Shot,
Check this out. Iraq was a secular state, a dictatorship nonetheless but a secular state, one that tolerated Christianity. Not a Muslim extremist state.
If you recall they went to war in the last 20 years with Muslim nations Iran and Kuwait, both more fundamentally Islamic states than Iraq.
The idea that they would band together with al qaeda is a joke. They have no common interest. The reason Iraq didn't give weapons to al qaeda? They did not trust them, most likely they were concerned weapons would eventually be turned against Iraq - much in the same way, Osama turned against the USA after all those years where we supported him in Afhganistan against the Soviets.
Iraq was a nation created by Britain in the last stages of empire that consists of 3 strongly, sometimes violently opposed groups - Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds. These were held together by a brutal regime much like Yogoslavia's ethnic rifts were held together by Tito. After Tito died and stronghold dissipated, the country fell into civil war.
Like the Israelis, I predict this will happen to Iraq once the USA withdraws. The vacuum will be occupied by civil war. Thus I favor us getting out of there as soon as possible to minimize troop casualties in an ultimately doomed cause.
No doubt there are Muslims from other countries drawn and recruited to Iraq to fight the "U.S. occupation" - read recent Time or Newsweek issues. And meanwhile, Muslim extremist groups march on inside and outside of Iraq.
That's my opinion. The Bush Admin's opinion is that democracy will flourish in Iraq leading to resolution of Israeli/Palestinian problems and overall blooming of democracy in the Middle East. But then again, they believed we'd find WMDs, that there were ties to al qaeda, that we'd be welcomed with open arms and that oil revenues would pay for reconstruction. And of course, they celebrated Mission Accomplished over a year ago.
If your local weather forecaster was that far off consistenly, would you continue to believe him?