15 must-read fantasy football stats for Week 3.
1. C.J. Anderson has averaged 5.7 yards per carry since Week 8 of last year (1st in NFL).
So far this year, he's seen his volume increase to 20 attempts per game (up from 9.5 last season) while averaging 4.2 yards per carry, a rushing touchdown and at least three receptions per game. The Bengals defense has given up an average of 138 yards per game on the ground, which is the most in the NFL.
Fantasy Impact: C.J. Anderson is my No. 10 ranked running back for the week.
2. Andy Dalton has a 69.4 passer rating against the blitz so far this season (28th).
Denver has blitzed 39.5 percent so far this season, good for second-most in the NFL. Also, Dalton has been sacked eight times, tied for the most so far this season. Seven of those coming from the Jets in Week 1. It would seem that pass-catchers in this Bengals offense might have a quiet outing. However, I am not ready to count A.J. Green out quite yet, especially considering Andy Dalton has passed on 71.3 percent of plays (up from 53.5 percent last season) and earned 366 yards in each game so far this year. Fun fact that our awesome research team gave me: no Bengals quarterback has ever passed for 350+ yards in 3-straight games.
Fantasy Impact: If you are playing Perfect Challenge, understand that A.J. Green is a riskier pick, but one that could pay off. Here's why: First, DeMarcus Ware is out, which doesn't mean that this defense should be downgraded but does provide a little relief. Next, looking back at last year's Week 16 matchup between Denver and Cincinnati (Broncos won 20-17 in OT with Osweiler and McCarron quarterbacking each team), when Green lined up across from Chris Harris Jr he had one reception off two targets (in seven plays). When Green was lined up across from Aqib Talib he had three receptions off four targets and a touchdown in 20 plays.
3. Kirk Cousins has a passer rating of 19.6 in the red zone this season, down from 113.5 last year, including two interceptions and only one touchdown (last year his touchdown-interception was 22-0 in the red zone).
In the same way that I don't overweight his 64.1% completion percentage in the red zone last year, I also won't overweight the interceptions and inefficiency this year (29.4% completion percentage), at least not yet. Remember, in Week 1 against the Steelers, Washington was playing from behind (24-6) shortly after half time. I don't think this is the week when we see the guy who led the League last year in completion percentage, as the Giants defense has improved their passing yards allowed per game by almost 62 from last year (averaged 298.9 last year versus 237 this year) but I think he starts to trend up in coming weeks.
Fantasy Impact: First, due to the Giant's defense being 4th best against the run so far this season (only allowing 71 yards per game) and the Redskins running game only earning 68.5 yards per game, ranking 26th in the NFL. My projections rate Jordan Reed as the No. 1 TE. Reed leads the league in tight end targets at 18 with 12 receptions). Looking ahead, Washington faces the Browns next week where Kurt Cousins will likely be a top option. Also, I am staying away from Matt Jones in this matchup, for sure.
4. All three of the Giant's wide receivers have played in at least 91% of their offensive snaps
I bet you thought I was going to say that Beckham was targeted six times against Norman last year when he was a Panther, caught four of those passes for 30 yards and a touchdown. Or maybe that so far this season Norman lined up against Antonio Brown on 25 of 66 plays (all on when Brown was on the right) but also 30 of 57 plays against Dez Bryant (15 times on each the left and right sides) and followed him every time he lined up wide left in the 4th quarter? No?
Here's the reality… Where Norman lines up is not the same as where he goes or who he covers. We really don't know what Washington's defensive coordinator Joe Berry will ask Norman to do. It's far better to focus on Beckham's 19 targets, with Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard each having 12 so far this season. Further, the improvement to the Giant's defense makes me think this will not be the highest scoring game of the week. Maybe the best thing about Norman's coverage in relation to the receivers is that he's only lined up in the slot on 11 plays this season (7.6 percent of his snaps) and Sterling Shepard paces the NFL with 117 yards from the slot.
Fantasy Impact: Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr, Victor Cruz, and Sterling Shepard are all in play. Just keep in mind that there is a good chance we see a more "normal" final score, not a shootout.
5. Willie Snead has 164 yards off of 11 receptions (both second in the NFL) and one touchdown out of the slot.
Per the NFL's Next Gen stats, the Falcons defense has allowed 7-of-10 for 125 yards and a touchdown from the left slot and 10-of-16 and a touchdown from the right slot.
Fantasy Impact: Snead is a must-start. It's always tough to determine Drew Brees' favorite target, but Snead leads his team with 14 receptions. Snead and Cooks both have two touchdowns and over 200 receiving yards this season already (Cooks 211, Snead 226). There's a good chance the Saints score the most points of any team this weekend. Brees, Cooks and Snead are all in a great spot.
1. C.J. Anderson has averaged 5.7 yards per carry since Week 8 of last year (1st in NFL).
So far this year, he's seen his volume increase to 20 attempts per game (up from 9.5 last season) while averaging 4.2 yards per carry, a rushing touchdown and at least three receptions per game. The Bengals defense has given up an average of 138 yards per game on the ground, which is the most in the NFL.
Fantasy Impact: C.J. Anderson is my No. 10 ranked running back for the week.
2. Andy Dalton has a 69.4 passer rating against the blitz so far this season (28th).
Denver has blitzed 39.5 percent so far this season, good for second-most in the NFL. Also, Dalton has been sacked eight times, tied for the most so far this season. Seven of those coming from the Jets in Week 1. It would seem that pass-catchers in this Bengals offense might have a quiet outing. However, I am not ready to count A.J. Green out quite yet, especially considering Andy Dalton has passed on 71.3 percent of plays (up from 53.5 percent last season) and earned 366 yards in each game so far this year. Fun fact that our awesome research team gave me: no Bengals quarterback has ever passed for 350+ yards in 3-straight games.
Fantasy Impact: If you are playing Perfect Challenge, understand that A.J. Green is a riskier pick, but one that could pay off. Here's why: First, DeMarcus Ware is out, which doesn't mean that this defense should be downgraded but does provide a little relief. Next, looking back at last year's Week 16 matchup between Denver and Cincinnati (Broncos won 20-17 in OT with Osweiler and McCarron quarterbacking each team), when Green lined up across from Chris Harris Jr he had one reception off two targets (in seven plays). When Green was lined up across from Aqib Talib he had three receptions off four targets and a touchdown in 20 plays.
3. Kirk Cousins has a passer rating of 19.6 in the red zone this season, down from 113.5 last year, including two interceptions and only one touchdown (last year his touchdown-interception was 22-0 in the red zone).
In the same way that I don't overweight his 64.1% completion percentage in the red zone last year, I also won't overweight the interceptions and inefficiency this year (29.4% completion percentage), at least not yet. Remember, in Week 1 against the Steelers, Washington was playing from behind (24-6) shortly after half time. I don't think this is the week when we see the guy who led the League last year in completion percentage, as the Giants defense has improved their passing yards allowed per game by almost 62 from last year (averaged 298.9 last year versus 237 this year) but I think he starts to trend up in coming weeks.
Fantasy Impact: First, due to the Giant's defense being 4th best against the run so far this season (only allowing 71 yards per game) and the Redskins running game only earning 68.5 yards per game, ranking 26th in the NFL. My projections rate Jordan Reed as the No. 1 TE. Reed leads the league in tight end targets at 18 with 12 receptions). Looking ahead, Washington faces the Browns next week where Kurt Cousins will likely be a top option. Also, I am staying away from Matt Jones in this matchup, for sure.
4. All three of the Giant's wide receivers have played in at least 91% of their offensive snaps
I bet you thought I was going to say that Beckham was targeted six times against Norman last year when he was a Panther, caught four of those passes for 30 yards and a touchdown. Or maybe that so far this season Norman lined up against Antonio Brown on 25 of 66 plays (all on when Brown was on the right) but also 30 of 57 plays against Dez Bryant (15 times on each the left and right sides) and followed him every time he lined up wide left in the 4th quarter? No?
Here's the reality… Where Norman lines up is not the same as where he goes or who he covers. We really don't know what Washington's defensive coordinator Joe Berry will ask Norman to do. It's far better to focus on Beckham's 19 targets, with Victor Cruz and Sterling Shepard each having 12 so far this season. Further, the improvement to the Giant's defense makes me think this will not be the highest scoring game of the week. Maybe the best thing about Norman's coverage in relation to the receivers is that he's only lined up in the slot on 11 plays this season (7.6 percent of his snaps) and Sterling Shepard paces the NFL with 117 yards from the slot.
Fantasy Impact: Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr, Victor Cruz, and Sterling Shepard are all in play. Just keep in mind that there is a good chance we see a more "normal" final score, not a shootout.
5. Willie Snead has 164 yards off of 11 receptions (both second in the NFL) and one touchdown out of the slot.
Per the NFL's Next Gen stats, the Falcons defense has allowed 7-of-10 for 125 yards and a touchdown from the left slot and 10-of-16 and a touchdown from the right slot.
Fantasy Impact: Snead is a must-start. It's always tough to determine Drew Brees' favorite target, but Snead leads his team with 14 receptions. Snead and Cooks both have two touchdowns and over 200 receiving yards this season already (Cooks 211, Snead 226). There's a good chance the Saints score the most points of any team this weekend. Brees, Cooks and Snead are all in a great spot.
6. Matt Ryan's completion percentage is 72.6 (No. 2 in the NFL).
Which is up from 66.3 percent last season. He's also averaging almost 80 more passing yards per game (365 versus 286.9) and has about a 30-point passer rating increase (121.4 compared with 89). Last year, Julio Jones saw League-highs in terms of targets per game (12.7), receptions per game (8.5) and receiving yards per game (116.9). This year he has nine total receptions off 13 total targets, 172 total receiving yards and two touchdowns.
The Saints defense is allowing more points and yards per game this year than last (29.8 versus 25.5 and 451.5 versus 413.4). The one improvement, however, has been in allowing passing touchdowns. Last year they set an NFL record with 45 passing scores allowed, and this year they've only allowed one in two games.
Fantasy Impact: Julio Jones is my No. 1 wide receiver for the week, Matt Ryan is my No. 5 quarterback. Also, even though we've seen a shared backfield both weeks so far, Devonta Freeman's 5.5 yards per carry makes him the more efficient back (Coleman averaged 3.8 yards per carry) and I wouldn't be surprised if he earned you a bunch of points this weekend.
7. Over the past eight games, Matthew Stafford's passer rating is 113.2 (second best among quarterbacks with at least 100 pass attempts).
He's also averaged 281.9 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 70.9 and a touchdown to interception ratio of 21-2. Over the past two games, Marvin Jones has 12 receptions on 21 targets for 203 receiving yards, Golden Tate has nine receptions on 16 targets for 54 yards and Anquan Boldin has seven receptions on 10 targets for 83 yards and a TD. Theo Riddick and Eric Ebron both also have nine receptions for 91 and 99 yards.
Fantasy Impact: Since Green Bay has limited opponents to fewer than 50 total rush yards in both of their games so far (39 rush yards per game, fewest in the NFL) I am only considering pass catchers in this matchup. Marvin Jones is my ninth-ranked wide receiver for the week. If Eric Ebron doesn't end up playing (he sat out of practice on Wednesday with a back injury but returned Thursday), Theo Riddick becomes more valuable.
8. Aaron Rodgers has a completion percentage of 33.3 on 10+ air yard passes this season (tied for the lowest in NFL).
His overall completion percentage is 57.1% so far this season, which ranks 30th and his fourth quarter passer rating is 41.0, which is 32nd in the NFL. I'm writing this all now because this won't continue and I want to be on record saying this is when we see Aaron Rodgers stats look Aaron Rodgers-like again. There is enough data on Rodgers to show high and low outliers and it would appear we are in a valley. One item that jumps out to me: Rodgers' passer rating is 54.5 when targeting Davante Adams (6-14, 76 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) and 89.6 when targeting anyone else (34-56, 336 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT). Another is that Eddie Lacy has not had 65 or more yards in a single game over his past 5 games.
Fantasy Impact: My projections say the order goes - Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, and Jordy Nelson from an upside perspective. Nelson has the higher median projection compared to Cobb but figures to see more of the Lions stellar corner Darius Slay, so Cobb has a higher touchdown expected value. The Lions, especially with linebacker DeAndre Levy out, have also been vulnerable to tight ends. Do I think there's going to be another thrilling Hail Mary? Not likely. But the Lions have surrendered an average of 88 yards and at least one touchdown (three to the Colts) in both games to tight ends so far this year. This is a trend that has continued from last year. If you are in need of a tight end you can consider Jared Cook (5-of-8) or Richard Rodgers (3-of-5). I value targets here, so Cook has the edge per my math.
9. Travis Benjamin has a 92.9 percent catch rate.
OK, so this sample size (12 catches on 13 targets) is tiny, but it's good for trivia purposes. After losing both Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead to injury, Travis Benjamin has really stepped up. In Cleveland, he averaged 2 receptions off 4.1 targets per game for 31.2 yards (49.3% catch percentage). It's only been two games but so far he's tracking at 6.5 catches off 7 targets for 73.5 yards. This catch rate will come down, but the targets are the key and those project to increase, especially against the Colts this week.
Fantasy Impact: Travis Benjamin is a great safe, smart play. Philip Rivers is a riskier one (high ceiling but median projection is not top-10 for me).
10. Speaking of target increases, I project Phillip Dorsett to see 8 this week and catch five of them against the Chargers.
With Donte Moncrief sidelined, Phillip Dorsett projects to see an increase in volume. Here's the breakdown so far: T.Y. Hilton has 10 catches on 23 targets, Moncrief has 7 of 10, while Dorsett has 5 catches on 11 targets. Also, Hilton doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy either. I also think Dorsett could see the least of the Chargers' cornerback Jason Verrett.
Fantasy Impact: If you need a receiver, go get Dorsett. If you are looking for a wideout to exceed your expectations this week, he is my top option in that category. The injury situation also gives both Dwayne Allen and even Jack Doyle a bump in the tight end spot.
Which is up from 66.3 percent last season. He's also averaging almost 80 more passing yards per game (365 versus 286.9) and has about a 30-point passer rating increase (121.4 compared with 89). Last year, Julio Jones saw League-highs in terms of targets per game (12.7), receptions per game (8.5) and receiving yards per game (116.9). This year he has nine total receptions off 13 total targets, 172 total receiving yards and two touchdowns.
The Saints defense is allowing more points and yards per game this year than last (29.8 versus 25.5 and 451.5 versus 413.4). The one improvement, however, has been in allowing passing touchdowns. Last year they set an NFL record with 45 passing scores allowed, and this year they've only allowed one in two games.
Fantasy Impact: Julio Jones is my No. 1 wide receiver for the week, Matt Ryan is my No. 5 quarterback. Also, even though we've seen a shared backfield both weeks so far, Devonta Freeman's 5.5 yards per carry makes him the more efficient back (Coleman averaged 3.8 yards per carry) and I wouldn't be surprised if he earned you a bunch of points this weekend.
7. Over the past eight games, Matthew Stafford's passer rating is 113.2 (second best among quarterbacks with at least 100 pass attempts).
He's also averaged 281.9 passing yards per game with a completion percentage of 70.9 and a touchdown to interception ratio of 21-2. Over the past two games, Marvin Jones has 12 receptions on 21 targets for 203 receiving yards, Golden Tate has nine receptions on 16 targets for 54 yards and Anquan Boldin has seven receptions on 10 targets for 83 yards and a TD. Theo Riddick and Eric Ebron both also have nine receptions for 91 and 99 yards.
Fantasy Impact: Since Green Bay has limited opponents to fewer than 50 total rush yards in both of their games so far (39 rush yards per game, fewest in the NFL) I am only considering pass catchers in this matchup. Marvin Jones is my ninth-ranked wide receiver for the week. If Eric Ebron doesn't end up playing (he sat out of practice on Wednesday with a back injury but returned Thursday), Theo Riddick becomes more valuable.
8. Aaron Rodgers has a completion percentage of 33.3 on 10+ air yard passes this season (tied for the lowest in NFL).
His overall completion percentage is 57.1% so far this season, which ranks 30th and his fourth quarter passer rating is 41.0, which is 32nd in the NFL. I'm writing this all now because this won't continue and I want to be on record saying this is when we see Aaron Rodgers stats look Aaron Rodgers-like again. There is enough data on Rodgers to show high and low outliers and it would appear we are in a valley. One item that jumps out to me: Rodgers' passer rating is 54.5 when targeting Davante Adams (6-14, 76 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) and 89.6 when targeting anyone else (34-56, 336 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT). Another is that Eddie Lacy has not had 65 or more yards in a single game over his past 5 games.
Fantasy Impact: My projections say the order goes - Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, and Jordy Nelson from an upside perspective. Nelson has the higher median projection compared to Cobb but figures to see more of the Lions stellar corner Darius Slay, so Cobb has a higher touchdown expected value. The Lions, especially with linebacker DeAndre Levy out, have also been vulnerable to tight ends. Do I think there's going to be another thrilling Hail Mary? Not likely. But the Lions have surrendered an average of 88 yards and at least one touchdown (three to the Colts) in both games to tight ends so far this year. This is a trend that has continued from last year. If you are in need of a tight end you can consider Jared Cook (5-of-8) or Richard Rodgers (3-of-5). I value targets here, so Cook has the edge per my math.
9. Travis Benjamin has a 92.9 percent catch rate.
OK, so this sample size (12 catches on 13 targets) is tiny, but it's good for trivia purposes. After losing both Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead to injury, Travis Benjamin has really stepped up. In Cleveland, he averaged 2 receptions off 4.1 targets per game for 31.2 yards (49.3% catch percentage). It's only been two games but so far he's tracking at 6.5 catches off 7 targets for 73.5 yards. This catch rate will come down, but the targets are the key and those project to increase, especially against the Colts this week.
Fantasy Impact: Travis Benjamin is a great safe, smart play. Philip Rivers is a riskier one (high ceiling but median projection is not top-10 for me).
10. Speaking of target increases, I project Phillip Dorsett to see 8 this week and catch five of them against the Chargers.
With Donte Moncrief sidelined, Phillip Dorsett projects to see an increase in volume. Here's the breakdown so far: T.Y. Hilton has 10 catches on 23 targets, Moncrief has 7 of 10, while Dorsett has 5 catches on 11 targets. Also, Hilton doesn't appear to be 100 percent healthy either. I also think Dorsett could see the least of the Chargers' cornerback Jason Verrett.
Fantasy Impact: If you need a receiver, go get Dorsett. If you are looking for a wideout to exceed your expectations this week, he is my top option in that category. The injury situation also gives both Dwayne Allen and even Jack Doyle a bump in the tight end spot.
11. Jeremy Maclin has lined up on the right side of the offense 51 percent of the time and on the left side 49 percent of the time so far this season. His touchdown was on a deep left pass, but he has also caught passes deep right and deep middle as well this season.
Jets' cornerback Darelle Revis lined up mostly on the defensive left in Week 2, after shadowing AJ Green in Week 1. Revis allowed 10 receptions on 10 targets for 152 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. He allowed two receptions on five targets for 90 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. Revis has allowed an 80 percent completion percentage so far the year (12-15) as opposed to a 42.2% (38 of 90) last season.
I am not ready to declare the decline of Revis in full-effect, but I do like situations where the offensive pass volume seems to be displaying a trend. Maclin has 11 receptions off of a team-high 22 targets so far this season. The next closest wide receiver in terms of volume is Chris Conley with 6 receptions off 11 targets for a total of 58 yards. Travis Kelce also has 11 receptions on 14 targets so far this season.
Fantasy Impact: Maclin has five or more receptions in seven of his past eight games and my projections like Maclin to finish in the top 28 of wide receivers for the week. Kelce has five or more receptions in both games so far this season, but the Jets defense is not a great match for a tight end. If he's your season-long starter you are playing Kelce for sure, but if you're looking for Perfect Challenge options he's not the one I would pick. Also, if Jamaal Charles doesn't return, I would definitely play Spencer Ware.
12. Matt Forte's 52 carries over the past two games are the most over a two-game timespan in his career.
Also, his seven receptions are seven more than any tight end the Jets roster. The Jets have not recorded a reception at the tight end position yet this season. The Chiefs defense has yet to match the levels of efficiency they were operating at over their final 10 regular season games last year, allowing 23 points per game and 369.5 yards per game, with only one takeaway per game. Compared with Weeks 7 to 17 of last season (including their bye), the Chiefs were only allowing an average of 12.8 points per game, 303.2 yards per game but with 2.3 takeaways. On the ground specifically, they're allowing an average of 126 yards per game (third most in the NFL).
Fantasy Impact: Matt Forte is in a great spot again this week. I don't think it's a three-score type of great spot, but he's my No. 7 running back for the week in PPR formats. Also, watch the injury report carefully as it seems both Marshall and Decker are a bit banged up. In terms of wide receiver receptions and targets, Marshall has nine on 17, Decker has eight on 15, and Enunwa has 13 on 14. All of them are worth playing this week if they are on your team, but if Marshall or Decker doesn't play it would give a projection boost to Enunwa. Remember, the Jets haven't used their tight end as a pass catcher for more than two targets yet this season, so some of that would-be volume goes to Forte and the wideouts.
13. The Raiders are pacing the NFL in both total yards earned on offense at 470 yards per game AND yards allowed on defense at 517.5 so far this season.
The Raiders' 8.02 yards per play allowed is primarily driven by their 10.63 yards allowed per passing play (worst in NFL), while their 4.45 yards allowed per run play ranks 23rd. The Titans defense, on the other hand, has only allowed one offensive TD over the past two games.
Fantasy Impact: I really like Tajae Sharpe again this week, his 11 receptions on 18 targets are both team highs. Delanie Walker with nine receptions on 11 targets is also an excellent choice, per usual. I'm not saying he's reached elite receiver status and I do see that most of his targets and catches are not coming off deep balls. However, the volume is there for the rookie and I point him out specifically because it appears Sharpe is only owned in 10.1 percent of NFL.com leagues… go get him!
14. The Eagles defense blitzed on 37.7 percent of pass plays in Week 2 (seventh most in NFL)
I know this is a one-week stat, but one of Ben Roethlisberger's two interceptions last week came when the Bengals blitzed (even though they only blitzed 18.4 percent of the time) and in that game his passer rating overall was 1.2 when he faced the blitz. Roethlisberger has thrown multiple interceptions in four of his past five games. The Eagles defense has shown improvement this season, allowing about 115 fewer total yards per game and improving their red zone touchdown rate allowed from 65.6 to 40% this year.
Fantasy Impact: DeAngelo Williams is my No. 1 running back for the week.
15. Stefon Diggs practiced for zero minutes on Friday.
Sam Bradford had a 71.0 completion percentage against the Packers and has averaged a 68.4 completion percentage over his last seven starts. Diggs has been a top performer (16 catches on 20 targets for 285 yards and one touchdown). Carolina's defense is tough, but there are some targetable spots in their secondary.
Fantasy Impact: Come up with a Plan B now in case he doesn't play.
Jets' cornerback Darelle Revis lined up mostly on the defensive left in Week 2, after shadowing AJ Green in Week 1. Revis allowed 10 receptions on 10 targets for 152 yards and a touchdown in Week 1. He allowed two receptions on five targets for 90 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. Revis has allowed an 80 percent completion percentage so far the year (12-15) as opposed to a 42.2% (38 of 90) last season.
I am not ready to declare the decline of Revis in full-effect, but I do like situations where the offensive pass volume seems to be displaying a trend. Maclin has 11 receptions off of a team-high 22 targets so far this season. The next closest wide receiver in terms of volume is Chris Conley with 6 receptions off 11 targets for a total of 58 yards. Travis Kelce also has 11 receptions on 14 targets so far this season.
Fantasy Impact: Maclin has five or more receptions in seven of his past eight games and my projections like Maclin to finish in the top 28 of wide receivers for the week. Kelce has five or more receptions in both games so far this season, but the Jets defense is not a great match for a tight end. If he's your season-long starter you are playing Kelce for sure, but if you're looking for Perfect Challenge options he's not the one I would pick. Also, if Jamaal Charles doesn't return, I would definitely play Spencer Ware.
12. Matt Forte's 52 carries over the past two games are the most over a two-game timespan in his career.
Also, his seven receptions are seven more than any tight end the Jets roster. The Jets have not recorded a reception at the tight end position yet this season. The Chiefs defense has yet to match the levels of efficiency they were operating at over their final 10 regular season games last year, allowing 23 points per game and 369.5 yards per game, with only one takeaway per game. Compared with Weeks 7 to 17 of last season (including their bye), the Chiefs were only allowing an average of 12.8 points per game, 303.2 yards per game but with 2.3 takeaways. On the ground specifically, they're allowing an average of 126 yards per game (third most in the NFL).
Fantasy Impact: Matt Forte is in a great spot again this week. I don't think it's a three-score type of great spot, but he's my No. 7 running back for the week in PPR formats. Also, watch the injury report carefully as it seems both Marshall and Decker are a bit banged up. In terms of wide receiver receptions and targets, Marshall has nine on 17, Decker has eight on 15, and Enunwa has 13 on 14. All of them are worth playing this week if they are on your team, but if Marshall or Decker doesn't play it would give a projection boost to Enunwa. Remember, the Jets haven't used their tight end as a pass catcher for more than two targets yet this season, so some of that would-be volume goes to Forte and the wideouts.
13. The Raiders are pacing the NFL in both total yards earned on offense at 470 yards per game AND yards allowed on defense at 517.5 so far this season.
The Raiders' 8.02 yards per play allowed is primarily driven by their 10.63 yards allowed per passing play (worst in NFL), while their 4.45 yards allowed per run play ranks 23rd. The Titans defense, on the other hand, has only allowed one offensive TD over the past two games.
Fantasy Impact: I really like Tajae Sharpe again this week, his 11 receptions on 18 targets are both team highs. Delanie Walker with nine receptions on 11 targets is also an excellent choice, per usual. I'm not saying he's reached elite receiver status and I do see that most of his targets and catches are not coming off deep balls. However, the volume is there for the rookie and I point him out specifically because it appears Sharpe is only owned in 10.1 percent of NFL.com leagues… go get him!
14. The Eagles defense blitzed on 37.7 percent of pass plays in Week 2 (seventh most in NFL)
I know this is a one-week stat, but one of Ben Roethlisberger's two interceptions last week came when the Bengals blitzed (even though they only blitzed 18.4 percent of the time) and in that game his passer rating overall was 1.2 when he faced the blitz. Roethlisberger has thrown multiple interceptions in four of his past five games. The Eagles defense has shown improvement this season, allowing about 115 fewer total yards per game and improving their red zone touchdown rate allowed from 65.6 to 40% this year.
Fantasy Impact: DeAngelo Williams is my No. 1 running back for the week.
15. Stefon Diggs practiced for zero minutes on Friday.
Sam Bradford had a 71.0 completion percentage against the Packers and has averaged a 68.4 completion percentage over his last seven starts. Diggs has been a top performer (16 catches on 20 targets for 285 yards and one touchdown). Carolina's defense is tough, but there are some targetable spots in their secondary.
Fantasy Impact: Come up with a Plan B now in case he doesn't play.
Bounce-backs highlight Week 3 daily fantasy plays.
Top quarterback plays
Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars - The Ravens defense has been much better than most expected this year through two games. Baltimore gives up a league-low 371 passing yards and registered five sacks. Yet, let's remember they've played two dysfunctional offenses in Cleveland and Buffalo. The Jaguars haven't been the most functional unit so far either, but this group is in a fine "get right" spot here. They're at home and have advantages in the individual matchups at wide receiver vs. cornerback and these two teams could easily engage in a shootout.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, New York Jets - After going for over 370 passing yards at a sterling 11 yards per attempt, Fitzpatrick's value doesn't feel appropriate. The Chiefs defense has not been the shutdown unit of years past through two weeks. Kansas City has just three sacks to their name and allows 7.4 yards per attempt. With two solid offenses and underperforming defenses in tow, this contest has a chance to be sneakily high-scoring.
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys - The rookie quarterback looked poised and capable in a plus-matchup on the road in Week 2 laying down 9.7 yards per attempt with a 103.7 passer rating on Washington. The Cowboys also have yet to take full advantage of Prescott's ability as a runner through two weeks, having him run just three times for 18 yards. Given that, and his lack of a passing touchdown, there is still upside to unlock here. Playing a banged-up and fast-crumbling Chicago team at home is the perfect time to bring that out.
Top running back plays
Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs - Still valued outside the feature back range, Ware is a strong play with the Chiefs at home in what should be a tight contest. If the Chiefs can earn and hold a lead, something they've struggled with thus far, Ware comes into play as a hammer back killing the clock. It might not matter, though, as the Chiefs have been true to their word in upping his receiving work. Ware is tied for third on the team in targets but leads them in receiving yards, and averages 6.0 yards per carry and a whopping 19.7 yards per reception. The Jets rank 27th at defending receiving running backs, per Football Outsiders.
Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants - You'll likely get Jennings at a depressed ownership after he failed to take advantage of a cake matchup against the Saints in a home win. He gets another strong matchup in Week 3. Washington allowed four rushing touchdowns over the last two weeks and has Football Outsiders DVOA's 29th ranked run defense. The 2-0 Giants get the 0-2 Redskins at home this week in a favorable spot.
Charles Sims, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - On paper, the matchup with Los Angeles' front seven looks daunting, but we should completely ignore that. Their strong run defense numbers are vastly skewed by Thomas Rawls blundering to seven carries for -7 yards in Week 2. Christine Michael stung them for a 10-60 line and Carlos Hyde ground out 88 yards and two scores on them in Week 1. Either way, the volume of touches headed Sims' way in the wake of his ascension to the starting spot in place of an injured Doug Martin is more important to the equation than the matchup. Sims should push for 20-plus touches in a game where the Bucs match up incredibly well against the Rams. The Bucs are a funnel defense that allows 2.98 yards per carry but has weaknesses all throughout the secondary, which is essentially oil and water with what the Rams want to do on offense. Tampa Bay should smoke the cross-country Rams at home.
Top wide receiver plays
Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys - After seeing 40 percent of the team targets in Week 2, we can feel a bit better about Dez Bryant's volume concerns. He topped 100 yards on 12 targets against Washington but hasn't had a signature blowup game yet. With the Bears injured secondary across the line of scrimmage and Dallas playing at home, this is the week.
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The second-year receiver is now fully established as the top weapon in the Buccaneers offense. He led the NFL in targets (25) heading into Week 3 and snared two touchdowns over the last two weeks. Evans towers over all of the Rams cornerbacks, as well. Expect him to cross 100 yards for the first time this year in a bounce-back game for his quarterback at home.
Eric Decker and Quincy Enunwa, WR, New York Jets - As mentioned in Fitzpatrick's section, the Chiefs defense isn't exactly what it used to be. Brandon Marshall is a game-time decision, so even if he plays, Decker is likely the favorite to lead the team in targets. Marcus Peters is the Chiefs' best corner, and even he's a gambler and not a true shutdown player, but the depth beyond him is dubious. The Chiefs lack of a pass rush should afford Ryan Fitzpatrick plenty of free time to hit Decker and even the now-established Enunwa on intermediate crossing patterns.
Travis Benjamin, WR, San Diego Chargers - Even if Vontae Davis plays Benjamin is in a prime spot. His Next Gen Stats route chart in the Week 3 column illuminates the reality that he's a legit complete wide receiver. He's hauled in 13 of his 14 targets this season and should remain the market-share leader here.
Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks - Purely a tournament dart-throw here, Lockett recorded 99 yards on just 27 snaps (missed time during the game with an injury). Lockett's usage hasn't been an issue through two games, as he was second on the team in targets each of the last two weeks. The 49ers gave up three passing scores in Week 2 and a long bomb to Ted Ginn. Lockett stung the division rival for 127 yards and three touchdowns last season in their two meetings.
Top tight end plays
Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins - Reed leads the NFL in tight end targets (18) but just hasn't found the end zone yet, thanks to Kirk Cousins' sub-30 completion percentage in the red zone. Expect some positive regression to go Reed's way this time out. New York's defense is still weakest up the middle after making improvements to their pass rush and cornerback corps.
Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans - No surprise, but the Raiders still let tight ends roam through the heart of their defense. Through two weeks they've allowed 186 yards to the position (second-most in the NFL). Walker should get plenty of targets in a game that has a chance to be sneakily high scoring.
Defense plays
Arizona Cardinals DEF - Typically we aren't on road defenses in DFS, but the matchup is just so right with the Arizona defense facing the Bills offense. Sammy Watkins looks doubtful to play and Tyrod Taylor's average time to throw is 3.05 seconds this season, which is the longest in the NFL thus far. That's a bad recipe when facing an Arizona defense that blitzed on 42.2 percent of pass plays run against them thus far.
Miami Dolphins DEF - The Browns will be on the road and starting third-round rookie Cody Kessler. The Dolphins defense has warts but has the horses in their pass rush to create turnover opportunities.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers DEF - The Rams don't match-up well with the Bucs in the slightest. Tampa allows just 2.98 yards per carry but has weaknesses in the secondary. Traveling across the country for a game where they don't have much in their favor, the Rams should turn the ball over at least once in this spot.
Stack(s) of the week
Matthew Stafford/Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions - With Packers cornerback Sam Shields out, Stafford and his wide receivers should have room to attack in a game that, if the Packers offense finally shows up, could become a shoot out. Through two games Marvin Jones owns a 28 percent share of the Lions targets and is the only pass-catcher with an average depth of target higher than 10 yards in both games. Any question as to who is the top target in Detroit can now be put to rest. Marvin Jones is the engine of this passing game.
Derek Carr/Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders & Tajae Sharpe, Tennessee Titans - Neither of the Raiders or Titans defense looks any bit improved on the product they put out last year. The Titans' secondary is leaky and their stats would look much worse if the Lions didn't have multiple touchdowns called back from penalties. Amari Cooper leads the Raiders in targets and has fully surpassed Michael Crabtree for the right to be this team's No. 1 receiver. He and Carr look like they've taken the next step in their quest to be the best young passer/receiver tandem in the game. Tajae Sharpe makes for a keen game-stack candidate with these two, as he should see the majority of his snaps (51 percent at left wideout) against Raiders corner Sean Smith, who allowed 250 yards and three touchdowns in two games thus far.
Best contrarian plays
Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars - After hauling in seven of his 15 targets in Week 1, Allen Robinson lost his battle with Jason Verrett in a cross-country road trip last week. The Jags are in a get-right spot at home against the Ravens in Week 3, and Robinson will come at a depressed ownership rate with many already growing weary of his slow start. Baltimore's defense certainly looks better but is currently 28th in the NFL at defending No. 1 wide receivers, per Football Outsiders. Corey Coleman burned their outside corners for over 100 yards and two scores in the second game of his rookie year last week. Robinson is a stud and he will remind anyone who forgot about that this week.
Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals - Playing just as many snaps as Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd has not matched Fitz's production, recording just 69 yards in two games. Floyd still owns 18 percent of the team's passing targets and has a favorable matchup this week. The Bills have allowed the fourth-highest yards per reception (16.2) in the NFL through two games. They particularly struggled with the size of the Jets wideouts last Thursday night. Floyd should be able to get over on their outside corner duo, who simply aren't playing up to their billing right now.
Best obvious play
Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers - With Danny Woodhead out, Gordon is a threat for 20-plus touches every single week, unless Dexter McCluster is going to take a 50 percent snap share right off the bat. Gordon played on just five pass plays in Week 1, but that jumped to 22 last week with Woodhead out. The Colts have allowed five total touchdowns and 4.6 yards per carry to running backs through two weeks. Gordon has top-five upside but is not yet valued as such across the DFS landscape.
Player to fade
DeAngelo Williams, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers - Rather quietly, the Eagles defense looks much improved on the year, and they've allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards to backs through two games. The Steelers are loading Williams up with touches and the Eagles do rank a lowly 19th at defending receiving running backs, per Football Outsiders. This isn't a bad spot for him, but those who are chasing high-end running backs will inflate Williams' ownership as this is the last week to use him as the Steelers' feature back before Le'Veon Bell returns from suspension. It might be worth pivoting up to David Johnson or down to more value running backs in tournament formats.
The near 100 percent exposure player
Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs - The Jets allow a league-high 19 yards per reception to wide receivers through two weeks. Even the secondary beyond currently struggling All-Pro Darrelle Revis looks exploitable. Maclin accrued 52 percent of his yards from left wideout, 22 percent at right and 26 percent from the slot the last two games. The Jets had Revis stick at left corner rather than shadow Sammy Watkins in Week 2 after A.J. Green roasted him for 150 yards and a score in the opener. Maclin has a good chance of avoiding his coverage for the vast majority of his snaps if that repeats. If Revis shadows Maclin, nothing through the first two weeks indicates that is a matchup to avoid. Maclin had a team-high 15 targets last week and remains the engine of the passing offense. He has top-10 upside this week and comes at a fine value.
Cheat code of the week
Dwayne Washington, RB, Detroit Lions - The Packers don't profile as a team to attack on the ground as they give up just 1.8 yards per carry through two weeks. However, Washington should still see 10 to 15 carries in a game where the point total could be one of the highest of the week. Washington is an impressive athlete, running a 4.4 with a 37-inch vertical at 220 pounds, and recorded 25 catches to 47 runs in his final year at college. He also popped in a goal-line touchdown in Week 1, and will own that role completely with Ameer Abdullah on IR. He's a complete punt play at the running back position, and if he just finds the end zone at that range in a potential shootout, you're sitting pretty with the high-end players he opens up for your lineup.
Top quarterback plays
Blake Bortles, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars - The Ravens defense has been much better than most expected this year through two games. Baltimore gives up a league-low 371 passing yards and registered five sacks. Yet, let's remember they've played two dysfunctional offenses in Cleveland and Buffalo. The Jaguars haven't been the most functional unit so far either, but this group is in a fine "get right" spot here. They're at home and have advantages in the individual matchups at wide receiver vs. cornerback and these two teams could easily engage in a shootout.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, New York Jets - After going for over 370 passing yards at a sterling 11 yards per attempt, Fitzpatrick's value doesn't feel appropriate. The Chiefs defense has not been the shutdown unit of years past through two weeks. Kansas City has just three sacks to their name and allows 7.4 yards per attempt. With two solid offenses and underperforming defenses in tow, this contest has a chance to be sneakily high-scoring.
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys - The rookie quarterback looked poised and capable in a plus-matchup on the road in Week 2 laying down 9.7 yards per attempt with a 103.7 passer rating on Washington. The Cowboys also have yet to take full advantage of Prescott's ability as a runner through two weeks, having him run just three times for 18 yards. Given that, and his lack of a passing touchdown, there is still upside to unlock here. Playing a banged-up and fast-crumbling Chicago team at home is the perfect time to bring that out.
Top running back plays
Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs - Still valued outside the feature back range, Ware is a strong play with the Chiefs at home in what should be a tight contest. If the Chiefs can earn and hold a lead, something they've struggled with thus far, Ware comes into play as a hammer back killing the clock. It might not matter, though, as the Chiefs have been true to their word in upping his receiving work. Ware is tied for third on the team in targets but leads them in receiving yards, and averages 6.0 yards per carry and a whopping 19.7 yards per reception. The Jets rank 27th at defending receiving running backs, per Football Outsiders.
Rashad Jennings, RB, New York Giants - You'll likely get Jennings at a depressed ownership after he failed to take advantage of a cake matchup against the Saints in a home win. He gets another strong matchup in Week 3. Washington allowed four rushing touchdowns over the last two weeks and has Football Outsiders DVOA's 29th ranked run defense. The 2-0 Giants get the 0-2 Redskins at home this week in a favorable spot.
Charles Sims, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - On paper, the matchup with Los Angeles' front seven looks daunting, but we should completely ignore that. Their strong run defense numbers are vastly skewed by Thomas Rawls blundering to seven carries for -7 yards in Week 2. Christine Michael stung them for a 10-60 line and Carlos Hyde ground out 88 yards and two scores on them in Week 1. Either way, the volume of touches headed Sims' way in the wake of his ascension to the starting spot in place of an injured Doug Martin is more important to the equation than the matchup. Sims should push for 20-plus touches in a game where the Bucs match up incredibly well against the Rams. The Bucs are a funnel defense that allows 2.98 yards per carry but has weaknesses all throughout the secondary, which is essentially oil and water with what the Rams want to do on offense. Tampa Bay should smoke the cross-country Rams at home.
Top wide receiver plays
Dez Bryant, WR, Dallas Cowboys - After seeing 40 percent of the team targets in Week 2, we can feel a bit better about Dez Bryant's volume concerns. He topped 100 yards on 12 targets against Washington but hasn't had a signature blowup game yet. With the Bears injured secondary across the line of scrimmage and Dallas playing at home, this is the week.
Mike Evans, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - The second-year receiver is now fully established as the top weapon in the Buccaneers offense. He led the NFL in targets (25) heading into Week 3 and snared two touchdowns over the last two weeks. Evans towers over all of the Rams cornerbacks, as well. Expect him to cross 100 yards for the first time this year in a bounce-back game for his quarterback at home.
Eric Decker and Quincy Enunwa, WR, New York Jets - As mentioned in Fitzpatrick's section, the Chiefs defense isn't exactly what it used to be. Brandon Marshall is a game-time decision, so even if he plays, Decker is likely the favorite to lead the team in targets. Marcus Peters is the Chiefs' best corner, and even he's a gambler and not a true shutdown player, but the depth beyond him is dubious. The Chiefs lack of a pass rush should afford Ryan Fitzpatrick plenty of free time to hit Decker and even the now-established Enunwa on intermediate crossing patterns.
Travis Benjamin, WR, San Diego Chargers - Even if Vontae Davis plays Benjamin is in a prime spot. His Next Gen Stats route chart in the Week 3 column illuminates the reality that he's a legit complete wide receiver. He's hauled in 13 of his 14 targets this season and should remain the market-share leader here.
Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks - Purely a tournament dart-throw here, Lockett recorded 99 yards on just 27 snaps (missed time during the game with an injury). Lockett's usage hasn't been an issue through two games, as he was second on the team in targets each of the last two weeks. The 49ers gave up three passing scores in Week 2 and a long bomb to Ted Ginn. Lockett stung the division rival for 127 yards and three touchdowns last season in their two meetings.
Top tight end plays
Jordan Reed, TE, Washington Redskins - Reed leads the NFL in tight end targets (18) but just hasn't found the end zone yet, thanks to Kirk Cousins' sub-30 completion percentage in the red zone. Expect some positive regression to go Reed's way this time out. New York's defense is still weakest up the middle after making improvements to their pass rush and cornerback corps.
Delanie Walker, TE, Tennessee Titans - No surprise, but the Raiders still let tight ends roam through the heart of their defense. Through two weeks they've allowed 186 yards to the position (second-most in the NFL). Walker should get plenty of targets in a game that has a chance to be sneakily high scoring.
Defense plays
Arizona Cardinals DEF - Typically we aren't on road defenses in DFS, but the matchup is just so right with the Arizona defense facing the Bills offense. Sammy Watkins looks doubtful to play and Tyrod Taylor's average time to throw is 3.05 seconds this season, which is the longest in the NFL thus far. That's a bad recipe when facing an Arizona defense that blitzed on 42.2 percent of pass plays run against them thus far.
Miami Dolphins DEF - The Browns will be on the road and starting third-round rookie Cody Kessler. The Dolphins defense has warts but has the horses in their pass rush to create turnover opportunities.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers DEF - The Rams don't match-up well with the Bucs in the slightest. Tampa allows just 2.98 yards per carry but has weaknesses in the secondary. Traveling across the country for a game where they don't have much in their favor, the Rams should turn the ball over at least once in this spot.
Stack(s) of the week
Matthew Stafford/Marvin Jones, Detroit Lions - With Packers cornerback Sam Shields out, Stafford and his wide receivers should have room to attack in a game that, if the Packers offense finally shows up, could become a shoot out. Through two games Marvin Jones owns a 28 percent share of the Lions targets and is the only pass-catcher with an average depth of target higher than 10 yards in both games. Any question as to who is the top target in Detroit can now be put to rest. Marvin Jones is the engine of this passing game.
Derek Carr/Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders & Tajae Sharpe, Tennessee Titans - Neither of the Raiders or Titans defense looks any bit improved on the product they put out last year. The Titans' secondary is leaky and their stats would look much worse if the Lions didn't have multiple touchdowns called back from penalties. Amari Cooper leads the Raiders in targets and has fully surpassed Michael Crabtree for the right to be this team's No. 1 receiver. He and Carr look like they've taken the next step in their quest to be the best young passer/receiver tandem in the game. Tajae Sharpe makes for a keen game-stack candidate with these two, as he should see the majority of his snaps (51 percent at left wideout) against Raiders corner Sean Smith, who allowed 250 yards and three touchdowns in two games thus far.
Best contrarian plays
Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars - After hauling in seven of his 15 targets in Week 1, Allen Robinson lost his battle with Jason Verrett in a cross-country road trip last week. The Jags are in a get-right spot at home against the Ravens in Week 3, and Robinson will come at a depressed ownership rate with many already growing weary of his slow start. Baltimore's defense certainly looks better but is currently 28th in the NFL at defending No. 1 wide receivers, per Football Outsiders. Corey Coleman burned their outside corners for over 100 yards and two scores in the second game of his rookie year last week. Robinson is a stud and he will remind anyone who forgot about that this week.
Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals - Playing just as many snaps as Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Floyd has not matched Fitz's production, recording just 69 yards in two games. Floyd still owns 18 percent of the team's passing targets and has a favorable matchup this week. The Bills have allowed the fourth-highest yards per reception (16.2) in the NFL through two games. They particularly struggled with the size of the Jets wideouts last Thursday night. Floyd should be able to get over on their outside corner duo, who simply aren't playing up to their billing right now.
Best obvious play
Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers - With Danny Woodhead out, Gordon is a threat for 20-plus touches every single week, unless Dexter McCluster is going to take a 50 percent snap share right off the bat. Gordon played on just five pass plays in Week 1, but that jumped to 22 last week with Woodhead out. The Colts have allowed five total touchdowns and 4.6 yards per carry to running backs through two weeks. Gordon has top-five upside but is not yet valued as such across the DFS landscape.
Player to fade
DeAngelo Williams, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers - Rather quietly, the Eagles defense looks much improved on the year, and they've allowed the eighth-fewest rushing yards to backs through two games. The Steelers are loading Williams up with touches and the Eagles do rank a lowly 19th at defending receiving running backs, per Football Outsiders. This isn't a bad spot for him, but those who are chasing high-end running backs will inflate Williams' ownership as this is the last week to use him as the Steelers' feature back before Le'Veon Bell returns from suspension. It might be worth pivoting up to David Johnson or down to more value running backs in tournament formats.
The near 100 percent exposure player
Jeremy Maclin, WR, Kansas City Chiefs - The Jets allow a league-high 19 yards per reception to wide receivers through two weeks. Even the secondary beyond currently struggling All-Pro Darrelle Revis looks exploitable. Maclin accrued 52 percent of his yards from left wideout, 22 percent at right and 26 percent from the slot the last two games. The Jets had Revis stick at left corner rather than shadow Sammy Watkins in Week 2 after A.J. Green roasted him for 150 yards and a score in the opener. Maclin has a good chance of avoiding his coverage for the vast majority of his snaps if that repeats. If Revis shadows Maclin, nothing through the first two weeks indicates that is a matchup to avoid. Maclin had a team-high 15 targets last week and remains the engine of the passing offense. He has top-10 upside this week and comes at a fine value.
Cheat code of the week
Dwayne Washington, RB, Detroit Lions - The Packers don't profile as a team to attack on the ground as they give up just 1.8 yards per carry through two weeks. However, Washington should still see 10 to 15 carries in a game where the point total could be one of the highest of the week. Washington is an impressive athlete, running a 4.4 with a 37-inch vertical at 220 pounds, and recorded 25 catches to 47 runs in his final year at college. He also popped in a goal-line touchdown in Week 1, and will own that role completely with Ameer Abdullah on IR. He's a complete punt play at the running back position, and if he just finds the end zone at that range in a potential shootout, you're sitting pretty with the high-end players he opens up for your lineup.
Derrick Henry poised for a fantasy breakout in Week 3.
Air Analysis:
Carson Palmer vs Bills: In a 40-7 win against Tampa Bay last week, Palmer ranked second in the NFL among quarterbacks with a 24.3-yard average air distance per pass attempt, per Next Gen Stats. Helping Palmer's cause was veteran Larry Fitzgerald who hauled in eight receptions for 81 yards, all of which came with Fitz lined up in the right slot. Palmer's big day netted him three touchdown passes, 308 passing yards and 24.32 fantasy points, enough to rank him as the QB5 in standard fantasy leagues for Week 2. Heading into Week 3, Palmer is one of just three quarterbacks who has thrown at least five touchdown passes with zero interceptions (Drew Brees, Philip Rivers) which adds to his positive fantasy outlook.
Palmer appeared in this FedEx Air & Ground fantasy analysis space last week, and he makes the cut again this week as the Cardinals will face the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Coming off a Thursday night loss to the Jets last week, Buffalo is staring down an 0-3 start to the season. The Bills fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman after the loss, but Buffalo's offense wasn't entirely responsible for the ugly game. Rex Ryan's defensive unit was absolutely picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets to the tune of 374 yards and one passing touchdown.
This gives Palmer and his array of weapons in the passing game a solid foundation upon which to game plan and you can bet Arizona is going to attack Buffalo's lackluster secondary early and often. The Bills defense is currently allowing 297.5 passing yards per game to opposing offenses, so make sure Palmer is in your lineup for Week 3.
Air Analysis:
Carson Palmer vs Bills: In a 40-7 win against Tampa Bay last week, Palmer ranked second in the NFL among quarterbacks with a 24.3-yard average air distance per pass attempt, per Next Gen Stats. Helping Palmer's cause was veteran Larry Fitzgerald who hauled in eight receptions for 81 yards, all of which came with Fitz lined up in the right slot. Palmer's big day netted him three touchdown passes, 308 passing yards and 24.32 fantasy points, enough to rank him as the QB5 in standard fantasy leagues for Week 2. Heading into Week 3, Palmer is one of just three quarterbacks who has thrown at least five touchdown passes with zero interceptions (Drew Brees, Philip Rivers) which adds to his positive fantasy outlook.
Palmer appeared in this FedEx Air & Ground fantasy analysis space last week, and he makes the cut again this week as the Cardinals will face the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Coming off a Thursday night loss to the Jets last week, Buffalo is staring down an 0-3 start to the season. The Bills fired offensive coordinator Greg Roman after the loss, but Buffalo's offense wasn't entirely responsible for the ugly game. Rex Ryan's defensive unit was absolutely picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets to the tune of 374 yards and one passing touchdown.
This gives Palmer and his array of weapons in the passing game a solid foundation upon which to game plan and you can bet Arizona is going to attack Buffalo's lackluster secondary early and often. The Bills defense is currently allowing 297.5 passing yards per game to opposing offenses, so make sure Palmer is in your lineup for Week 3.
Matt Ryan vs Saints: Ryan is quietly the No. 1 ranked fantasy quarterback through two games with 52.2 total points, about two more than Cam Newton. Ryan has already accumulated 730 passing yards and thrown five touchdown passes and is off to a much better start this year in his second season in Kyle Shanahan's offensive scheme. A 365 passing yards per game average isn't too shabby, but Atlanta has had two cake matchups against the Buccaneers and Raiders. Believe it or not, the going gets even easier in Week 3 as the Falcons head to New Orleans. Of course, by now you're aware of the Saints historically bad pass defense from 2015. If you can fathom it, the Saints' defense allows more passing yards per game through two weeks (336) than they did all of last season (284). Somehow, they kept Eli Manning from tossing a single touchdown pass last week but still lost the game as the veteran spread around his 368 passing yards.
All of this bodes well for Ryan this week. He has one of the best wideouts in the NFL to throw to in Julio Jones, two great pass-catching running backs, and a bevy of other ancillary targets to spread the love to including Mohammed Sanu, Aldrick Robinson, Jacob Tamme and Justin Hardy who all hauled in passes last week. Look for Matty Ice to keep his hot start going on Monday night in the Superdome.
All of this bodes well for Ryan this week. He has one of the best wideouts in the NFL to throw to in Julio Jones, two great pass-catching running backs, and a bevy of other ancillary targets to spread the love to including Mohammed Sanu, Aldrick Robinson, Jacob Tamme and Justin Hardy who all hauled in passes last week. Look for Matty Ice to keep his hot start going on Monday night in the Superdome.
[h=3]Ground Analysis[/h]Melvin Gordon vs Colts: With matchups against two teams with extreme talent at the running back position, the Colts banged-up defense has surrendered more fantasy points to opposing runners than any other team in the NFL. In Week 1, Detroit's running back duo of Ameer Abdullah and Theo Riddick combined for three total touchdowns and 228 total yards against Indy. The Colts gave up one more rushing touchdown to rookie Dwayne Washington in that game too. Last week, Denver welcomed the Colts into their stadium and proceeded to mash on the ground with 162 total yards from their backfield. This week, Melvin Gordon is licking his chops at the potential of his matchup against the Colts. Gordon, who has already scored three touchdowns and racked up 177 total yards, ranks as fantasy's RB4 through two games. Following Danny Woodhead's season-ending knee injury last week, San Diego loaded Gordon up with a ridiculous 27 touches against Jacksonville. He netted 120 yards from scrimmage averaging 4.3 yards per attempt while hauling in three receptions. Gordon could see additional work as a pass catcher with Woodhead out boosting his value even more. The second-year back went from an early-down banger role to a potential three-down workhorse in a San Diego offense already gashed by injuries early in the season. Expect the Chargers to load up Gordon with carries once again in one of the softest matchups he'll see all season.
Derrick Henry vs Raiders: I've been advocating for Derrick Henry for what feels like forever even though we're only about three weeks into the season. Henry impressed in his preseason opportunities but now that the real games started, it's clear that the Titans prefer the veteran Murray early on.
Murray has logged 54 percent of Tennessee's rush attempts compared to Henry's 30 percent share through two games. So for now, Henry is more of a complement to Murray than anything else. Murray has been inefficient thus far with his touches save for a 67-yard run in Week 2 which accounted for about half of his rushing yards for the season, so more playing time could be in the offing for the rookie. But until Henry becomes more than just a complement, his fantasy value will be capped.
That will all change this week when the Titans welcome the Raiders to Nissan Stadium in what will be Henry's breakout game.
Through the first two weeks of the season, the Raiders defense ranks dead last in the NFL in points per game allowed (34.5), total yards per game allowed (517.5), passing yards per game allowed (404) and yards per play allowed (8.02). That's nothing but good news for the Titans key offensive players, including Henry who had his play percentage increase from Week 1 to Week 2. Against the Vikings in Week 1, Henry was on the field for 31 percent of the Titans' snaps. In a closer game against Detroit in Week 2 that number jumped up to 46 percent. Atlanta running back Tevin Coleman produced 13 fantasy points against Oakland last week on a similar amount of playing time.
Henry is currently averaging 8.5 touches per game compared to Murray's 18. But the rookie doesn't need a ton of touches in order to produce. With the Raiders defense reeling, I can see a scenario where Henry breaks off a couple of long runs, makes some kind of incredible play in space on a reception and receives a goal-line carry for a score in Week 3. That adds up to a good fantasy flex play at worst in a week where the matchup simply couldn't get much better for the Titans backfield.
Murray has logged 54 percent of Tennessee's rush attempts compared to Henry's 30 percent share through two games. So for now, Henry is more of a complement to Murray than anything else. Murray has been inefficient thus far with his touches save for a 67-yard run in Week 2 which accounted for about half of his rushing yards for the season, so more playing time could be in the offing for the rookie. But until Henry becomes more than just a complement, his fantasy value will be capped.
That will all change this week when the Titans welcome the Raiders to Nissan Stadium in what will be Henry's breakout game.
Through the first two weeks of the season, the Raiders defense ranks dead last in the NFL in points per game allowed (34.5), total yards per game allowed (517.5), passing yards per game allowed (404) and yards per play allowed (8.02). That's nothing but good news for the Titans key offensive players, including Henry who had his play percentage increase from Week 1 to Week 2. Against the Vikings in Week 1, Henry was on the field for 31 percent of the Titans' snaps. In a closer game against Detroit in Week 2 that number jumped up to 46 percent. Atlanta running back Tevin Coleman produced 13 fantasy points against Oakland last week on a similar amount of playing time.
Henry is currently averaging 8.5 touches per game compared to Murray's 18. But the rookie doesn't need a ton of touches in order to produce. With the Raiders defense reeling, I can see a scenario where Henry breaks off a couple of long runs, makes some kind of incredible play in space on a reception and receives a goal-line carry for a score in Week 3. That adds up to a good fantasy flex play at worst in a week where the matchup simply couldn't get much better for the Titans backfield.
Steelers D wants to 'confuse' Eagles QB Carson Wentz.
Carson Wentz played fantastic in his first two NFL starts. The rookie quarterback confidently made checks at the line of scrimmage, displayed a strong arm, soft touch, athletic scrambling ability, pinpoint accuracy both from the pocket and on the move and heady decision making. The Philadelphia Eagles' starting quarterback has completed 60.6 percent of his passes for 658 yards and three touchdowns. Wentz is the first rookie QB since the 1970 merger to start and win his team's first two games of the season and have 0 INT in those contests.
Here comes the qualifier: Those games were against the Cleveland Browns and Chicago Bears, two of the worst teams in the NFL.
Sunday will mark Wentz's first true test against intrastate rival Pittsburgh Steelers.
"You definitely want to beat him up," Steelers linebacker Arthur Moats said of facing the rookie quarterback, via the Pittsburgh Tribune. "You want to hit him, but at the same time, when you confuse him with different looks, he's worried about getting hit and he's also trying to figure out where the coverage is, things like 'Who's my hot receiver?'
"Even our basic look can come off as exotic. To a rookie quarterback, that can be the difference between him making a completion or throwing an interception."
Steelers defensive coordinator Keith Butler said he isn't worried about how many starts Wentz has made.
"When I try to game plan for an offense, I don't take into account that he's a rookie," Butler said. "I take into account who I've got to stop, what they're doing well and things that might give us problems and look at how we can alleviate them."
The Steelers flummoxed an off-target Kirk Cousins in Week 1 and stymied Andy Dalton in Week 2. Mike Tomlin seems to have simplified the back end, cutting down many of the blown coverages we've seen in previous seasons. The defensive front has been pesky and stout -- especially versus the run. With stud linebacker Ryan Shazier flying to the ball, the Steelers D has been fantastic to start the season and better than the sum of its parts would indicate.
If the Steelers stop the run early, making the Eagles offense one-dimensional, we'll get to see how Wentz handles the pressure.
Despite facing a rookie, Pittsburgh won't enter Sunday underestimating Wentz, especially after watching him torch the Bears in prime time.
"You've got to treat him like he's the best," Steelers defensive lineman Cam Heyward said. "You treat this guy like he's a Hall of Famer already."
Carson Wentz played fantastic in his first two NFL starts. The rookie quarterback confidently made checks at the line of scrimmage, displayed a strong arm, soft touch, athletic scrambling ability, pinpoint accuracy both from the pocket and on the move and heady decision making. The Philadelphia Eagles' starting quarterback has completed 60.6 percent of his passes for 658 yards and three touchdowns. Wentz is the first rookie QB since the 1970 merger to start and win his team's first two games of the season and have 0 INT in those contests.
Here comes the qualifier: Those games were against the Cleveland Browns and Chicago Bears, two of the worst teams in the NFL.
Sunday will mark Wentz's first true test against intrastate rival Pittsburgh Steelers.
"You definitely want to beat him up," Steelers linebacker Arthur Moats said of facing the rookie quarterback, via the Pittsburgh Tribune. "You want to hit him, but at the same time, when you confuse him with different looks, he's worried about getting hit and he's also trying to figure out where the coverage is, things like 'Who's my hot receiver?'
"Even our basic look can come off as exotic. To a rookie quarterback, that can be the difference between him making a completion or throwing an interception."
Steelers defensive coordinator Keith Butler said he isn't worried about how many starts Wentz has made.
"When I try to game plan for an offense, I don't take into account that he's a rookie," Butler said. "I take into account who I've got to stop, what they're doing well and things that might give us problems and look at how we can alleviate them."
The Steelers flummoxed an off-target Kirk Cousins in Week 1 and stymied Andy Dalton in Week 2. Mike Tomlin seems to have simplified the back end, cutting down many of the blown coverages we've seen in previous seasons. The defensive front has been pesky and stout -- especially versus the run. With stud linebacker Ryan Shazier flying to the ball, the Steelers D has been fantastic to start the season and better than the sum of its parts would indicate.
If the Steelers stop the run early, making the Eagles offense one-dimensional, we'll get to see how Wentz handles the pressure.
Despite facing a rookie, Pittsburgh won't enter Sunday underestimating Wentz, especially after watching him torch the Bears in prime time.
"You've got to treat him like he's the best," Steelers defensive lineman Cam Heyward said. "You treat this guy like he's a Hall of Famer already."
Injury report roundup: Ertz to return after bye.
The Philadelphia Eagles won't have tight end Zach Ertz or cornerback Leodis McKelvin back in time to play versus the Pittsburgh Steelers this weekend, but coach Doug Pederson said they'll be back after their Week 4 bye.
Ertz, who piled up 853 yards on 75 catches last season, displaced a rib in the Eagles' season-opening win over the Cleveland Browns and is ruled out for Week 3. A timetable for his return was unknown, but Pederson confirmed with reporters Friday he'll be back next month. McKelvin (hamstring), meanwhile, is expected to return with Ertz against the Lions on Oct. 9.
Pederson also ruled offensive lineman Isaac Seumalo (pec) out for the Steelers game. Linebacker Mychal Kendricks (nose, quad) is expected to play.
Here are other injury notes we're tracking on Friday:
1. The Minnesota Vikings announced offensive lineman Matt Kalil (hip) and defensive lineman Sharrif Floyd (knee) underwent surgery. NFL.com's Mike Garafolo reported Floyd will miss "about six weeks" after surgery to trim the meniscus cartilage in his knee, per a source informed of the procedure. Kalil had been ruled out for the season prior to his surgery to fix a labrum tear in his right hip.
2. Green Bay Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters defensive back Sam Shields is "making progress" in the concussion protocol, but he'll miss Sunday's tilt with the Lions. Offensive lineman T.J. Lang (hip) and linebacker Clay Matthews (ankle/hamstring) are both questionable.
3. New York Jets coach Todd Bowles announced receiver Brandon Marshall (knee) and linebacker David Harris (shoulder) were limited in practice and are questionable for Sunday's game against the Chiefs. Bowles said Marshall will be a game-time decision. Linebacker Erin Henderson (foot) did not practice and is questionable. Receiver Eric Decker (shoulder) and guard James Carpenter (calf) practiced in full.
4. Buffalo Bills receiver Sammy Watkins (foot) is questionable for Sunday's contest against the Cardinals and is expected to be a game-time decision. However, coach Rex Ryan expressed doubt he would play. Offensive lineman Cordy Glenn (ankle) did not practice and has been ruled out. Cornerback Ronald Darby (hamstring) and tight end Charles Clay (knee) both practiced, and Darby is listed as questionable.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Prince Amukamara (hamstring), running back Chris Ivory (illness), center Brandon Linder (knee), defensive end Jared Odrick (triceps) and safety Tashaun Gipson (hamstring) were each listed as questionable for their game against the Ravens on Sunday. Offensive tackle Kelvin Beachum (concussion) has been ruled out.
6. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers placed linebacker Devante Bond (hamstring) on injured reserve.
7. Carolina Panthers defensive tackle Kawann Short (shoulder) and guard Trai Turner (ankle) are listed as questionable for Sunday's scheduled game against the Vikings. Coach Ron Rivera was confident they'll be on the field. "They'll play," he told reporters.
8. Tennessee Titans coach Mike Mularkey called tight end Delanie Walker (hamstring) questionable for their game against the Raiders. Linebacker Derrick Morgan (hamstring) and receiver Kendall Wright (hamstring) are also questionable.
9. Atlanta Falcons receiver Julio Jones (calf) didn't practice, but is expected to be available for Monday Night Football, coach Dan Quinn said.
10. Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler (thumb) did not practice and is officially doubtful for Sunday's game against the Dallas Cowboys. Defensive lineman Eddie Goldman (ankle) and running back Ka'Deem Carey (hamstring) are also doubtful. Linebacker Danny Trevathan, who had surgery to reattach a ligament in his thumb, was ruled out. Receiver Alshon Jeffery (knee) is listed as questionable, though he practiced Friday.
11. Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert (ankle) is doubtful. He returned to practice in a limited capacity this week for the first time this season, but is not expected to be ready to play until Week 4 at the earliest.
12. Miami Dolphins running back Arian Foster (groin) will not play vs. Cleveland Browns, coach Adam Gase said. The team also announced linebacker Jelani Jenkins (knee) and receiver DeVante Parker (hamstring) are questionable.
12. Baltimore Ravens running back Kenneth Dixon (knee) is out versus the Jaguars. Linebacker Elvis Dumervil (foot), offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley (foot), and guard John Urschel (shoulder) are questionable.
13. Washington Redskins safety Su'a Cravens (hip), defensive end Chris Baker (rib/elbow/toe/knee) and receiver Josh Doctson (Achilles tendon) are listed as questionable.
14. Minnesota Vikings cornerback Xavier Rhodes (knee) and tight end MyCole Pruitt (knee) were both listed as questionable against the Panthers. Stefon Diggs (groin) did not participate in practice, but coach Mike Zimmer said it was merely for precautionary reasons and the receiver should play Sunday.
15. Denver Broncos tight end Virgil Green (calf) and right tackle Donald Stephenson (calf) are both out versus the Bengals.
16. Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (right shoulder) is listed as questionable versus the San Diego Chargers. Cornerback Vontae Davis (ankle), center Ryan Kelly (shoulder) and receiver T.Y. Hilton (knee) are also questionable.
17. Chargers defensive end Joey Bosa (hamstring) will wait another week to make his NFL debut after being ruled out. Tight end Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful for Sunday versus Colts and guard Orlando Franklin (hamstring) is questionable.
18. New England Patriots quaterback Jacoby Brissett suffered a thumb sprain in the team's 27-0 victory over the Texans Thursday, a source informed of the situation told NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport. The team is weighing its options on Brissett's injury, Rapoport added.
19. Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians said guard Evan Mathis (foot) is out for the Bills game and will not make the trip. Cornerback Justin Bethel (foot) was listed as questionable.
20. It appears Kansas City Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles' return to the field will wait another week. The superstar back is listed as doubtful for Sunday, still recovering from last season's ACL tear.
21. Seattle Seahawks running back Thomas Rawls (shin) is doubtful to play against the San Francisco 49ers. Coach Pete Carroll said Rawls "hasn't been able to do much." Offensive lineman Germain Ifedi (ankle) and tight end Nick Vannett (ankle) were also doubtful, while receiver Tyler Lockett (knee) and running back C.J. Prosise (wrist) were questionable.
22. The Oakland Raiders announced tackle Menelik Watson (groin), cornerback David Amerson (concussion) and offensive lineman Rodney Hudson (knee) are all questionable for Sunday's game against the Titans.
23. Detroit Lions star pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah (ankle) has been ruled out of this weekend's Packers game. Linebacker DeAndre Levy (quad) is doubtful. Tight end Eric Ebron (back) and defensive tackle Tyrunn Walker (calf) are questionable.
24. The Cleveland Browns announced corner Joe Haden (groin) and kicker Patrick Murray (knee) are questionable for the Dolphins game. The Browns are signing kicker Cody Parkey for insurance in case Murray can't play Sunday at Miami, Rapoport reported, per a source involved.
25. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ruled out running back Doug Martin (hamstring) from playing versus the Los Angeles Rams. Rapoport reported earlier this week that Martin is expected to miss the next three weeks.
26. Rams cornerback Lamarcus Joyner (toe) is questionable for the Bucs game.
27. San Francisco 49ers offensive lineman Anthony Davis (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's contest against the Seahawks.
The Philadelphia Eagles won't have tight end Zach Ertz or cornerback Leodis McKelvin back in time to play versus the Pittsburgh Steelers this weekend, but coach Doug Pederson said they'll be back after their Week 4 bye.
Ertz, who piled up 853 yards on 75 catches last season, displaced a rib in the Eagles' season-opening win over the Cleveland Browns and is ruled out for Week 3. A timetable for his return was unknown, but Pederson confirmed with reporters Friday he'll be back next month. McKelvin (hamstring), meanwhile, is expected to return with Ertz against the Lions on Oct. 9.
Pederson also ruled offensive lineman Isaac Seumalo (pec) out for the Steelers game. Linebacker Mychal Kendricks (nose, quad) is expected to play.
Here are other injury notes we're tracking on Friday:
1. The Minnesota Vikings announced offensive lineman Matt Kalil (hip) and defensive lineman Sharrif Floyd (knee) underwent surgery. NFL.com's Mike Garafolo reported Floyd will miss "about six weeks" after surgery to trim the meniscus cartilage in his knee, per a source informed of the procedure. Kalil had been ruled out for the season prior to his surgery to fix a labrum tear in his right hip.
2. Green Bay Packers coach Mike McCarthy told reporters defensive back Sam Shields is "making progress" in the concussion protocol, but he'll miss Sunday's tilt with the Lions. Offensive lineman T.J. Lang (hip) and linebacker Clay Matthews (ankle/hamstring) are both questionable.
3. New York Jets coach Todd Bowles announced receiver Brandon Marshall (knee) and linebacker David Harris (shoulder) were limited in practice and are questionable for Sunday's game against the Chiefs. Bowles said Marshall will be a game-time decision. Linebacker Erin Henderson (foot) did not practice and is questionable. Receiver Eric Decker (shoulder) and guard James Carpenter (calf) practiced in full.
4. Buffalo Bills receiver Sammy Watkins (foot) is questionable for Sunday's contest against the Cardinals and is expected to be a game-time decision. However, coach Rex Ryan expressed doubt he would play. Offensive lineman Cordy Glenn (ankle) did not practice and has been ruled out. Cornerback Ronald Darby (hamstring) and tight end Charles Clay (knee) both practiced, and Darby is listed as questionable.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Prince Amukamara (hamstring), running back Chris Ivory (illness), center Brandon Linder (knee), defensive end Jared Odrick (triceps) and safety Tashaun Gipson (hamstring) were each listed as questionable for their game against the Ravens on Sunday. Offensive tackle Kelvin Beachum (concussion) has been ruled out.
6. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers placed linebacker Devante Bond (hamstring) on injured reserve.
7. Carolina Panthers defensive tackle Kawann Short (shoulder) and guard Trai Turner (ankle) are listed as questionable for Sunday's scheduled game against the Vikings. Coach Ron Rivera was confident they'll be on the field. "They'll play," he told reporters.
8. Tennessee Titans coach Mike Mularkey called tight end Delanie Walker (hamstring) questionable for their game against the Raiders. Linebacker Derrick Morgan (hamstring) and receiver Kendall Wright (hamstring) are also questionable.
9. Atlanta Falcons receiver Julio Jones (calf) didn't practice, but is expected to be available for Monday Night Football, coach Dan Quinn said.
10. Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler (thumb) did not practice and is officially doubtful for Sunday's game against the Dallas Cowboys. Defensive lineman Eddie Goldman (ankle) and running back Ka'Deem Carey (hamstring) are also doubtful. Linebacker Danny Trevathan, who had surgery to reattach a ligament in his thumb, was ruled out. Receiver Alshon Jeffery (knee) is listed as questionable, though he practiced Friday.
11. Cincinnati Bengals tight end Tyler Eifert (ankle) is doubtful. He returned to practice in a limited capacity this week for the first time this season, but is not expected to be ready to play until Week 4 at the earliest.
12. Miami Dolphins running back Arian Foster (groin) will not play vs. Cleveland Browns, coach Adam Gase said. The team also announced linebacker Jelani Jenkins (knee) and receiver DeVante Parker (hamstring) are questionable.
12. Baltimore Ravens running back Kenneth Dixon (knee) is out versus the Jaguars. Linebacker Elvis Dumervil (foot), offensive tackle Ronnie Stanley (foot), and guard John Urschel (shoulder) are questionable.
13. Washington Redskins safety Su'a Cravens (hip), defensive end Chris Baker (rib/elbow/toe/knee) and receiver Josh Doctson (Achilles tendon) are listed as questionable.
14. Minnesota Vikings cornerback Xavier Rhodes (knee) and tight end MyCole Pruitt (knee) were both listed as questionable against the Panthers. Stefon Diggs (groin) did not participate in practice, but coach Mike Zimmer said it was merely for precautionary reasons and the receiver should play Sunday.
15. Denver Broncos tight end Virgil Green (calf) and right tackle Donald Stephenson (calf) are both out versus the Bengals.
16. Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (right shoulder) is listed as questionable versus the San Diego Chargers. Cornerback Vontae Davis (ankle), center Ryan Kelly (shoulder) and receiver T.Y. Hilton (knee) are also questionable.
17. Chargers defensive end Joey Bosa (hamstring) will wait another week to make his NFL debut after being ruled out. Tight end Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful for Sunday versus Colts and guard Orlando Franklin (hamstring) is questionable.
18. New England Patriots quaterback Jacoby Brissett suffered a thumb sprain in the team's 27-0 victory over the Texans Thursday, a source informed of the situation told NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport. The team is weighing its options on Brissett's injury, Rapoport added.
19. Arizona Cardinals coach Bruce Arians said guard Evan Mathis (foot) is out for the Bills game and will not make the trip. Cornerback Justin Bethel (foot) was listed as questionable.
20. It appears Kansas City Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles' return to the field will wait another week. The superstar back is listed as doubtful for Sunday, still recovering from last season's ACL tear.
21. Seattle Seahawks running back Thomas Rawls (shin) is doubtful to play against the San Francisco 49ers. Coach Pete Carroll said Rawls "hasn't been able to do much." Offensive lineman Germain Ifedi (ankle) and tight end Nick Vannett (ankle) were also doubtful, while receiver Tyler Lockett (knee) and running back C.J. Prosise (wrist) were questionable.
22. The Oakland Raiders announced tackle Menelik Watson (groin), cornerback David Amerson (concussion) and offensive lineman Rodney Hudson (knee) are all questionable for Sunday's game against the Titans.
23. Detroit Lions star pass rusher Ezekiel Ansah (ankle) has been ruled out of this weekend's Packers game. Linebacker DeAndre Levy (quad) is doubtful. Tight end Eric Ebron (back) and defensive tackle Tyrunn Walker (calf) are questionable.
24. The Cleveland Browns announced corner Joe Haden (groin) and kicker Patrick Murray (knee) are questionable for the Dolphins game. The Browns are signing kicker Cody Parkey for insurance in case Murray can't play Sunday at Miami, Rapoport reported, per a source involved.
25. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ruled out running back Doug Martin (hamstring) from playing versus the Los Angeles Rams. Rapoport reported earlier this week that Martin is expected to miss the next three weeks.
26. Rams cornerback Lamarcus Joyner (toe) is questionable for the Bucs game.
27. San Francisco 49ers offensive lineman Anthony Davis (concussion) has been ruled out for Sunday's contest against the Seahawks.
Weather Tracking*
We could be in for rain in six of our 12 outdoor games this week. We will update Sunday prognostications for all non-dome contests as we drift closer to game times.
Vikings at Panthers -- 83 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (29 percent)
Lions at Packers -- 70 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (64 percent)
Ravens at Jaguars -- 85 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (33 percent)
Browns at Dolphins -- 87 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (56 percent)
Rams at Buccaneers -- 88 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (22 percent)
Jets at Chiefs -- 70 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (76 percent)
Broncos at Bengals -- 81 degrees
Cardinals at Bills -- 65 degrees
Redskins at Giants -- 68 degrees
Raiders at Titans -- 88 degrees
49ers at Seahawks -- 70 degrees
Steelers at Eagles -- 70 degrees
We could be in for rain in six of our 12 outdoor games this week. We will update Sunday prognostications for all non-dome contests as we drift closer to game times.
Vikings at Panthers -- 83 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (29 percent)
Lions at Packers -- 70 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (64 percent)
Ravens at Jaguars -- 85 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (33 percent)
Browns at Dolphins -- 87 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (56 percent)
Rams at Buccaneers -- 88 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (22 percent)
Jets at Chiefs -- 70 degrees -- chance of thunderstorms (76 percent)
Broncos at Bengals -- 81 degrees
Cardinals at Bills -- 65 degrees
Redskins at Giants -- 68 degrees
Raiders at Titans -- 88 degrees
49ers at Seahawks -- 70 degrees
Steelers at Eagles -- 70 degrees
What to Watch For.
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers
With or without Adrian Peterson, the Vikings' run game has been dismal this season. Minnesota's offensive line opened few holes through two games and faces a superior defensive front seven in Carolina. Sam Bradford will be asked to lead the offense through the air -- if he's not under siege from pocket pressure up the gut. Those who weren't aware Stefon Diggs was a stud before Sunday night now know. The second-year receiver versus the young Panthers corners will be fun to watch. If Bradford has time to throw, Diggs could be in for another big day.
The combination of Jonathan Stewart's absence and a stout, athletic Vikings defensive line means we'll see Cam Newton throwing the ball a ton Sunday. Minnesota's top defensive back, Xavier Rhodes, missed the first two weeks. His potential return will mean a stiffer test for Kelvin Benjamin. Last week Trae Waynes got picked on and 38-year-old Terence Newman doesn't have the speed to stick with Devin Funchess or Ted Ginn. After two big weeks from Benjamin, it could be time for a breakout game from another one of Newton's weapons.
Say what? Stat of the week: Carolina has rushed for 100-plus yards in 34 straight games (inc. playoffs), the longest streak by any NFL team since the late 70s Steelers (37). Will that streak get snapped this week?
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
The Raiders allowed 500-plus yards in each of the first two games this season. Sean Smith was the focal point of scorn after being torched, but the veteran corner won't be facing Drew Brees or Julio Jones. The run defense hasn't taken nearly as much criticism after letting Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman scamper for 139 yards last week. This week it faces a rejuvenated DeMarco Murray and monster-truck Derrick Henry. Over in Fantasyville, NFL.com's Matt Franciscovich believes this is Henry's breakout week.
The Titans' defense allowed has allowed one TD in two weeks and a passer rating of just 74.9. This week that D will be tested against the No. 1 offense in the NFL. Derek Carr's connection with Amari Cooper has been potent to start the season and should be again Sunday. Cooper ripped the Titans last season for 115 yards on seven receptions. The key for the Raiders offense will be blocking an underrated Tennessee pass rush. In the first two weeks, Oakland faced two of the limpest pass rushes in the NFL in New Orleans and Atlanta. The challenge will be stiffer in Tennessee.
Say what? Stat of the week: Amari Cooper hasn't scored a touchdown in nine of his last 10 games.
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
The matchup between A.J. Green and Broncos defensive backs will be fun to track. Last season Chris Harris Jr. lined up on Green 19 times, with Aqib Talib stalking the wideout on 41 snaps. Green was held to just 48 yards and a touchdown on six targets by the duo. Green's success came against the more physical Talib, catching three of his four targets and the TD. Denver's defense is only allowing 4.37 yards per play this season. Andy Dalton, meanwhile, leads the NFL in passing through two games with exactly 366 yards in each contest.
When the Broncos have the ball, expect a heavy dose of C.J. Anderson. The running back's production has continued from his scorching end to last season. Since Week 8 of 2015, Anderson is averaging 5.7 yards per carry (most in the NFL) C.J. has also scored a touchdown in four straight games. He'll face a Bengals defense that has allowed 100-plus rushing yards in each of its first two games. If Marvin Lewis's front can't plug the holes with Vontaze Burfict still out, Anderson will be in for another big day.
Say what? Stat of the week: No quarterback has had a 100-plus passer rating against Denver in the last 28 games (inc. playoffs). Since 2015, Andy Dalton has a 104.2 passer rating (3rd in NFL).
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers
With or without Adrian Peterson, the Vikings' run game has been dismal this season. Minnesota's offensive line opened few holes through two games and faces a superior defensive front seven in Carolina. Sam Bradford will be asked to lead the offense through the air -- if he's not under siege from pocket pressure up the gut. Those who weren't aware Stefon Diggs was a stud before Sunday night now know. The second-year receiver versus the young Panthers corners will be fun to watch. If Bradford has time to throw, Diggs could be in for another big day.
The combination of Jonathan Stewart's absence and a stout, athletic Vikings defensive line means we'll see Cam Newton throwing the ball a ton Sunday. Minnesota's top defensive back, Xavier Rhodes, missed the first two weeks. His potential return will mean a stiffer test for Kelvin Benjamin. Last week Trae Waynes got picked on and 38-year-old Terence Newman doesn't have the speed to stick with Devin Funchess or Ted Ginn. After two big weeks from Benjamin, it could be time for a breakout game from another one of Newton's weapons.
Say what? Stat of the week: Carolina has rushed for 100-plus yards in 34 straight games (inc. playoffs), the longest streak by any NFL team since the late 70s Steelers (37). Will that streak get snapped this week?
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
The Raiders allowed 500-plus yards in each of the first two games this season. Sean Smith was the focal point of scorn after being torched, but the veteran corner won't be facing Drew Brees or Julio Jones. The run defense hasn't taken nearly as much criticism after letting Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman scamper for 139 yards last week. This week it faces a rejuvenated DeMarco Murray and monster-truck Derrick Henry. Over in Fantasyville, NFL.com's Matt Franciscovich believes this is Henry's breakout week.
The Titans' defense allowed has allowed one TD in two weeks and a passer rating of just 74.9. This week that D will be tested against the No. 1 offense in the NFL. Derek Carr's connection with Amari Cooper has been potent to start the season and should be again Sunday. Cooper ripped the Titans last season for 115 yards on seven receptions. The key for the Raiders offense will be blocking an underrated Tennessee pass rush. In the first two weeks, Oakland faced two of the limpest pass rushes in the NFL in New Orleans and Atlanta. The challenge will be stiffer in Tennessee.
Say what? Stat of the week: Amari Cooper hasn't scored a touchdown in nine of his last 10 games.
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
The matchup between A.J. Green and Broncos defensive backs will be fun to track. Last season Chris Harris Jr. lined up on Green 19 times, with Aqib Talib stalking the wideout on 41 snaps. Green was held to just 48 yards and a touchdown on six targets by the duo. Green's success came against the more physical Talib, catching three of his four targets and the TD. Denver's defense is only allowing 4.37 yards per play this season. Andy Dalton, meanwhile, leads the NFL in passing through two games with exactly 366 yards in each contest.
When the Broncos have the ball, expect a heavy dose of C.J. Anderson. The running back's production has continued from his scorching end to last season. Since Week 8 of 2015, Anderson is averaging 5.7 yards per carry (most in the NFL) C.J. has also scored a touchdown in four straight games. He'll face a Bengals defense that has allowed 100-plus rushing yards in each of its first two games. If Marvin Lewis's front can't plug the holes with Vontaze Burfict still out, Anderson will be in for another big day.
Say what? Stat of the week: No quarterback has had a 100-plus passer rating against Denver in the last 28 games (inc. playoffs). Since 2015, Andy Dalton has a 104.2 passer rating (3rd in NFL).
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
The Lions' defense is banged up, and the offense lost its starting running back. If Detroit is to make it back-to-back wins in Green Bay, Matthew Stafford will have to play lights out. Jim Bob Cooter's offense was one of just four to gain 375-plus yards in each of the first two weeks of the season (CIN, OAK, WAS). Facing a stout Packers defensive front, Stafford will need to be heady in the pocket and get rid of the ball quickly. While giving up less than 50 rushing yards per game to open the year, Green Bay has allowed 277.0 yards passing and got picked apart by Stefon Diggs last week. The Lions do their best work after the catch, so tackling will be paramount for Packers secondary defenders.
We've rehashed the struggles of Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' passing offense plenty this week. Let's instead focus on what could be a big week for Eddie Lacy. The big back isn't his 2013-2014 self (he might never get back there) but he looks fresher than last season. Lacy needs a bigger workload after averaging just 13 carries in two weeks. He hasn't surpassed the 65-yard barrier in five regular season games dating back to last season. Against a Detroit defense that will likely be without linebacker DeAndre Levy and defensive end Ziggy Ansah, Lacy should eat Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: In his last 16 games (inc. playoffs), Rodgers has a passer rating of 83.7. The NFL league average in that span is 89.5 (inc. playoffs).
Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore is 2-0 despite earning fewer than 400 total yards in 12 straight games and fewer than 100 rushing yards in each tilt this season -- 11 of last 13 overall. The Ravens' running game has earned a paltry 3.0 yards per carry, but could bounce back Sunday versus a Jags defense giving up 122.5 yards per game on the ground (T-7th most). The Ravens' offense has lacked continuity because it's so often behind in down-and-distance, forcing Joe Flacco into tough heaves.
Blake Bortles has been a disappointment thus far -- and has admitted as much. The third-year player needs to break out of his funk against a secondary that got beat deep by the Browns last week. While the Ravens boast the third-ranked passing defense, most of that was thanks to their Week 1 performance. Last week Josh McCown tore them up early. After a down week, Allen Robinson gets a favorable matchup against Jimmy Smith and Shareece Wright. Blocking might be the problem for Bortles, as he could be missing two starting offensive linemen. In a pivotal contest for the Jags' regime, Bortles needs the best game of his career.
Say what? Stat of the week: Mike Wallace is the only Raven to score a TD so far this season.
Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
The Cody Kessler Show! It's not the third-round pick's fault he's been thrust into duty as the Browns 26th different starting quarterback since 1999. It's not his fault he'll be without first-round pick Corey Coleman (broken hand). Cleveland is clearly cursed. It will be interesting to see how much trust Hue Jackson has in Kessler, especially behind a shaky offensive line that faces Ndamukong Suh. Isaiah Crowell looks set to carry a big load, but the Dolphins are weakest at corner, so Jackson should scheme ways for his rookie quarterback to take advantage down the field. Expect a lot of Duke Johnson in the passing game.
The Dolphins will be without Arian Foster, so the dink-and-dunk passing offense will be in full effect. Ryan Tannehill might throw quick screens until his arm falls off Sunday. Browns cornerback Joe Haden has returned to Pro Bowl form through two games. If he plays, the battle at the line of scrimmage with Jarvis Landry will be fun to watch. Last week in his season debut, DeVante Parker caught eight passes for 106 yards (all in the second half) and could be in for a big day if Haden spends most of his time on Landry. If Haden is out, the Dolphins' passing game is in for a huge day.
Say what? Stat of the week: Miami passed on 63.0 percent of their offensive plays in Week 1 and 73.8 percent in Week 2. Since 2012, the Dolphins are 10-33 when passing on 60 percent or more plays and have lost seven straight such games.
The Lions' defense is banged up, and the offense lost its starting running back. If Detroit is to make it back-to-back wins in Green Bay, Matthew Stafford will have to play lights out. Jim Bob Cooter's offense was one of just four to gain 375-plus yards in each of the first two weeks of the season (CIN, OAK, WAS). Facing a stout Packers defensive front, Stafford will need to be heady in the pocket and get rid of the ball quickly. While giving up less than 50 rushing yards per game to open the year, Green Bay has allowed 277.0 yards passing and got picked apart by Stefon Diggs last week. The Lions do their best work after the catch, so tackling will be paramount for Packers secondary defenders.
We've rehashed the struggles of Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' passing offense plenty this week. Let's instead focus on what could be a big week for Eddie Lacy. The big back isn't his 2013-2014 self (he might never get back there) but he looks fresher than last season. Lacy needs a bigger workload after averaging just 13 carries in two weeks. He hasn't surpassed the 65-yard barrier in five regular season games dating back to last season. Against a Detroit defense that will likely be without linebacker DeAndre Levy and defensive end Ziggy Ansah, Lacy should eat Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: In his last 16 games (inc. playoffs), Rodgers has a passer rating of 83.7. The NFL league average in that span is 89.5 (inc. playoffs).
Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore is 2-0 despite earning fewer than 400 total yards in 12 straight games and fewer than 100 rushing yards in each tilt this season -- 11 of last 13 overall. The Ravens' running game has earned a paltry 3.0 yards per carry, but could bounce back Sunday versus a Jags defense giving up 122.5 yards per game on the ground (T-7th most). The Ravens' offense has lacked continuity because it's so often behind in down-and-distance, forcing Joe Flacco into tough heaves.
Blake Bortles has been a disappointment thus far -- and has admitted as much. The third-year player needs to break out of his funk against a secondary that got beat deep by the Browns last week. While the Ravens boast the third-ranked passing defense, most of that was thanks to their Week 1 performance. Last week Josh McCown tore them up early. After a down week, Allen Robinson gets a favorable matchup against Jimmy Smith and Shareece Wright. Blocking might be the problem for Bortles, as he could be missing two starting offensive linemen. In a pivotal contest for the Jags' regime, Bortles needs the best game of his career.
Say what? Stat of the week: Mike Wallace is the only Raven to score a TD so far this season.
Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
The Cody Kessler Show! It's not the third-round pick's fault he's been thrust into duty as the Browns 26th different starting quarterback since 1999. It's not his fault he'll be without first-round pick Corey Coleman (broken hand). Cleveland is clearly cursed. It will be interesting to see how much trust Hue Jackson has in Kessler, especially behind a shaky offensive line that faces Ndamukong Suh. Isaiah Crowell looks set to carry a big load, but the Dolphins are weakest at corner, so Jackson should scheme ways for his rookie quarterback to take advantage down the field. Expect a lot of Duke Johnson in the passing game.
The Dolphins will be without Arian Foster, so the dink-and-dunk passing offense will be in full effect. Ryan Tannehill might throw quick screens until his arm falls off Sunday. Browns cornerback Joe Haden has returned to Pro Bowl form through two games. If he plays, the battle at the line of scrimmage with Jarvis Landry will be fun to watch. Last week in his season debut, DeVante Parker caught eight passes for 106 yards (all in the second half) and could be in for a big day if Haden spends most of his time on Landry. If Haden is out, the Dolphins' passing game is in for a huge day.
Say what? Stat of the week: Miami passed on 63.0 percent of their offensive plays in Week 1 and 73.8 percent in Week 2. Since 2012, the Dolphins are 10-33 when passing on 60 percent or more plays and have lost seven straight such games.
Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Expect the Josh Norman-Odell Beckham matchup plenty Sunday in New York. With Sterling Shepard taking over the full-time slot duty (and shining) the Giants won't stash Beckham there to hide him from Norman. Nor should they. While Norman got in Beckham's head last year, the receiver beat the corner with ease multiple times, including a touchdown. Norman has been good this year on star receivers, stopping all three targets he faced when covering Dez Bryant and Antonio Brown. With the emergence of Shepard and return of Victor Cruz, this isn't a Beckham-or-bust scenario for Eli Manning.
Kirk Cousins' performance the past two weeks have been dreadful. Sunday he faces an even better defense. The Giants' offseason acquisitions have been superb thus far. Big Blue might not be sacking the quarterback but disruption is production, and the front four has been plenty productive. The back end has been solid with safety Landon Collins flying around wherever the ball goes. Cousins has put up numbers this season, but turnovers and timely bad throws killed the Redskins offense. If he doesn't calm down in the pocket and trust his reads, it will be another frustrating day for DeSean Jackson and the rest of the Washington receivers.
Say what? Stat of the week: The last reigning division winner to start the next season 0-3 or worse was the 2013 Redskins (won division in 2012, started 0-3, finished 3-13).
Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills
We knew new offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn would run the ball more, but he might not have much of a choice if Sammy Watkins (foot; game time decision) sits. LeSean McCoy's workload will be heavy Sunday. The shifty back wasn't seeing much space even with the threat of the Watkins, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. He'll need some help against a Cardinals front that is giving up just 95.5 yards per game on the ground. Lynn could attempt to use the elusive Tyrod Taylor in creative running plays, but given his slight frame that could subject the quarterback to devastating hits.
Rex Ryan's defense couldn't handle veteran dual-threat Matt Forte last week. Sunday they get the younger, souped-up version in David Johnson. D.J. ranks fourth in the NFL this season with 275 scrimmage yards. His 141 receiving yards are second in the NFL among RBs (Spencer Ware, 177) and has 130-plus scrimmage yards in each of the first two games. Ryan's linebackers and safeties can't cover Johnson in space.
Say what? Stat of the week: No playoff hangover for Carson Palmer: After turning the ball over six times in the NFC Championship Game, Palmer is 1 of 4 QBs to start both games in 2016 without a giveaway -- Derek Carr, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks' offensive struggles need to be put through the prism of Russell Wilson's ankle injury, which clearly hindered his mobility last week. With the pocket crumbling, Wilson's lack of mobility kills the magical plays for which he's known. Seattle needs to rely on Christine Michael heavily to get back on track Sunday. Michael has 126 rushing yards on 25 carries this season. All other Seattle running backs combined have 22 carries for 23 yards. Michael will face a 49ers defense that has given up the ninth-most rushing yards per game this season (120.5). Ride the C-Woke Train, Pete Carroll. Ride it to a magical place.
Seattle's defense is as good as it ever was, allowing a total of 19 points though two weeks while ranking first in points per game given up and total yards allowed. Their stiffest test Sunday might be 49ers tight end Vance McDonald. (Rams TE Lance Kendricks won his matchup last week versus the Seahawks.) McDonald had a long TD in Week 2 and should have had more if Blaine Gabbert found him on several open routes down the seam. Expect Chip Kelly to call plays that look for McDonald early Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: Blaine Gabbert has gone 12 straight games with at least one pass TD (NFL's longest active streak). Blaine Gabbert has the NFL's longest active TD passing streak. Blaine freaking Gabbert. What a sport.
Expect the Josh Norman-Odell Beckham matchup plenty Sunday in New York. With Sterling Shepard taking over the full-time slot duty (and shining) the Giants won't stash Beckham there to hide him from Norman. Nor should they. While Norman got in Beckham's head last year, the receiver beat the corner with ease multiple times, including a touchdown. Norman has been good this year on star receivers, stopping all three targets he faced when covering Dez Bryant and Antonio Brown. With the emergence of Shepard and return of Victor Cruz, this isn't a Beckham-or-bust scenario for Eli Manning.
Kirk Cousins' performance the past two weeks have been dreadful. Sunday he faces an even better defense. The Giants' offseason acquisitions have been superb thus far. Big Blue might not be sacking the quarterback but disruption is production, and the front four has been plenty productive. The back end has been solid with safety Landon Collins flying around wherever the ball goes. Cousins has put up numbers this season, but turnovers and timely bad throws killed the Redskins offense. If he doesn't calm down in the pocket and trust his reads, it will be another frustrating day for DeSean Jackson and the rest of the Washington receivers.
Say what? Stat of the week: The last reigning division winner to start the next season 0-3 or worse was the 2013 Redskins (won division in 2012, started 0-3, finished 3-13).
Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills
We knew new offensive coordinator Anthony Lynn would run the ball more, but he might not have much of a choice if Sammy Watkins (foot; game time decision) sits. LeSean McCoy's workload will be heavy Sunday. The shifty back wasn't seeing much space even with the threat of the Watkins, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. He'll need some help against a Cardinals front that is giving up just 95.5 yards per game on the ground. Lynn could attempt to use the elusive Tyrod Taylor in creative running plays, but given his slight frame that could subject the quarterback to devastating hits.
Rex Ryan's defense couldn't handle veteran dual-threat Matt Forte last week. Sunday they get the younger, souped-up version in David Johnson. D.J. ranks fourth in the NFL this season with 275 scrimmage yards. His 141 receiving yards are second in the NFL among RBs (Spencer Ware, 177) and has 130-plus scrimmage yards in each of the first two games. Ryan's linebackers and safeties can't cover Johnson in space.
Say what? Stat of the week: No playoff hangover for Carson Palmer: After turning the ball over six times in the NFC Championship Game, Palmer is 1 of 4 QBs to start both games in 2016 without a giveaway -- Derek Carr, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks' offensive struggles need to be put through the prism of Russell Wilson's ankle injury, which clearly hindered his mobility last week. With the pocket crumbling, Wilson's lack of mobility kills the magical plays for which he's known. Seattle needs to rely on Christine Michael heavily to get back on track Sunday. Michael has 126 rushing yards on 25 carries this season. All other Seattle running backs combined have 22 carries for 23 yards. Michael will face a 49ers defense that has given up the ninth-most rushing yards per game this season (120.5). Ride the C-Woke Train, Pete Carroll. Ride it to a magical place.
Seattle's defense is as good as it ever was, allowing a total of 19 points though two weeks while ranking first in points per game given up and total yards allowed. Their stiffest test Sunday might be 49ers tight end Vance McDonald. (Rams TE Lance Kendricks won his matchup last week versus the Seahawks.) McDonald had a long TD in Week 2 and should have had more if Blaine Gabbert found him on several open routes down the seam. Expect Chip Kelly to call plays that look for McDonald early Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: Blaine Gabbert has gone 12 straight games with at least one pass TD (NFL's longest active streak). Blaine Gabbert has the NFL's longest active TD passing streak. Blaine freaking Gabbert. What a sport.
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Many are pegging this as a game for Todd Gurley's 2016 breakout, but it's not a fantastic matchup for the bottled-up running back. The Bucs have been stellar against the run through two weeks, giving up just 78.5 yards per game on the ground and haven't allowed a single back to earn more than 54 yards. Tampa has been torched through the air -- 113.2 passer rating allowed; 5 pass TDs. Case Keenum has looked dreadful this season but did scorch the Bucs last year (234 yards, 2 TDs). He might need to do it again with the Buccaneers tossing their entire ship at Gurley.
Aaron Donald and the Rams D rattled Jameis Winston last season, will the second-year pro learn from that dreadful night and the rough outing in the desert last week? With Doug Martin out, expect Tampa to throw a ton. Charles Sims ran tougher between the tackles, but he's not a back that you want carrying it a lot. Expect the screen game and quick passes to supplement the lack of a run presence. If Jameis has time against the Rams front four, the L.A. defensive backfield is susceptible to giving up plays down the field. Keep an eye on Alec Ogletree; the Rams middle linebacker was everywhere last week.
Say what? Stat of the week: Bucs linebacker Kwon Alexander has accounted for 21.6 percent of Tampa Bay's tackles this season (highest percentage in the NFL).
San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts
Last season, the Chargers couldn't keep offensive linemen healthy. This year, Philip Rivers' receiving weapons are being struck down. First Kennan Allen, then Danny Woodhead, now Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful. Rivers had a good matchup versus a banged up Colts defense, but the possible return of Vontae Davis could be a big boost for Indy. Melvin Gordon will get the chance to stack positive performances toward his breakout season versus a Colts defensive front giving up 125.0 yards per game on the ground.
We've been saying for weeks that the San Diego corner trio of Jason Verrett, Brandon Flowers and Casey Hayward was underrated. Then they stopped Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns cold last week. This week the threesome will battle T.Y. Hilton and Phillip Dorsett. Expect Andrew Luck to target tight ends Dwayne Allen and Jack Doyle plenty across the middle, as that is the better matchup for the Indy passing game Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: T.Y. Hilton hasn't scored a TD in his last seven games.
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Marcus Peters has backed up his Defensive Rookie of the Year award with two superb outings to start the season. Last week he earned two interceptions and four passes defensed against a good Houston receiving corps. This week he'll face Eric Decker, Brandon Marshall (questionable) and Quincy Enunwa, three physical receivers. If Marshall plays, his battles with Peters will be the most fun to watch this weekend.
The Jets' defense has been studly up front but got burned deep repeatedly in two games. It will be interesting to see if Andy Reid breaks at all from his tendencies and threatens down the field more often with Jeremy Maclin and Chris Conley against Darrelle Revis and Co. Spencer Ware leads the NFL in receiving yards out of the backfield and should see more passes his way again Sunday against Jets linebackers and safeties.
Say what? Stat of the week: This season, Revis has allowed an 80.0 completion percent when targeted (12 of 15). In 2015, Revis allowed a 42.2 completion percent when targeted (38 of 90).
Many are pegging this as a game for Todd Gurley's 2016 breakout, but it's not a fantastic matchup for the bottled-up running back. The Bucs have been stellar against the run through two weeks, giving up just 78.5 yards per game on the ground and haven't allowed a single back to earn more than 54 yards. Tampa has been torched through the air -- 113.2 passer rating allowed; 5 pass TDs. Case Keenum has looked dreadful this season but did scorch the Bucs last year (234 yards, 2 TDs). He might need to do it again with the Buccaneers tossing their entire ship at Gurley.
Aaron Donald and the Rams D rattled Jameis Winston last season, will the second-year pro learn from that dreadful night and the rough outing in the desert last week? With Doug Martin out, expect Tampa to throw a ton. Charles Sims ran tougher between the tackles, but he's not a back that you want carrying it a lot. Expect the screen game and quick passes to supplement the lack of a run presence. If Jameis has time against the Rams front four, the L.A. defensive backfield is susceptible to giving up plays down the field. Keep an eye on Alec Ogletree; the Rams middle linebacker was everywhere last week.
Say what? Stat of the week: Bucs linebacker Kwon Alexander has accounted for 21.6 percent of Tampa Bay's tackles this season (highest percentage in the NFL).
San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts
Last season, the Chargers couldn't keep offensive linemen healthy. This year, Philip Rivers' receiving weapons are being struck down. First Kennan Allen, then Danny Woodhead, now Antonio Gates (hamstring) is doubtful. Rivers had a good matchup versus a banged up Colts defense, but the possible return of Vontae Davis could be a big boost for Indy. Melvin Gordon will get the chance to stack positive performances toward his breakout season versus a Colts defensive front giving up 125.0 yards per game on the ground.
We've been saying for weeks that the San Diego corner trio of Jason Verrett, Brandon Flowers and Casey Hayward was underrated. Then they stopped Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns cold last week. This week the threesome will battle T.Y. Hilton and Phillip Dorsett. Expect Andrew Luck to target tight ends Dwayne Allen and Jack Doyle plenty across the middle, as that is the better matchup for the Indy passing game Sunday.
Say what? Stat of the week: T.Y. Hilton hasn't scored a TD in his last seven games.
New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Marcus Peters has backed up his Defensive Rookie of the Year award with two superb outings to start the season. Last week he earned two interceptions and four passes defensed against a good Houston receiving corps. This week he'll face Eric Decker, Brandon Marshall (questionable) and Quincy Enunwa, three physical receivers. If Marshall plays, his battles with Peters will be the most fun to watch this weekend.
The Jets' defense has been studly up front but got burned deep repeatedly in two games. It will be interesting to see if Andy Reid breaks at all from his tendencies and threatens down the field more often with Jeremy Maclin and Chris Conley against Darrelle Revis and Co. Spencer Ware leads the NFL in receiving yards out of the backfield and should see more passes his way again Sunday against Jets linebackers and safeties.
Say what? Stat of the week: This season, Revis has allowed an 80.0 completion percent when targeted (12 of 15). In 2015, Revis allowed a 42.2 completion percent when targeted (38 of 90).
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Carson Wentz has earned all the recent praise. The rookie's poise under center has been phenomenal, he's displayed a strong arm and pinpoint accuracy. But that was against the Browns and Bears. We'll see how he does against a formidable Steelers defense. Pittsburgh's front seven, led by the electric Ryan Shazier, has held opposing running games to a mere 50.5 YPG. If Pittsburgh can make Philadelphia one-dimensional, will Wentz have the same success? Ben Roethlisberger will have mismatches at his disposal all over the field. The Eagles' secondary is shaky at best with Leodis McKelvin already declared out. Big Ben's offensive line has been among the best in the NFL through two weeks. If Jim Schwartz can't get pressure it could be a long day for his defensive backs. Antonio Brown is in for a big bounce-back week after a down outing in Week 2.
Say what? Stat of the week: DeAngelo Williams, the oldest running back in the NFL, has accounted for 87.9 percent of his team's rushing attempts and 87.5 percent of his team's rushing yards (leads NFL in both categories)
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys
How will Brian Hoyer starting affect Alshon Jeffery's production? The receiver has been the only force in the Bears offense. Jeffery is a mismatch for Cowboys cornerbacks Sunday, but will Hoyer be able to connect down the field? Upon entering Monday's game, Hoyer targeted five different receivers on his first five passes, which indicates he'll spread the ball around.
It could be the first big breakout performance of the season from the Cowboys offense. Dallas has advantages all over the field. Chicago has given up 114.5 rush yards per game and suffered key injuries to nose tackle Eddie Goldman and linebacker Danny Trevathan. Ezekiel Elliott could earn his first 100-yard rushing day. Dez Bryant also has the advantage outside versus young Bears corners. If Kyle Fuller (questionable) returns that would be a boost, but Dak Prescott has enough weapons to dice up the Bears in prime time.
Say what? Stat of the week: Prescott is attempting to go three straight games without a giveaway. In Tony Romo's 127 career starts, he has two 3-plus game streaks without a giveaway (3-game streak in 2011, 4-game streak in 2009).
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Matt Ryan has put up impressive stats to start the season, completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 365 yards per game, a 5-1 TD-INT ratio and 121.4 passer rating. The Falcons have the advantage through the air versus a decimated Saints secondary. Despite the injuries, New Orleans held up surprisingly well in New York last week, but will have a similarly tough matchup Monday night. Mohamed Sanu, despite the occasional drop, brings an added element Atlanta missed last season opposite Julio Jones. Tight end Jacob Tamme has been a big part of the Falcons' offense through two weeks and could see similar production in Week 3. Drew Brees should have a ton of time to throw Monday night. The Falcons have just one sack in two games and can't conjure a pass rush. Brees and the Saints are a different beast on their home track, scoring almost 10 more points per game at home than on the road since 2013. The trio of Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead and Michael Thomas should gobble up ground against a Falcons secondary allowing 290 yards per game passing. The question in New Orleans is whether tight end Coby Fleener will find finally his rapport with Brees this week.
Say what? Stat of the week: Brees is first QB since (at least) 1960 to have 5 pass TD, 0 INT, and an 0- 2 record after the first two games of a season.
Carson Wentz has earned all the recent praise. The rookie's poise under center has been phenomenal, he's displayed a strong arm and pinpoint accuracy. But that was against the Browns and Bears. We'll see how he does against a formidable Steelers defense. Pittsburgh's front seven, led by the electric Ryan Shazier, has held opposing running games to a mere 50.5 YPG. If Pittsburgh can make Philadelphia one-dimensional, will Wentz have the same success? Ben Roethlisberger will have mismatches at his disposal all over the field. The Eagles' secondary is shaky at best with Leodis McKelvin already declared out. Big Ben's offensive line has been among the best in the NFL through two weeks. If Jim Schwartz can't get pressure it could be a long day for his defensive backs. Antonio Brown is in for a big bounce-back week after a down outing in Week 2.
Say what? Stat of the week: DeAngelo Williams, the oldest running back in the NFL, has accounted for 87.9 percent of his team's rushing attempts and 87.5 percent of his team's rushing yards (leads NFL in both categories)
Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys
How will Brian Hoyer starting affect Alshon Jeffery's production? The receiver has been the only force in the Bears offense. Jeffery is a mismatch for Cowboys cornerbacks Sunday, but will Hoyer be able to connect down the field? Upon entering Monday's game, Hoyer targeted five different receivers on his first five passes, which indicates he'll spread the ball around.
It could be the first big breakout performance of the season from the Cowboys offense. Dallas has advantages all over the field. Chicago has given up 114.5 rush yards per game and suffered key injuries to nose tackle Eddie Goldman and linebacker Danny Trevathan. Ezekiel Elliott could earn his first 100-yard rushing day. Dez Bryant also has the advantage outside versus young Bears corners. If Kyle Fuller (questionable) returns that would be a boost, but Dak Prescott has enough weapons to dice up the Bears in prime time.
Say what? Stat of the week: Prescott is attempting to go three straight games without a giveaway. In Tony Romo's 127 career starts, he has two 3-plus game streaks without a giveaway (3-game streak in 2011, 4-game streak in 2009).
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Matt Ryan has put up impressive stats to start the season, completing 72.6 percent of his passes for 365 yards per game, a 5-1 TD-INT ratio and 121.4 passer rating. The Falcons have the advantage through the air versus a decimated Saints secondary. Despite the injuries, New Orleans held up surprisingly well in New York last week, but will have a similarly tough matchup Monday night. Mohamed Sanu, despite the occasional drop, brings an added element Atlanta missed last season opposite Julio Jones. Tight end Jacob Tamme has been a big part of the Falcons' offense through two weeks and could see similar production in Week 3. Drew Brees should have a ton of time to throw Monday night. The Falcons have just one sack in two games and can't conjure a pass rush. Brees and the Saints are a different beast on their home track, scoring almost 10 more points per game at home than on the road since 2013. The trio of Brandin Cooks, Willie Snead and Michael Thomas should gobble up ground against a Falcons secondary allowing 290 yards per game passing. The question in New Orleans is whether tight end Coby Fleener will find finally his rapport with Brees this week.
Say what? Stat of the week: Brees is first QB since (at least) 1960 to have 5 pass TD, 0 INT, and an 0- 2 record after the first two games of a season.
