D2 (and others)-
I would love to know what games he mved the number from a winner to a loser or a push. I would be willing to bet that it wasn't 5% of the time. (for spread based plays)
So even if we enteratin the claim that he has hit between 57-67% the past four years, even "the leftovers" would hit at 52-62%.
I don't necessarilly believe all the claims. But people seem to love the stories, so I go with the flow.
But when we all start talking percentages that really doesn't mean a damn thing. How many games? What sports? Same bet amount every time?
Guys can be hitting 55% in bases and be losing their asses. Even a 63% win rate in bases isn't a gaurantee of big money. Yanks are at 62.4% and are showing a profit of $280 per $100 bet. Not exactly stellar returns. And just two loses will have you in the negative, and they would still be above 61% win rate.
So I don't give win percentages any wieght what so ever. Unless you know how a guy bets, they are meaningless.
But the main point was linemoves. And as I said, spread based moves probably resulted in maybe a 5% difference, (and I think that is high) Meaning if they made 400 bets in the past 4 years that would be 20 games where you went from a winner to a push or a loser. At 60% that would still give you at least 220 winners (worst case of all losses and no pushes).
Also, if they are the guys causig all the steam in bases this year,then I would say those percentages have taken some serious hits, since steam plays are hitting at about 40%, and even with a few dogs in the mix they have been getting crushed this year.
But of course there is no verification as to who is making those plays or if they are fake or real.
That is why an answer like that is laughable, but to be expected.