Thursday 11/08/2018 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc

[bmd1803]

Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5)

Pittsburgh is starting to look more like, well, Pittsburgh heading into this Thursday night contest. The Steelers (5-2-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) have won and covered four in a row and five of six, including a 23-16 Week 9 victory at Baltimore as 1.5-point underdogs.

Carolina won and cashed in its last three outings and is 5-1 SU in its last six, trying to keep pace with New Orleans in the NFC South. The Panthers (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) bolted to a 35-7 lead against Tampa Bay, but had to hang on late in a 42-28 win as 6-point home favorites in Week 9.

There was no action on this number in the first hour after it was posted, but Carolina drew some cash Sunday night.

“We got a decent-sized bet on Panthers +6.5 and another at +6,” Wilkinson said. “Also, the market evened out lower than we anticipated.”

 

[bmd1803]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Thursday. November 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (6 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 2 - 1) - 11/8/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CAROLINA is 167-132 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
CAROLINA is 161-125 ATS (+23.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

 

[bmd1803]

NFL

Week 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 8

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games
Pittsburgh is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Carolina

 

[bmd1803]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10


Thursday. November 8

Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Game 107-108
November 8, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
133.230
Pittsburgh
144.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 11 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 4
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-4); Over

 

[bmd1803]

Thursday
Panthers (6-2) @ Steelers (5-2-1)— Carolina won/covered its last three games; they’ve got 13 TD’s on their last 24 drives. In their wins, Panthers are +11 in TO’s, -3 in losses- they’re 1-2 on road, rallying back from down 17-0 in only win; since ’15, they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Steelers won/covered their last four games; Pitt is 2-2 at home this year, losing to Chiefs/Ravens- since ’13, they’re 20-15 as HF, 2-2 this year. Pitt won last five meetings, all by 10+ points; Carolina is 0-3 at Heinz Field, losing by 10-16-24 points. FC South non-divisional road teams are 4-7 vs spread; AFC North non-divisional HF are 5-3. Over is 5-2 in last seven Carolina games, 3-1 in Steeler home games.

 

[bmd1803]

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Nov. 8

CAROLINA at PITTSBURGH (FOX/NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Cam has covered last 2 as dog TY and Panthers now 13-5 in dog role since 2015. Steel has covered four straight TY but Tomlin just 2-5 last 7 as Heinz Field chalk. Steel “over” 5-1 last six at home.
Tech Edge: Panthers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Panthers at Steelers


After beginning their winning streak versus one Keystone State representative, the Carolina Panthers bid for their fourth straight victory against another on Thursday when they invade Heinz Field to face the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cam Newton led three fourth-quarter touchdown drives to upend defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia on Oct. 21 before tossing two more scoring strikes in wins over Baltimore and Tampa Bay.

"Listen, we may not necessarily be the best team in the league, but we're damn sure going to be the best team when we play. That's all that matters," Newton said. The 2015 NFL Most Valuable Player has thrown at least two touchdown passes in seven consecutive games, and he'd set a franchise record should he repeat the feat versus Pittsburgh. Steelers running back James Conner also can scribble his name among the franchise's elite should he rush for 100-plus yards in his fifth consecutive game -- joining Pro Football Hall of Famers Franco Harris and Jerome Bettis. The 23-year-old Conner has amassed a staggering 689 yards on 108 touches (88 carries, 20 receptions) over his last four games, including 163 yards (107 rushing, 56 receiving) in Pittsburgh's 23-16 win over arch-rival Baltimore on Sunday.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX, NFL Network. LINE: Steelers -4. O/U: 51.5

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (6-2): The elusive Christian McCaffrey can give Conner a run for his money after totaling 157 scrimmage yards (79 rushing, 78 receiving) in Sunday's 42-28 win over Tampa Bay. "He is an athletic, dynamic football player who just makes plays for us," coach Ron Rivera said of the 22-year-old McCaffrey, who also found the end zone twice for the second week in a row after scoring one touchdown in his previous six games. Tight end Greg Olsen made a twisting one-handed catch versus the Buccaneers to reel in a scoring strike for the third straight outing. Star linebacker Luke Kuechly leads the team with 64 tackles in 2018 and had a club-best 14 in the last meeting with Pittsburgh, albeit in a 37-19 setback in September 2014.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (5-2-1): Ben Roethlisberger says he's not a fan of Thursday games, and he let his listeners know why on his weekly radio show this week. "I'm sure the fans like (Thursday night games); they like seeing football as often as they can," the 36-year-old Roethlisberger said. "Players? (Sighs) It's like, 'Oh here we go, short week, especially after a Baltimore game where you're physically beat up.'" Roethlisberger has thrown seven touchdowns without an interception in his last two Thursday contests while Antonio Brown has reeled in three scoring strikes in each of his last two such tilts. The 30-year-old Brown has flourished during games on other days as well, collecting eight touchdowns in his last six games overall as well as finding the end zone on two occasions to go along with 10 catches in his last encounter with Carolina.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Pittsburgh WR JuJu Smith-Schuster leads the team in receptions (53), receiving yards (672) and 20-plus-yard catches (nine).

2. Rivera said he is optimistic that C Ryan Kalil (ankle) will play versus the Steelers despite failing to practice on Tuesday.

3. Pittsburgh lost its first-ever encounter with Carolina before winning the last five in the series.

PREDICTION: Panthers 28, Steelers 24

 

[bmd1803]

ATS Trends
Carolina

Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Panthers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

Pittsburgh

Steelers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Steelers are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 10.
Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Steelers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

OU Trends
Carolina

Over is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games in November.
Over is 8-2 in Panthers last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 18-7-1 in Panthers last 26 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Panthers last 7 games on grass.
Over is 11-5 in Panthers last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 35-16-3 in Panthers last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.

Pittsburgh

Over is 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Steelers last 8 games on grass.
Over is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games in Week 10.
Under is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Steelers last 10 games overall.
Under is 17-8 in Steelers last 25 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Panthers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

NBA


Thursday, November 8

Houston won its last three games after a 1-5 start; they’re 4-1 on road, 2-2 as AF. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Thunder won their last six games, covered last five; they’re 3-2 at home, 2-3 as HF. Over is 3-1-1 in their home games. Rockets won seven of last ten games with Oklahoma City; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

Boston lost its last two games after a 6-2 start; they’re 3-3 on road, 1-2 as AF. Three of their last four games went over. Phoenix lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 2-4 at home, 3-3 as HU. Suns’ last four games all stayed under. Celtics won six of their last seven games with Phoenix but Suns covered the last five; Boston is 1-4 vs spread in its last five visits to the desert. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Clippers won last two games by 25-11 points; they’re 2-3 on road, 1-3 as AU. Four of their last six games went over. Trailblazers won five of their last six games; they’re 5-2 at home, 4-2 as HF. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. Portland won/covered its last three games with the Clippers; under is 3-1 in last four series games. LA covered three of its last four visits to Oregon.

Milwaukee lost two of its last three games after a 7-0 start; Bucks are 2-2 on road, 0-1 as AU. Over is 7-3 in their games this season. Warriors won their last eight games (7-1 vs spread); they are 5-1 as HF. Five of their last seven games went over. Golden State won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee, but Bucks covered six of last nine; Milwaukee covered four of its last five visits to Oakland.

 

[bmd1803]

NBA

Thursday, November 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Rockets
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
Houston is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Houston is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oklahoma City's last 15 games when playing at home against Houston


Boston Celtics
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Boston is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Boston is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Phoenix is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Portland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Milwaukee's last 25 games
Milwaukee is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 18 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
Golden State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Golden State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

 

[bmd1803]

Dunkel


Houston @ Oklahoma City

Game 701-702
November 8, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.754
Oklahoma City
122.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
214
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+4); Under

Boston @ Phoenix

Game 703-704
November 8, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
116.609
Phoenix
112.075
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 9 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+9 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Portland

Game 705-706
November 8, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.232
Portland
128.126
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 5
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-5); Over

Milwaukee @ Golden State

Game 707-708
November 8, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
125.091
Golden State
133.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 6
238
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-6); Under

 

[bmd1803]

(703) BOSTON @ (704) PHOENIX | 11/08/2018 - 9:05 PM
Play ON BOSTON using the money line in Road games after a non-conference game
The record is 16 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.15 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(703) BOSTON @ (704) PHOENIX | 11/08/2018 - 9:05 PM
Play ON BOSTON using the money line in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 24 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+22.05 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(701) HOUSTON @ (702) OKLAHOMA CITY | 11/08/2018 - 8:05 PM
Play ON HOUSTON using the money line in Road games in the first half of the season
The record is 29 Wins and 11 Losses for the last three seasons (+24.00 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(705) LA CLIPPERS @ (706) PORTLAND | 11/08/2018 - 10:05 PM
Play ON LA CLIPPERS using the money line in All games after a win by 10 points or more
The record is 18 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.15 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(705) LA CLIPPERS @ (706) PORTLAND | 11/08/2018 - 10:05 PM
Play ON LA CLIPPERS using the money line in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game
The record is 29 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.70 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(705) LA CLIPPERS @ (706) PORTLAND | 11/08/2018 - 10:05 PM
Play OVER LA CLIPPERS on the first half total in All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 31 Overs and 12 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.80 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(707) MILWAUKEE @ (708) GOLDEN STATE | 11/08/2018 - 10:35 PM
Play OVER MILWAUKEE on the total in All games after allowing 115 points or more
The record is 19 Overs and 5 Unders for the last two seasons (+13.50 units)

 

[bmd1803]

(705) LA CLIPPERS @ (706) PORTLAND | 11/08/2018 - 10:05 PM
Play ON PORTLAND in the first half in All games after playing 3 consecutive home games
The record is 22 Wins and 6 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.40 units)

 

[bmd1803]

Preview: Rockets at Thunder
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2018

Two teams that are recovering from slow starts square off Thursday when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Houston Rockets. The Thunder have won six straight after an 0-4 start while Houston has rolled off three straight road victories after opening 1-5.

Oklahoma City will likely be without point guard Russell Westbrook (ankle) for the second straight game but prevailed without him Wednesday with a 95-86 road win over the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Thunder will get their first look at Carmelo Anthony in a Rockets' uniform and the player who proclaimed he wouldn't be a backup for Oklahoma City this season is averaging 14.7 points as a reserve for Houston. The Rockets are 3-0 on a five-game road trip and uncharacteristically scored fewer than 100 points in consecutive wins over Chicago (96-88) and Indiana (98-94). "We're doing a really good job of getting stops and making it hard for teams to score," point guard James Harden told reporters. "I'm not worried about our offense. We're a really good offensive team. We're going to make shots. We need a pretty good defensive effort (each night)."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (4-5): Houston wasn't in sync earlier in the campaign as point guard Chris Paul missed two games because of a suspension and Harden sat out three because of a hamstring injury. Harden is averaging 26.5 points in two games since his return and scored 28 against the Pacers on Monday. Center Clint Capela is developing into a force and had 18 points (on 8-of-10 shooting) and 10 rebounds against Indiana for his sixth straight double-double and he has season averages of 15.6 points and 11.3 rebounds.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (6-4): Offseason acquisition Dennis Schroder matched his season high of 34 minutes with Westbrook sidelined Wednesday and scored a season-best 28 points for his third 20-point outing of the season. Schroder has accepted a bench role after being a starter for the Atlanta Hawks the past two seasons and is proving to be a good fit for a team that is meshing after the slow start. "Everybody is on the same page," forward Paul George told reporters after the win over the Cavaliers. "We come out there and we have an expectation of the level we want to play at. Regardless of how the game goes, we find a way to take it to the next level and we're getting the job done."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Westbrook averaged 29 points and 9.3 assists as the Thunder went 2-1 against the Rockets last season.

2. Oklahoma C Steven Adams collected 13 rebounds against Cleveland for his sixth double-digit effort of the season.

3. Paul is averaging eight points on 7-of-23 shooting over the past two games.

PREDICTION: Rockets 117, Thunder 112