Thurs ....Take the Hill

[Kaboom]

Detroit .... Carpenter ....last 7 games BA.381

In short Career at Progressive Field in Cleveland ......... Carpenter 9/13 BA.556

Using Det Carpenter in a ML Par .... Over 0.5 Hits - 250

 

[Mofome2]

Like it Kaboom. Jumped on it now before my book shifts it.

 

[Mofome2]

I like a prop at Bogota. Sale more K's than Corbin. Only thing that concerns me ia how deep Sale will go since I think this is his 2nd start back. Can he repeat like his first start. A bit over 4 innings and 7 ks.

 

[Kaboom]

Nym .... Ortega ... Ba.235 vs RHP ...

but last 7 days 7/20 vs all pitchers Ba.350

and vs Wainwright in Career 6/14 Ba.429

hmmmm.......prop bet is Ortgea Over 0.5 Hits - 185

 

[Kaboom]

Like it Kaboom. Jumped on it now before my book shifts it.

BOL MO .... hope we cash

 

[Kaboom]

Detroit at Cleveland ... 2023

Over / Under ..... 0-5-1 ...

Due for an Over ?????????????

 

[Kaboom]

SD .... Hill ...in his 1st 2 starts with SD Hill as not lasted 3.1 IP ...

Zona don't walk much vs lefties ... so this lean/play is a bit sketchy

but

24 Games this year .... Hill has not gone 3 straight starts of 1 or less walks

and this is the 1st time where he has gone back to back games of allowing 1 or less walks this year

Lean .... SD Hill Over 1.5 Walks - 150

 

[TedUnderhill]

My book sux. Carpenter at minimum has to have 1 hit for -244

 

[Kaboom]

Milw ... Burnes ...... 4 Career Starts vs Lad ... 1-2 Rec / Era 8.81

He has 3 starts at Dodger Stadium .... he has not gone past 4.1 IP in any start

In his 4 starts vs Lad .... he has not given up less than 3 ER per start

Burnes numbers in Career vs Lad are below

I	Year	W	L	W-L%	ERA	G	GS	GF	CG	SHO	SV	IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	SO	HBP	BK	WP	BF	WHIP	SO9	SO/W
	2018	1	0	1.000	7.71	2	0	0	0	0	0	2.1	3	2	2	0	2	1	3	0	0		11	2.143	11.6	1.50
	2019	0	0		10.38	1	1	0	0	0	0	4.1	9	5	5	3	2	0	3	0	0		24	2.539	6.2	1.50
	2021	0	1	.000	13.50	1	1	0	0	0	0	2.0	2	3	3	1	1	0	4	0	0		9	1.500	18.0	4.00
	2022	1	1	.500	6.75	2	2	0	0	0	0	9.1	11	10	7	1	4	0	9	1	0		44	1.607	8.7	2.25
	Career	2	2	.500	8.50	6	4	0	0	0	0	18.0	25	20	17	5	9	1	19	1	0		88	1.889	9.5	2.11

Milw Burnes Under 18.5 Outs

Milw Burnes Over 2.5 ER + 110

If Burnes throws a gem .... oh well .... that's baseball

 

[exploited17]

Can't fade the Dodgers at this point..... too hot. Keep taking or stay away

 

[Kaboom]

My book sux. Carpenter at minimum has to have 1+ hits.

Most books likely have that line bro .... sucks

 

[Kaboom]

Can't fade the Dodgers at this point..... too hot. Keep taking or stay away

Agree .... not a huge Dodger Fan after that night with the Nuns ... but ..I got over it ...LOL

 

[Mofome2]

Hill is horrendous. Also you are correct I feel Kaboom. Just can't see Burnes getting over 18.5 outs, considering the fact the past two games Brewers pitchers maxed out at 5 innings

 

[Mofome2]

Line shot up at Borgota from -210 to -225 for under 18.5 outs. I jumped on that fast before they lower it. Thxs Kaboom. Bol

 

[Kaboom]

SD .....Hill ......has lost 24 of the last 38 games when pitching in the month of August. Rich Hill is 0-2 in his last three overall starts with an ERA of 8.74 and he is 1-10 vs. Arizona over his career with an ERA of 6.28.


Small Play ...because I can seldom trust Zona bats

Zona Over 4.5 TT + 114

 

[PirateAlew]

SD .....Hill ......has lost 24 of the last 38 games when pitching in the month of August. Rich Hill is 0-2 in his last three overall starts with an ERA of 8.74 and he is 1-10 vs. Arizona over his career with an ERA of 6.28.


Small Play ...because I can seldom trust Zona bats

Zona Over 4.5 TT + 114

I've been spot-fading him most of this year as he's a gas can. It worked his first start and i think he gives up quite a bit tonight, if Dbacks bats can wake up...Hill throws Batting practice to a decent hitter. I'm big on Zona tonight. Good Luck

 

[exploited17]

Indians have been a burn team but why is Detroit a road favorite?

 

[PirateAlew]

Indians have been a burn team but why is Detroit a road favorite?

Skubal, a lefty, on the mound. Guardians have lowest slug against Lefties and always struggle, as they did again last night with reds lefty.

 

[Kaboom]

Here comes under 1st Inning
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last eight games against NL Central opponents.

 

[Kaboom]

Wash

2023 vs Interleague Play

vs Opp Pitcher's Season WHIP is 1.2 or Less

Total closed at 9 or higher

Rec 4-0 SU / RL

Wash

vs Opp team with win %.... 51 to 54%

Total set at 9 or Higher

Over / Under 0-9-1

also Wash is 7-3 SU ….but 10-0 RL

Small Play ... Wash + 1.5 - 105