Thursday 11/08/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

[bmd1803]

Preview: Northwestern State at SMU
Gracenote
Nov 7, 2018

SMU will be shorthanded in its season opener against visiting Northwestern State on Thursday night. It's nothing new for the Mustangs, who have had roster problems because of scholarship reduction and injuries the past few seasons.

The Mustangs had seven or fewer scholarship players during the final 11 games of last season after injuries to starters Jarrey Foster and Shake Milton derailed a promising season. The Mustangs went 4-10 without Foster, who is close to returning from ACL surgery but won't play Thursday. "The truth is I don't think we'll see our real team until mid to late December," SMU coach Tim Jankovich told the Dallas Morning News, saying sophomore forward Everett Ray (foot) won't play in the opener either. Senior center Ishmael Lane, a preseason All-Southland Conference selection, led the high-scoring Demons in their opener Tuesday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, No TV

ABOUT NORTHWESTERN STATE (1-0): Lane had 15 points, six rebounds and five blocks as the Demons beat Division III Centenary 102-62. The offense starts with Lane (13.7 points, 7.2 rebounds, 1.8 blocks last season), but got plenty of contributions from a guard-heavy roster. Northwestern State hit 14-of-27 from behind the 3-point line, including four from sophomore guard Levonte Ott (14 points, eight rebounds).

ABOUT SMU (2017-18: 17-16): Returning guards Jahmal McMurray (14.7 points) and Jimmy Whitt (10.5 points, 3.5 assists) will look to pick up the scoring slack left by Milton's exit to the NBA and Foster's early absence. Graduate transfer guard Nat Dixon (13.8 points, 4.6 rebounds, 1.9 assists at Chattanooga) will add more veteran leadership to the Mustangs' backcourt. Returning starting forward Ethan Chargois (9.1 points. 4.4 rebounds) will be joined by sophomore transfer Isiaha Mike (11.3 points, 5.8 rebounds at Duquesne in 2016-17) and freshman Feron Hunt in a thin frontcourt rotation.

TIP-INS

1. The Mustangs are 63-8 at home since the start of the 2014-15 season, including 32 straight non-conference home wins.

2. Foster (13.2 points, 5.9 rebounds, 1.2 blocks in 19 games last season) is the only scholarship player that has played at SMU for more than one season.

3. Whitt finished last season third in the American Athletic Conference in steals (1.8) while the Mustangs were ranked 12th nationally in scoring defense (64.1 points).

PREDICTION: SMU 84, Northwestern State 61

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Northwestern St.

Demons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Demons are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games.

Southern Methodist

Mustangs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games.
Mustangs are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Mustangs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Mustangs are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

OU Trends
Northwestern St.

Over is 4-0 in Demons last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 5-1 in Demons last 6 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Demons last 5 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Demons last 5 non-conference games.

Southern Methodist

Over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 overall.
Under is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Evansville at Illinois
Gracenote
Nov 7, 2018

The road to potentially ending a five-year NCAA Tournament drought starts Thursday night for Illinois as the Fighting Illini open their 2018-19 season by hosting Evansville. Illinois second-year coach Brad Underwood will hope to improve on the 14 wins from his first season, the lowest the program has seen since 1998-99.

Despite losing their top scorer and rebounder from a year ago, Underwood said he believes his new crop of freshmen have a similar trait that will lead the Fighting Illini to more W’s -- effort. “These guys compete,” Underwood told the media. “I think by definition that happens when you get winners. I’ve talked about it at length in the recruiting process, that’s one of the things we tried to evaluate was the character piece of winning.” Five-star guard Ayo Dosunmu is the most notable Illinois freshman, having recently starred for the gold-medal winning U.S. team at the FIBA America U18 Championships. Dosunmu is expected to pick up some of the offense lost through the departure of Leron Black, who led the Fighting Illini in points (15.3) and rebounds (5.2) a season ago.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, No TV

ABOUT EVANSVILLE (2017-18: 17-15): The Purple Aces return this season without their only three double-digit scorers from last season -- Ryan Taylor (21.3), Dru Smith (13.7) and Blake Simmons (10.4). Junior K.J. Riley and senior Dainius Chatkevicius will handle a heavier load offensively for Evansville, proven in their exhibition win over New Mexico Highlands on Saturday. Riley played the most minutes and had 16 points while Chatkevicius posted team highs with 17 points and eight rebounds.

ABOUT ILLINOIS (2017-18: 14-18): The only four-year player returning to the Fighting Illini is Aaron Jordan, who ranked third in the Big Ten in 3-point shooting percentage (46.3) last season. Jordan, along with juniors Kipper Nichols and Andres Feliz, will provide veteran leadership as Dosunmu and fellow freshman Giorgi Bezhanishvili are expected to start and play key minutes for Illinois this season. Feliz, a Dominican Republic native, led the Fighting Illini with 20 points in their only exhibition game, an 83-67 victory over Illinois Wesleyan.

TIP-INS

1. Illinois sophomore G Trent Frazier will look to build off a strong freshman year as he led all Big Ten rookies in scoring (12.5), assists (3.1), steals (1.7) and 3's (1.9).

2. While Illinois hasn’t made the NCAA tournament since 2013, Evansville is waiting for its first appearance this century. The Purple Aces haven’t been invited since 1999.

3. Evansville hired former NBA player Walter McCarty as its head coach in March. McCarty was previously an assistant coach with Louisville under Rick Pitino, and in the NBA with the Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics.

PREDICTION: Illinois 78, Evansville 64

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Evansville

Purple Aces are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Purple Aces are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big Ten.

Illinois

Fighting Illini are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.

OU Trends
Evansville

Under is 6-1 in Purple Aces last 7 overall.
Under is 4-1 in Purple Aces last 5 vs. Big Ten.
Under is 8-2-1 in Purple Aces last 11 non-conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Purple Aces last 5 Thursday games.
Under is 7-3 in Purple Aces last 10 road games.

Illinois

Under is 13-5 in Fighting Illini last 18 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2-1 in Fighting Illini last 8 home games.
Under is 38-18 in Fighting Illini last 56 non-conference games.
Under is 29-14-1 in Fighting Illini last 44 overall.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Missouri-Kansas City at Iowa
Gracenote
Nov 7, 2018

Iowa has its sights set on bouncing back from a disappointing 2017-18 season, starting with its opener Thursday night against visiting Missouri-Kansas City in a 2K Empire Classic preliminary game benefiting the Wounded Warrior Project. The Hawkeyes finished tied for next-to-last in the Big Ten last season but return all five starters from that team.

Coach Fran McCaffery begins his ninth season at Iowa with a team that brings back 90.5 percent of minutes played a year ago, fourth most in the country. The Hawkeyes also are one of four teams in Division I with its top five scorers returning from last season who were also starters. Iowa's struggles last season stemmed from its lack of leadership, inability to play defense (allowing 78.7 points per game) and turnovers (13.4). Scoring wasn't a problem (79.7 points) for last year's team and shouldn't be an issue again this season.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, No TV

ABOUT IOWA (2017-18: 14-19): The Hawkeyes went into last season with high hopes but could never find their mojo after losing six of seven games in November and December after starting 3-0, but a're hoping that experiencing the hard knocks will pay off this year. The top returnees are 6-foot-9 junior forward Tyler Cook, who flirted with declaring for the NBA Draft after last season, and 6-1 junior guard Jordan Bohannon, a heady player who led the team in assists and 3-point shooting each of the past two seasons. Iowa crushed Guilford College 103-46 in an exhibition game Sunday while Bohannon sat out with a painful bone bruise that could sideline him against UMKC.

ABOUT UMKC (0-1): After posting a 10-22 record last season, the Kangaroos began their 2018-19 schedule Tuesday night with a 76-45 loss on the road to 2018 Final Four participant Loyola-Chicago. UMKC was outmanned, trailing 40-18 at halftime and shooting 29.8 percent from the field and 26.3 percent from the free throw line in the game. Only two Kangaroos players -- sophomore guard Brandon McKissic (15 points), who started 20 games as a freshman last season, and junior guard Rob Whitfield (11), who played at Hutchinson (Kan.) Community College in 2017-18 -- scored in double figures.

TIP-INS

1. Freshman Joe Wieskamp, one of Iowa's most heralded recruits, led all scorers with 16 points in the exhibition victory over Guilford.

2. Cook came close to a triple-double in the exhibition with 12 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.

3. UMBC assistant coach Josh Sash is the brother of former Iowa and New York Giants defensive back Tyler Sash, who died in 2015.

PREDICTION: Iowa 86, UMKC 68

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
UMKC

Kangaroos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Iowa

Hawkeyes are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Hawkeyes are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Hawkeyes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Hawkeyes are 41-20-3 ATS in their last 64 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

OU Trends
UMKC

Under is 12-5 in Kangaroos last 17 road games.
Under is 11-5 in Kangaroos last 16 non-conference games.

Iowa

Over is 6-0 in Hawkeyes last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Over is 4-0-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 7-0 in Hawkeyes last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 17-5-1 in Hawkeyes last 23 overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Over is 20-7 in Hawkeyes last 27 home games.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: New Orleans at Northwestern
Gracenote
Nov 7, 2018

Northwestern looks to bounce back from a disappointing season when it begins the new campaign at home against New Orleans on Thursday. The Wildcats were expected to challenge for a Big Ten championship after returning the nucleus of their history-making squad that clinched the program's first NCAA Tournament berth in 2016-17, but Chris Collins' team regressed on both ends of the court en route to a losing season. Northwestern hopes to be relevant in the Big Ten race despite being picked to finish 12th in the preseason media poll.

"Everybody has approached the offseason with a great sense of urgency as none of us had a good taste in our mouths with the way our season ended last year," Collins told reporters. "I'm hungry as I have ever been and I'm excited to coach this team." Seniors Vic Law, Dererk Pardon and graduate transfer Ryan Taylor, who led the Missouri Valley Conference in scoring with 21.3 points per game at Evansville, will be counted on to replace the productivity of the departed Bryant McIntosh and Scottie Lindsay. The Wildcats have won the last three meetings with New Orleans, including an 83-49 rout in their last matchup on Dec. 11, 2016. The Privateers opened the season with a 95-66 win against Spring Hill College on Tuesday and hope to stay on the winning track by knocking off a Power 5 team for the first time since a 70-54 victory against Washington State on Dec. 3, 2016.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Big Ten Network.

ABOUT NEW ORLEANS (1-0): Freshman Amari Haynes provided a spark off the bench as he scored 17 points and pulled down six rebounds in the win over Spring Hill College. Ezekiel Charles also tallied 17 points on 6-of-9 shooting from the field and Bryson Robinson added 14 in a reserve role as the Privateers' bench scored 50 of the team's 95 points. "With four games in nine days we were able to get a lot of guys in and it was a positive night for us," New Orleans coach Mark Slessinger told reporters. "We have a challenging schedule that's designed to test us but get better along the way."

ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (2017-18: 15-17): Law, who came in as the program's highest-rated recruit in 2014-15, will be the focal point of the offense after averaging 12 points and 5.8 rebounds last season. Pardon tallied 11.3 points to go along with 7.1 rebounds and hopes to take another step forward after adding some muscle in the summer. Incoming freshmen Pete Nance - the son of three-time NBA all-star Larry Nance - and Miller Kopp hope to make an early impact. Welsh-Ryan Arena is ready for its first regular-season game after undergoing a $110 million facelift, which forced the Wildcats to play their home games off-campus in Rosemont, Illinois last season.

TIP-INS

1. Law needs eight points to reach 1,000 for his career.

2. Pardon set a program record for field goal percentage (.619) last season.

3. New Orleans was picked to finish third in the Southland Conference Preseason Poll.

PREDICTION: Northwestern 77, New Orleans 62

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
New Orleans

Privateers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Northwestern

Wildcats are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

OU Trends
New Orleans

Under is 4-1 in Privateers last 5 non-conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Privateers last 8 Thursday games.

Northwestern

Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 10-3 in Wildcats last 13 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 non-conference games.
Under is 18-8 in Wildcats last 26 overall.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Maine at Utah
Gracenote
Nov 7, 2018

Utah has just one starter back from a team that tied for third place in the Pac-12 Conference and advanced to the championship game of the NIT where it lost to Penn State. But eighth-year head coach Larry Krystkowiak is optimistic about his squad heading into Thursday night's season opener against visiting Maine.

"I like where we are," Krystkowiak told the Salt Lake Tribune, "but there's going to be things right away that we get exposed on." Senior guard Sedrick Barefield, who withdrew his name from the NBA Draft, is the only returning starter after averaging 12.0 points and 2.5 assists while explosive sophomore forward Donnie Tillman will be counted on for a breakout year after averaging 7.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. "It can go either way," Tillman told reporters. "It can be a great year, or it can be a really bad year. But with these dudes' work ethic and the time we're putting in, I think it's going to be a great year." Maine is opening the season with a three-game west coast trip that ends at San Francisco on Saturday, and already has a contest under its belt after losing at Denver 63-50 on Tuesday.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, Pac- 12 Network

ABOUT MAINE (0-1): The Black Bears, who finished 6-26 last season, led Denver 39-38 with 11:05 left before the Pioneers went on a 20-5 scoring run to ruin Richard Barron's men's head coaching debut. Barron previously had coached the women's program successfully for seven years and he has four returning starters to build around including 6-7 junior forward Andrew Fleming (team-high 10 points on 4-of-8 shooting at Denver) and 6-8 junior center Vincent Eze, who grabbed 10 rebounds and blocked two shots in his first game back after missing the 2017-18 season following hip surgery. Guard Isaiah White is the team's top returning scorer (11.1) and had nine points in the opener.

ABOUT UTAH (2017-18: 23-12): Barefield scored in double-digits in 21 games last season, including five with 20 or more points, while shooting 35.4 percent from 3-point range. Tillman registered a pair of double-doubles as a freshman and shot 47.8 percent from the floor after starring at prep school power Findlay Prep in Henderson, Nev. The Utes are expecting big things from 6-6 freshman forward Timmy Allen who was rated a four-star recruit by both ESPN.com and Scout.com coming out of Red Mountain High School in Mesa, Ariz.

TIP-INS

1. The Utes are 7-0 all-time in season-opening games under Krystkowiak including a 83-62 victory over Prairie View A&M last season.

2. Utah's 7-0 junior C Jayce Johnson, who averaged 5.5 points 5.4 rebounds last season, is practicing on a limited basis after a breaking a bone in his foot five weeks ago.

3. Utah was picked to finish eighth in the Pac-12 preseason media poll.

PREDICTION: Utah 77, Maine 64

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Maine

Black Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Black Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Black Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

Utah

Utes are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Utes are 40-13-3 ATS in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Utes are 42-14-2 ATS in their last 58 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Utes are 12-5-3 ATS in their last 20 home games.
Utes are 11-5-2 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Utes are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

OU Trends
Maine

Under is 5-0 in Black Bears last 5 overall.
Under is 5-1 in Black Bears last 6 non-conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Black Bears last 5 road games.

Utah

Under is 6-2 in Utes last 8 overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Utes last 8 non-conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Utes last 7 home games.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Puget Sound at Seattle
When: 10:00 PM ET, Thursday, November 8, 2018
Where: KeyArena, Seattle, Washington



Overall Team Offense

The Seattle Redhawks are ranked 104 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 43.8% while attempting 64.0 shots per game. The Redhawks shooting percentages include 57.1% for free throw percentage and 33.3% for three point percentage so far this season.

Home and Away

The Seattle Redhawks are 0-0 at home this season, and 0-0 against 0-1 opponents.
At home the Redhawks are averaging 0.0 scoring, and holding teams to 0.0 points scored on defense.

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Alabama A&M

Bulldogs are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games overall.
Bulldogs are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 road games.
Bulldogs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.

South Florida

Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bulls are 26-54-2 ATS in their last 82 home games.
Bulls are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 Tuesday games.

OU Trends
Alabama A&M

Over is 12-5 in Bulldogs last 17 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 non-conference games.

South Florida

Over is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 home games.

Head to Head
No trends available.

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF

Week 11

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Trend Report

Thursday, November 8

Wake Forest @ North Carolina State
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 8 games

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
North Carolina State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

 

[bmd1803]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (4 - 5) at NC STATE (6 - 2) - 11/8/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

Wake Forest QB Hartman out for season

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C. (AP) Wake Forest says starting quarterback Sam Hartman will miss the rest of the season with a leg injury.

Coach Dave Clawson disclosed Hartman's injury on Sunday, a day after he was hurt during a 41-24 loss to Syracuse.

Hartman had started all nine games for the Demon Deacons (4-5, 1-4 ACC) but becomes the 12th Wake Forest player to suffer a season-ending injury. He was 161 of 291 for 1,984 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Wake Forest plays at North Carolina State on Thursday night.

 

[bmd1803]

Wake Forest at N.C. State
Joe Nelson

This week’s Thursday night ESPN game comes from the ACC Atlantic as Wake Forest and North Carolina State face off in Raleigh in a battle of schools just over 100 miles apart. While neither will catch Clemson in the Atlantic standings, this is important game on both sides and a rematch of a memorable game from 2017.

Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at N.C. State Wolfpack
Venue: at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina
Time/TV: Thursday, November 8, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
Line: N.C. State -17, Over/Under 69
Last Meeting: 2017, at Wake Forest (-2½) 30, N.C. State 24

Dave Clawson has taken Wake Forest to a bowl game the past two years but that run is in jeopardy with the Demon Deacons 4-5 with three games to play. This is the final game on the Atlantic side for Wake Forest as the final two contests are Coastal crossover games hosting Pittsburgh and playing at Duke. Wake Forest can expect to be an underdog in all three games and will need to win two of those three games to make the postseason.

Accomplishing that task has the added hurdle of quarterback Sam Hartman being lost for the season last week. With Kendall Hinton suspended and Jamie Newman injured at the start of the season, the freshman Hartman was thrust into the starting role from the opener and he has performed reasonably well with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Newman, a sophomore, will take over with 19 pass attempts under his belt in three games of the past two seasons. Newman is 6’4” and 240 pounds as his size will be an asset but the Deacons have not come close to matching the production that John Wolford brought to the team last season.

Wake Forest has a solid running game averaging 224 yards per game on 4.5 yards per carry with two 600 yard rushers, leaning on senior Matt Colbrun more in recent weeks. Newman has some mobility but the top player on the offense has been receiver Greg Dortch who has 69 catches for 846 yards while also providing a threat in the return game.

At 4-5 the best win for Wake Forest came in overtime in the opener at Tulane with the other victories coming against FCS Towson, Rice, and Louisville. Wake Forest played within seven vs. Boston College early in the season but has lost by double-digits in every defeat since. In ACC play Wake Forest is 1-4 while being outscored by 84 points. The Demon Deacons are 2-1 on the road this season however including getting the only ACC win on the road at Louisville.

N.C. State is 6-2 but with a lopsided loss to Clemson the Wolfpack also have a negative scoring differential in ACC play. N.C. State went into Clemson undefeated but lost 41-7 and then lost at Syracuse the following week. N.C. State did beat Virginia and Boston College at home and last week bested Florida State 47-28.

While it has been a down year for the Seminoles that was a big win for N.C. State and despite the 19-point final the Wolfpack were out-gained in the contest but benefited from two turnovers. N.C. State will be favored in all four remaining games as finishing 10-2 is realistic, with the program not reaching 10 wins since 2002 under Chuck Amato.

Dave Doeren has led steady success in Raleigh with now five straight winning seasons. The Wolpack have frequently played very light non-conference schedules and that will be no different this season, though in fairness West Virginia was on the September schedule but the game was cancelled due to the hurricane.

Expectations were grounded for this year’s team with very few returning starters from a 9-4 squad that won the Sun Bowl and finished 6-2 in ACC play. The one key player returning was quarterback Ryan Finley and he has delivered a productive senior season. Finley transferred from Boise State and is posting easily his best season with a nearly 68 percent completion rate for 8.5 yards per attempt. He has 16 touchdowns passes and just six interceptions while approaching 2,500 yards passing.

N.C. State hasn’t run the ball very successfully with Reggie Gallaspy leading the team with 554 yards and nine touchdowns but posting only 4.0 yards per carry and as a team N.C. State gains only 3.6 yards per attempt. The biggest contrast in the numbers between these teams comes in run defense as N.C. State is allowing 3.1 yards per carry for the 13th best mark nationally, with only Michigan State and Texas A&M allowing fewer net rushing yards this season. Wake Forest ranks 119th nationally in rushing yards per carry allowed this season, surrendering 26 rushing touchdowns.
Ultimately N.C. State should be at a significant advantage in this matchup but it is a possible letdown spot after a prominent win in convincing fashion over Florida State for homecoming. Newman also provides a challenging matchup physically with his size and preparing for a quarterback that there isn’t much film on can provide some surprises for a defense.

Last Season: N.C. State should have no shortage of motivation for this game after losing 30-24 at Wake Forest last season. Then 7-3, N.C. State was a slight underdog against 6-4 Wake Forest. It was a back-and-forth game with the score tied four different times after 0-0. N.C. State settled for a short field goal in the fourth quarter to knot the game at 24-24 but Wake Forest quickly answered but had the PAT blocked to lead by six. N.C. State went 71 yards on the next drive but Emeka Emezie fumbled right outside the goal line with about two minutes remaining. N.C. State got the ball back in the final minute and picked up a roughing the passer call on first down to reach the Wake Forest 31-yard-line. Finley was ultimately intercepted in the end zone as Wake Forest held on despite a 502-334 yardage edge for N.C. State.

Historical Trends:

-- N.C. State is 25-13 straight up but just 20-18 against the spread in this series since 1980, though winning and covering in four of the last six and each of the last five home meetings.

-- This is set to be the biggest spread in this series since N.C. State was -21 in a 38-3 win in 2010. N.C. State is 21-27 ATS as a double-digit home favorite since 1998 including a 1-5 run since the start of last season.

-- Wake Forest is 10-5 ATS as a road underdog since 2015 including going 6-2 ATS in the last eight instances as a road underdog of 10 or more points.

-- Under Doeren, N.C. State is 24-15 S/U and 18-21 ATS at home.

-- While under Clawson, Wake Forest is 9-17 S/U and 14-12 ATS in road games.

 

[bmd1803]

Tech Trends - Week 11
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 8

WAKE FOREST at NC STATE...Deacs were 10-3-1 as dog entering 2018 (they’re 1-5 in role TY). Home team has covered last three and 10 of last 11 in series.
N.C. State, based on series trends.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Wake Forest at North Carolina State
Gracenote
Nov 6, 2018

No. 22 North Carolina State faces its most common historical opponent Thursday when it hosts Wake Forest in an ACC matchup. This is the 112th meeting between the Tar Heel state rivals, who are coming off opposite performances a week ago.

NC State trounced Florida State in its last contest, rolling to a 47-28 triumph after losing its previous two games and stands 14th in the College Football Playoff rankings. Wake Forest, meanwhile, was thumped by Syracuse, 41-24, to fall for the third time in its last four outings. The home team in 18-2 in the last 20 matchups between the Wolfpack and Demon Deacons, which bodes well for North Carolina State in its bid to move up the ACC Atlantic Division standings. “After we had a rough two weeks, maybe people lost faith, but we never lost faith,” said defensive tackle Larrell Murchison, whose team will face a new Wake Forest quarterback this weekend. “We know what we can do, within ourselves and within our team.”

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: NC State -17

ABOUT WAKE FOREST (4-5, 1-4 ACC): The Demon Deacons will start redshirt sophomore Jamie Newman at quarterback after Sam Hartman suffered a season-ending leg injury last week. Hartman had thrown multiple touchdown passes in seven of the team's nine games, creating some big shoes to fill for Newman, who has thrown 19 career passes (zero touchdowns, two interceptions). Matt Colburn posted career highs of 243 rushing yards and three TDs in a win over Louisville on Oct. 27 but was limited to 67 yards on 15 carries (and no scores) against Syracuse.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA STATE (6-2, 3-2): True freshmen accounted for 35 of the team's 47 points in the win over Florida State with Ricky Person scoring three touchdowns and Chris Dunn accounting for four field goals and five extra points. “Obviously we would like to finish some drives more in the end zone instead of finishing with field goals, but having Chris Dunn make all those field goals was huge. That was a big lift for us,” offensive lineman Garrett Bradbury said. Senior Ryan Finley has thrown six touchdowns in the last two games and is two TD passes from matching his career high set in 2016.

EXTRA POINTS

1. NC State, which has not gone undefeated at home since 1986, is 5-0 at Carter-Finley Stadium this season.

2. The Demon Deacons rank 118th nationally (out of 129 teams) by allowing 37.2 points per game.

3. Wake Forest WR Greg Dortch has 17 catches for 230 yards and a score over the last two games.

PREDICTION: North Carolina State 44, Wake Forest 21

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Wake Forest

Demon Deacons are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Demon Deacons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Demon Deacons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.
Demon Deacons are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Demon Deacons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Demon Deacons are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

NC State

Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Wolfpack are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

OU Trends
Wake Forest

Over is 7-1 in Demon Deacons last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 7-1 in Demon Deacons last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 5-1 in Demon Deacons last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Demon Deacons last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Demon Deacons last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 6-2 in Demon Deacons last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Demon Deacons last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Demon Deacons last 7 road games.

NC State

Under is 17-1-1 in Wolfpack last 19 Thursday games.
Under is 6-1 in Wolfpack last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Wolfpack last 9 games in November.
Under is 14-4 in Wolfpack last 18 conference games.
Under is 9-3 in Wolfpack last 12 games following a straight up win.
Under is 9-3 in Wolfpack last 12 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in Wolfpack last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Home team is 18-4 ATS in their last 22 meetings.
Demon Deacons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in NC State.

 

[bmd1803]

Dunkel


Wake Forest @ NC State

Game 109-110
November 8, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
77.423
NC State
100.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 23 1/2
71
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 17 1/2
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-17 1/2); Over

NC Central @ Bethune Cookman

Game 801-802
November 8, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
39.849
Bethune Cookman
44.158
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bethune Cookman
by 4 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bethune Cookman
by 6 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(+6 1/2); Under