105 Cincinnati U @ 106 SOUTH FLORIDA 7:45 PM EDT
JIMMY BOYD
Matchup: Cincinnati at S. Florida
Time: 7:45pm
10/15/09 [SIZE=+1]S. FLORIDA +3 (-110)[/SIZE]
Analysis: Just like with last night's Boise State/Tulsa game, the value lies with the home dog. This matchup pits Cincy's high-powered offense against USF's brick wall defense and I give the edge to the defense tonight. The Bulls are only allowing 9.4 points per game and only 263 total yards per contest. They have been particularly strong against the pass, which is what Cincy likes to do, allowing only two passing scores all season and being a very opportunistic unit. The Bulls rank third in the nation in forced turnovers with 16. Cincy's defense hasn't been as dominant and is spending way too much time on the field. Bearcats opponents have held the ball for a nation-leading 36:08 per contest. Part of that is because Cincy has a quick strike offense but part of it falls on the defense too. Bearcats coach Brian Kelly said, "We've got to get off the field on third down.” That will be a difficult task with as well as quarterback B.J. Daniels has been playing. Lastly, there's the revenge factor. After 3 straight losses to Cincy, the Bulls would like nothing more than to knock them off their high horse tonight. The Bulls are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week, and 8-3 ATS at home against Big East competition the last three years. The Bearcats are just 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite. South Florida pulls off the upset at home tonight.
:lol:
JIMMY BOYD
Matchup: Cincinnati at S. Florida
Time: 7:45pm
10/15/09 [SIZE=+1]S. FLORIDA +3 (-110)[/SIZE]
Analysis: Just like with last night's Boise State/Tulsa game, the value lies with the home dog. This matchup pits Cincy's high-powered offense against USF's brick wall defense and I give the edge to the defense tonight. The Bulls are only allowing 9.4 points per game and only 263 total yards per contest. They have been particularly strong against the pass, which is what Cincy likes to do, allowing only two passing scores all season and being a very opportunistic unit. The Bulls rank third in the nation in forced turnovers with 16. Cincy's defense hasn't been as dominant and is spending way too much time on the field. Bearcats opponents have held the ball for a nation-leading 36:08 per contest. Part of that is because Cincy has a quick strike offense but part of it falls on the defense too. Bearcats coach Brian Kelly said, "We've got to get off the field on third down.” That will be a difficult task with as well as quarterback B.J. Daniels has been playing. Lastly, there's the revenge factor. After 3 straight losses to Cincy, the Bulls would like nothing more than to knock them off their high horse tonight. The Bulls are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week, and 8-3 ATS at home against Big East competition the last three years. The Bearcats are just 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite. South Florida pulls off the upset at home tonight.
:lol:
hno:
