Thursday 11/12/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Odds
by Alan Matthews

Pretty much every Thursday night NFL game this season has been ugly to watch, and maybe this Thursday's will too. That quick turnaround simply leads to sloppy football. But the matchup between the Bills and Jets should be pretty fun, at least leading up, because it's Buffalo coach Rex Ryan's return to the Big Apple for the first time since the Jets fired the blustery Ryan following last season.

Ryan has never been afraid to do or say what he wants. It's what makes him an interesting guy and good television. Already he is up to old tricks. Ryan this week named IK Enemkpali as one of the team captains for the game. Enemkpali made headlines in August while as a member of the Jets. He sucker-punched then starting quarterback Geno Smith, breaking Smith's jaw -- over a reported $600 debt -- and knocking him out of action for several weeks. Frankly, that worked out great for the Jets as Ryan Fitzpatrick has been very solid in Smith's place and has a hold on that job now.

Enemkpali was immediately cut by the Jets and signed by the Bills. The guy isn't a regular and only plays on special teams, so Ryan is definitely thumbing his nose at the Jest franchise even though Ryan has said: "it's not a slap in anybody's face. It is not a sign of disrespect. It's just what we do."

Ryan said he has a tradition of designating players who are playing against their former teams as game-day captains. He did make former Dolphin Richie Incognito a captain against Miami last week; Incognito previously left the Dolphins under ugly bullying accusations.

Bills at Jets Betting Story Lines

This game is potentially vital for a wild-card spot because neither the Bills (4-4) or Jets (5-3) are obviously catching the unbeaten Patriots in the AFC East. Currently, New York holds the No. 5 spot with Buffalo at No. 7 and a half-game back of Pittsburgh. The Steelers are going to be without star QB Ben Roethlisberger at least for this week's game and maybe longer, so that could help both the Jets and Bills. Buffalo does appear to have the tougher schedule remaining with five of its final eight, including this one, on the road. This starts a three-game road trip (up next: New England). Also including this, the Jets have four at home and four on the road. The Jets visit the Bills in Week 17.

New York is off a too-close 28-23 win over the visiting Jaguars on Sunday. Fitzpatrick played through a torn ligament in his left thumb and completed 21-for-34 for 272 yards and two scores. But the Jets' formerly top-ranked running attack managed all of 29 yards on 28 carries. And that Jets' defense, also once the best in the NFL, was very shaky for a third straight game, allowing the Jags 436 total yards and seven plays of 25 yards or more. Over the past three games, the Jets are allowing 29 points per game and have given up 1,240 total yards. For the first time since 1986, the Jets have allowed a 300-yard passer in three consecutive games. Cornerbacks Antonio Cromartie and Buster Skrine have really been getting toasted of late. Even Darrelle Revis has looked mortal.

The Jets for sure will be without kicker Nick Folk and probably won't have Cromartie, safety Calvin Pryor or right guard Willie Colon due to injury. Safety Dion Bailey also is likely to sit. To replace Folk, who was placed on season-ending IR, the team signed former Texans kicker Randy Bullock. He was waived in September by Houston after missing a 43-yard field goal and an extra point in a Week 3 win over Tampa.

Buffalo came off its bye week and played one of its best games of the season Sunday in beating the Dolphins 33-17 to complete a season sweep. Ryan loves to run the ball first and foremost, and the Bills gashed the Fins for 266 yards on the ground. Both LeSean McCoy (16 carries, 112 yards, one TD) and rookie Karlos Williams (nine carries, 110 yards, two TDs) topped the century mark. Williams is the seventh player in NFL history to score a touchdown in each of his first five career games. Buffalo has the No. 2 rushing attack in the NFL (141.6 ypg), while New York is No. 1 against it (80.6 ypg).

Presumably, Revis will be locked on Buffalo No. 1 receiver Sammy Watkins here. Watkins has had an injury-plagued year but blew up for eight catches for a career-best 168 yards and a TD vs. Miami. Very quietly, Bills QB Tyrod Taylor is the No. 4-rated QB in the NFL and is completing a league-best 71.8 percent of his throws.

McCoy dinged his shoulder against the Dolphins but expects to play. Ditto Watkins (ankle). Defensive tackle Kyle Williams is probably sitting again.

Bills at Jets Betting Odds and Trends

The Jets are 2.5-point favorites (-115) with a total of 43. New York is -140 on the moneyline and Buffalo +120. On the alternate lines, the Jets are -4.5 (+150), -4 (+143), -3.5 (+135), -3 (+110), -2 (-120), -1.5 (-125) and -1 (-133). The Bills are 4-4 against the spread this season (2-1 on road) and 5-3 "over/under" (2-1 on road). The Jets are 4-3-1 ATS (2-2 at home) and 5-3 O/U (3-1 at home).

Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its past five vs. the AFC East. The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their past four following an ATS win. The Jets are 4-0-1 ATS in their past five vs. the AFC East. They are 5-2 ATS in their past seven on Thursday. New York is 1-6 ATS in its past seven in November. The under is 4-0 in Buffalo's past four road games vs. teams with a winning home record. The over is 5-0 in the past five meetings in New York. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.

NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Buffalo Bills at New York Jets Predictions

The weather for Thursday night in East Rutherford has it in the high 40s, but early periods of rain will be cleared out by then. Winds between 10-20 mph. I usually prefer the home teams in these Thursday games. Both sides will really want this for their own Ryan reasons, I'm sure. New York lost its final three games to Buffalo under Ryan. I think Buffalo wins straight up, but I'll take the 3.5-point alternate line to be safe. Go under.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

Trainer Todd Pletcher won the Discovery Handicap (G3) yesterday for the sixth time, with Tommy Macho drawing away to win by 4 ¼ lengths. Pletcher completed the exacta with Madefromlucky.

I really liked my top pick Ocean Knight, who won the Sam F. Davis (G3) in his second career start and was coming off a game win against second level optional claimers. The Kiaran McLaughlin trainee set the early fractions but backed up in the stretch to finish third.

Tommy Macho was beaten by 10 lengths in both the West Virginia Derby (G2) and the Pennsylvania Derby (G2), but Pletcher did not give up on the son of Macho Uno, and the colt returned $9.30 to win. The Pletcher exacta paid $29.00.

Madefromlucky bounced back from getting beaten 13 ¾ lengths in the Pennsylvania Derby with his second. The colt won the Wrest Virginia Derby in his previous outing and won the Peter Pan (G2) back in May.

We were off the turf, there was a sloppy track yesterday, and there is more rain in the forecast for this afternoon. I am assuming we are going to have a wet track and be off the turf again today.


Here is today’s opener from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Alw $50,000s (12:20 ET)
#3 Irish Cat 2-1
#4 Mexican Groove 4-1
#6 Natural Order 5-2
#7 Nicholson 7-2

Analysis: Irish Cat made a good late run to get up and break his maiden last out on turf for a $40,000 tag. He ran well two back in the slop in a race taken off the turf and is bred to handle a wet track as we seem likely to be off the turf today. The gelding makes his third start of his current form cycle and looks like the logical one to beat in this spot.

Mexican Groove came with a five wide bid and picked it up late to finish fourth last out against $50,000 claimers on turf. He ran a decent third two back in his lone go over a wet track. Rosario sticks for Maker and just needs to see some pace in front of him here.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 3,4,6,7
TRI: 3,4 / 3,4,6,7 / 1,3,4,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 Clm $40,000N2L (3:50 ET)
#9 Andrew's Got Zip 12-1
#4 Sherifco 5-1
#5 Pancakesandbatter 4-1
#6 Madroos 5-2

Analysis: Andrew's Got Zip goes turf to dirt here for his second start off a two-month break. The gelding tracked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth place finish going six furlongs over good turf, beaten three lengths for the top spot. He broke his maiden on turf but is bred top and bottom to handle a wet track. He is quick and is going to get overlooked in the betting.

Sherifco makes his first start since April for the Nevin barn that is 22% winners with runners coming back off a +180 day layoff. The colt broke his maiden last out for a $30,000 tag on the main track and was flattered with the runner up Perfect American a next out grad. By Street Boss out of a Valid Appeal mare he should like the wet track if the rains come as forecast.

Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 4,9 / 4,5,6,9
TRI: 4,9 / 4,5,6,9 / 2,4,5,6,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R2: #1 Little Gidding 12-1
R3: #6 A Few Good Friends 8-1
R5: #1 Mr. Canada 12-1
R5: #6 Blue Shark 8-1
R6: #5 Forest Boy 10-1
R8: #9 Andrew’s Got Zip 12-1
R9: #2 Yourcreditisgood 8-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 3:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 LAST 5 STARTS NON WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $500 HORSES THAT HAVE RACED FOR A PURSE OF $6,500 OR HIGHER IN LAST 2 STS INEL AE:NON-WINNERS 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 PALM'S BEACH 7/5


# 3 TREY 4/1


# 2 TRAVERS HALL 9/2


If you want a great play in here, feast your eyes on PALM'S BEACH. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 79 speed rating. Heads into this race with respectable TrackMaster class ratings relative to the field of starters - take a good look. The group noted a strong effort out of this standardbred last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to take the whole enchilada. TREY - Could be the most solid in the field of starters here, showing good statistics of late. Average speed is a solid 77. Enters this gathering with very nice TrackMaster class markings as compared to the group of horses - take a good look. TRAVERS HALL - Not many folks know, but the 2 position here at Freehold Raceway has been exemplary for an above average win percent.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 12:25 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 73 - Purse:$4000 - ALL AGES W/O 2 BUT NOT MORE THAN 4 PM


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 ACELACE STREET 4/1


# 3 BOSAK 5/2


# 2 EX CROWN 9/2


ACELACE STREET looks good to best this bunch. Has really good speed figures and very likely has to be thought of for a wager in this one. Starters win from this position at Monticello Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this solid play. BOSAK - Has a clear-cut shot in this event, if he can race to his back class. That 73 speed figure clocked in the most recent contest puts this standardbred in the mix in here. EX CROWN - Take a look at this fine animal's average speed rating of 75 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive wager. He has good class ratings, averaging 74. Worth considering for a bet for this race.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 74

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 IDEALITES 2/1


# 4 CHARLIE AND I 10/1


# 6 YANKEE HUNTER 15/1


My pick in this event is IDEALITES. Expect a strong performance with the class drop. His 64 average has this gelding with among the top speed figures for this race. Garnered a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. CHARLIE AND I - Must be given a shot in this contest if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure earned in the last affair. He has recorded formidable figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this field. YANKEE HUNTER - Has been racing soundly in races of this distance, going 1 out of 6 under similar conditions. In this field, this horse is in the upper half of earnings per start in dirt sprint events.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 46

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 JRS HEZA SPIRIT 3/1


# 7 EXCLUSIVE MOON SAN 5/1


# 8 DASH AWAY BRUJO 9/2


JRS HEZA SPIRIT is my choice. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently. Is hard not to look at given the company run in lately.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 BOBROVSKY (ML=10/1)
#8 TRUE PRINCE (ML=5/1)
#7 BULLET MOBILE (ML=20/1)


BOBROVSKY - This speed horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at moving to the front, and never looking back. TRUE PRINCE - This gelding is in top physical condition right now. Ran sixth last race out and comes back quickly. Horse didn't finish in the money in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground in the stretch. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the finish line. You have to really like that last race fig, 71, which is the top last race speed rating of this field. BULLET MOBILE - This horse ran outside the top 3 at Charles Town last time out on a track listed as good. He should improve in this race on a fast track. I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. You always have to be on the prowl for money generating jock/conditioner tandems; we have one right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 EMPOWERING FORCE (ML=5/2), #1 WE HAVE LIFT OFF (ML=3/1), #6 JAYDEN'S NIGHTMARE (ML=9/2),

EMPOWERING FORCE - Tough to take this entrant at the odds after the finish position (fifth) in the last affair. Should be difficult for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. WE HAVE LIFT OFF - Mediocre speed figure in the last race at Charles Town at 7 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will improve too much in today's event. JAYDEN'S NIGHTMARE - Ran well to finish first on October 21st, but hasn't had even one blow out since then.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BULLET MOBILE - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm making a bet. Wasn't too far from the victor last race out.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 BOBROVSKY on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:44pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 GIANNONATTI (ML=9/2)
#3 SAINT MAMIE (ML=1/1)
#1 FLYING WITH SULLY (ML=2/1)


GIANNONATTI - My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. When this jockey and handler partner up you have to take a look. Frey and McLean have been wonderful together. I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return to racing. Running over a familiar track, where she has won multiple times before, I have to put this one at the top of my list of top contenders. Have to give this mare a shot. Ran a nice outing in the last race within the last month or so. SAINT MAMIE - The October 29th affair at Golden Gate Fields was at a class level of (91). Dropping down the class scale drastically, so she should be in a good position. When Wright gives 'Muscle' a leg up on any thoroughbred, you got to know that with their winning pct you have much more than a fighting chance. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race entered. Another indication that this animal outclasses this field. FLYING WITH SULLY - Gonzalez and Martin perform well when they partner up. Tough to top a win percentage of 37. I like a horse that manages to land in the top three as often as this mare. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. The last rating of 85 is the highest last race figure in the field. I like that last effort on Oct 18th at Fresno where she ran second.

Vulnerable Contenders: No Vulnerable Contenders in this race,


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 GIANNONATTI on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - 3:14 PM

11.0 FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $71,000.00 PURSE

#4 PINE NEEDLES
#1 CHOCOLATIER / #1A BISHOP'S POND
#3 QUEEN'S PARADE
#2 KITZYS ROCKET

#4 PINE NEEDLES is the overall speed leader in this O.C. field this afternoon racing at or about today's distance of 11.0 furlongs on the turf, and has turned "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those "adventures." #1 CHOCOLATIER, a French-bred entry, has hit the board in three of his last five outings, winning in his 5th race back. Jockey Ken Carmouche and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 63% of nearly 50 entries saddled as a team to date. The stablemate, #1A BISHOP'S ROAD has won two of her last three starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 11/12 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,5/2,6,7/1,4/3,4,6/3,5,9 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 3,4,6/3,5,9/2,3,7/6,10 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 6,10/2,3/2,3/2,5,6 = $24

MEET STATS: 69 - 251 / 318.50 BEST BETS: 12 - 22 / $41.90

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 22 / 54.10

Best Bet: CONTINUAL HANOVER (3rd)

Spot Play: NEEDLECREST (7th)


Race 1

(3) PRINT MEDIA made a bold first-over rush last week and went on to victory over some of these. She has returned from a short break in sharp form and can double up here. (4) BIG BANG BOOM is still unbeaten but seems to tire right near the wire in her miles. She may be ripe for the taking here. (2) SECRECY raced well to be 2nd to the choice and is a factor here again.

Race 2

(6) P L ICABOD almost lasted in his most recent start and his late speed was much better; top call here. (7) STRIKING CHEETAH left hard then followed the choice home in a decent effort. She's in with a shot here with her improving form. (2) ARNIE looks best of the rest in this weak group.

Race 3

(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER may have moved a bit too late last week but was still closing at the winner at the wire in a good effort. He should get a more aggressive steer here. (1) GOTTI was overtaken in a quick third 1/4 but held on well the rest of the way. He is a contender from close range here. (5) JACK RACKHAM will be passing rivals late for a smaller share.

Race 4

(4) WARAWEE RAP was too far back last week and on too much cover to factor. She should move earlier here. (3) TREASURED MOMENTS had a good debut and will likely take a lot of action here. (6) SOUTHWIND GLORIA debuts in a decent spot and can make an impact right away vs. this group.

Race 5

(9) ARAZI had much better late speed in his 2nd start for Moreau. He should be all systems go here. (4) SURF REPORT drops and could pop here; using. (5) SPORTS FEVER was no secret last week when he went off as favorite and won despite bringing so-so form with him from Kawartha Downs. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(2) MATZA MAN is razor-sharp and will be tough to knock off here. (3) GONNA FLY was a good 2nd to the choice while showing sharp improvement last week and is the main danger. (7) ULYSSES BI took advantage of some crazy fractions and closed late to win but he is unlikely to see the same setup here.

Race 7

(6) NEEDLECREST suffered an extremely long trip last week and raced great, considering. He can beat these with a slightly better trip. (10) JULERICA should get a great setup for his late charge with so many leavers signed on; using. (3) DEETZY is another deep closer that is in with a shot here, likely at a big price.

Race 8

(3) COUNTRY PROPHET showed a new dimension closing rapidly to win last week and looks solid here. (2) DEMAND AN ANSWER went a long way on the front last week after a quick 3rd 1/4 brush and looks like the main threat. (1) HALO EFFECT chased down a tiring leader late but the top two will be tougher here.

Race 9

(3) CRAZY BLUE raced okay from the 10-hole last week now moves inside and should be able to work out a better trip here. (2) KADDY makes her 2nd start back from a layoff and can improve sharply here. (1) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE figures on paper but his 1 for 39 win record doesn't inspire a ton of confidence.

Race 10

(6) SIR GALAHAD is a half-brother to 3 winners that have raced so far from the dam including speedy 13-time winner Avatartist, who took a mark of 1:50. This colt looks ready to roll. (2) STARCASTIC has had two rough trips since shipping in and is due for some better luck. (5) KG CHEYENNE debuts in a soft field and should be able to contend right away. (3) ROLLING ROCK is a good one for the bottom of vertical wagers. (10) NO TROUBLE HERE showed improved speed last week and is another that could grab a minor share.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday

TRACK

(RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct

(5th) Transcend, 3-1
(8th) Sherifco, 5-1


Charles Town

(5th) Caution High Water, 6-1
(7th) Posse Man, 6-1


Churchill Downs

(3rd) Pushingonastring, 5-1
(6th) Sing Kitty Sing, 8-1


Del Mar

(5th) And Then Some, 7-2
(8th) Cordiality, 9-2


Delta Downs

(3rd) First Prize Yankee, 7-2
(11th) Soft and Sweet, 7-2


Finger Lakes

(3rd) Lexsoya, 6-1
(5th) Birkenhead, 6-1


Golden Gate Fields

(5th) Okie Blackbird, 9-2
(6th) Life No Parole, 9-2


Gulfstream Park West

(3rd) The Love Monkey, 4-1
(7th) Applicator, 7-2


Penn National

(2nd) S S Skittles, 7-2
(8th) Demographic Trend, 6-1


Remington Park

(5th) Okie Princess, 3-1
(9th) Thezimman, 8-1


Woodbine

(4th) Mighty Quinn, 3-1
(5th) Maxsmiraclejourney, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends to ponder, with Week 10 upon us.........

-- Lions covered once in their last eleven games.

-- Cowboys covered eight of last eleven road games.

-- Steelers are 9-2-2 vs spread in their last 13 games.

-- Denver is 18-8 vs spread in its last 26 home games.

-- Minnesota covered 12 of last 15 non-divisional games.

-- Arizona covered 14 of its last 20 road games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Thursday

OILERS at COYOTES 9:05 PM

Take: COYOTES -140

There are a handful of nominees for the NHL’s biggest early surprise team. The Arizona Coyotes are definitely on that list. This entry was supposed to be strictly bottom of the barrel this season. But the Coyotes have gotten tremendous production from a couple of rookies and longtime coach Dave Tippett is once again proving he is very adept at getting the best from what he’s got available.

The Coyotes appear to be well positioned to notch another win tonight. Edmonton will be on the second of back to back games, and the Oilers are off a thrilling overtime win at Anaheim on Thursday night.

I’m not sure what the Oilers will have left in the tank tonight. They were really extended in a third period that was dominated by the Ducks and yet somehow the Oilers got the game to OT. Edmonton then got the game winner on a breakaway after the Ducks completely fouled up a line change.

(This has nothing to do with tonight’s game analysis, but hey Bruce Boudreau, are you kidding? The Ducks keep on getting caught making ill-timed line changes in the 3-on-3 OT format. Is is really that complicated, Coach?)

Edmonton has a long term hideous record playing with no rest. They’re also now going to be facing a true nemesis, as Arizona goalie Mike Smith has simply owned the Oilers throughout his career. I really like the speed of that Domi line for the Coyotes and feel as though the home team will have a good chance to get a leg up early here if the Oilers are indeed a bit fatigued coming out of the thriller at The Pond. (Yeah, I know that’s not the name of the building anymore, but I like it and will continue to use it.)

No particular value as far as the price is concerned, as this is by no means cheap. But it looks like a playable spot for me, and I’ll therefore spot the 7/5 odds and will back the Coyotes this evening.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play: Thurs VIG Tech +3

 

[Allsportslock]

Cpaw, I would like to know if my pm is on, if not could you turn it on for me. Thanks my friend and others who have been doing a great job for a long time.