TheRealSouthner's NBA Predictions

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight!!!

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Adding Blazers-Lakers Blazers money line -750

 

[TheRealSouthner]

2-5 on the night. Should've been 1-5, but added the Blazers money line once I calculated their chance of winning to be 98%. Tonight brought me back down to earth after a lucky last night.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Last Night: 2-5
Overall: 8-8
Tonight's picks:
Dallas-Houston under 207
OKC-Brooklyn under 207.5
OKC-Brooklyn OKC -13.5
LAC-Toronto under 205.5
Boston-Philly over 207

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Dallas-Houston under 207 LOSS
OKC-Brooklyn under 207.5 LOSS
OKC-Brooklyn OKC -13.5 LOSS
LAC-Toronto under 205.5 LOSS
Boston-Philly over 207 LOSS

Tonight: 0-5
Lessons learned: 1. Never bet under and a double digit favorite in the same game (okc) 2.Raw numbers and averages are fairly reliable 3.Records ATS and against total are useless.
Hope to get it back tommorow.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Overall: 8-13
Last Night: 0-5
Tonight's Picks:
San Antonio +5
Orlando-Memphis Over 191
Detroit Utah Over 193

Feel free to fade me tonight, haven't been hot last 2 nights.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Overall: 9-15
Last Night: 1-2
Tonight's Picks:
San Antonio +5 Big Loss
Orlando-Memphis Over 191 Win
Detroit Utah Over 193 Loss

Lesson's learned: 1. Don't fade the Warriors when they're coming off a rest day. 2.Possible correlation: If 2 team's ppg vs. papg avg is lower than their total average ppg and papg averaged out, game will likely be low scoring. If it is higher than average, game will probably be higher scoring. It's too small of a sample size to be conclusive for sure, but their is a possible trend that I will be analyzing in tonight's games.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Tonight's:
Clippers-Pacers Over 208.5
Washington-Toronto Over 205
Washington-Toronto Toronto -8
Milwaukee-Orlando Milwaukee -5
Dallas-Lakers Over 201.5

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Clippers-Pacers Over 208.5 LOSS
Washington-Toronto Over 205 LOSS
Washington-Toronto Toronto -8 WIN
Milwaukee-Orlando Milwaukee -5 WIN
Dallas-Lakers Over 201.5 LOSS
2-3 Last night
11-18 overall

 

[bostonmickey1125]

Gl tonight with your plays r/s!!

 

[TheRealSouthner]

My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 UNDER 209.5 -108 vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 UNDER 214 -108 vs Boston Celtics
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.03 UNDER 206 -107 vs Detroit Pistons
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.08 UNDER 208 -102 vs San Antonio Spurs
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 211.5 -105 vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 OVER 192.5 -108 vs Utah Jazz

 

[Betallsports]

My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 UNDER 209.5 -108 vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 UNDER 214 -108 vs Boston Celtics
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.03 UNDER 206 -107 vs Detroit Pistons
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.08 UNDER 208 -102 vs San Antonio Spurs
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 211.5 -105 vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 OVER 192.5 -108 vs Utah Jazz

Please don't post any websites or URL's

Thank you & GL

 

[TheRealSouthner]

you too my friend

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Last Night: 1-4-1
Overall: 12-22-1
Tonight's picks
My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.08 Indiana Pacers -3 -102 vs Atlanta Hawks
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.07 UNDER 201.5 -103 vs Indiana Pacers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 195 -105 vs Memphis Grizzlies
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.09 Milwaukee Bucks +5 -101 vs Memphis Grizzlies
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 200.5 -105 vs Toronto Raptors
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 -105 vs Sacramento Kings
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 216.5 -105 vs New Orleans Pelicans
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 202.5 -105 vs Los Angeles Lakers
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Hopefully we can get back on track tonight![/FONT]

 

[jwhite]

Keep grinding man.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

3-7 so far, will check late result in the morning. I keep trying adding different stats and formulas to my spreadsheets, will see if it has any effect.

 

[TheRealSouthner]

3-8 Last Night
15-30-1 Overall
Tonight:
My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.03 UNDER 207 -107 vs Detroit Pistons
Risked 1.1 units to win 1 Cleveland Cavaliers Team Total UNDER 105.5 -110 vs Detroit Pistons
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.03 OVER 204.5 -107 vs Boston Celtics
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 Boston Celtics -8 -105 vs Orlando Magic
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 203 -105 vs New York Knicks
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 OVER 221.5 -108 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 -108 vs Houston Rockets
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.07 UNDER 191.5 -103 vs Milwaukee Bucks
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 199 -105 vs Dallas Mavericks
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 195 -105 vs Utah Jazz
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 206.5 -105 vs Portland Trail Blazers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.07 UNDER 205 -103 vs Los Angeles Clippers
[FONT=Open Sans, sans-serif]Hopefully I do better tonight. Definitely don't bet based off of my picks, in fact as of now it would be very profitable to fade me.[/FONT]

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Adding Lakers +15.5

 

[TheRealSouthner]

For now on I will just be using the record that I have on the site where I track my picks, because it easier for me to do that rather than keep track of it here. I will also post today's picks from there here, but may add picks without posting in the thread.
Record:28-35
Today's picks:
My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 203.5 -105 vs Los Angeles Clippers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 204.5 -105 vs Orlando Magic
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 194 -105 vs Miami Heat
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.12 Atlanta Hawks +1 +102 vs Miami Heat
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 Portland Trail Blazers -7 -105 vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 209.5 -105 vs Portland Trail Blazers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 201 -105 vs Los Angeles Lakers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.08 Charlotte Hornets -3.5 -102 vs Los Angeles Lakers

 

[TheRealSouthner]

Today's picks:
My Tracked Plays
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 208.5 -105 vs Indiana Pacers
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.08 OVER 222 -102 vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 UNDER 199 -105 vs Atlanta Hawks
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 202.5 -105 vs New Orleans Pelicans
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.07 UNDER 203 -103 vs San Antonio Spurs
Risked 1.1 units to win 1 Orlando Magic Team Total UNDER 93.5 -110 vs San Antonio Spurs
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 OVER 204 -108 vs Denver Nuggets
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.02 Toronto Raptors -4.5 -108 vs Denver Nuggets
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 190.5 -105 vs Utah Jazz
Risked 1.1 units to win 1.05 OVER 212.5 -105 vs Sacramento Kings