The Special One Knows

[TheSpecialOne]

Looking at Ukraine premier league this morning for Dynamo Kyiv trying to hang with Shakhtar for the Ukrainian domestic title. They are heavy favorites against mariupol, a team that's lost 7 out of their last 10. Dynamo has a looming cup final coming up next week against shakhtar so I think they will want to smash some goals in today for some confidence. Last 2 home games for dynamo it's been a 4-0 win. I got dynamo-2
*2* Dynamo Kyiv -2 -105

 

[JohnMolson]

Kyiv were shit today 1-1 FT hno:

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Kyiv were shit today 1-1 FT hno:

Yes pretty bad. Shakhtar much better team.

 

[varkeyboy]

Record and units?

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Thank you for taking an interest valkeyboy... I dropped my first game on friday, until then I would have not lost you a penny if you were following my rated plays. I put this together for you since you inquired...

Date and Time	Match	Pick	Line	Result	Rating	Yield
4/25/18 (2:45 PM ET)	Real Madrid @ Bayern Munich	Real Madrid (+.5)	-115	Win 2-1	*2*	+2
4/26/18 (3:05 PM ET)	Atletico Madrid @ Arsenal	Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	-120	Win 1-1	*1*	+1
4/27/18 (1 PM ET)	FC Copenhagen @ AS Horsens	FC Copenhagen (-1)	-110	Push 3-2	*1*
4/29/18 (7 AM ET)	Rangers @ Celtic	Celtic (-1)	-120	Win 5-0	*2*	+2
4/29/18 (2:45 PM ET)	Barcelona @ Deportivo	Barcelona (-2)	-115	Push 4-2	*1*
5/1/18 (2:45 PM ET)	Bayern Munich @ Real Madrid	Real Madrid (PK)	-130	Push 2-2	*3*
5/3/18 (3:05 PM ET)	Marseille @ Salzburg	Salzburg (ML)	-105	Win 2-1	*1*	+1
5/4/18 (12 PM ET)	Mariupol @ Dynamo Kyiv	Dynamo Kyiv (-2)	-105	Loss 1-1	*2*	-2

4 Wins, 3 Pushes, 1 Loss (+4 Units)
If you calculate units based on my rating system, I’m up 4 units. I try to practice discipline and selectivity.

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Nothing really on the slate that I liked yesterday. Today is a different story...

The Turkish league has been an absolute mad house the last couple months of the season, with 3 match rounds left, we still aren't sure of anything yet. All 4 of the powerhouses in Turkey have been in contention, but Fenerbahce has been the hottest of all the Turkish teams in the last couple weeks. Fener now has a chance to take 2nd place with a win here. 3.5 is high for a turkish league game but like I the total to go over as I can see both teams scoring in a winning effort for Fener.

*1* Fenerbahce/Bursaspor Over 3.5 -105

 

[Stevia]

Thanks for sharing Jose

 

[TheSpecialOne]

I wish I did a over 3,3.5. That way I'd at least be getting half my stake back. This game will land on 3 toal goals I believe, I think we will see a penalty in the second half as well.

Going to be back with some more later today.

 

[JohnMolson]

look like these bastards going for the scoreless draw hno:

 

[JohnMolson]

finally on 69' 0-1

 

[JohnMolson]

and again on 71' 1-1

 

[JohnMolson]

Fener on 90' 2-1:aktion033

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Fener on 90' 2-1:aktion033

I called that in game Haha. Counts as a loss for me though, close but should have hit.

 

[TheSpecialOne]

I like olympiacos a lot today. It's a combination of the price and the fact I've always liked this team and they got some relatively unknown guys for small countries I'll be talking about some come the world cup. They've had a shit season for the most part. And this is the last game. So I think they try to go out with a win and secure 3rd place.
*3* Olympiacos +105

 

[TheSpecialOne]

I'm going over on the Real Madrid team total
*3* Over 1.5 +120

Prop thoughts...
Karim Benzema to score anytime +178
Gareth Bale to provide an assist +400

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Both teams to score is astonishing -300. I've never seen that much juice for that option. Only in el clasico. There will be goals

 

[TheSpecialOne]

Terrible call on olympiacos. Thats what I get for dabbling in those unstable leagues at the end of the season when nothing is on the line for them. Will get that one back asap.

 

[TheSpecialOne]

That Bale strike though...

 

[TheSpecialOne]

After the 5th spot in russia (currentley zenit st Petersburg) there is a big drop off and pretty much everybody is separated by 5 points or less from 6th place to 13th on the Russian premier league table. These middle of the pack games, the standings means absolutely nothing and can be deceiving actually. Rubin Kazan last home game of the season and I'm backing them to get a home win. With most of these teams already packing it in for the season I think we will see a low scoring win fueled by pride and the retirement of long serving striker Karadeniz, who starts on the bench and more than likely gets in and contributes.
*1* Rubin Kazan -120

 

[varkeyboy]

^ They need to get one in these last 20' for u..........