Jeff Benton Bonus Play
Got screwed out of at least a push with Wednesday's free-play release on the Dodgers-Cardinals UNDER, as L.A. gave up a "meaningless" run in the top of the ninth inning to make the final score 5-3 and push the game over the total of 7. I'll get back on track Thursday by playing Game 2 of the Rockies-Phillies series UNDER the total.
Don’t know if you watched Game 1 of this series yesterday, but the afternoon shadows at Citizens Bank Park definitely worked in favor of the pitchers, especially in the first five innings. And that was with the Phillies’ Cliff Lee (left-hander) and the Rockies’ Ubaldo Jimenez (right-hander) on the mound. Today, it’s the Phillies’ Cole Hamels (left-hander) and the Rockies’ Aaron Cook (right-hander).
Hamels has a very similar delivery, arm slot and plan of attack as Lee, and while Cook doesn’t throw as hard as Jimenez, his sinker can be downright devastating, especially when hitters struggle to pick up the pitch because of the aforementioned shadows.
As you know, Hamels was a beast last October, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA in five starts, earning NLCS and World Series MVP trophies for his efforts. And he’s facing a Rockies lineup that looked completely lost against Lee yesterday – not a big surprise considering how much Colorado struggles when it faces left-handed pitching on the road (.209 team average). Meanwhile, even though Cook doesn’t have Hamels’ stuff or playoff pedigree, he was very good in his final two regular-season starts after returning from a month-long stint on the disabled list (he gave up one run and eight hits in 13 innings in shutting down two very good offenses in the Brewers and Cardinals).
The under is 5-2-1 in Colorado’s last eight road games against lefties, 7-3 in its last 10 playoff contests, 5-1-1 in the Phillies’ last seven playoff contests, 12-5-1 in their last 18 home games, 8-2 in Hamels’ last 10 starts overall and 4-1 in his last five at home. Lastly, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams at Citizens Bank. Play it low.
3? UNDER (BASED ON A 1? TO 10? SCALE)