The Sports Scientist NFL Picks

Search
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 7 early looks:

Colts -12.5 W +1
Browns +7 L -1.1
Pats -14 W +1
Saints -6 W +1
Falcons +4 L -1.1
Cardinals +7 W +1
Eagles -7 W +1
Steelers -4 W +1


Week 7 summary:
ATS: 6-2 (Standard weight 6-2, Double weight 0-0) +3.8
Week 7 units: +3.8


Year-to-date (5 weeks):
ATS: 19-11-1 (Standard weight 17-10, Double weight 2-1-1) 63.3%
Teasers (Double weight): 1-0
Moneylines (Quarter weight): 4-2
YTD units: +11.67


Week 8 early looks:

Ravens -3 -120 (double weight)
Colts -11.5
Cardinals -9
Saints -9.5 (double weight)


Possible selections later in the week:
Vikings
Fins
Raiders
Jags
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 8 additions:

Dolphins +3.5 -115
Rams +4.5 (double weight)
Rams ML +185 (treating as an ATS play)
Jaguars +3
Jaguars ML +150 (treating as an ATS play)

The Lions being a 4.5 point favorite is one of the weirdest things I've seen this season.

Have a good weekend chappies.
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 8:

Ravens -3 -120 (double weight) W +2
Colts -11.5 L -1.1
Cardinals -9 L -1.1
Saints -9.5 (double weight) L -2.2
Dolphins +3.5 -115 W +1
Rams +4.5 (double weight) W +2
Rams ML +185 (treating as an ATS play) W +1.85
Jaguars +3 L -1.1
Jaguars ML +150 (treating as an ATS play) L -1

Week 8 summary:
ATS: 4-5 (Standard weight 2-4 -1.45, Double weight 2-1 +1.8)
Week 8 units: +.35

Year-to-date (6 weeks):
ATS: 23-16-1 (Standard weight 19-14, Double weight 4-2-1) 58.9%
Teasers (Double weight): 1-0
Moneylines (Quarter weight): 4-2
YTD units: +12.02


Week 9:

3-team, 6-point teaser (double weight) +180:
Colts -2.5
Bengals +9
Broncos +9

Straight (ATS) plays:
I like these teams this week, but lines should improve for most (or all) of them:

Bears -3, Bengals +3, Chargers +4.5, Cowboys +3, Broncos +3

When/if the Bears line hits -2.5, it is the best play of the week.
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
3-team, 6-point teaser (double weight) +180:
Colts -2.5, Bengals +9, Broncos +9 L -2

Bears -2.5 -120 (double weight) L -2.4
Bengals +3 -120 W +1
Chargers +5.5 W +1
Chargers ML +215 (treating as an ATS play) W +2.15
Cowboys +3 -120 W +1
Broncos +3 -120 L -1.2


Week 9 summary:
ATS: 4-2 (Standard weight 4-1, Double weight 0-1) +1.55
Teasers (Double weight): 0-1, -2
Week 9 units: -.45


Year-to-date (7 weeks):
ATS: 27-18-1 (Standard weight 23-15, Double weight 4-3-1) 60%
Teasers (Double weight): 1-1
Moneylines (Quarter weight): 4-2
YTD units: +11.57
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 10:

2 team, 6 point teaser (double weight) -105:
Panthers +8
Cardinals -2

ATS:
Bears +3.5
Chargers -1
Chiefs ML +110

More ATS plays later.
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 10 results:

2 team, 6 point teaser (double weight) -105: W +2
Panthers +8, Cardinals -2

ATS:
Bears +3.5 L -1.1
Chargers -1 W +1
Chiefs ML +110 W +1.1
Falcons ML -120 (treating as ATS) L -1.2
Colts -2.5 L -1.1
Packers +3 -115 W +1
Saints -13.5 L -1.1
Bengals +7 W +1

Moneyline (quarter weight):
Bengals +260 W +.65


Week 10 summary:

ATS: 4-4 (Standard weight 4-4, Double weight 0-0) -.4
Teasers (Double weight): 1-0, +2
Longshot moneylines (Quarter weight): 1-0, +.65
Week 10 units: +2.25


Year-to-date (8 weeks):
ATS: 31-22-1 (Standard weight 27-19, Double weight 4-3-1) 58.5%
Teasers (Double weight): 2-1
Longshot moneylines (Quarter weight): 5-2
YTD units: +13.82



For Week 11: haven't seen any lines yet, but I like the Rams to win outright hosting the Cardinals. Should be a big fat price on that ML, and a nice big spread.
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Moar week 11-

ATS:
Falcons +7
49ers +6.5
Titans +4.5
Titans ML +185 (treating as an ATS play)

Longshot moneylines:
Falcons (quarter weight) +275
49ers (quarter weight) +250

More later (can't wait to see that SD/Den line)
 
Joined
Sep 19, 2009
Messages
1,573
Tokens
Week 12 early look:

Chargers -13.5 (double weight)

Will probably be crossing 14 soon.

7-2 so far in Week 11 with SNF and MNF pending.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,955
Messages
13,575,575
Members
100,888
Latest member
bj88gameslife
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com