The Tide does not rise this weekend

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CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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underrated, but underachieving on the scoreboard.

My statistical analysis suggests they've had more than their fair share of rotten luck... by alot.

They played alot tougher vs Florida than the 30-6 scoreline suggests. Especially their defense.. They held Tebow to 8 for 15, 96 yards passing and 26 yards on 12 carries rushing. They also had the same number of first downs as Florida, 16 a piece. Florida grabbed a TD from a punt return and benefitted from a +3 turnover advantage (2 fumbles). One fumble was at the Tennessee 23 which set up a Florida field goal. Another fumble was at the Florida 2 when they were about to go into the endzone. And they were intercepted at the end of the 1st half in the endzone when they were on the Florida 2. This was a much closer game than the scoreline suggested.

My stats analysis also had them about 10 points better than UCLA in the opener they lost.

I have Tennessee as one of the more snake bitten teams in the entire country. I would not be surprised one bit if they stick it to Alabama this weekend, who I have marked as one of the teams that have been the beneficiary of good randomness.

They "held" Tebow? Are you kidding. Florida could have easily hung half a hundo on Tennessee. We were up 17-0 10 minutes into the game and Meyer shut it down. As for Tim's rushing stats, he only ran to get first downs on short ydg. This is analysis from someone who CLEARLY did not watch the game. UT isn't snakebitten. They just suck.
 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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1. Mississippi State set a goal to run, run, and run some more against the Vols last Saturday and well we saw the outcome. 34-3.

How many passing yards did the QB have?

2. UGA was up enough not even to let Stafford worry about passing and the kept is on the ground with Moreno for the majority of the game being up big in the fourth quarter and a 10:00 drive will always increase your run stats.

3. Auburn with 120 is pretty impressive and I would be happy with that against a UTK defense if I was an AU fan. The only thing you forgot was that they only scored one offensive TD.

4. Florida was up... and up big. Thus the running game was all they wanted to do and they did keep it on the ground when UTK defense was demoralized and on the field for 3/4 of the game.

While the both of you overlooked much of the detail in these games, I think this is a pretty good break down. This Tennessee defense is good, really good. JPW better have enough in the cannon to thread the needle against Berry and crew or he could have some early INTs.

The Tennessee offense is still inept. I think that's where you should base your bet at. Definitely not against the Tennessee defense by any means if you ask me.

:toast:

Tennessee's defense is not very good. Im really not sure where you come up with that. UGA's offense isn't very good and neither is Auburn's. Guess what UT lost both games. Bama's O and D are better than both. And trying to say UF was piling on rushing yds is kinda silly. They were running to run out the clock and didn't do much of anything in the second half. The Gators could have played "name your score" and they weren't even playing good ball in week 3.

You guys do what you want, but the Vols will get throttled again this weekend.
 

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tennessee completely shit on themselves in back to back years against florida. final scores of those two games werent even remotely close to the true difference between the teams. vols have as much talent as anybody in the conference. problem is, they cant get out of their own way and there is too much peripheral stuff going on with them. if the vols played even a remotely clean first half this year, they would have had a shot to win that game. sekrah is correct ... although snakebitten probably isnt the correct term. that is reserved for bad luck. theyve had a lot of self-induced mistakes and have only themselves to blame. that said, theyre every bit as good as alabama. but coaching and confidence is such a huge thing in college football that you could just as easily see tennessee by 10 in this game as you could bama by 17.
 

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They "held" Tebow? Are you kidding. Florida could have easily hung half a hundo on Tennessee. We were up 17-0 10 minutes into the game and Meyer shut it down.


Meyer shut it down 10 minutes into the game?


:nohead:

:lolBIG:


Boy are you living in a fantasy land or what. That's one of the most convoluted statements I've ever read on this forum, and that's saying something!

Did Meyer shut it down up 17-7 at halftime against Mississippi too? :lol:.


1. Florida scores opening drive. 7-0
2. Florida recovers fumble on Tenn 23, shut down and held to 3. 10-0.
3. Florida has 78 yard punt return. 17-0.


SHUT IT DOWN BOYS!!!!!!!

jesus-laughing.jpg

 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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Did you watch the game? Or better yet do you know ANYTHING about Meyer or UF? Then STFU.

That's SOP for Meyer. When he gets up he plays kill the clock and get out with a win and has since he got to Florida.
 

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Did you watch the game? Or better yet do you know ANYTHING about Meyer or UF? Then STFU.

That's SOP for Meyer. When he gets up he plays kill the clock and get out with a win and has since he got to Florida.



Is this a joke?
 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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Is this a joke?

No - ask anyone that watches UF football. We've all been fooled into hoping before when we have break out games as we did recently with LSU. Let's see if we can keep it up.

We've covered a lot of games this year, but they been a lot like our game with Arkansas. It was 17-7 going into the 4th and Arky was threatening to make it 17-14. Then we break off a few plays. Keep in mind that UF scored 14pts in the last 5 minutes to cover the spread and they were both off very long runs of 75yds and 52yds. If Arky plays defense there, we maybe only get one.
 

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No - ask anyone that watches UF football. We've all been fooled into hoping before when we have break out games as we did recently with LSU. Let's see if we can keep it up.

We've covered a lot of games this year, but they been a lot like our game with Arkansas. It was 17-7 going into the 4th and Arky was threatening to make it 17-14. Then we break off a few plays. Keep in mind that UF scored 14pts in the last 5 minutes to cover the spread and they were both off very long runs of 75yds and 52yds. If Arky plays defense there, we maybe only get one.

what position do you play on the team? relax - nothing personal. but tough to take anything you say seriously (re: florida) when there is a clear bias clouding your posts. contributions are good. but biased ones need perspective.
 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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Why even waste time posting what you posted because you obviously have spent ZERO time reading my posts. Thanks for the smart ass response though. Seriously.
 

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Why even waste time posting what you posted because you obviously have spent ZERO time reading my posts. Thanks for the smart ass response though. Seriously.


Well you made a foolish statement saying Florida shuts down the offense 10 minutes and one offensive touchdown into the 1st quarter, and you are surprised at the reaction?

You are living in some fantasy land believing that Florida is so awesome that Urban Meyer can just snap his finger and turn on the gas anytime he wants.

Facts are the facts. I know they bust the image that you have of your own team, and that of Tennessee, but the facts are that the game was far closer than the scoreline suggested it was. Florida was not 24 points better than Tennessee in that game! It was much closer to 7.. Florida players must of believed the hype that they were 24 points better in that game because surprise, surprise, they come out the next week and get their bell rung by Mississippi at The Swamp!
 

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Funny thing; that line does seem like a trap imo.

It only looks "trappy" because of the public perception of the two teams.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the sharps know Tennessee has been on the short end of the randomness stick and that Alabama has overachieved.

My own statistical breakdowns point to this as well. If they restarted the season with the same exact players, Alabama could just as easily be 4-3 and Tennessee 5-2 or 6-1.

Tennessee will be a big play for me this weekend.
 

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It only looks "trappy" because of the public perception of the two teams.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the sharps know Tennessee has been on the short end of the randomness stick and that Alabama has overachieved.

My own statistical breakdowns point to this as well. If they restarted the season with the same exact players, Alabama could just as easily be 4-3 and Tennessee 5-2 or 6-1.

Tennessee will be a big play for me this weekend.

I hate to see you put a lot of money on a lousy team and the Vols are lousy this year.Yes their record could be better if replayed and could have been better this year.Maybe they should have beat UCLA and Auburn but thats not saying anything at all.Auburn only scores about 1 offensive TD a game and UCLA got a shutout beatdown the week after beating this Tenn team.I have watched them play in the games they that did win(UAB Miss State etc) and it was still ugly and unimpressive.I dont think they have looked good in any of their games this year.I guess you can state the last week was good because of the final score but it was not that easy.
Alabama did beat Tenn by 24 points last year and yes I am a homer.I would not bet on Alabama either but I surely would not bank $$ on a bad team that is going against team that has proved it can dominate on the road.There are so many better games out there than this IMO.
If you are looking to make money against a Alabama that you feel is overated then wait until the LSU game or Sec Championship and hammer that number or moneyline but I dont feel the tide will lose to this volunteer team.
Lots of people want to pick Alabama to lose in this spot because of how they have looked the last two weeks but Alabama is a Horrible Home Favorite.I dont have the stats but they just dont play well as a home favorite.It will do them good to go on the road where they play as if they are the underdog.
 

CoachLT is my Obi Wan Kenobi
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Well you made a foolish statement saying Florida shuts down the offense 10 minutes and one offensive touchdown into the 1st quarter, and you are surprised at the reaction?

You are living in some fantasy land believing that Florida is so awesome that Urban Meyer can just snap his finger and turn on the gas anytime he wants.

Facts are the facts. I know they bust the image that you have of your own team, and that of Tennessee, but the facts are that the game was far closer than the scoreline suggested it was. Florida was not 24 points better than Tennessee in that game! It was much closer to 7.. Florida players must of believed the hype that they were 24 points better in that game because surprise, surprise, they come out the next week and get their bell rung by Mississippi at The Swamp!

Quite incorrect. If you knew anything, you would know how I have RAILED against Meyer for that behavior because a team cannot just turn it on. I am quite grounded in reality thank you. If case you forgot, I actually bet on LSU becuase of how poorly we had played up to that game. The only reason I am even considering playing UF in this game is because of all of the key injuries to UK. Florida usually does not play well at 12:30, as evidenced with the Ole Miss game. As someone who gambles, surely you must be aware of the letdown game. That was Ole Miss. As for the UT game, you can think whatever you want. You seem to have forgotten that "WE" blew their asses out last year as well. UT does not match up well with Florida AT ALL. As long as they continue to run their team the way they do the Vols will continue to lose badly to UF.
 

RESPECT MY CONGLOMERATE: HG Hustler and Gambler
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It only looks "trappy" because of the public perception of the two teams.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the sharps know Tennessee has been on the short end of the randomness stick and that Alabama has overachieved.

My own statistical breakdowns point to this as well. If they restarted the season with the same exact players, Alabama could just as easily be 4-3 and Tennessee 5-2 or 6-1.

Tennessee will be a big play for me this weekend.

That seems very farfetched, I've watched both teams extensively, 1. Tennessee and it's coaching staff does suck as much as the record implies, and 2. Alabama was extremely underrated when the season began.
 

No Respect make the Situation worsen
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That seems very farfetched, I've watched both teams extensively, 1. Tennessee and it's coaching staff does suck as much as the record implies, and 2. Alabama was extremely underrated when the season began.
Agreed lol
 

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what position do you play on the team? relax - nothing personal. but tough to take anything you say seriously (re: florida) when there is a clear bias clouding your posts. contributions are good. but biased ones need perspective.


I went to UF and am a donor. I can say "WE" whenever the fauck I want. Just bustin your balls man!

As for Tenn... They have a solid D and I don't trust JPW in a hostile environment. the Vols actually are underrated, and you're right Prodigy, they have as much talent as almost anybody in the SEC. I like the spark that Tenn has shown lately and the team, coaches and players are all pretty confident going into this game. Love that it's at Neyland as well. Gonna play the Vols +7 and get a little money line as well.
 

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