Three Games Wk 12 Advice and Thoughts.

[Sportsgodd99]

Consider this...DETROIT ML

 

[Sea-Urchin]

San Diego has been getting shaded lines all season because of the talent they have on the team. By all rights they should be much better than they are, but the fact is right now they're not a very good NFL team at all. Below the league average, I'd say. Some of that is because of players not performing at the level that's typical for them (Tomlinson), some because of players regressing in their performance (Rivers), some because of a coach that doesn't inspire, but mostly because they simply play like a bunch of individuals and not as a team.

If they lose to Indianapolis they'd probably be a very good fade for the rest of the season. In this particular game, though, I'm much more inclined to just watch and see what happens.

If you're in San Diego, a trip to Tijuana to bet the Colts might be worthwhile. The lines down there on the Chargers are usually inflated, so you might could find Indy +4 or +5.

Unless Denver self-destruct, our season is over. We have to win the remainder of the season in order to make the playoff. With Norv Turner as HC, I highly doubt it..that you can take it to the bank.

I used to go down to TJ earlier this season and did well. What I dont like is that they take another 1 or 2% of ur winning when u cash the ticket. But their tacos are damn good though..taco de lengua...yummmmm yummm.

 

[HonestRob]

Consider this...DETROIT ATS

FYP :toast:

 

[handspanked]

Consider the total in the giants game. ny will run at will and the cards will score their fair share at home. looking for a 31-27 type of score

 

[Broncos625]

No clue why Mia is favored, Mia barely beat Sea and Oak last 2 games, 2 SHIT teams. Belichick has had 4 extra days to prepare for this game, and that usually is a large factor. Also Cassell is playing with confidence now. I like NE BIG!

You're right, after a bit more research, I am thinking NE +1 is the play of the week here.

 

[Broncos625]

Ketch is correct, year to date double digit underdogs are 13-2 ATS, with four outright wins. One double digit favorite that won was the Giants vs 49ers, and they covered by 2, I do not recall the other. Another interesting trend or angle, is favorites of 8 to 9.5 are 14-6 ATS this year, in part because that is how many points the 49ers, Rams, Bengals, Detroit, KC were/have been getting on those games.

I would be interested to know how this works out for you, a smaller number of units spread over several games or a large number of units on your best pick of the week.

Good luck.

Well last week was the first week of trying the play one game for all my budget for the week. Took Cleveland and obviously worked out. I am just sick of winning 2, losing 1 or vice versa, etc. Seems most weeks, the pick I feel strongest about wins so I am doing the one play per week for the rest of the season.

 

[Broncos625]

I am also now leaning toward the Jets +6. I think they may win outright here. A few more days to decide. This discussion is very helpful, keep it going guys, I do appreciate it.

 

[TheCashoutKid]

Den -9.5

 

[M.O.B.]

I am also now leaning toward the Jets +6. I think they may win outright here. A few more days to decide. This discussion is very helpful, keep it going guys, I do appreciate it.

I want to know people's reasoning for taking jets.

 

[A2Gator]

I want to know people's reasoning for taking jets.

Because 6 points is too much to give a Jets team that is coming off of two good wins with one of the best and most proven QB's in history.

And 6 points is too many to swallow with a Titans team that has struggled to pull away from mediocre teams in three straight weeks, and is starting to feel the immense pressure of the undefeated season.

 

[HonestRob]

Because 6 points is too much to give a Jets team that is coming off of two good wins with one of the best and most proven QB's in history.

And 6 points is too many to swallow with a Titans team that has struggled to pull away from mediocre teams in three straight weeks, and is starting to feel the immense pressure of the undefeated season.

Agree with this and NY's D-line will slow down Tenn.'s rushing attack. I think Tenn. wins in a close one but won't be surprised if NY wins.

 

[thomasbrady]

No clue why Mia is favored, Mia barely beat Sea and Oak last 2 games, 2 SHIT teams. Belichick has had 4 extra days to prepare for this game, and that usually is a large factor. Also Cassell is playing with confidence now. I like NE BIG!

Patriots NEVER lose two games in a row.

 

[ProphetablePicks]

Minny beats Jags
KC beats Bills

two nice live dogs bark loud!!!

 

[Broncos625]

Patriots NEVER lose two games in a row.

That and I can't see the Pats getting swept by Miami this season.

 

[tmader7]

Double Digit Dogs are like 14-1 this year.

16-2 actually, but who other than my bankroll is counting, lol.

~T~

 

[chelseafan1]

Miami always play hard against NE last few weeks ago NE won but couldnt cover although mia had a bad start now that mia is hot and at home i like them in this one..but not sure with stats..

 

[KidKash]

i like carolina +1 a lot, they have been an excellent road dog under fox and atlanta has been fooling a lot of us. new england will win outright so getting 1 point is a gift in my opinion. i also like the 49ers +10, dallas just really isnt that good. good luck with which ever one you decide.

 

[Jazzy3113]

well mission accomplished if you wanted to point out the some of the toughest games to pick this week.