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Or if he flips Georgia. Which betting markets disagree but the NY Times Needle has Biden at 59 percent to win that state.

Once Biden holds Nevada he is at 244.
 

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So to summarize a bit, Biden basically has three “easy” paths to victory remaining. In rough order of likelihood: 1) Win Arizona and NE-02, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 2) Win Pennsylvania, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 3) Win Georgia, hold Michigan and Wisconsin.
Less likely paths would involve his winning North Carolina, or other scenarios where he loses Wisconsin or Michigan but does well enough elsewhere.

The take from Nate Silver
 

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Or if he flips Georgia. Which betting markets disagree but the NY Times Needle has Biden at 59 percent to win that state.

Once Biden holds Nevada he is at 244.

So to summarize a bit, Biden basically has three “easy” paths to victory remaining. In rough order of likelihood: 1) Win Arizona and NE-02, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 2) Win Pennsylvania, hold Michigan and Wisconsin; 3) Win Georgia, hold Michigan and Wisconsin.
Less likely paths would involve his winning North Carolina, or other scenarios where he loses Wisconsin or Michigan but does well enough elsewhere.

The take from Nate Silver

Now you're just doubling down on stupid.

You need better mathematicians and pollsters.

"Hold Michigan and Wisconsin" :pointer:

Nate Silver is a fraud.
 

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Should be over, right? WRONG!

This is what happens when people elect Democrats as governors!

WISCONSIN
-2016: 22,748
-2020: 104,963 (77% reporting)

MICHIGAN
-2016: 10,704
-2020: 289,703 (61%)

PENNSYLVANIA
-2016: 44,292
-2020: 696,960 (66%)

"Hold" Michigan and Wisconsin Nate! :Carcajada:
 
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Should be over, right? WRONG!

This is what happens when people elect Democrats as governors!

WISCONSIN
-2016: 22,748
-2020: 104,963 (77% reporting)

MICHIGAN
-2016: 10,704
-2020: 289,703 (61%)

PENNSYLVANIA
-2016: 44,292
-2020: 696,960 (66%)

"Hold" Michigan and Wisconsin Nate! :Carcajada:

what are these numbers
 
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Jul 1, 2015
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Trump's current enormous margins in those states compared to 2016.

thanks!

My opinion, fwiw, this is exactly how the media wants this to play out. They’ve been pushing for this exact shit show for 6+ months. Covid is ramping up be people have become numb to its news cycle, so instead of people being glued to the news (dominated by the left) for way 12 hours on election night, they just grabbed all of America’s attention for days to come. Again, always look for whose winning by what’s happening. It certainly isn’t the US public by this damn thing dragging out.
 

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