has methods of tracking each individual ticket.

It was further noted that because the ARCI rule required that the entire pool be paid as it was, those who had consolations along with a winning Pick Six ticket, or tickets, had already received their consolation prizes in the form of a payout that amounted to approximately $2,030 more than would have been realized had the consolations been paid. Such tickets are not eligible for this special distribution as a result.

Del Mar requests that those who believe they are affected by this situation call the track at a special number that has been set up to deal with the situation. That number is: (858) 794-1019. Those mailing tickets to Del Mar should send them to: DMTC, P.O. Box 700, Del Mar, CA 92014-0700 Attn: Accounting Department. All mailings must be postmarked on or before February 15, 2017 to be valid.

That is good news and showed that the power of Twitter can make a change, although I hope in the future tracks will make things clear before the you know what hits the fan.


Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:

GP Race 1 Clm $6,250 (12:35 ET)
#2 Crazy Frank C 9-2
#5 Curlin's Gem 7-2
#6 Flashing Cat 5-2
#7 Metroliner 12-1

Analysis: Crazy Frank C was bumped coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace, made a good middle move and weakened to finish fourth last out for this tag. The gelding is bred to handle a wet track and has won 2 of 6 on the off going. He makes his second start off the claim by the Budhoo barn and the 9-2 morning line looks fair enough.

Curlin's Gem made a mild late run to finish fourth last out for this tag going six furlongs. he gets an extra furlong and should get some pace to run at here. He has run pretty well on wet tracks with a win and a couple of thirds in four trips and all three of his career wins have been over the main track here.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,5 / 2,5,6,7
TRI: 2,5 / 2,5,6,7 / 2,5,6,7,8

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 9 OClm $12,500N1X (4:32 ET)
#1 Bull Dozer 6-1
#7 Kokomo Wildcat 2-1
#8 Behzad's Pride 10-1
#11 Spintalk 5-1

Analysis: Bull Dozer stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to just miss by a neck last out against Alw-1 optional claimers at Gulfstream Park West. The gelding makes his third start off the claim by the Navarro barn and is in a softer spot here taking on state breds. We have a good shot of seeing a wet track today and this gelding has landed the exacta in 5 of 7 trips on off going. The barn picked up a couple of wins and a second on opening day and another juicy win in yesterday's opener.

Kokomo Wildcat set the early fractions and battled on gamely in a tough neck loss last out at this level on turf. The third and fourth place finishers in that race came back to win next out. Two and three back this gelding was third and second, running into repeat winners in both of those outings. He is better on the main track and has a runner up finish in two trips over wet tracks and is bred top and bottom to handle a wet track.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,7,8,11
TRI: 1,7 / 1,7,8,11 / 1,7,8,9,11

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Gulfstream Park
R1: #7 Metroliner 12-1
R2: #7 Caddy Cat 8-1
R3: #2 Cowboy’s Hero 8-1
R4: #6 Tommy’s Top Cat 8-1
R5: #12 Taco Wayne’s Shot 10-1
R6: #7 Command Peter 8-1
R8: #3 Rio Vista 10-1
R8: #11 Starship Reina 8-1
R9: #8 Behzad’s Pride 10-1
R10: #4 Sweet Abdication 8-1
R10: #7 Silvera 12-1

Good luck today!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 12:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$3300 - SIX YEAR OLDS AND UNDER N/W 2 PM A/O $5000 LT
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 FRED MERTZ 3/1
# 7 SUMMER MOONSHINE 5/2
# 4 HOT CROSS DUNN 9/2

After thorough analysis by the handicapping team, FRED MERTZ comes out as the top selection. Could surprise us at a favorable price. Don't leave out. Could surprise us at a good price. Don't leave out. Comes into this outing with good TrackMaster class markings in relationship to the field of starters - worth a look. SUMMER MOONSHINE - Has very good speed ratings and clearly has to be considered for a play in this event. This pick will feel the change in med - with second time Lasix today. HOT CROSS DUNN - The trainer Huckabone has a special way with this gelding, regularly cashing in their races.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$10000 - CLAIMING $15,000 FOR NW $60,000 LIFETIME.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 6 GIANT MUSCLES 3/1
# 5 VICS ROYAL LADY 4/1
# 3 ELEGANT HOLIDAY 10/1

GIANT MUSCLES has a great shot to take this affair. Fans should always give a second look to contenders starting from the 6 hole as the ROI is much better than you would expect. This gelding has been racing against some of the most competitive horses in this group of animals within the recent past. Is a sharp choice given the 73 TrackMaster speed fig from his most recent affair. VICS ROYAL LADY - May provide us a ultimate prize based on good recent speed ratings - earning an average of 77. Surely the class of the group of animals with an average rating of 78. A nice pick. ELEGANT HOLIDAY - Might be there at a nice price tag. Clearly one to keep in your exotics.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 77

FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 3 THANKS GOD 7/2

# 6 BEEN WAITING 3/1

# 7 CADDY CAT 8/1

I've got to go with THANKS GOD. His chances to prove victorious are much better today facing this easier field. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 76 - of his last affair. The average class figure of 67 makes this horse hard to beat. BEEN WAITING - He has been racing well lately while recording strong Equibase Speed Figs. This colt looks very good in this competition since Servis has a strong winning percentage with horses going this distance. CADDY CAT - Has been running solidly lately and will probably be up on the front end early on. Strong returns have been scored by investors using this rider and conditioner duo as of late.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 60

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 6 HARRY IN THE WOODS 8/1

# 4 SULTAN OF SWATARA 5/2

# 3 FLYING MONKEY 3/1

HARRY IN THE WOODS looks to be a quite good contender especially at 8/1. The speed figure of 63 from his last contest looks very good in here. The Equibase class figure of today's affair is much lower than his last contest. Has some encouraging handicapping angles which make this one a play. SULTAN OF SWATARA - He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of horses in this race. Is a solid contender - given the 51 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. FLYING MONKEY - Overall the Speed Figures of this racer look strong in this affair. The average class figure alone makes this one a key contender.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #7 - Post: 3:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#9 SENECA SALLY (ML=7/2)
#5 MISCHIEF CAT (ML=10/1)
#6 GIRLS FIRST (ML=4/1)


SENECA SALLY - Have to make this filly a win candidate; she comes off a solid effort on November 25th. Look at this pattern of improvement. 54/65/70 are the last three Equibase speed figs. MISCHIEF CAT - Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +170. This jockey/conditioner duo has done well together over the last twelve months. Big pedigree statistics on this one. She'll likely be right there at the finish line. Finished out of the money last out at Golden Gate Fields, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 10/1 makes me think she's got a chance. GIRLS FIRST - First-timer has been working over this very track. I think that's a big plus in her favor. The addition of Lasix might make this animal wake up in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 TOTALLY JADED (ML=5/2), #1 LEMON TWISTER (ML=6/1), #7 AWAKEN HOPE (ML=6/1),

TOTALLY JADED - Will be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list. LEMON TWISTER - No wager value on this one at the probable odds of 6/1. AWAKEN HOPE - This filly hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Difficult to wager on her in this event. This horse just hasn't looked sharp of late.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SENECA SALLY - I start with the class horse in the bunch then work my way down. This one's got the top earnings per start. No need to look further.
*
**

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #9 SENECA SALLY to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

9 with [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:

Skip
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Hawthorne - Race #9 - Post: 4:55pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#10 OUTLAWJOE (ML=5/1)
#7 HANDSOME SEAN (ML=10/1)


OUTLAWJOE - I'm expecting this mount to run a strong race this time out. HANDSOME SEAN - Ulloa and Haran perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +339 return on investment for a jockey and trainer. This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's race is a shorter trip and should promote his chances. Haran gets a break on this horse carrying 7 lbs less than last out. Its possible this could make the difference in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MUNCHER (ML=3/1), #1 MARCHING IN FRONT (ML=7/2), #9 RIVER PLACE (ML=9/2),

MUNCHER - This questionable contender just hasn't been winning as the favorite. This gelding recorded a fig in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. MARCHING IN FRONT - Unlikely that this equine will finish better than he did last time out when finishing seventh. RIVER PLACE - In the last affair this questionable contender finished seventh. Doesn't look good for his chances in today's event.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HANDSOME SEAN - This steed has recorded gains in his speed figures over his last two contests. Don't overlook this gelding in your gambling.
**
*


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #10 OUTLAWJOE on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:20 PM EASTERN POST

6.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $50,000.00 CLAIMING $44,000.00 PURSE

#5 LORD COMMANDER
#2 BLACK TIDE
#1 MANIPULATED
#3 GORGEOUS CHARLI

#5 LORD COMMANDER, the overall speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, takes a class drop (-3), and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in his last two starts. Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer Todd Pletcher send him to the post ... they've hit the board with 52% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #2 BLACK TIDE, a 6-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of his last three outings, missing a "Circle Trip" in his last start by just a "photographed neck" at the wire.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/8 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,2,6,9/8/1,5,7/1,5,7/1,2,5 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5,7/1,2,5/4/2,5,9,10 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,5,9,10/4,5,6,8/1/2,3,5 = $48

MEET STATS: 44 - 166 / $244.00 BEST BETS: 8 - 16 / $25.80

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 16 / $15.20

Best Bet: EMPTYTHETILL (10th)

Spot Play: SHOOTER INTHECREEK (2nd)


Race 1

(2) LYONS DELIGHT improved with McNair driving last time. He sticks here and this isn't a tough field; top call. (1) FANCOURT is one-for-one and he qualified okay with the trainer driving; using. (6) CLOUSEAU HANOVER was a decent third last time at a big price, but that was off an inside following trip and he could be over bet here. (9) EAS IDEAL has some ability but he is hampered by slow starts. Henry may try to send him this time, which would give him a better shot.

Race 2

(8) SHOOOTER INTHECREEK faced better last time and came under siege on the backstretch. Returning quicker, he should be tough vs. easier foes. (4) BLUE FOX goes first time for Weller while shipping in and he gets immediate results quite often, although lately it seems many of these types have been racing better in their second starts for him. (5) HUGHGETTHECREDIT steps up off a nice win first time for Cullen. He should factor here. (7) PUTNAMS LEGACY can take a smaller share if he starts his move earlier this time.

Race 3

(5) CORE FUSION gets his easiest spot yet and he should graduate here. (7) SYLVIA EXPRESS returns to a bigger track, similar to the one which she won on two back, and she adds Lasix; using. (1) VASCO BI closed well but was too far back last week. He will need a good start from the tricky rail post here. (3) ROYAL INTRIGUE - a $17,000 Lexington buy - could hit the ticket in this debut race off a decent December 1st qualifier.

Race 4

(5) IMSPORTY should get a better trip starting from the middle of the gate here. (7) JUST A THOUGHT was hung the mile yet didn't fade horribly last time; using. (1) EAST END raced well in his first start for a tag. He is another to consider for multi-race bets. (9) OCAPTAIN MYCAPTAIN woke up in his last two starts in Ohio. He is worth a look here.

Race 5

(2) HOOSIER YOUR DALI raced okay off a three-week break last time and now he returns in a week for his second start over the track. This trainer wins his share every year here with shippers; slight nod. (1) I WANNA BE GEARED is a threat to lead all the way off the Johnson claim. (5) PYLATER is usually tough in this class despite his obvious soundness issues. (9) CALGARY SEELSTER should be an early pace threat, at a minimum.

Race 6

(4) KILMER ROAD took a ton of action last time but he never got going after getting away far back early from the tricky inside post. He should have a much better chance here. (8) PRINCE OF MINTO should be closer moving away from the 10-hole. (2) PICK UP THE TAB improved for Macdonald last time and he sticks here. He should take another slice. (7) GUSCREST is capable of hitting the ticket coming off a break.

Race 7

(5) TWO SIDES OF LOVE was patiently driven last time but she couldn't reach a tough winner in the stretch. She can bounce back here and take her second win. (10) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL finished behind a couple of decent fillies last time and she is worth including here - even from this post. (9) MADDYS CREDIT drops back to a class where she should be more effective. (2) ON THE MINJUTE MARK also faces easier here and is worth a look.

Race 8

(5) VICS ROYAL LADY has been racing well from close range out of town. She took her season's mark at this track and she should be prominent here. (6) GIANT MUSCLES set some quick splits in his first race for a tag and tired late. If he gets a breather here, he will be very tough. (4) ASTERIX could last much longer here in for a tag and starting from a better post. (8) SUMMAJESTIC finished well last time. Consider him for vertical wagers at a price.

Race 9

(1) MR MATCH ON BEACH failed to hold on as a big chalk last time but he stacks up well in this field and he can make amends - likely at a short price again. (4) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED goes for Weller here shipping in off an improved race on November 17th; using. (5) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE came so close to finally breaking his maiden last week, but it appears as a slice will be what he gets here again. (2) JRS BIG BUDDY projects to get a better trip here, so he should make the ticket.

Race 10

(2) EMPTYTHETILL had good late pace racing from an impossible spot last time. He should be right there in his second start for Auciello. (3) FRONTIER SEELSTER paced a 27-flat third 1/4 yet couldn't clear last time. A similar move here could result in a brush-and-crush. (5) BUGATTI couldn't hold off the winner after setting solid splits and dueling with a rival that was hung the mile last time. A better trip could see him in the winner's circle here. (7) GIVE EM BACK rarely misses a check and he has a penchant for finishing third. (1) MAX IS BACK can take a small slice off an inside following trip here.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Spot Plays

For Thursday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Aqueduct (2nd) Frosty Appeal, 5-1
(7th) Saratoga Giro, 3-1


Charles Town (4th) Anthem Singer, 6-1
(6th) U and Tequila, 3-1


Delta Downs (8th) Half Pence, 4-1
(9th) Yesjan, 9-2


Fair Grounds (3rd) Red Corvette, 6-1
(9th) My Man Colton, 3-1


Golden Gate Fields (6th) The Happy Count, 9-2
(7th) Seneca Sally, 7-2


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Thanks Gold, 7-2
(5th) Royal Chapeau, 4-1


Hawthorne (5th) Proud Kitten, 5-1
(7th) Ready By You, 8-1


Los Alamitos (1st) Cammy’s Music, 4-1
(2nd) Just Bookin, 3-1


Penn National (2nd) Helloitsme, 3-1
(4th) Divine Kitten, 4-1


Turfway Park (4th) Neighborhood Cat, 5-1
(6th) Determined Braedon, 4-1
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Thursday’s six-pack

— Ian Desmond signs with Colorado for five years, $70M; he is expected to play 1B, unless the Rockies trade one of their OFs.

— White Sox traded Adam Eaton to Washington; they got four prospects in return. Eaton is overvalued by the sabermetric*guys.

— Colorado 68, Xavier 66— Important win for the Pac-12.

— Grand Canyon 76, San Diego State 72— Very bad loss for the Mountain West.

— Aroldis Chapman gets $86M for five years to be the closer in the Bronx.

— Cubs replace Chapman by trading Jorge Soler to the Royals for Wade Davis.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,809
Messages
13,573,442
Members
100,871
Latest member
Legend813
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com