I think some of that has to do with Carson Palmer sitting tonightOPEN
-110
-4.5
-105
37
Vegas Odds
Las Vegas Hilton
-110
-6.5
-110
36
Mirage
-110
-6.5
-110
36.5
Hard Rock
-110
-7
-110
36
Planet Hollywood
-110
-6.5
-110
sorry, it opened at Pats -4.5 now its -6.5
which still means Pats are taking the money
Sam Clayton
**7-0 with 30 dime selections, No. 8 goes today!**
30 dime - SF/CIN Under 7.5 (LIST Cain and Harang)
As some of you know, I've been talking about a big Thursday play all week long. After I saw the opening total that Vegas set for this game, I immediately called up my local, logged into my online account and proceeded to hit it hard with both. And to be perfectly honest, this would probably still be a premium play even at 7. Don't get me wrong, I implore you to shop around for 7.5 and buy the hook if you must, but know full well that this line is a gift.
Thursday's morning matinee boasts two of baseball's worst offenses as the Giants and Reds rank 26th and 30th respectively in runs scored this season and Cincy is the worst hitting team in the Majors with a .239 average. The Giants have been able to stay in the thick of a pennant race because of the best team ERA in baseball and while the Reds are more centered in comparison to the rest of the league, one of their starters is certainly capable of keeping opposing hitters at bay. Lucky for us, each team will stroll out an ace-caliber pitcher Thursday and I'm taking full advantage. This game is going to be a full scale pitching battle and anyone who thinks otherwise is out of their damn mind.
Matt Cain (12-4, 2.49 ERA) gets the nod for the Giants and he has been absolutely sensational all season long. Cain has some of the sharpest stuff in baseball and his ability to avoid the big inning places him among the elite. He's holding opposing hitters to a .225 clip, he doesn't walk many hitters and his WHIP hovers around 1.15. Most runners that reach base on Cain usually don't make it very far and the majority find themselves stranded. Opposing Cain on the bump is Reds' ace Aaron Harang (6-14, 4.35), but don't let his win-loss total fool you, the guy can flat out deal. You have to factor in that Harang has lost two games by one run and a whopping five games by two runs. I hate to point the finger at Cincinnati's putrid offense, but that's the validity behind my reasoning. That's seven losses in games that were mostly low scoring that he wound up on the wrong side of. It's an excuse sure, but don't back off because of his 14 losses especially considering had he any offense behind him, those numbers wouldn't be so skewed.
Those that have been following my picks know that I'm a strong advocate of important intangibles when I see them. And today I actually have a couple. In games that Matt Cain has started this season, the under has cashed 14 of 23 times. For Harang, it's sailed under 16 of 24 times. Delving deeper, 9 of Cain's last 11 starts have gone south of 7.5 runs and the same can be said for 4 of Harang's last 6 starts. Also, Thursday's game is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET, which means both clubs have to wake up extremely early to get to the ballpark by 9 a.m. It gets better though as both teams have to travel immediately after for their weekend series as the Giants fly to Denver and Cincinnati heads to Pittsburgh. Trust me when I say that team motivation isn't at its highest point on travel days, especially games this early. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a couple reserves get some spot starts so that regulars can rest up. I expect a low scoring affair as both starters have downright nasty stuff and they shouldn't have many problems keeping their struggling offensive opponents off the scoreboard.
Play the UNDER.
THIS GAME STARTED AT 12:35 WHY POST IT AT 1:25:think2: .....................@)Sam Clayton
**7-0 with 30 dime selections, No. 8 goes today!**
30 dime - SF/CIN Under 7.5 (LIST Cain and Harang)
As some of you know, I've been talking about a big Thursday play all week long. After I saw the opening total that Vegas set for this game, I immediately called up my local, logged into my online account and proceeded to hit it hard with both. And to be perfectly honest, this would probably still be a premium play even at 7. Don't get me wrong, I implore you to shop around for 7.5 and buy the hook if you must, but know full well that this line is a gift.
Thursday's morning matinee boasts two of baseball's worst offenses as the Giants and Reds rank 26th and 30th respectively in runs scored this season and Cincy is the worst hitting team in the Majors with a .239 average. The Giants have been able to stay in the thick of a pennant race because of the best team ERA in baseball and while the Reds are more centered in comparison to the rest of the league, one of their starters is certainly capable of keeping opposing hitters at bay. Lucky for us, each team will stroll out an ace-caliber pitcher Thursday and I'm taking full advantage. This game is going to be a full scale pitching battle and anyone who thinks otherwise is out of their damn mind.
Matt Cain (12-4, 2.49 ERA) gets the nod for the Giants and he has been absolutely sensational all season long. Cain has some of the sharpest stuff in baseball and his ability to avoid the big inning places him among the elite. He's holding opposing hitters to a .225 clip, he doesn't walk many hitters and his WHIP hovers around 1.15. Most runners that reach base on Cain usually don't make it very far and the majority find themselves stranded. Opposing Cain on the bump is Reds' ace Aaron Harang (6-14, 4.35), but don't let his win-loss total fool you, the guy can flat out deal. You have to factor in that Harang has lost two games by one run and a whopping five games by two runs. I hate to point the finger at Cincinnati's putrid offense, but that's the validity behind my reasoning. That's seven losses in games that were mostly low scoring that he wound up on the wrong side of. It's an excuse sure, but don't back off because of his 14 losses especially considering had he any offense behind him, those numbers wouldn't be so skewed.
Those that have been following my picks know that I'm a strong advocate of important intangibles when I see them. And today I actually have a couple. In games that Matt Cain has started this season, the under has cashed 14 of 23 times. For Harang, it's sailed under 16 of 24 times. Delving deeper, 9 of Cain's last 11 starts have gone south of 7.5 runs and the same can be said for 4 of Harang's last 6 starts. Also, Thursday's game is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET, which means both clubs have to wake up extremely early to get to the ballpark by 9 a.m. It gets better though as both teams have to travel immediately after for their weekend series as the Giants fly to Denver and Cincinnati heads to Pittsburgh. Trust me when I say that team motivation isn't at its highest point on travel days, especially games this early. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a couple reserves get some spot starts so that regulars can rest up. I expect a low scoring affair as both starters have downright nasty stuff and they shouldn't have many problems keeping their struggling offensive opponents off the scoreboard.
Play the UNDER.